Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-21-21 | Hurricanes v. Canadiens +119 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
My 10* NHL Game of the Month is on the Mon Canadiens at 7:08 ET.
Enough is ENOUGH as far as Canadiens fans are concerned after an 0-4 start! Yes, Montreal's star goaltender Carey Price is still sidelined with personal issues and won't be playing here, but I like the winless (0-4) home side to dig deep and to finally post a victory on Friday night. Carolina comes in riding high after a 2-0 start. It beat the Islanders 6-3 at home, and then it won 3-2 at Nashville. The Hurricane's Jordan Staal has two assists over the first two games, while goaltender Frederick Andersen is 2-0-0 with a 2.50 goals-against average and .926 save percentage. However, Carolina's last win came FIVE days ago! That's an eternity as far as momentum is concerned in sports like the NHL or NBA. The Canadiens made it all the way to the Stanley Cup Final last year, but they've struggled to find that same spark so far this season. That includes a 5-0 loss here to the Sharks two nights ago (note that the Canadiens are 8-2 in their last 10 after a shutout home loss off three or more goals.) It's interesting to note that this is the first time in 26 years that the Habs have started the season 0-4. Jonathan Drouin has scored two of Montreal's three goals this season. Jake Allen is 0-3-0 with a 3.05 goals-against average and .885 save percentage. An 0-3-0 record isn't good, but Allen hasn't been terrible at all. He's just received little support to this point. Carolina's extended break between games sets up for them to come out flat, especially against an 0-4 opponent. The panic button has absolutely been smashed in Montreal and I expect this now desperate team to respond. Look for the hungry Canadiens to finally earn their first victory of the season on Thursday night. Good luck...Larry |
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07-02-21 | Lightning v. Canadiens +120 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* GAME 3 GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Canadiens. I have played on Montreal over the first two games on the puckline and come up short. I can't lay the price on the Habs on the puckline in Game 3, but I don't think we're going to need that extra goal and a half anyways. With a line like this, the oddsmakers agree that this is going to be an evenly matched game. But Montreal does have the advantage, in that this is the first time that Tampa has travelled out of the country to play this season. The subtle differences in dealing with travel and all the rest of it is going to throw a proverbial "monkey-wrench" into Tampa's series sweep hopes in my opinion. The Lightning have been exceptional defensively over the first two games, but Tampa has definitely shown inconsistencies throughout these playoffs. Clearly, Montreal has to get something going offensively, or this series is going to be over. The Habs though are 7-1 in their last eight in trying to revenge two losses against an opponent. The Canadiens won't be panicking here, as they had to come from behind to knock off the Leafs in the first round after dropping to 1-3 in that series. Montreal is also 10-2 in its last 12 when playing on one days rest and 4-1 in its last five after scoring two or less goals in its previous game. I say this series gets a lot more interseting after tonight. The stage is set for a letdown here for Tampa, and nice payout for Montreal as a straight-up Game 3 winner. The play is the Canadiens. Good luck...Larry |
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06-30-21 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -138 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* GAME 2 STANLEY CUP FINALS TOP-PLAY is on the Canadiens. Montreal was down 1-3 to Toronto in the first round, before then winning three straight. The Canadiens then took care of the Winnipeg Jets in four straight, before then needing six games to get past the Golden Knights. In every series, the Canadiens have been the underdog and they're obviously once again a big underdog in this game and in this series. Especially after losing 5-1 in Game 1. I think at this price range, that we're getting great value by getting the extra goal and a half in Game 2. I'll caution in over-reacting to one loss by Montreal, as it's been fantastic at making adjustments from game to game throughout these playoffs. I'm not trying to diminish how great the Lightning really are, and their road back to a second Stanley Cup hasn't been any easier than Montreal's. But at the same time, the Lightning sure haven't been perfect in this playoffs. They barely got by the Islanders in seven games and they've been susceptible to letdowns. I think that's going to be the case here. The outright upset is definitely possible. I'm not counting out Carey Price and this under-the-radar Canadiens team ever anymore. The bottom line is I expect Game 2 to be much more competitive, so in a contest that I see being decided late, I'm going to lay the mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 goals. The play is Montreal on the puck-line. Good luck...Larry |
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06-28-21 | Canadiens v. Lightning OVER 5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Habs/Bolts. Montreal's Carey Price is only allowing an average of 2.04 GPG in the playoffs, while the Lightning's Andrei Vasilevskiy is conceding just 1.9 in the postseason. The main reason these two clubs are here right now is because of their tough defensive play, and unbelievable goaltending. We know these teams can play defense. We know these goaltenders have the ability to "steal" a game on "any given Sunday." We don't have to question these team's defensive game-plans or mentality. But the winner of this series is going to be the one that can generate offense. Tampa would seemingly have the upper-hand in that department, as it finished the regular season among the best in almost all offensive statistical categories. The Habs? Not so much. But with a few extra days off to prepare for this one and to get their "legs" back underneath them after a gruelling journey to this point, I think it will indeed be these offenses which garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries. So that's my read/call in Game 1. I expect a faster-paced, more wide-open affair, one which sees the total fly over the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck...Larry |
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06-25-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -1.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* GAME 7 DECIDER is on the Lightning PUCK LINE. The last time these teams played here, the Lightning won by a score of 8-0. Am I predicting another lop-sided destruction like that again here? Of course not. But I do expect Tampa to Game 7 handily. This sets up well for Tampa. It has the experience and the home ice advantage. The Lightning were 26-8-2-0 at home, while the Islanders are only 16-17-3-1 on the road. Home ice has been crucial for each team in this series of late and I expect that strong trend to continue here. Goaltending and defense, two of the most important factors, are a "wash" for me here. The difference is Tampa's offense (and its experience in big games like this.) Note that the Lightning are 63-17 in their last 80 after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. They're also 65-25 in their last 90 when playing on one days rest. It's been an awesome run for the Isles, but I look for Tampa to advance and to play Montreal. The play is Tampa on the puck-line. Good luck...Larry |
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06-24-21 | Golden Knights -142 v. Canadiens | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -142 | 30 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* GAME 6 SHOW-DOWN is on the Knights. The NHL would love nothing more than this series to move back to Las Vegas for a decisive Game 7. The Knights are reeling off a humbling Game 5 loss at home, but I expect the visiting side to throw everything it has at Carey Price and the Canadiens to try and extend it one more game. Las Vegas finished as the No. 1 defensive unit in the league, but it was equally adept on the offensive end, as it finished No. 3 overall. This Canadiens playoff team has been incredible. For the most part it's grinded out victories to get to this point. Tough defensive play and fantastic goaltending. The Knights though have played really well in this spot for bettors though, as they're 7-1 in their last eight in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which they were held to one or less goals in. Tampa wasn't able to get the job done on the road last night in Game 6 and that series will now go to a Game 7. I don't think that Montreal has what it takes to end this series tonight either, as it plays much better with its back against the wall. This is the best price so far this series for the Knights, and I'm all over it. The play is Las Vegas in Game 6. Good luck...Larry |
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06-23-21 | Lightning v. Islanders +137 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 137 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* EAST SEMI-FINAL GAME 6 BATTLE is on the Islanders. The Islanders play better at home. They won Game 4 by a score of 3-2, then fell flat in an 8-0 loss in Game 5 in Tampa. Clearly, that was an outlier. For both teams. It got ugly and out of hand and the Islanders were already looking ahead and planning for Game 6. New York finished 26-6-2 at home. The Lightning were sure good on the road, but note that New York is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. With the season on the line, I think the Isles can bounce back at home. They're still 5-2 their last seven as an underdog (they're also 8-3 in their last 11 when playing on one days rest.) Tampa's not going to roll over, but it still has one more chance to wrap up this series on home ice. I say the "hungrier" team wins Game 6. Great value here on the Islanders. Good luck...Larry |
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06-22-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights OVER 5 | Top | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Canadiens/Knights. This has been a very defensive series so far. The first three games "pushed" on 5, while Game 4 went well under in the Knights' 2-1 win. We're all tied up heading back to Las Vegas now and with the shift in venue again, I'm finally expecting some pucks to find the back of the net tonight. Clearly, Marc-Andre Fleury and Carey Price have stolen the headlines in this series, but note that the Canadiens have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last ten in trying to revenge an OT home loss to an opponent in which they were held to one or less goals in. Vegas is No. 1 in the league defensively, conceding just 2.18 GPG. But it's also the No. 3 offensive team, averaging 3.39 GPG. The Knights' defense has been stymied to this point, but Montreal could be ripe for the picking here after its late collapse in Game 4. The Lightning/Islanders series was also a very defensive one up until Tampa's 8-0 blowout win last night. I say this series takes a similar turn here as well as far as the scoring is concerned. Look for a faster-paced, and ultimately higher-scoring Game 5. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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06-21-21 | Islanders +162 v. Lightning | Top | 0-8 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* GAME 5 DECIDER is on the Islanders. The Canadiens looked like they were going to cruise to a win last night with a 1-0 lead late in the third period, but then the Knights scored to push it to OT and now they're heading back to Las Vegas all tied up at 2-2. The Islanders and Lightning are also tied. New York looked very dominant in its 3-2 win over the Isles at home in Game 4 and I believe it has the blueprint to success against the Lightning. I'm not reading too much into the home ice advantage and I think that these teams are in fact evenly matched across the board. It wouldn't be difficult whatsoever to write a really convincing argument for the Lightning to bounce back here and that there is in fact value on laying this larger price for them to do that. But I don't think that's where the value lies at all on the side tonight. As I say, I don't think the home ice matters as an advantage for these teams, and I also don't think that the Lightning are a vastly better team. So for me, that swings the value to this undervalued underdog. This dogs barking on Monday night and I expect it to deliver. The Islanders are the play in Game 5! Good luck...Larry |
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06-20-21 | Golden Knights v. Canadiens OVER 5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -127 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* GAME 4 TOTAL is on the over Knights/Canadiens. This has been an evenly matched series. So far all three games have "pushed" on the O/U at 5, but in Game 4 I do finally predict more of a wide-open affair, as the favored Golden Knights look to control the tempo as to avoid a dreaded 1-3 hole. Vegas had a 2-1 lead heading into the final minutes of Game 3, before a late goal by Montreal, followed by the OT winner. Despite how the Canadiens ended up winning (whether you consider that a "lucky" victory or not), Montreal has played unbelieavably overall in the playoffs and I don't think it's getting nearly enough respect from the oddsmakers. Each team has experienced, World-class goaltenders and elite defenses, but note that the Knights have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last nine in trying to revenge an OT road loss to an opponent. I think Game 4 sets up great from a few different situational and trend based angles as being a faster-paced, higher-scoring contest. The play in Game 4 is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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06-19-21 | Lightning v. Islanders +114 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 114 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* GAME 3 TIE-BREAKER is on the Islanders. New York won Game 1, but the Lightning have taken the last two. I like the Islanders to bounce back here in Game 4 though, before the series shifts back to Tampa. Game 3 was tight, and it could have gone either way. The Lightning won though 2-1. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 27 of 28 shots. Semyon Varlamov has been great for the Islanders though all year long and there's no reason not to believe that he can't continue his strong play in Game 4. Despite the loss last time out, the Isles are still 7-2 in their last nine as a home dog. Clearly, with a line like this the oddsmakers feel these teams are evenly matched. And they are, but with their backs against the wall and looking to avoid the dreaded 1-3 hole, in my opinion, everything points to the Isles finally bouncing back here after two straight losses. Great value on New York in Game 4. Good luck...Larry |
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06-18-21 | Golden Knights v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL LAS VEGAS INSIDER is on the UNDER Knights/Canadiens. Both teams lead the playoffs in most offensive and defensive statistical categories. Both have World class goaltenders and in this important Game 3 contest, I believe they'll garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest. The past two games have gone under the number, with both defenses controlling the tempo and nothing is going to change here either. Marc-Andre Fleury and Carey Price are playing unbelievably right now and each has the ability to take over a game and a series. The Canadiens won't be out to push the pace here now that they have the advantage of being back at home. The last thing Montreal can clearly afford to do is to try and open things up and give these high-flying Knights any sort of momentum on the offensive end. Montreal has been incredibly disciplined throughout the playoffs, waiting for its opponent to make a mistake to then take advantage. Everything points to yet another highly-competitive, lower-scoring under in Game 3. Good luck...Larry |
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06-17-21 | Lightning v. Islanders +124 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* EAST SEMI-FINAL GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Islanders. This is going to be a back-and-forth series. New York held on for the win in Game 1, and then the defending champs rallied and responded in Game 2. Now the series shifts to Long Island and I think that New York will return the favor and find a way to get the job done here in Game 3. Tampa's offensive numbers were superior in the regular season, but each team's numbers are pretty much even in the playoffs. Both are filled with experienced talent and with a line like this, clearly the oddsmakers feel these teams are evenly matched. And so do I. From goaltending, defense, offense, special teams and coaching, it simply would not be difficult whatsover for me to write a very convincing argument for either of these talented sides to win. So why then do I like New York in Game 3? The Islanders return home where they're 25-5-2-2. The Lightning are 20-11-1-2 on the road. New York though is a near-perfect 7-1 in its last eight in trying to revenge a two goals or greater road loss to an opponent. This series could easily see seven games, but Game 3 points to the Islanders bouncing back on home ice in my opinion. The play is New York. Good luck...Larry |
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06-16-21 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 55 m | Show |
My 10 PUCKLINE LAS VEGAS INSIDER is on the Canadiens. I had a play on Montreal in Game 1 and that obviously came up short. The Canadiens had been on quite the roll before that Game 1 performance, and they're going to now have to get creative here if they want to avoid an 0-2 hole. These teams are similar in many regards, but the Canadiens are going to have to dial up the pressure on the defensive end if they have any hopes of getting back into this series. Montreal though has acutally done exceptionally well in this spot for bettors, as note that it's 6-0 in its last six when playing with one days rest. The Canadiens are also still 5-1 their last six as an underdog and 7-1 in their last eight against teams with winning records. The odds are stacked against them, but I think Montreal makes the necessary adjustments to make Game 2 much more competitive. In a contest which I see being decided late, or even in extra time, I'm going to lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. The play is Montreal on the puck-line. Good luck...Larry |
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06-15-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 145 | 31 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* PUCK-LINE PERFECT STORM is on the Lightning. I had a play on the Islanders in Game 1, and they cashed out at +175. Here though I think they're going to be completely satisfied with having already earned the split, while I expect Tampa to respond and risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to avoid the 0-2 hole. These teams are very similar on both ends of the ice, except Tampa's offense is better. I said in my Game 1 analysis that New York had the defense to pull off an upset not only in Game 1, but in this series as well. But to do that, many different things are going to have to fall into place for the Islanders. Do I think that New York is going to sweep the Lightning? Of course not. Do I think that the Isles will take both of these opening games in Tampa? I don't either. I think that Tampa is going to respond and win today. But not only, win BIG. As note that the Lightning are a near-perfect 7-1 in their last eight playoff games in trying to revenge a home loss in which they were held to one goal or shutout in. Expect the Bolts to cruise to a sizeable victory in Game 2 and play on the puck-line. Good luck...Larry |
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06-14-21 | Canadiens +232 v. Golden Knights | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* LAS VEGAS INSIDER is on the Canadiens. I had a play on the Islanders last night and just like that play, I also believe that Montreal has much more than just a "punchers chance" in Game 1, and in this series. The oddsmakers though aren't giving Les Habitens much of a chance in Game 1, or this series. This line is not accurate in my opinion considering how well the Canadiens are playing right now. And so for me, that swings the value to the undervalued underdog. I said last night that the Islanders had the defense to slow down and upset the high-powered Lightning attack, and the exact same thing can be said here of Montreal, who dispatched of two straight high-scoring machines in Toronto and Winnipeg. And the Habs beat the Jets in four straight, after going to seven games with the Leafs, which included climbing out of a 3-1 deficit. Clearly, the Knights are a great team as well. They have the No. 1 defense in the league and the No. 3 offense. I just think that the longer layoff won't help the Golden Knights offense and when considering all of the above situational factors I've listed, this price it just too steep in this situation And as I've already said as well, that for sure in my opinion swings the value to this red hot Habs team, which will be throwing everything it has and riksing life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to try and pull of the upset. I say Montreal manages to "steal" Game 1, as it continues its improbable run to the Cup Final. The play is the Canadiens. Good luck...Larry |
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06-13-21 | Islanders +172 v. Lightning | Top | 2-1 | Win | 172 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE SEMIFINAL GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Islanders. Both teams have looked excellent so far in the postseason. The Islanders average 2.71 goals per game, which ranks 21st, while they concede just 2.23, which ranks second. The Lightning average 3.21 GPG, whih ranks ninth, while allowing 2.59, which ranks sixth. Tampa's offensive numbers are better, while New York's defensive numbers are better. But overall these teams matchup well and in my opinion, I think the Isles have much more than just a "punchers chance" in Game 1. J-G Pageau leads the Isles in scoring int he playoffs with 13 points, while Ilya Sorokin and Semyon Varlamov each hae four wins piece. Andrei Vasileskiy has played all 11 of Tampa's playoff games and he has a superb 2.24 GAA. New York comes in with a chip on its shoulder and with something to prove. I say the Islanders pull off the upset in Game 1 of this Eastern Conference Semifinals matchup. The play is the Islanders. Good luck...Larry |
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06-09-21 | Bruins -125 v. Islanders | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -125 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* EAST-DIVISIONAL FINAL GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Bruins. The Bruins dropped a crucial Game 5 at home to the Islanders, but I think that Tuukka Rask and the visiting side will be up to the task to send this one back home for a Game 7. The Islanders are now running on fumes after back-to-back victories, and I think they'll predictably stumble here. New York has superior defensive numbers, ranked No. 2 overall, but Boston isn't far behind, ranked fifth in that department. The Islanders are better at home than on the road, but the Bruins are a near-perfect 7-1 in their last eight in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which they allowed five or more goals in. Boston was down big in Game 5 and almost mounted the comeback. As I say, New York is now clearly the one that's fatigued in this battle, and I say that Boston takes advantage. This is the best price yet on the Bruins so far in this series, and it's the right time to back them in this spot as well. The play is Boston in Game 6. Good luck...Larry |
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06-08-21 | Lightning v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Lightning/Hurricanes. It's do or die for Carolina. As good as the Hurricanes have looked all season and as much potential as they showed, they're clearly still no match for the defending champs. The Lightning have a big opportunity to end this series here and now, but clealry the Canes won't be going down without a fight. The first three games of this series were a tight defensive affair, but Game 4 turned into a shootout in the Lightning's 6-4 win. And one of the biggest reasons behind that was that the Hurricanes were forced to be the aggressor to try and get back into the series. They couldn't afford to play a defensive style of game and come out on top against the equally as defensive-minded Lightning, instead they had to push the pace from start to finish. And that's again the case here. And by pushing the pace with their defenseman in the offensive attack, it leaves Carolina open on the backend to this opportunistic Lightning offense. I say Game 5 will have a similar final combined score as what we saw in Game 4. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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06-07-21 | Jets +131 v. Canadiens | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Jets. I know it's hard to believe that Winnipeg could muster up a win here after three straight losses, but in this back-to-back scenario, I like the Jets to do just that. Montreal has been unbelievable. The goaltending play of Carey Price has been phenomenal. Winnipeg has played well though recently in the second game of a back-to-back, going 5-2 in its last seven in that position. The Jets numbers for the season are still superior(Winnipeg averages 2.83 GPG and it allows 2.33, while Montreal averages 2.22 GPG, while conceding 2.33) and I just don't think the Canadiens have it in them to complete the four-game sweep here. The Habs had to come back from a 1-3 deficit to beat the heavily favored Leafs in seven games, and they've now won three straight in this series. I say Montreal's win streak ends at six and Winnipeg digs deep, plays with pride and guts out at least a single victory in this series. The play is the Jets. Good luck...Larry |
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06-06-21 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights -111 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* WEEKEND WIPEOUT WINNER is on the Golden Knights. I think the Golden Knights offer fantastic value at home here to even this series back up. The Avalanche's six-game win streak came to an end in dramatic fashion in Game 3 and I think that Colorado will suffer another letdown here, before it heads back home for Game 5. The Golden Knights peppered Avs' netminder Philipp Grubauer with 43 shots last time out and there's no reason not to think that they can't duplicate that effort again here as well. These teams numbers are evenly matched on both ends of the ice. With a line like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are very evenly matched as well. The momentum though has swung now in favor of the Knights after their Game 3 victory, which was Colorado's first setback so far in the playoffs. I say Colorado has now lost its momentum, and with the knowledge that it'll be returning home for Game 5, I believe it gets caught flat-footed tonight. The play is the Golden Knights. Good luck...Larry |
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06-05-21 | Bruins v. Islanders +124 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 124 | 30 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* EAST-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE MONTH is on the Islanders. This has been a competitive, back and forth series. Boston won Game 1 by a score of 5-2. New York then won Game 2 by a score of 4-3 in overtime, before Boston then won here in Game 3 by a score of 2-1 in OT. Now it's time for the Islanders to respond in Game 4 and before this series shifts back to Boston. These teams regular season numbers on both ends of the ice are very even. Boston was great over the second half of the season, while New York was consistent from start to finish. The Islanders were especially good at home as well, going 23-5-2-2 there so far. New York has also responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge an OT home loss to an opponent (one other strong/current trend to point out is that the Isles are 4-1 in their last five as a home dog.) I love New York in this spot, and getting it as an underdog at home is the proverbial "icing on the cake." The play is the Islanders. Good luck...Larry |
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06-04-21 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights +100 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 8 m | Show |
10* PERFECT STORM on the Knights. Let's just wheel out the Stanley Cup right now and present it to the Avalanche. Right? They're unstoppable?! That's actually so far been the case, as Colorado swept the Blues in four games to open up, while also taking both games at home over the Knights. Clearly, Las Vegas was gassed after its seven game series win over the Wild, as it then got blown out 7-1 in Game 1 of this series. But the Knights took Game 2 to overtime before losing, and now I think they'll put it all together and get back into this series with a big win at home. Colorado pounced on a tired Golden Knights team, but now the tables have turned. The Avalanche are fatigued and the Las Vegas has a chance to rally in its own building. Note that Vegas was 23-6-1-2 here during the regular season. These teams sport almost identical numbers on both ends of the ice, but the Knights still lead the league defensively, conceding just 2.14 GPG. Las Vegas is also 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge an OT road loss against an opponent. I think Colorado finally has its letdown here against a desperate Knights team that'll be throwing everything it has at the Avs here to avoid the 0-3 hole. Great price, the play is Las Vegas. Good luck...Larry |
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06-03-21 | Hurricanes +138 v. Lightning | Top | 3-2 | Win | 138 | 28 h 47 m | Show |
10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Hurricanes. This has been a tight series, but Tampa has a 2-0 lead. The Lightning have played unbelievable defense, considering they struggled somewhat on that end of the ice in their opening series. The Hurricanes seem to be struggling to find energy after their six-game series win over the Predators, four of those games saw overtime. But with its back against the wall here and looking to avoid the dreaded 0-3 hole, I look for Carolina to dig deep here and post a big winning upset effort on the road in Tampa. Carolina scored three goals or more in all six games against the Prdators. It also allowed two goals or less in three of the six games against the Predators. The Lightning are among the best in every offensive and defensive statistical category, but the Hurricanes numbers are almost identical in every regard. I say that the Hurricanes bounce-back here and it's Tampa that will now come in with "heavy legs" after the satisfying back-to-back road victories. The pressure is on this talented Carolina team, which is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge two straight home losses to an opponent. I don't expect Carolina to get swept in this series. Look for the Hurricanes to get back into it with an upset win in Game 3. The play is Carolina. Good luck...Larry |
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06-02-21 | Canadiens v. Jets -129 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -129 | 26 h 9 m | Show |
10* WEEKLY WIPEOUT WINNER On the Jets. Will rest lead to rust for the Winnipeg Jets here, who have been waiting for their opponent for a week after dispatching the Oilers in four games? I say no. I say the extra time off here will only help Winnipeg at this point of the season. Colorado had a few extra days off between its first and second series and it destroyed the Golden Knights 7-1 in their first game of the second round, after Vegas went to seven games to advance past Minnesota. The Habs had to fight back from a 3-1 hole to beat the Leafs and are clearly now physically and emotionally drained. I can't see the Canadiens coming out with any energy here whatsoever. The Jets are also 4-0 their last four at home, while the Canadiens are just 6-15 in their last 21 following a victory. The Canadiens have proven that they can't be taken lightly, and I don't expect the Jets to do that at all. Instead, I believe Winnipeg will be out to set an early tone in this series and take advantage of this fatigued Montreal team. Great price, the play is the Jets. Good luck...Larry |
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06-01-21 | Lightning v. Hurricanes -111 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -111 | 28 h 22 m | Show |
10* PERFECT STORM on the Hurricanes. Game 1 was evenly matched. Tampa had a couple extra days off between series though, and that likely was the difference-maker in the end for the defending champs in their eventual 2-1 victory. I'm not reading too much into Carolina's lacklustre Game 1 offensive performance. They Canes came into that contest average 3.15 GPG in the playoffs and they were just tired and emotionally drained from their six-game series win over the Predators, four of those contests seeing OT. But now Carolina is ready to respond here in my opinion. Note, I actually had Tampa in the first game, but I do expect a letdown here finally. Previous to their Game 1 win, the Bolts had been struggling somewhat on the defensive end of the ice. They caught a tired Hurricanes team "off guard" in Game 1, but I don't expect that to happen twice. Look for Carolina to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes tonight as it looks to even things back up in this series before it shifts to Tampa. Great price, the play is Carolina. Good luck...Larry |
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05-30-21 | Lightning -105 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
10* PERFECT STORM on the Lightning. These teams are evenly matched, but I think the defending champs will find a way to deliver in Game 1 of this series. Tampa averaged 3.2 GPG in the regular season, but with Nikita Kucherov returning for the playoffs, the Lightning seem unstoppable right now. Andrei Vasilevskiy wasn't the greatest in the opening round, but he has the track record and pedigree to return to form here. I think Carolina comes in "gassed" here after its six-game series win over the Predators which saw four of the games going to OT. Tampa's the more rested team, and in my opinion, that matters right now. The Lightning are a sharp 11-4 in their last 14 when playing with three or more days rest and I expect this strong trend to continue here. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Tampa. Good luck...Larry |
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05-29-21 | Islanders +160 v. Bruins | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
10* SITUATIONAL STUNNER on the Islanders. I think that the Islanders are going to "stun" the Bruins in Game 1. These team's offense and defensive numbers are very similar. New York averages only 2.71 GPG, which ranks 21st, but it makes up for it on the other end by conceding just 2.23 GPG, which ranks second. Boston averages 2.93 GPG, which ranks 14th, while allowing 2.39, which ranks fifth. Both are filled with experienced veteran talent, but I'm not buying into the "home ice" advantage here. Note that the Islanders have performed well in this spot for bettors as well by going 7-3 in their last ten as a road dog in the +160 to +175 range. New York faced a powerful Penguins offense, and it looked dominant in its series victory. I say the Islanders have more than enough to earn a split over these first two games in Boston, and I say they take Game 1 and STUN the home side in the process. Good luck...Larry |
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05-28-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights -1.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 165 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
10* PUCK-LINE LAS VEGAS INSIDER on the Golden Knights. The Golden Knights are big favorits in Game 7. The Wild have earned back-to-back victories, including a commanding 3-0 victory in Game 6, but I believe Minnesota will now be "gassed" and I expect the opportunistic Knights to take full advantage. Las Vegas has been outplayed over these last two games, but it has the experience and veteran leadership, as well as home ice to calmly bounce back in this position in my opinion. Minnesota averages 3.21 GPG, which is eighth overall, but it's very average defensively, conceding 2.84, which is ranked 15th. The fact that the Wild managed to just blank the Knights as well, doesn't bode well for them here in Game 7 in my opinion. The Knights though are among the league leaders on both ends of the ice, averaging 3.39 GPG, which ranks third, while allowing 2.18, which ranks first. I say that Las Vegas is the better team, that's just been outplayed the last games. I say that Minnesota is now dog tired and it's going to fall flat here. However, I don't think that the Knights will just win here, I believe they're going to win by a signficant margin. The play is Las Vegas on the puck line. Good luck...Larry |
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05-27-21 | Hurricanes v. Predators OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 121 | 30 h 29 m | Show |
10* FIRST ROUND TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Canes/Predators. Carolina is desperate to end this series, and Nashville is holding on for dear life. I expect this competitive game to produce some offensive fireworks this evening. Carolina has a 3-2 series lead now after snapping a two-game slide. So far home ice advantage has proved to be the difference-maker in this series and while that trend may or may not hold true again here, everything points to a wide-open one that's for sure in my opinion. The Hurricanes are averageing 3.5 GPG in the playoffs, and Nashville is going to have to match pace here if it wants to extend. Note as well that the Preds have averaged 4.5 goals per game at home here in their two playoff games. The overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends all point to a high-scoring over in this one. Good luck...Larry |
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05-26-21 | Panthers v. Lightning OVER 6 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
10* SUPER TOTAL on the OVER Panthers/Lightning. Both teams are equally adept on both ends of the ice. Honestly, it wouldn't be terribly difficult to write a convincing argument for this total to go either way. So why is this total going to fly over the number? The Lightning will be out to atone for their lacklustre 4-1 loss last time out (it's interesting to note as well that the Bolts have seen the total go over in eight of their last 11 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which they were held to one or less goals in), and they'll absolutely want to avoid this series going to a decisive Game 7. The Panthers somehow managed to stifle this potent Lightning offense last time out, but they'll have to match pace with the home side here to once again avoid elimination. This isn't going to be a "chess match," it's going to be a "shoot-out" until the end. This one has over written all over it. Good luck...Larry |
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05-24-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 121 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
10* TOTAL WEEKLY WIPE-OUT WINNER on the OVER Wild/Knights. The Knights are on the brink of moving on after moving to 2-1 in this series. The Wild have to get something going on the offensive end after getting shutout in Game 4. The Wild are struggling defensively now as well, as goaltender Cam Talbot has struggled mightily over the last three games. The Knights finished the regular season ranked third in goals per game, and fourth in shots per game. Yes, Vegas was also the No. 1 defense in the league, but a small letdown does seem imminent against a Wild team that it has its back against the wall, and which has seen the total fly over the posted number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a shutout loss vs. an opponent. The stage is finally set for some offensive fireworks. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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05-23-21 | Bruins v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
10* TOTAL LAS VEGAS INSIDER on the OVER Bruins/Capitals. The last two games of this series have gone under the number, with Boston winning both. The Capitals return home with their backs against the wall, in need of a victory. Will that happen? Perhaps, but whether the Capitals can push this series another game or not, I absolutely expect more of a wide-open game, a pace which I see leading to plenty of pucks finding the back of the net. Washington has seen the total fly over the number in eight of its last 11 after three or more straight losses. The Capitals defense is crumbling around them, as they've conceded 11 goals over the last three games. Washington will be forced to have its defenseman join the attack today as well, which will leave it more vulnerable than ever on the back end to this opportunistic Bruins' offense. Situationally and also from a trend-based stand-point, this one has over written all over it. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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05-22-21 | Penguins v. Islanders -106 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 45 m | Show |
10* PERFECT STORM on the Islanders. These teams sport almost identical defensive numbers, as Pittsburgh allows 2.77 GPG, while New York concedes 2.23. Pittsburgh is ranked 14th defensively, while the Isles are ranked second. The Penguins though have the advantage on the offensive end, as they average 3.45 GPG, while the Islanders average 2.7. Down 2-1 in this series though, I like New York to rally here and even up this series. So far Pittsburgh has the upper-hand in this battle, but the Isles have responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed five or more goals in. I say the Sid The Kid and the Penguins finally have a letdown here, as I expect the Isles to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to avoid the 1-3 hole. The play is the Islanders. Good luck...Larry |
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05-20-21 | Penguins v. Islanders -107 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
10* PERFECT STORM on the Islanders. These teams are evenly matched. The Isles won 4-3 in OT in Game 1, and then Pittsburgh bounced back with a tight 2-1 win in Game 2. The Isles accomplished what they set out to do though, and that was earn a valuable "split" over the first two games. Now they have the advantage moving forward here, and I expect them to make the most of it. Don't think home ice matters? I'd say, guess again! The Penguins are 23-4-1-2 at home this year, but just a mediocre 15-12-1 on the road. The Islanders are only 12-14-3-1 on the road, but 21-4-1-2 at home. That Game 1 OT victory is clearly a big one for the Isles. Now Pittsburgh has to face one of the best home teams in all of the NHL. Statistically, Pittsburgh has the superior offense, but the Islanders are definitely better on the defensive end. The cast of characters, the strengths and weaknesses of each side are well known. The oddsmakers aren't giving the Islanders enough respect in their own building with this line though, and I'm ready to make them pay. The great value play here in Game 3 is on the Islanders. Good luck...Larry |
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05-19-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 157 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
10* PUCK-LINE PERFECT STORM on the Hurricanes. Nashville threw its best shot at Carolina in Game 1 and it still got crushed 5-2. I expect a similar final discrepany in score here as well. Nashville got to this point with its tough defensive play, as it entered the playoffs allowing 2.7 GPG. The Predators only average 2.7 GPG, and I believe they're going to once again struggle to find any momentum here vs. this Canes team which concedes just 2.3 GPG. Carolina is equally adept on the other end of the ice though, averaging 3.1 goals per game. It's also very interesting to note that the Predators are now a poor 3-7 in thier last ten as an underdog, while the Hurricanes are 6-1 in their last seven after scoring four or more goals in their previous outing. Carolina not only wins, it wins BIG. Lay the 1.5 goals for healthy return! Good luck...Larry |
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05-18-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
10* FIRST ROUND TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Wild/Knights. Two of the best defensive clubs in the league skated to a low-scoring 1-0 extra-periods decision in Game 1, but I believe Game 2 will be much more wide-open and ultimately higher-scoring. It takes a lot of energy to constantly back check and block pucks and after that defensive affair for the ages, I think we'll see a completely different flow to Game 2. Note that Vegas has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last eight after getting shutout in its previous contest. Minnesota has seen the total soar over the number in six of its last eight after a shutout victory in which it scored two or less goals in. Look for the offenses to be a step ahead in this one. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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05-17-21 | Blues v. Avalanche -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
10* PUCKKLINE GAME OF THE WEEK on the Avalanche. Colorado steamrolled its way into the playoffs, finishing as the President Cup Trophy winner. I don't only expect to see Colorado win this game, but I expect it to win handily. The margin of error is slim for St. Louis. In all honesty, I just can't see where its offense is going to come from. It only averages 2.9 GPG. It concedes 2.9 as well. As I said, clearly St. Louis is living on the edge most nights. Colorado on the other hand averages a whopping 3.5 GPG, while allowing only 2.30. For arguments sake, let's call the goaltending units a "wash" in this series. Colorado still has such huge advantages, that I'd almost consider laying -2.5 goals in this opening game. But we're not doing that. I'm going to play the -1.5 puck line here as I look for the Avs to send an early message to the Blues, and to the rest of the league that they're the team to beat. Lay the 1.5 goals on the Avs. Good luck...Larry |
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05-16-21 | Lightning -120 v. Panthers | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Lightning. Florida won five of the eight regular season games. The Lightning are back to defend their title. 16 different players have 12 or more points for the Bolts, led by Brayden Point with 48 points. Andrei Vasilevskiy has a 31-10-1 record with a 2.21 GAA. Offense and defense were a strength of Florida's as well. However, the Panthers struggled down the stretch of the season, conceding three or more goals in seven out of their last nine games. Experience counts at this time of year. Look for Tampa to send an early message with a convincing victory. Good luck...Larry |
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05-15-21 | Bruins -125 v. Capitals | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -125 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
10* NHL LAS VEGAS INSIDER (FIRST PLAY OF YEAR!) Larry didn't play the NHL regular season, but he's ready to get "back on the ice" now that the Playoffs are here, as after 35 years as one of the top professional handicappers, Ness is widely regarded as a "Playoff Guru!" Don't dare miss this exciting play! 10* LAS VEGAS INSIDER on the Bruins. As you may have read in the promo for this pick, I haven't actually played any NHL this season, but now that the playoffs are here, I'm ready to get into the game! For this opening game of this series and the playoffs, I believe that "recent form," especially on the defensive end, will prove to be the difference maker. Both teams can score, and both can defend. Washington averages 3.36 GPG, and it concedes 2.88, while Boston averages 2.93 GPG, while allowing 2.39. But as I said, for me this one is simple. Timing and chemistry are key entering the playoffs, and Boston is playing the better hockey right now. Note that Washington has scored four or more goals in four of its last nine games, but it's also conceded three goals or more in five of its last nine. Boston has scored three or more goals in eight of its last nine, while allowing two goals or less in eight of its last ten. Look for the Bruins to carry over their end of season surge into this opening series contest. The play is Boston. Good luck...Larry |
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02-15-21 | Jets v. Oilers -134 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -134 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Edm Oilers at 9:00 ET. Toronto leads the North Division with 23 points, as the Maple Leafs' point total is alo tops in the NHL. Montreal's 20 points is good for second in the North (All-Canadian division), with Edmonton (18) and Winnipeg (17) checking in right behind the Canadiens. The Oilers welcome the Jets to Edmonton having gone 6-1-0 over their last seven games, while the Jets are 4-4-1 since a 4-1 start. Connor Hellebuyck will likely be back in net for Winnipeg on Monday, as he has started 11 of the Jets' 14 games (6-4-1) with a 2.36 GAA and .921 SP this season. Ehlers leads the Jets within nine goals (16 points) but Schifele tops the team with 18 points. Over on the Edmonton side, McDavid (9 G / 19 A / 28 points) and Draisaitl ( 8 G / 18 A / 26 points) are not only 1-2 in scoring for Edmonton but also own the top-two point totals in the entire NHL. Edmonton has limited opponents to just three goals over the last three games, with goalie Mike Smith making 38 saves in a 3-0 road shutout of the Montreal Canadiens on Thursday. Smith is expected to start Monday, as his return from injury has brought an immediate boost to Edmonton's goaltending. Smith has allowed just one goal on 66 shots faced (.985 save percentage) in his two starts this season (both wins). In comparison, Koskinen is just 6-7-0 (3.43 GAA / .895 SP). The return of Smith plus the 'firepower' of McDavid and Draisaitl make the Oilers the play in this one. Good luck...Larry |
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02-05-21 | Bruins v. Flyers +117 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Month is on the Phi Flyers at 7:05 ET. The Toronto Maple Leafs' 17 points lead all NHL teams but just ONE point behind the Leafs are the Boston Bruins and Philadelphia Flyers with 16 points. However, the two East Division rivals have already met three times this season with the Bruins winning all THREE! Philadelphia couldn't hold a two-goal lead and fell 4-3 in overtime to the Bruins on Wednesday and sure should be focused on snapping that current frustrating trend against Boston. The Flyers committed four penalties, including an interference call on Scott Laughton that allowed Patrice Bergeron to score the game-winning power-play goal in overtime. The Bruins converted those four power plays into THREE goals. David Pastrnak had a hat trick, showing no ill effects of offseason hip surgery (five goals and two assists in three games back). His linemates have been red-hot all season. Bergeron has 15 points (six goals / nine assists) and Marchand has 14 points (six goals / eight assists). Philly captain Claude Giroux (10 points, including NINE assists) played in his 900th career game Wednesday to become the third Flyer in franchise history to accomplish the feat along with Bill Barber and Bobby Clarke. However, Philly's "Big Three" consists of forwards van Riemsdyk (5 G / 9 A / 14 points), Voracek (3 G / 8 A / 11 points) and Hayes (6 G / 5 A / 11 points). Backup goalie Elliott has started three games and won all three (1.95 GAA & .941 SP) but Hart (3-2-1 / 3.61 GAA / .896 SP) has started all three vs Boston, allowing 14 goals. I'm not running (coaching) the Flyers but doesn't Elliott HAVE to get the start tonight? I'm "all in" on the Flyers Good luck...Larry |
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01-28-21 | Islanders -132 v. Capitals | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -132 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Month is on the NY Islanders at 7:05 ET. The Washington Capitals are 4-0-3 and their 11 points are tied with Vegas for the second-most in the league, ONE point behind the 6-2-0 Toronto Maple Leafs (12 points). The Caps beat the NY Islanders 3-2 Tuesday night and will go for a second straight victory when they again host New York on Thursday evening. The Islanders scored twice in a row and held a 2-1 lead in the second period before Washington notched the game's two final goals for a big comeback win. Justin Schultz ripped a shot past Semyon Varlamov with 26.4 seconds left for the game-winner. The Isles opened the season 3-1 but have now lost two straight of what will be a five-game road trip (New York plays at Philly on Saturday and Sunday). Center Mathew Barzal led the team in scoring last season (60 points in 68 games) and has three goals and three assists after six games to lead the team once again. Schultz's game-winner handed Semyon Varlamov his first loss this season. He entered the game with a 3-0 record and an 0.33 GAA. Now, he's 3-1 with a 1.00 GAA and .966 SP. Speaking of goaltenders, Washington's lya Samsonov remains on the COVID-19 protocol list. Rookie Vitek Vanecek continues to play well in place of Samsonov (3-0-2 with a 2.70 GAA and a .918 SP. Washington forward Nicklas Backstrom (four goals / four assists) left Tuesday's game late in the third period and did not return. Backstrom is not expected to play tonight plus Washington played Tuesday's game without Alex Ovechkin, Evgeny Kuznetsov, Dmitry Orlov and goalie Ilya Samsonov, all of whom remain on the COVID-19 protocol list. Washington has now recorded a point in its first seven games and that's just the second time Washington has done that. The 2011-12 season was the other, when the Caps opened that campaign with a 7-0-0 start. I see this a great spot for the Islanders, on the strength of Varlamov's OUTSTANDING play, to hand he Caps their first loss of the season! Good luck...Larry |
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01-15-21 | Penguins -103 v. Flyers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Pit Penguins at 7:05 ET. The Philadelphia Flyers opened their season with a 6-3 win over the visiting Pittsburgh Penguins, led by a four-point performance from Joel Farabee (one goal and three assists). It was their first season-opening win at home since 2003. The Penguins and Flyers took Thursday off but return to the ice tonight, again in Philadelphia. The Flyers lost to the Islanders in seven games in the Eastern Conference semifinals last season, while Penguins lost early in the playoffs' qualifying round 3-1 to the Canadians. The Penguins played well for stretches on Wednesday but after they tied the game at 3-3, the Flyers finished strong with THREE unanswered goals for the win. The Flyers scored twice on the power play, which was "good news" for head coach Alain Vigneault. Philadelphia was just 4 for 52 on the power play in last year's postseason, including 0 for 13 against the Islanders. While the scoreboard showed a three-goal loss, Pittsburgh head coach Mike Sullivan said, "I thought there was a lot to like about our game. "I don't think the score of the game was an indication of how it was played." Sidney Crosby scored once (he has scored 44 career goals against the Flyers, more than any other team). Free agent addition Mark Jankowski had a goal and an assist, contributing the entire game on both ends of the ice! Teams playing two games in one city in back-to-back nights, or two games in three nights like this, will be common in this shortened 56-game season. EVERY game will be vital with the divisions realigned and I'm "all over" the Penguins to come back with a winning performance on Friday! Good luck...Larry |
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09-19-20 | Stars v. Lightning -145 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -145 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Year is on the TB Lightning at 7:35 ET. The Dallas Stars and Tampa Bay Lightning meet in the 2020 Stanley Cup Final, with Game 1 set for Saturday night in Edmonton. Dallas is in its first Finals since 2000, the year after the Stars won the franchise's lone Stanley Cup (1998-99 season). Tampa Bay returns to the Finals for the first time since 2015 and like Dallas, the Lightning own just one title in franchise history (2003-04 season). Tampa Bay being here is hardly a surprise, as the Lightning went 62-16-4 (128 points) in the 2018-19 season, tying the record for most wins in a single season in NHL history. However, the Lightning then got swept in four games by Columbus in the first round of the Stanley Cup playoffs. Tampa Bay had a very good regular season and this year's playoff run has been billed as the team's "Redemption Tour." The 'story' behind the Stars' run to the Stanley Cup Final is more of a 'Cinderella' one. Dallas had lost SIX straight prior to the March shutdown and then went 1-2 in the round robin seeding round, losing 5-3 to Vegas and 4-0 to Colorado, before winning a 2-1 shootout against St Louis. The Stars were then seconds away from falling behind 3-1 lead in Game 4 of their best-of-seven series with the Flames. However, the Stars scored at 19:48 of the third period and then won 5-4 in OT. Dallas won Games 5 and 6 to take the series. However, the Star then found themselves up 3-1 vs Colorado in the next round but got extended to a Game 7. Dallas trailed 4-3 in Game 7 but tied it with 3 1/2 minutes left, then won in OT. Then came the Western Conference finals against favored Vegas, where despite being outshot and outplayed by wide margins throughout the series, the Stars won it in just FIVE games (4-1). No. 1 goaltender Ben Bishop was injured early in the postseason and has started just three games (1-2, 5.43 GAA and .844 SP). To the rescue has been Anton Khudobin. He's played in 19 games (18 starts) this postseason, going 12-6 with a 2.62 GAA and .920 SP. Against Vegas, he 'carried' the team on his back. He stopped 153 of 161 shots for a .950 save percentage in the five games, including stopping 104 of 109 shots (.954 SP) as the Stars closed out the Golden Knights by winning THREE in a row after a 3-0 Game 2 loss. Speaking of goalies, Tampa Bay's Andrei Vasilevskiy has started all 19 games for the Lightning since the Aug 1 restart, going 14-5 with a 1.82 GAA and .931 SP. His GAA in the regular season (that's an improvement of 0.74!) and his SP was .917, After the Islanders won Game 3 by the score of 5-3 (when they down 0-2 in the series), Vasilevskiy stopped 74 of 78 shots (.949 SP!) as the Lightning won game 4 (4-1), lost Game 5 (2-1 in 2OTs) and then closed out New York with a 2-1 OT win in Game 6. Tampa Bay defeated the Columbus Blue Jackets (revenge for that 4-0 sweep last postseason) and Boston Bruins in five games (Boston's 100 points were an NHL-best this season, before beating the New York Islanders in six games in the Eastern Conference final. Tampa's high-octane attack was too much for the defense-first Islanders. Clearly, Dallas' play in the postseason has Tampa Bay's full attention but if that was not enough, the Lightning can't possibly forget Dallas won both regular-season meetings against Tampa Bay (each one went into OT!). NO overtime needed here, as the Lightning take a 1-0 lead with a comfortable win. It's my GAME of the YEAR! Good luck...Larry |
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09-14-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights -168 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -168 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on Vegas Golden Knights at 8:00 ET. Full, detailed analysis by 9:00 ET Monday morning. |
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09-08-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights -160 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on Vegas Golden Knights at 8:10 ET. Full, detailed analysis by 9:00 ET Tuesday morning. |
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09-05-20 | Islanders -125 v. Flyers | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* LEGEND Play is on the NY Islanders at 7:30 ET. There is something special about a Game 7, a winner-take-all situation that players in all sports have been dreaming about since they were kids! The New York Islanders took a 3-1 lead in their series against the Philadelphia Flyers when Jean-Gabriel Pageau (a trade deadline addition) scored the tie-breaking goal in the third period of a 3-2 win on Sunday night. The Islanders entered the NHL's 24-team expanded playoff as the Eastern Conference's seventh seed and advanced past the 10th-seeded Florida Panthers 3-1 in the qualifying round. They then KO'D the Metropolitan Division champion Capitals 4-1. When the Isles took the ice on Tuesday against the Philadelphia Flyers, they were ONE win away from reaching the conference finals for the first time since 1993! However, the Flyers have extended this series in a Game 7 with a 4-3 OT win on Tuesday and then a 5-4 2-OT win on Thursday. The Flyers went with Brian Elliott in goal last Sunday when they fell behind 3-1 in the series but head coach Alain Vigneault put the second-year pro Carter Hart back in goal for Game 5. Hart stopped 29 of 32 shots in that 4-3 OT win, making some spectacular saves in overtime. He then made a career-high 49 saves (on 53 shots) in Thursday's double-OT win. That's 78 saves on 85 shots these last two games, as Hart is now 9-4 with a 2.17 GAA and a .929 SP in 13 games since the restart (Aug 1). New York head coach Barry Trotz used both Varlamov and Greiss during the regular season but it's been almost ALL Varlamov in Toronto. He's been excellent (2.00 GAA and .921 SP) but the last two games, he's HARDLY been at his best. He had a SP of just .875 (28 of 32) in Game 5 and only .839 (26 of 31) in Game 5. Could Trotz turn to Greiss, who in two games since the restart, owns a .1.68 GAA and .949 (?). Trotz said after Game 6, "This is a very good hockey team that we're playing. We're pretty evenly matched. It's probably fitting that it is a Game 7." Hard to argue with that . Philly head coach Alain Vigneault has directed comebacks from down 3-1, before. He guided the New York Rangers back from a 3-1 deficit to defeat the Penguins in the 2014 second round and his Rangers did it again in 2015, when a 3-1 deficit didn't stop New York from beating the Washington Capitals in the second round. Is a THIRD comeback from down 3-1 in the cards? Here's the rub. Teams don't often come back from 3-1 deficits to win but teams that forced a Game 7 after being down 3-1 were 29-28 in the decisive game entering Friday's two Game 7s. However, NEITHER Colorado nor Vancouver were able to win their Game 7s last night and my bet says the Flyers will suffer a similar fate tonight The Islanders certainly would have taken a Game 7 opportunity when the regular season ended due to the pandemic on Mar. 12, as they were mired in a seven-game losing streak and one point out of the last playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. The team's STRONG late-summer run has them on the doorstep of the franchise's first trip to the conference finals in 27. Whether it's Varlamov or Greiss in net, the Islanders 'knock that door down' in this Game 7. One last thing. All three of Philly's wins in this series have come in OT and the Isles are 10-5 in the playoffs, with all FIVE losses coming by just ONE goal. Good luck...Larry |
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09-01-20 | Islanders v. Flyers +108 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 108 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on Phi Flyers at 7:00 ET. The New York Islanders took a 3-1 lead in their series against the Philadelphia Flyers when Jean-Gabriel Pageau (a trade deadline addition) scored the tie-breaking goal in the third period of a 3-2 win on Sunday night. The Islanders entered the NHL's 24-team expanded playoff as the Eastern Conference's seventh seed and advanced past the 10th-seeded Florida Panthers 3-1 in the qualifying round. They the KO'D the Metropolitan Division champion Capitals 4-1. Now, the Isles are ONE win away from reaching the conference finals for the first time since 1993! The Flyers had 89 points in the regular season (NYI had 80) but went 3-0 in the seeding round, giving them the East's No. 1 seed. Philly got past Montreal 4-2 but now find themselves in a position in which they must win THREE in a row vs the red-hot Islanders to 'stay alive.' History says three straight wins are unlikely, as teams trailing 3-1 are 29-284 (9.3 percent) in winning a best-of-7 Stanley Cup Playoff series, including 0-6 in the first round this season! However, while coming back to win this series is CLEARLY a longshot, winning Game 5 is NOT! The Flyers went with Brian Elliott in goal on Sunday and he allowed three goals on 30 shots (.909). I'd be really surprised if Philadelphia head coach Alain Vigneault didn't turn back to Carter Hart in goal. The second-year pro went 24-13-3 (2.42 GAA & .914) in the regular season and improved on those numbers since the Aug 1 restart, allowing 2.08 GAA with a .931 SP in 11 games (7-4-0). Getting back to Alain Vigneault, he has directed comebacks from down 3-1, before. He guided the New York Rangers back from a 3-1 deficit to defeat the Penguins in the 2014 second round and his Rangers did it again in 2015, when a 3-1 deficit didn't stop New York from beating the Washington Capitals in the second round. Is a THIRD comeback from down 3-1 in the cards? That may be a 'bridge too far' but a Game 5 win is my bet. Good luck...Larry |
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08-29-20 | Lightning v. Bruins +102 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* Afternoon Delight is on the Bos Bruins at 12:00 ET. Full, detailed analysis by 8:00 ET Saturday morning. |
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08-25-20 | Bruins v. Lightning -104 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Month is on the TB Lightning at 7:00 ET. Full, detailed analysis by 9:00 ET Tuesday morning. |
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08-20-20 | Stars v. Flames +116 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Cal Flames at 10:30 ET. The Calgary Flames were the West's top team last year, finishing with 107 points. They met the eighth-seeded Avalanche in the first round and after winning Game 1 (4-0), lost FOUR straight. The Flames have been nowhere near as good this season, going 36-34-7 (79 points) before the shutdown. Calgary won its qualifying series 3-1 over Winnipeg, advancing to play the Dallas Stars in the first round (Stars were 37-32-8, 82 points before the shutdown). Calgary took two of the first three games in this best-of-seven series but then... The Flames were seconds away from taking a commanding 3-1 lead in the best-of-seven series in Game 4, before surrendering a late, game-tying goal (Stars scored at 19:48 of the third period) and then falling in overtime. The Stars then edged the Flames 2-1 in Game 5 and now Calgary needs to win Game 6, or its season is over. Dallas head coach Rick Bowness is well aware of his team's challenge. "The toughest game to win is that knockout win, that fourth win," he said after Game 5. "That's the best game they've played against us this series, so give them credit. We're going to see that kind of game for 60 minutes on Thursday." The Stars' No. 1 goalie (Ben Bishop) remains out and Anton Khudobon (3-3, 2.41 GAA & .917 in six games of the restart) will again be in net. However, I'm backing the Flames behind Cam Talbot (2.19 GAA & .934 SP during the restart) in this "win or go home" game. See you in Game 7. Good luck...Larry |
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08-19-20 | Canucks +126 v. Blues | Top | 4-3 | Win | 126 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* Tie-Breaker is on the Van Canucks at 10:30 ET. The Vancouver Canucks and St. Louis Blues play Game 5 on Wednesday night in Edmonton. The Canucks won the first two games of the series 5-2 and 4-3 (OT), then the Blues won the next two, 3-2 (OT) and 3-1 to even it up. The Blues' wins came on back-to-back nights (Sun & Mon) and featured St Louis head coach Craig Berube starting backup goaltender Jake Allen in both games. 2019 postseason hero Jordan Binnington had gone 0-4 in this postseason with a 4.27 GAA & a .862 SP but Allen has stopped 61 of 64 shots (.953 SP) in the Blues' two wins. Could there be ANY reason for Berube to turn back to Binnington? I have to assume it will be Allen in net, again. Speaking of goaltenders, Vancouver's Jacob Markstrom has been steady, going 5-3 with a 2.42 GAA and a .927 SP. Vancouver winger J.T. Miller said after Monday night's game, "We played a hard back-to-back against the Stanley Cup champs. It's a best-of-seven series for a reason, and we knew it was a tall task. We were one shot away from going up 3-0 (Sunday) and tonight it was 1-1 five-on-five. It's not like we're getting our butts whipped up and down the rink.' I had a HUGE play on StL in Game 3 on Sunday, as the defending champs had their backs to a wall. It's a little different here and after an "off day," I expect the Canucks to bounce back. Center Bo Horvat has been shut out in the past two games after scoring four goals in Games 1 and 2, so look for him to make an impact in this one. Also, defenseman Quinn Hughes has been an excellent contributor so far, but had his six-game point streak (one goal, eight assists) stopped Monday. I'm "all over" the underdog Canucks here, as they go up 3-2 and place the Blues' backs up against the wall again in Game 6. Good luck...Larry |
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08-18-20 | Capitals +105 v. Islanders | Top | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Was Capitals at 8:00 ET. The Washington Capitals were best-known for their postseason failures (collapses) but that all changed in 2018. The Caps lost the first two games of their first round playoff series against Columbus in April of 2018. but then won the next four games. From there, Washington went on to capture the franchise's first-ever Stanley Cup. However, in the 2019 postseason, Washington was back to its "old tricks." The Caps won their first two games at home against Carolina but would then lose FOUR of the last five, getting eliminated at home in Game 7 with a 4-3 double-OT loss. Here we are in the 2020 postseason and the Caps are again on the verge of yet another early playoff exit. The NY Islanders went 35-33-10 (80 points) in the COVID-19 shortened regular season, 10 points less than the Capitals (41-28-8, 90 points). The Islanders beat the Florida Panthers in four games in a qualifying-round series and are now up 3-0 against the Caps (6-1 in the East's Toronto hub). The Islanders took a 2-0 lead in the best-of-seven series Friday night when they scored THREE goals in a span of 3:58 in the second period before adding two goals late in the third in a 5-2 victory. They then won 2-1 on Sunday when Mathew Barzal beat Braden Holtby with a backhand 4:18 into OT. That puts the 2018 Stanley Cup champions on the brink of another early exit. Goaltender Holtby has NOT be the problem for Washington (2.64 GAA / .907 SP), rather it's been a non-existent offense. Washington's scored just FIVE goals in this series and netted just FIVE goals in their round round play (1-2). Ovechkin tied Pastrnak with a league-best 48 goals in the regular season but in six games in Toronto, he scored just two goals (both in Friday's 5-2 loss). Oshie leads the team with a modest three goals but TWO came in Game 1 of this series (4-2 loss). Defensenan Carlson (team leading 75 during the regular season) missed the Caps' first three games but has yet to score a goal in this series (does have four assists). New York saw Varlamov play 45 games in the regular season, while Greiss made 31 starts. However, it's been "all Varlamov" here in Toronto and he's been brilliant (6-1, 1.71 GAA and .932 SP). The bottom line is, 188 of the 192 NHL teams to take a 3-0 lead in a best-of-seven series have gone on to win those series. Washington has been outshot 75-53 in 5-on-5 play in the series plus the Islanders have dominated play in the third period (and OT) in all three games. New York has outscored Washington 6-0 after the second period and limited the Capitals to just six shots in the third period and overtime on Sunday. Sweep? "There's no tougher game than a game to clinch a series, and it's going to be no different in Game 4 here," said Islanders captain Anders Lee. "It's going to be a tough, tough game. We played a good one tonight, and we were able to come out on top, but we've still got a lot of work to do to make this thing right." Washington's Ovechkin added, It's a hard situation, but it's not over yet. For us right now, it's nothing to lose, right? So we just have to go out there and play. Don't think about the score in the series. We're going to take it game by game. We have experience. A (few) teams did it and we believe in ourselves." As the Monkees once sang, "I'm a Believer" in Washington for at least tonight! Good luck...Larry |
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08-16-20 | Blues -133 v. Canucks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* LEGEND Play is on the StL Blues at 10:30 ET. The St Louis Blues were the 'toast' of the NHL in 2019, winning the franchise's first-ever Stanley Cup. The emergence of Jordan Binnington led to an amazing in-season turnaround, as the rookie would go 24-5-1 (1.89 GAA & .927 SP) after taking over as the team's No. 1 goaltender. He then helped lead the Blues to the title by playing all 26 games, going 16-10, 2.46 GAA & .914 (note: he and the Blues would go 10-3 on the road!). St Louis had the West's best record (42-29-10, 94 points) when COVID-19 shut things down in mid-March but the Blues lost all three of their round robin games, then opened their first round series with the Canucks by losing 5-2 and 4-3 in OT. Vancouver was just 36-33-6 in the regular season (78 pints were 16 less than that of St Louis) but the Canucks have won FIVE straight games since losing Game 1 to the Minnesota Wild in the best-of-five qualifiers. Canucks center Bo Horvat has a league-high SIX goals in the postseason, including four goals in the first two games against St. Louis, including the game-winner Friday on a breakaway at 5:55 of overtime. Goaltender Jacob Markstrom has been in net for all six of Vancouver's games so far and has won FIVE straight after 3-0 in the Canucks first game. He owns a 2.31 GAA and .926 SP. Binnington has allowed nine goals on 47 shots in two games against Vancouver, including four on 25 shots in Game 2. He's 0-4 with a 4.27 goals-against average and .862 save percentage in the playoffs. Blues head coach Craig Berube was noncommittal when asked if he would start Jake Allen in net on Sunday night. Allen has played one game in the postseason, stopping 37 of 38 shots in a 2-1 shootout loss to Dallas. I'm not about to say I know who Berube will start but either way, this game belongs to the defending champs! Good luck...Larry |
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08-14-20 | Islanders v. Capitals -118 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* Playoff Bounce-Back is on the Was Capitals at 8:08 ET. The Washington Capitals built a two-goal lead in their Game 1 series with the NY Islanders but the Islanders scored FOUR unanswered goals in a span of just under 13 minutes bridging the second and third periods. The Isles won 4-2 and Game 2 goes Friday night. The Caps' lead was built on a pair of power-play goals in the second period by T.J. Oshie but Washington was outplayed for most of the game, ending with just 14 even-strength shots on goal against New York, while losing 11 faceoffs following an icing. The Islanders have been in the playoffs just FOUR times in the previous 12 seasons, while the Caps have been there 11 times in that same span. In NINE of those 11 playoff seasons, the Caps entered after winning their division (that's the case again, this year). However, Washington has been best-known for its playoff failures, before winning the Cup in 2018. Then again, the Caps followed winning the franchise's first-ever Stanley Cup, by losing in last year's first round (Washington went up 2-0 on Carolina, only to lose the series in Game 7 at home!). The Capitals will be without Nicklas Backstrom (54 points, including 42 assists before the stoppage of play), who is in the concussion protocol after a Game 1 hit by Anders Lee; a hit that was called "predatory" by Washington head coach Todd Reirden. The good news is that center Lars Eller is back for Washington, following the birth of his son and having quarantined for four days at the hotel. Simply put, the Caps have way more 'firepower' than the Isles, with defensemen Carlson leading the team with 75 points (60 assists) and Ovechkin's 48 goals tops among four Washington players with 20-plus goals. In contrast, the Isles' leading goal scorer is Nelson (26) and New York has only one other player with as many as 20 (Lee, who has exactly 20). To be sure, Backstrom is a big loss but the Capitals did win three of four games they played without their top center en route to winning the Stanley Cup in 2018. I'm NOT sure I trust the Caps for the entire series but I do see "BOUNCE-BACK written all over this game" for them. Good luck...Larry |
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08-12-20 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -131 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Bos Bruins at 11:00 ET Wednesday morning. The NHL was shut down in March but returned to play with a unique postseason set-up that featured best-of-five qualifying series for 16 teams and a round robin of seeding games between the NHL's top-4 teams in each conference. The Eastern Conference would play in Toronto, while the West competes in Edmonton. The Boston Bruins' 100 points were the most of any NHL team prior to the stoppage of play but Boston 'laid an egg' in its tune-up for the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs, going 0-3 in round robin play. Therefore, the team with the best record in the conference during the regular season gets the No. 4 seed in the East. In stark contrast to Boston, Carolina made it a 3-0 sweep of the NY Rangers in its qualifying series. The Hurricanes entered the postseason as the sixth seed in the Eastern Conference but moved up a spot when the Pittsburgh Penguins were eliminated. The Carolina-Boston matchup is a rematch of the 2019 Eastern Conference finals, which the Bruins swept in four games. Carolina's top goal scorers in the regular season, Aho (38) and Svechnikov (24) each contributed three goals in the sweep of the Rangers, with Aho adding five assists for a team-high eight points. Petr Mrazek was in goal for the first two games against the Rangers (2-0, 1.50 GAA & .940 SP), before James Reimer was called upon for Game 3 (1-0, 1.00 GAA & .974 SP). Which goalie will get the nod tonight? "Players trust both guys," head coach Rod Brind'Amour said. "... We're right either way we go, that's how we feel. For us, we have two good options." Boston top-line of Pastrnak (48 goals & 95 points), Marchand (28 goals & 87 points) and Bergeron (31 goals & 56 points) were non-factors while the Bruins went 0-3 (zero goals and one assist, combined. No. 1 goalie Tukka Rask did not play in Boston's first game but did play the next two. Boston lost both games but it wasn;t Rask's fault (2,55 GAA & .917 SP). There are some questions as to Pastrnak and Bergeron's health but both are expected to play. That said, I'm really counting on Rask to be the key. He led all goalies this regular season with a 2.12 GAA and his SP of .929 ranked second. He led the Bruins into the Stanley Cup Finals in both 2013 and 2019 (fell short of the title both times) but isn't it about time for the "real" Bruins team to show up. That's my bet! Good luck...Larry |
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08-07-20 | Canucks v. Wild -114 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -114 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
My 9* play is on the Min Wild at 10:45 ET. Vancouver lost 3-0 in the opener of its best-of-five qualifying series with 10th-seeded Minnesota but the seventh-seeded Canucks have bounced back to win two in a row. Vancouver won Game 2 last Tuesday 4-3 and then grabbed the series lead with a 3-0 victory on Thursday afternoon in Game 3, 'returning the favor' for Minnesota's 3-0 win in Game 1. Vancouver goalie Jacob Markstrom earned his first career playoff shutout with 27 saves and the Canucks 'killed off' SEVEN power plays! Markstrom has stopped 87 of the 92 shots this series, giving him a .946 save percentage. Minnesota's Alex Stalock has held his own in goal, owning a 2.36 GAA and .918 SP. The Wild HAVE to be frustrated by the fact than the Canucks were able to block 14 shots, as Markstrom had to face only 27 shots on goal. "Unbelievable," Markstrom said. "You hear it on the bench every time someone blocked a shot. Every time somebody blocked a shot, everyone is pounding their stick, hitting the boards. It gets everybody fired up." This is a quick turnaround and I'm expecting the Wild to finally break through. The Wild are 0-for-13 on the power play over the last two games (both losses), including 0-for-7 on Thursday. "Desperate hockey," Minnesota forward Marcus Foligno said. "I think we're a good team when we play desperate, so we should bring out the best hockey that we've played all year tomorrow. There's not one guy in (the locker room) that is thinking about going home." I'm with Foligno and my bet is that this series goes FIVE! Good luck...Larry |
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08-07-20 | Oilers -131 v. Blackhawks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -131 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the Edm Oilers at 6:45 ET Chicago entered the postseason as the 12th and final Western Conference playoff team after a 32-30-8 regular-season record, finishing NINE points behind fifth-seeded Edmonton. The Blackhawks beat the Oilers 6-4 in Game 1 and the final score was closer than the actual game. Chicago outshot Edmonton 42-29 for the game and outscored the Oilers 3-0 in even-strength play. The Oilers scored twice in the final four minutes to make the score respectable. Edmonton bounced back with a 6-3 Game 2 win, highlighted by Connor McDavid's first-ever playoff hat trick. Chicago then grabbed a 2-1 series lead on Wednesday with a dramatic comeback victory. The Blackhawks trailed by a goal late in the third period, but Matthew Highmore tied the score with 5:47 remaining and Jonathan Toews put Chicago on top with 1:16 to go. That sets the stage for Chicago to advance to the Western Conference quarterfinals with a win in Game 4 against Edmonton. Chicago goaltender Corey Crawford has started all three games so far, but only owns a 4.33 GAA and an .859 save percentage during the series. Edmonton started Mike Smith in goal for Game 1 but after he allowed five goals on 23 shots, he was pulled from the game. Mikko Koskinen stopped 18 of 19 shots in relief of Smith, allowing only a power-play goal from Kubalik. Game 1 marked the first playoff appearance of Koskinen's NHL career and he's played the bulk of the minutes this series. Koskinen is 1-1-0 with a 3.21 GAA and an .886 save percentage. The Blackhawks have won three Stanley Cup titles since 2010 but this edition in NO WAY resembles those teams (2010, 2013 & 2015). The Oilers have something of a unique home-ice advantage since all Western Conference playoff games (and the Stanley Cup Final) are being played in Edmonton but then again, there are NO fans plus the Oilers are staying within the same "bubble" environment as every other team throughout the postseason. That said, I still believe Edmonton has an edge playing in its home arena. The Oilers "let one slip away" in Game 3 but can force a Game 5 with a win here. That's the bet! Good luck...Larry |
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08-05-20 | Avalanche v. Stars +123 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Dal Stars at 6:30 ET. The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars will both move on in the NHL playoffs but both still have plenty of motivation in tonight's game. Dallas may be a little more desperate, after blowing a two-goal lead against the Vegas Golden Knights on Monday in a 5-3 loss in its first game of the format. Now the Stars now face a Colorado team coming off a last-second win over the St. Louis Blues on Sunday. A loss here by the Stars and they can earn no better than the third seed in the West. The Stars led 3-1 entering the third period vs Vegas but the Golden Knights scored four unanswered goals in the final period. As for the Avs, Nazem Kadri scored a buzzer-beating power-play goal to give Colorado the win over the defending Stanley Cup champion St. Louis Blues on Sunday night. Kadri's shot crossed the goal line with 0.1 seconds on the clock. The NHL reviewed the play for several minutes before calling it a good goal. Dallas needs to forget about the loss to Vegas and the fact that the Stars dominated the Avalanche during the regular season, should help. Dallas won all four matchups vs Colorado. Ben Bishop should be in net for Dallas on Wednesday, as he played in three of the four wins against the Avalanche during the regular season, stopping 118 of 123 shots (.959 SP). Philipp Grubauer had 31 saves against the Blues but he might not be in goal against Dallas. Pavel Francouz was playing well after Grubauer was injured during Colorado's outdoor game against the Los Angeles Kings on Feb 15. Head coach Bednar typically waits to announce his starting goaltender but either way, Dallas grabs the much-needed win. Good luck...Larry |
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08-05-20 | Islanders v. Panthers +112 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 112 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
My 9* Daytime Dominator is on the Fla Panthers at 12:08 ET. The NY Islanders had 80 points when the regular season was stopped because of COVID-19 and the Florida Panthers had 78. However, the Islanders won all three meetings between the two teams and have now taken the first two contests of this best-of-five qualifying round series. New York won 2-1 in the first game and then 4-2 yesterday afternoon, as goalie Semyon Varlamov has stood tall in goal by allowing just three goals on 56 shots (.946 SP). The loss leaves the Panthers on the verge of losing their first-round matchup for the FIFTH straight time.Does this mean the series is over? I'm not ready to concede that it does. The three regular season meetings saw the Islanders win two, one-goal contests (one in a shootout) plus a 3-1 victory with the third goal being an empty netter. Florida goalie Segei Bobrovsky has long been a quality netminder in this league, twice winning the Vezina Trophy. He was a HUGE reason the Blue Jackets upset the Presidents' Trophy-winning Tampa Bay Lightning in a four-game sweep during the 2018-19 postseason. He signed a seven-year, $70 million contract with the Florida Panthers back in July of 2019. The Panthers haven't defeated the Islanders since a 4-2 win back on Nov 10, 2018 but as Rod Stewart would say, "Tonight's the Night!" In this case, 'Today's the Day," as the game starts around 12 noon ET. Good luck...Larry |
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08-04-20 | Hurricanes v. Rangers +130 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the NY Rangers at 8:08 ET. The Carolina Hurricanes have won the first two games of this best-of-five series with the NY Rangers and Tuesday night look to "close it out" at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Andrei Svechnikov's hat trick on Monday in Carolina's 4-1 victory was the first for the franchise in 144 all-time postseason games. "The games come fast and furious, but the guys love to play," said Carolina head coach Rod Brind'Amour. His counterpart, New York's David Quinn said of Svechnikov, "He's quickly emerging as one of the best players in this league." There was very little difference between Carolina's play (81 points) and New York's (79 points) in the regular season plus let me remind all right here that the Rangers won all FOUR meetings with Carolina (Rangers outscored the Hurricanes 17-9). The Rangers have a streak of 21 consecutive playoff series with at least one victory and my bet that steak WON'T end here! Good luck...Larry |
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08-03-20 | Blackhawks v. Oilers -130 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Edm Oilers at 10:38 ET. Chicago entered the postseason as the 12th and final Western Conference playoff team after a 32-30-8 regular-season record, finishing NINE points behind fifth-seeded Edmonton. The Oilers have something of a unique home-ice advantage since all Western Conference playoff games (and the Stanley Cup Final) are being played in Edmonton but then again, there are NO fans plus the Oilers are staying within the same "bubble" environment as every other team throughout the postseason. So much for any home-ice edge in Game 1 of this best-of-five series! The Blackhawks routed the Oilers 6-4 and I say routed because the Oilers scored twice in the final four minutes to make the score respectable. In between those last four minutes and Connor McDavid's opening score at 2:34 of the first period, Chicago DOMINATED play. The Blackhawks responded to McDavid's goal by building a 4-1 lead by the end of the opening period and led 6-2 entering the final period. Chicago outshot Edmonton 42-29 for the game and outscored the Oilers 3-0 in even-strength play. Dominik Kubalik paced the Chicago offense with two goals and three assists, becoming the first player in NHL history to register five points in his first career postseason game. Corey Crawford saved 25 of 29 shots in Game 1 and is expected to again serve as the Blackhawks' starting goalie on Tuesday. Edmonton started Mike Smith in goal and he allowed five goals on 23 shots before being pulled from the game. Mikko Koskinen stopped 18 of 19 shots in relief of Smith, allowing only a power-play goal from Kubalik. Game 1 marked the first playoff appearance of Koskinen's NHL career and while Edmonton's defensive breakdowns put Smith in some tough spots, it seems probable that the Oilers will go with Mikko Koskinen in net for Game 2. It's a "MUST-WIN" for Edmonton and while we all know must-win doesn't guarantee "will win," the Oilers ARE the better team, plus playing on home-ice CAN'T hurt. Bounce-back time here for Edmonton! Good luck...Larry |
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03-10-20 | Bruins -110 v. Flyers | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Bos Bruins at 7:08 ET.
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03-03-20 | Predators v. Wild -125 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* NHL Game of the Week is on the Min Wild at 8:08 ET.
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02-25-20 | Rangers v. Islanders -137 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -137 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the NY Islanders at 7:05 ET.
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02-18-20 | Kings v. Jets -155 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Win Jets at 8:08 ET.
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02-15-20 | Predators v. Blues -130 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* LEGEND Play is on the StL Blues at 3:00 ET.
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02-10-20 | Lightning -105 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the TB Lightning at 7:35 ET.
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02-04-20 | Stars v. Islanders -124 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Month (Super Bowl LIV) is on the KC Chiefs at 6:30 ET.
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01-14-20 | Bruins -139 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -139 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
My NHL 10* Game of the Day at 7:05 ET.
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01-13-20 | Hurricanes v. Capitals -130 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* Jan Game of the Month is on the Was Caps at 7:05 ET.
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01-07-20 | Coyotes v. Panthers -137 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -137 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Fla Panthers at 7;05 ET.
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01-04-20 | Jets v. Wild -138 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Min Wild at 2:05 ET.
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12-27-19 | Penguins v. Predators -125 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* NHL Game of the Week is on the Nas Predators at 8:05 ET.
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12-19-19 | Sabres v. Flyers -143 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* Dec Game of the Month is on the Phi Flyers at 7:05 ET.
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12-12-19 | Golden Knights v. Blues -108 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the StL Blues at 8:05 ET.
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11-27-19 | Flyers v. Blue Jackets -110 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Col Blue Jackets at 7:05 ET.
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11-15-19 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs -110 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Tor Maple Leafs at 7:05 ET. The Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs were expected to compete with Tampa Bay for supremacy in the Atlantic Division in the 2019-20 season. However, both teams are mired in losing streaks as they prepare to meet for the third time this season, when the Bruins visit the Maple Leafs on Friday night. 11-3-4 Boston visits Toronto on an 0-2-2 stretch, after a stunning 5-4 home defeat to Florida on Tuesday, giving up four unanswered goals in the third period before falling in a shootout. 9-7-4 Toronto suffered a pair of 5-4 losses on its recent two-game road trip to extend its slide to three in a row. The Maple Leafs will play the next SIX games away from home, following this Friday matchup. Boston's No. 1 line of David Pastrnak (16-15-31 points), Brad Marchand (11-19-30 points) and Patrice Bergeron (8-10-18 points) is again leading the way for the Bruins. However, already missing FOUR forwards from the lineup, Boston lost another when it learned that rookie Zach Senyshyn will be sidelined for at least four weeks due to a lower-body injury sustained in Tuesday's setback. Also, key defenseman Krug (2 G / 11 A / 13 points) also remains sidelined. Goaltender Tuukka Rask had a strong first month of the season but he has lost his last three starts and can take a large part of the blame in two of them (he's allowed 12 goals during his three-start losing streak). The Maple Leafs dropped their third straight game (0-2-1) in a 5-4 decision to the host New York Islanders on Wednesday. It was their second consecutive 5-4 defeat.Toronto hadn't played since Sunday, before its loss at the NYI. Matthews (13 goals and 26 points) and Marner (14 assist and 18 points) are Toronto's top point-producers but Marner is out for at least four weeks due to a high-ankle sprain. Defenseman Morgan Rielly ( 3 G / 14 A / 17 points) said Toronto needs to get its "swagger" back and one area to start would be to rectify a struggling power play that has converted on only 5-of-43 chances over the past 13 games. Boston has eliminated Toronto in the first round of the playoffs in each of the last two seasons (each time in a Game 7), so it's a "big deal" when the Bruins visit Maple Leaf Gardens. Toronto beat Boston 4-3 (OT) on Oct 19 at home but then lost 4-2 in Boston, three days later. With both teams struggling, I'm expecting the home team to prevail here, especially with Rask struggling (see above). Toronto's Andersen comes in 9-3-2 on the season, a while posting a 2.72 GAA and .912 SP. This game takes on even more significance for the Maple Leafs, knowing that they are off on a six-game road trip starting tomorrow night in Pittsburgh. Good luck...Larry |
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11-13-19 | Maple Leafs v. Islanders -116 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the NY Islanders at 7:05 ET. The New York Islanders ended a two-year playoff drought last season, earning 103 points. They then surprised by sweeping the Penguins in the first round, advancing to the second round of the playoffs for only the second time in the last 25 years. However, they found themselves on the wrong side of a series sweep in the second round, losing to Carolina. The Islanders lost THREE of their first four contests of the current season but then won 10 in a row heading into last Thursday's home game with the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Islanders played two terrific periods of hockey in that game and entered the final period up 3-0. However, Pittsburgh erased a three-goal deficit in the third period and snapped its three-game skid when Bryan Rust scored his second goal of the game in OT. The Isles have played just once since losing to teh Pens, eking out a 2-1 home win over Florida on Saturday. That means that they will carry a 12-game point streak (11-0-1) into Wednesday's game with the visiting Toronto Maple Leafs. The 9-6-4 Maple Leafs haven't played since Sunday, when they fell to the host Chicago Blackhawks, 5-4. John Taveres will make another trip to his old haunts when his Maple Leafs face the Islanders. Tavares left the New York Islanders to join the Toronto Maple Leafs after the 2017-18 season and was named the Leafs' captain prior to this season after serving as the Islanders' captain for his final five seasons with the club. He was considered the face of the Islanders' franchise for nine years and was booed each time he touched the puck and derisively serenaded in New York's 6-1 romp over Toronto on Feb 28 of last season. Tavares has 11 points on the season but it is the team's other two centers, Matthews (13 goals and 25 points) and Marner (14 assist and 18 points), who are Toronto's top point-producers. However, Marner is out for at least four weeks due to a high-ankle sprain. Tavares' exit was supposed to cripple the Islanders, who missed the playoffs by 17 points in his final season with the team and were facing the prospect of splitting home games between Brooklyn's Barclays Center and Nassau Coliseum while waiting for a new arena to be built on the Nassau/Queens border. However, under the new management team of general manager Lou Lamoriello and head coach Barry Trotz, the now defensive-minded Islanders earned 48 wins and recorded 103 points, their highest totals in each category since the 1983-84 season. The Isles are using the same formula this season, as after allowing the fewest goals in the NHL last year, they have given up just 35 goals this year, 10 fewer than the next stingiest team. Thomas Greiss watched as Robin Lehner handled the bulk of the work in the postseason but he sports a 7-1-1 mark with a 1.88 GAA and .942 SP this season. However, the Islanders, who have employed a true time share with Semyon Varlamov (5-2-01 2.37 GGA & .924 SP) starting the odd-numbered games and Greiss starting the even-numbered contest. It's Varlamov "turn" and he is expected to get the start. In stark contrast, the Maple Leafs have allowed the sixth-most goals in the league (62), giving up at least FOUR goals eight times in 19 games (surrendered four goals in the first period of Sunday's loss!). Isles win here and extend that point streak to a 'lucky' 13. Good luck...Larry |
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11-12-19 | Avalanche v. Jets -106 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* Division Game of the Month (Central) is on the Win Jets at 8:05 ET. The Colorado Avalanche opened the season 7-0-1 but while the Avs enter this contest off back-to-back wins, they check in at just 10-5-2 on the season. Colorado opened the season with arguably the best No. 1 line in the NHL in center Nathan MacKinnon (41 goals / 99 points) plus wings Gabriel Landeskog (34 goals / 75 points) and Mikko Rantanen (31 goals / 87 points). However, Rantanen suffered a lower-body injury back injury in the team's ninth game, while captain Gabriel Landeskog joined him on the inured list eight days later. Meanwhile, Winnipeg has settled into its best sustained stretch of the season so far, earning points in five straight games (4-0-1) after Sunday’s 3-2 overtime victory at home against Dallas. At 10-7-1, the Jets' 21 points place them right behind the Avs' 22 points in the West's Central Division (defending Stanley Cup champs St Louis is 12-3-3 with 27 points to lead the division). Nathan MacKinnon owns a team-high nine goals and along with 13 assists, leads Colorado with 22 points. Rookie defenseman Cale Makar continues providing an offensive boost with Rantanen and Landeskog sidelined, scoring two goals in Saturday’s 4-2 home victory over Columbus. He leads all NHL rookies with 17 points and 13 assists. The injury 'bug' has also been felt "in net," as No. 1 goalie Philipp Grubauer (6-3-2, 2.80 GGA & .915 SP) has missed the Avalanche's past two games with a lower-body injury. Pavel Francouz is expected to make his third consecutive start, after stopping 39 of 41 shots against Columbus on Saturday. Winnipeg's lead scorer Mark Scheifele 17 points, including seven goals) scored the game winner 21 seconds into the extra period on Sunday, as Winnipeg won for the SIXTH time in seven games settled after regulation this season. “Nothing has been easy,” Jets captain Blake Wheeler told the media postgame. “When you go into overtime and you’ve been grinding all game, you have that as a habit.” Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck began the week tied for third in the NHL in save percentage (.933) and eighth in goals against average (2.28), after recording 26 saves Sunday to give him a 3-0-1 record with six goals allowed in his past four games. Colorado has really missed Landeskog and Rantanen plus don't let Francouz's 39 saves in 41 shots on Saturday fool you. In his previous three starts, he had stopped just 67 of 78 shots, for an .859 SP. St Louis is clearly the 'class' of this division but the Avs (22 points) and Jets (plus the Preds, who also have 21 points to match the Jets) will be battling all season for playoff spots (positioning). Colorado won three of the five regular season meetings last season but note that the Avs' 4-1 road victory last Feb 14 snapped Colorado's SEVEN-game losing streak in Winnipeg. Home team wins this division game tonight! Good luck...Larry |
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11-09-19 | Wild v. Coyotes -140 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Arz Coyotes at 8:05 ET. The Minnesota Wild finished 37-36-9 last season and missed the playoffs after SIX straight postseason appearances. However, that 37-36-9 record is looking pretty good to the 2019-20 edition of the Wild, as they are off to a dismal 5-10-1 start, due in large part to Minnesota going 2-9-0 away from home. Minnesota has played at home only FIVE times (3-1-1) while attempting to persevere through a rugged early-season schedule that features 13 of its first 18 on the road. The Wild won for only the second time in 10 road games on Tuesday (4-2 at Anaheim) but followed with a 6-5 loss Thursday night at San Jose. The Wild play tonight in Phoenix, against the 9-5-2 Arizona Coyotes. Arizona is also facing a rugged schedule, as the Coyotes are in the midst of playing NINE games in the span of two weeks, including trips to Western Canada and the East Coast. Arizona suffered back-to-back losses for the first time since the first two games of the season, losing at home to slumping Columbus 3-2 on Thursday after blowing a two-goal lead two nights earlier in an overtime setback in Calgary. Minnesota's Eric Staal has goals in back-to-back games and leads the Wild with 14 points (six goals). Only LW Jason Zucker (5 G / 5 A) joins him with double digits in points, which is NOT a surprising stat when one considers that Minnesota's 2.63 GPG average ranks 25th of 31 teams. No. 1 goalie Devin Dubnyk is expected to be in net but he's "not what he used to be," posting a 2-7-1 record with a 3.64 GAA and .883 SP. Arizona has FIVE players with 10 or more points, led by Nick Smaltz's 14 (team-high 10 assists). RW Conor Garland has 10 points and leads the team with seven goals. Defenseman Jordan Oesterle, who has sat out the past two games due to an upper-body injury, is expected to return to the lineup while a decision on fellow blue-liner Jason Demers will be made at Saturday's morning skate. Arizona's No. 1 goaltender Darcy Kuemper (7-4-0, 1.81 GAA & .939) spent his first five seasons with Minnesota but Antti Raanta (2-1-2, 3.12 GAA & .912) is expected be in net for this one. I'd prefer Kuemper but either way, I'm playing against the road-weary Wild, who nearly overcame a four-goal deficit in the third period before succumbing to the Sharks on Thursday. Good luck...Larry |
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11-07-19 | Penguins -102 v. Islanders | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Pit Penguins at 7:05 ET. The New York Islanders ended a two-year playoff drought last season, earning 103 points. They then surprised by sweeping the Penguins in the first round, advancing to the second round of the playoffs for only the second time in the last 25 years. However, they found themselves on the wrong side of a series sweep in the second round, losing to Carolina. The Islanders lost THREE of their first four contests of the season but they extended their winning streak to 10 straight Tuesday, when they beat the visiting Ottawa Senators 4-1. The 11-3-0 Islanders welcome the Pittsburgh Penguins to Barclays Center on Thursday night. Pittsburgh comes in having dropped their last two games, 2-1 in OT at home to the Oilers and 6-4 at Boston on Monday. The Penguins have dealt with the injury 'bug' all season and will enter this contest a modest 8-6-1. Speaking of injuries, Pittsburgh saw star defenseman Kris Letang (4 G and 8 A for 12 points) exit Monday's loss to the Bruins with a lower-body ailment (note: the team hasn't updated his status). The good news is that center Evgeni Malkin returned to the lineup last Saturday after missing almost a month with a lower-body injury. It's no surprise that Sidney Crosby leads the team with 17 points (five goals), with Guentzel (7 & 6), Letang (see above) and Hornqvist (5 & 5) joining him with double digits in points. Matt Murray (7-3-1, 2.36 GAA & .917 SP) is expected to be in goal for the Pens. Bailey and Barzal each own six goals to lead the Islanders, with Bailey's 12 points just ahead of Barzal's 11 for the team lead. Thomas Greiss watched as Robin Lehner handled the bulk of the work in the postseason but he sports a 4-0-0 mark with a 1.55 GAA and .946 SP at home this season. However, the Islanders, who have employed a true time share with Semyon Varlamov (5-2-0, 2.14 GGA & .929 SP) starting the odd-numbered games and Greiss (6-1-0, 2.00 GAA & .937 SP) starting the even-numbered contest. It's Varlamov "turn" and he is expected to get the start in net Thursday f Here's the bottom line. No current player on the Islanders was born the last time they were victorious in 10 in a row, which was part of a franchise-record 15-game winning streak from Jan. 21-Feb. 20, 1982. Thursday's game is the first between the two teams since Apr 16, when the Islanders completed a four-game sweep of the first-round series with a 3-1 win in Pittsburgh. I believe this is a "perfect spot" for the Penguins. What's more, I believe the oddsmakers agree. When is the last time, in any moneyline sport, that you've seen a team on an 11-game winning streak (and playing at home), in basically a "pick'em" situation against an 8-6-1 team (including 3-3-0) on the road? I'm "all over" Pittsburgh. Good luck...Larry |
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11-05-19 | Wild v. Ducks -128 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -128 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout is on the Ana Ducks at 10:05 ET. The Minnesota Wild finished 37-36-9 last season and missed the playoffs after SIX straight postseason appearances. However, that 37-36-9 record is looking pretty good to the 2019-20 edition of the Wild, as they are off to a dismal 4-9-1 start, due in large part to Minnesota going 1-8-0 away from home. Minnesota has played at home only FIVE times (3-1-1) while attempting to persevere through a rugged early-season schedule that features its first 18 on the road. Minnesota kicks off a four-game road trip with a visit tonight to Anaheim, to face the 9-6-1 Ducks. The Ducks are coming off an overtime loss at home on Sunday, falling to Chicago 3-2 after rallying from a two-goal deficit Minnesota lost all three games last week, two on the road and 4-3 in OT at home to StL on Saturday. Eric Staal is riding a four-game point streak but his modest 10 points (4 G / 6 A) makes him the lone Wild player with double digits in points on the season. That's NOT a surprising stat when one considers that Minnesota's 2.31 GPG average is better than only Chicago and Detroit among the NHL's 31 teams. No. 1 goalie Devin Dubnyk is expected to be in net but he's "not what he used to be," posting a 2-6-1 record with a 3.68 GAA and .883 SP. The Ducks are playing their fourth straight home contest of a seven-game homestand (it doesn't conclude until Nov 14). They opened the homestand with back-to-back wins against the Winnipeg Jets and Vancouver Canucks but then inexplicably lost to the Blackhawks 3-2 in OT on Sunday, who had come into Anaheim without a road victory on the season. Anaheim is not a high-scoring team but Jakob Silverberg leads Anaheim with 12 points and Adam Henrique tops the team with eight goals. Defenseman Hampus Lindholm, who has a team-high nine assists, returned to play last week (he missed two games due to a lower-body injury) plus forward Ondrej Kase, sidelined for five games after suffering a bruised jaw in a collision with Dallas' Roope Hintz on Oct.24, practiced Monday and hopes to return to the lineup Tuesday. Slow starts have plagued the Ducks this season bu that shouldn't be a problem against the road-challenged Wild. Anaheim goalie John Gibson is expected be in net and he's 5-2-1 with a 1.80 GAA vs Minnesota. Hard to ignore Minnesota's 1-8-0 road record when noting that Anaheim is 6-1-1 at home (Gibson is 5-1-0 at home!). The Ducks win "with room to spare!" Good luck...Larry |
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11-04-19 | Coyotes v. Oilers -114 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker's Error Game of the Month is on the Edm Oilers at 9:05 ET. The 8-4-1 Arizona Coyotes have not made the playoffs since the 2011-12 season but they enter Monday night's game in Edmonton having won SEVEN of their last nine games, goaltender after Darcy Kuemper turned aside 33 shots in a 3-0 victory over Colorado at home on Saturday. We’re maturing as a group and doing a great job of staying even keel,” Kuemper told reporters Saturday. “We don’t really get too high after a night like this. Last game when it didn’t go our way, we just came back to work at practice.”The Oilers ended a 10-year playoff drought in the 2016-17 season but have since struggled with back-to-back losing seasons. However, Edmonton returns home following a successful road trip that ended with a 2-1 overtime win over the Pittsburgh Penguins on Saturday. The Oilers are 10-4-1 (21 points) and sit atop the Pacific Division. Nick Schmaltz leads Arizona with a modest 12 points (eight assists) and fellow forward Conor Garland tops Arizona with seven goals, scoring in every other game over the past 11. Kuemper (6-3-0, 1.67 GAA & .942 SP) is Arizona's No. 1 goalie but Raanta (2-1-1, 2.96 GAA & .914 SP) is expected to be in net, tonight. The Oilers' surprising start has been led by All-Stars Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid. Draisaitl (26 points on 13 G and 13 A) is the first Edmonton player to score at least 13 goals in the first 15 games of a season since Wayne Gretzky had the same amount in 1987-88 and he's first Oiler with 26 points in the opening 15 contests since Mark Messier in 1989-90 (not bad company). McDavid entered the current season off three consecutive 100-point seasons and is well on his way to a fourth (23 points, including six goals). Mike Smith (5-3-1, 2.12 GAA & .931 SP) made 51 saves at Pittsburgh on Saturday and he and Mikko Koskinen (5-1-0, 2.39, GAA & .922) continue to share time between the pipes. Either one will do, here (Smith is expected to start) Yes, Arizona comes in on a roll but the team will be tested here, as the Coyotes begin a difficult stretch with the first of FIVE road games in their next seven contests.This marks Edmonton's first home game since Oct 27, when the Oilers lost 6-2 to the Panthers, after winning their first FIVE home games of the current season. The Oilers named Dave Tippett has the new head coach on May 28, 2019 and this game will the first time he's faced the team he led for EIGHT seasons, including Arizona's last trip to the postseason in 2012 (lost in the Conference Finals). "The Price is Right" and I'm "all over" Edmonton in this one. Good luck...Larry |
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11-02-19 | Islanders v. Sabres -116 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Buf Sabres at 7:05 ET. My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Buf Sabres at 7:05 ET. The New York Islanders ended a two-year playoff drought last season, earning 103 points. They then surprised by sweeping the Penguins in the first round, although they found themselves on the wrong side of a series sweep in the second round, losing to Carolina. As for the Buffalo Sabres, last season was another sub-.500 one, in which Buffalo earned just 76 points, missing the playoffs for the EIGHTH straight season. However, both teams are off to great stars in the 2019-20 season, as each have already won NINE games. The Islanders lost THREE of their first four contests of the season but extended their winning streak to EIGHT games in Friday’s 5-2 victory over Tampa Bay. Buffalo opened the season 8-1-1 but has found keeping up that pace hard, suffering THREE losses in its last four outings (1-2-1) , after permitting four goals in the first 10:44 on Friday en route to a 6-1 loss at Washington. Captain Anders Lee scored a goal and added two assists in Friday’s 5-2 victory over Tampa Bay, while center Mathew Barzal continued to produce, scoring his sixth goal in seven games Friday. That ties him with linemate Josh Bailey for the team lead with 11 points. Of greater note, New York has limited an opponent to two goals NINE times in 12 outings this season! Thomas Greiss made 33 saves for his fifth win Friday (5-1-0, 2.15 GAA & .933 SP) and has split time in goal with Semyon Varlamov (4-2-0, 2.53 GAA & .918 SP) , who is expected to be in net Saturday. Buffalo captain Jack Eichel posted a minus-3 rating in Friday's loss but he leads the club with 17 points (7 G / 10 A). Defenseman Rasmus Dahlin is tied with Eichel for the team lead with 10 assists and has matched forward Sam Reinhart for second on the team with 11 points. Backup goalie Linus Ullmark (3-2-1, 3.12 GAA & .915 SP) absorbed his third loss on Friday but No. 1 netminder Carter Hutton (6-1-1, 2.21 GAA & .926 SP) will get the start against the Islanders. The Isles are overdue for a loss (right?) and why not here? It's the team's LONE road contest during a seven-game stretch (New York's next road game game won't be until Nov 16!). As for the Sabres, they will head to Sweden for two games against Tampa Bay following Saturday’s contest and could sure use a win here. FOUR losses in five games before taking on the Lightning for two games in Sweden would NOT make for a happy flight. Buffalo is 5-0-1 at home so far (lone loss was in a shoot-out) and Hutton is has been in net for FOUR of those wins, as well as making 42 saves on 44 shots in that 3-2 SO loss! Buffalo heads to Sweden off snapping the NYI's NINE-game winning streak. That makes for a HAPPY flight. Good luck...Larry |
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11-01-19 | Canucks v. Ducks -107 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* Division Game of the Month (Pacific) is on the Ana Ducks at 10:05 ET. The Vancouver Canucks lost their first two games of the current season but head to Anaheim tonight on an 8-1-1 run. The team's rejuvenated offense has led the way, producing at least five goals on SIX occasions during their hot streak.The Canucks have earned points in five consecutive games (4-0-1) as they visit the Anaheim Ducks on Friday night in the second of a three-game road trip. Scoring has been a problem for the Ducks, particularly on the road, but they opened a SEVEN-game homestand with a season-high goal total in a 7-4 rout of Winnipeg on Tuesday. Neither of these teams made the playoffs last season (both finished sub-.500) but both would qualify if the postseason started today. Defenseman Quinn Hughes ( 1 G / 9 A), drafted No. 7 overall in 2018, has provided a spark since he was shifted to Vancouver's power play on Oct. 20, collecting seven assists with the man advantage in five games. Pettersson leads the Canucks witch 18 points (4 G / 14 A), while Boesser (7 G & 7 A) and Miller (6 G / 8 A) check in with 14 points. The Canucks are now tied for second in the NHL with 13 power-play goals, with only the Buffalo Sabres ahead of them. Jakob Silverberg leads Anaheim with 11 points and Adam Henrique tops the team with eight goals. Some good news is that defenseman Hampus Lindholm, who has a team-high nine assists, returned to practice Thursday and could rejoin the lineup after sitting out the past two games due to a lower-body injury. His return would be welcomed, although Josh Mahura had a spectacular season debut with three assists in a 2:52 span in Tuesday's win, becoming the sixth rookie blue-liner in league history with three assists in under three minutes. Jacob Markstrom is expected to be in goal for Vancouver (5-2-1, 2.59 GAA & .915 SP) but while he owns a 2.32 goals-against average versus Anaheim, he is just 4-5-0 against the Ducks. John Gibson (5-6-0, 2.66 GAA & .920 SP) is expected to be in goal for Anaheim, although I wouldn't mind Miller (3-0-0, 2.10 GAA & .929 SP) stepping in between the pipes. Bottom line is, I want the Ducks in this one. The Ducks enter having won two of their last three games, scoring 12 combined goals in the two victories. Anaheim checks in 5-1-0 at home, losing only 2-1 to Carolina back on Oct 18. The Ducks have outscored their opponensts21-10 in their five home wins, all coming in regulation (that's 4.2-to-2.0 per game). Good luck...Larry |
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10-30-19 | Panthers v. Avalanche -134 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -134 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Col Avalanche at 10:05 ET. The 8-2-1 Colorado Avalanche turned in a rare clunker the last time out, falling 5-2 to the Ducks on Saturday. However, the Avs have more pressing concerns than simply trying to rebound from their first home defeat of the season(Colorado is 4-1-0 at home), as eight days after high-scoring forward Mikko Rantanen suffered a lower-body injury that has him listed as week-to-week, Colorado announced on Tuesday that captain Gabriel Landeskog will be sidelined indefinitely. Colorado will welcome the 5-3-4 Florida Panthers to Pepsi Center tonight, who are making the final stop of a four-game road trip.The Panthers ran their point streak to eight games (4-0-4) with an impressive 6-2 victory in Edmonton on Sunday but they followed that by getting 'run over' 7-2 in Vancouver on Monday. Florida got ' KO'd' early by the Canucks, giving up three goals in the first 6 1/2 minutes and FIVE in the opening period. "For the most part, we found ways to get points in some tough buildings on the road against teams off to decent starts," head coach Joel Quenneville said. "I thought we were heading in the right direction. With something like (Monday's loss), every game's a whole new challenge." Centers Jonathan Huberdeau and Aleksander Barkov are tied for the team lead in points (13), while wingers Evgenii Dadonov and Mike Hoffman lead the team in goals (six apiece). Sergei Bobrovsky is expected back in goal, after Montembeault allowed five goals on 30 shots in Vancouver. Nathan MacKinnon, Rantanen and Landeskog combined for 106 goals in 2018-19 and were off to another fast start this season. As noted, Rantanen and Landeskog are out but MacKinnon, who established a franchise record by scoring at least one point in the first 11 games of the season, skated on a line with Nazem Kadri and Joonas Donskoi at Tuesday's practice. MacKinnon has a team-high six goals and is tied with rookie defenseman Cale Makar with nine assists. Philipp Grubauer will be in goal for Colorado and he's off to an excellent start (6-1-1, 2.59 GAA and .920 SP). The Panthers' task is a little easier tonight, as they won't have to face arguably the top trio in the NHL in MacKinnon, Rantanen and Landeskog. However, Colorado added depth to its lines in the off-season, trading for Kadri and signing Donskoi as a free agent (both players have seven points). The Panthers haven't had a winning record on the road since the 2015-16 season (Panthers' 103 points that year topped the Atlantic Division) and this marks the team's FOURTH road game in seven nights. Although not 100 percent healthy, the Avs are happy to be back home, after a six-game, 12-day road trip. The team's first game back was Saturday's loss to the Ducks but with three days to 'recover,' the Avs are in the "perfect spot" for a win tonight. Good luck...Larry |
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10-29-19 | Jets v. Ducks -107 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* NHL Game of the Week is on the Ana Ducks at 10:05 ET. The Winnipeg Jets have sputtered at both ends of the ice in opening 6-6-0. The Jets open a three-game road trip starting Tuesday at the Anaheim Ducks, who have not done much better in the early going, as they enter tonight's contest 7-6-0.Th Jets open the road trip with some positive 'mojo,' after fighting back from a 1-0 deficit to down Calgary 2-1 in OT on Saturday. That contest was an outdoor game played at Mosaic Stadium (home of the Canadian Football League's Saskatchewan Roughriders). Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck recordied 29 saves to keep Winning peg alive until the Jets tied things with 4:11 left in regulation. Meanwhile, Anaheim has struggled of late, getting a goal from center Ryan Getzlaf early in the first period Sunday at Vegas, before allowing five unanswered scores in a 5-2 defeat. The Ducks welcome the Jets to Anaheim having lost FOUR of their last five. Winnipeg's road trip got off to a rough start Monday, when forward Patrik Laine (3 goals and 13 points) left practice after colliding with newly acquired defenseman Luca Sbisa (his status for Tuesday is uncertain). Laine is tied for the team lead in points with Mark Scheifele (4 goals / 9 assists). Hellebuyck is expected ti be in net again but is just 2-2-0 in his last four games, despite allowing just six goals and posting a .952 save percentage in that spa. It sure hasn't helped Winnipeg goaltenders that the Jets have scored just FIVE goals in their last four games. Ryan Getzlaf has scored a goal in three of the last four games to give him five on the season (including three game-winning tallies) in 13 games.Fellow center Adam Henrique leads the team with nine points (six goals), while LW Jakob Silfverberg (6 G / 3 A) and defenseman Hampus Lindholm (0 G / 9 A) are tied for teh team lead with nine points. The Ducks own the third-stingiest defense in the NHL, having surrendered 2.38 GPG. No. 1 John Gibson is just 4-6-0 despite a 2.52 GAA and .923 SP, while backup Ryan Miller is 3-0-0 (2.10 GAA & .929 SP). Gibson is scheduled to start but I sure wouldn't mind if Miller was in net. Either way, I'm backing the Ducks, as Tuesday's game is the start of a season-long seven-game home stretch (next raoad game isn;t until Nov 16 in St Louis). Note that the Ducks are 4-1-0 at home this season, outscoring opponents 15-8. Meanwhile, this is Winnipeg's first true road game since Oct 12. Before playing outdoors over the weekend, Winnipeg was just 1-4 during a stretch of home games in which the Jets were were outscored 17-8. At this price, Anaheim is a 'steal!' Good luck...Larry |
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10-26-19 | Blues v. Bruins -164 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Bos Bruins at 7:05 ET. The defending champion St Louis Blues visit the TD Garden for the first time since winning Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final 4-1 back on June 12. The victory allowed the Blues to hoist the Stanley Cup for the first time in the franchise's 39-year. Think the Bruins and the Boston fans will remember? St. Louis has opened the current season 5-2-3 and this week answered a four-game winless drought by posting back-to-back victories at home (3-1 over Colorado on Monday and 5-2 over the LA Kings on Thursday). However, star forward Vladimir Tarasenko exited Thursday's win over Los Angeles due to an upper-body injury. He was riding a five-game points streak () before he was injured in the first period and did not accompany the team on its two-game weekend road trip to Boston and Detroit. Tarasenko's 10 points ( 3 G / & A) trails only Brayden Schenn's 11 points (8 G / 3 A) on the Blues. Binnington, who stopped 32 shots in the 4-1 Game 7 win in Boston, has played strong in net in St. Louis' last two games (has stopped 50 of 53 shots), following a four-game skid (0-2-2). The 6-1-2 Bruins have been off since beating Toronto 4-2 on Tuesday in Boston, so they have had plenty of time to ruminate ahead of this Saturday matchup with the Blues. Boston's No. 1 line of Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak and Patrice Bergeron is again leading the way for the Bruins with a combined 35 points. Pastrnak has 10 goals and seven assists, Marchand has five goals and nine assists and Bergeron has two goals and six assists. Withe three days off, No. 1 netminder Tuukka Rask will make consecutive starts for the first time this season. That's really good news for Boston, as he's 4-0-1 with a 1.77 GAA and .944 SP). Some may say this "looks to obvious/easy" but I'm not 'blinking.' Good luck...Larry |
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10-24-19 | Panthers v. Flames -123 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Cal Flames at 9:00 ET. The 4-2-3 Florida Panthers have recorded at least a point in SIX straight contests and look to continue their run when they visit the 5-5-1 Calgary Flames on Thursday night to open a four-game western road trip. The Panthers are 3-0-3 during their streak, after winning at Nashville in a shootout Saturday and holding off Pittsburgh for a 4-2 triumph Tuesday. Calgary has yet to win more than two straight or lose more than two in a row in the first 11 games, after dropping a 5-3 decision against Washington on Tuesday at home. The Panthers have missed the playoffs in each of the last three seasons, which isn't exactly news. They have made the postseason just TWICE in 18 seasons. Florida is well aware a team can kill its chances with a poor opening month and the Panthers are hoping to carry their positive mojo into this four-game road trip. Jonathan Huberdeau leads the team with 10 points (goals) after matching fellow forward Denis Malgin (six points) with a goal and an assist Saturday against Pittsburgh. Sergei Bobrovsky made 23 saves against the Pens and is expected to be in net again, tonight. The Flames are coming off a 5-3 loss to the visiting Washington Capitals on Tuesday, a game in which they could very well have won but were done in by costly, ill-timed defensive lapses. Their bugaboo this season has been surrendering goals early in periods and quickly after they score. Left wing Johnny Gaudreau (three goals) notched an assist against Washington to take over the team lead with nine points. Gaudreau’s linemate Elias Lindholm recorded his team-best sixth goal in the setback. No. 1 goalie David Rittich (4-3-1) sat out the loss against the Capitals but is expected back between the pipes Thursday. The Flames are not a good team right now but let's NOT forget that the Flames' 107 points topped EVERY team in the Western Conference last season. A solid winning streak can make the team's current inconsistent play a distant memory. Looking more closely at tonight's starting goalies, Florida's Bobrovsky is a modest 3-2-2 with a 3.75 GAA and .878 SP. Those numbers pale in comparison to him averaging of 38 wins per season the last three years, posting GAA between 2.06-to-2.58 with SP of .913-to-.931. As for Rittich, he's 4-3-1 with a 2.85 GAA and .912, very similar to his 27-9-5 record last season (2.61 ERA & .911 SP). When he's on, he's on. He's allowed a total of just four goals in his wins and 18 in the other four contests. My bet says he's ON! Good luck...Larry |
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10-22-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -160 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on the Bos Bruins at 7:00 ET. The Bruins (107 points) and Maple Leafs (100 points) met in the first round of last year's playoffs, with Boston advancing by winning Game 6 in Toronto (4-2) and Game 7 at home, 5-1. It was the Bruins' second straight Game 7 win over the Maple Leafs and third in three playoff matchups between the teams. Boston previously knocked Toronto out of the postseason with Game 7 victories in 2018 and 2013. The Maple Leafs lost their SIXTH straight Game 7 on the road. The two "Original Six" both have 12 points in the early going of the current season, although Boston (5-1-2) has played two fewer games than Toronto (5-3-2). The teams met for the first time this season this past Saturday, with the Maple Leafs winning 4-3 in OT. The Bruins have been idle since Saturday, while the Maple Leafs will be playing the second contest of a back-to-back set after dropping a 4-3 decision to visiting Columbus on Monday in OT. Toronto's loss to Columbus was just its second in its past five games and came in unlikely fashion. Mitchell Marner (team-high 12 points) was called for a hooking penalty on a breakaway at 1:57 of overtime, allowing Gustav Nyquist to score on a penalty shot and seal the victory for the Blue Jackets. Auston Matthews scored his eighth goal of the season and added an assist in the defeat, and is tied with defenseman Morgan Rielly (2 G / 9 A) behind Marner with 11 points. Boston's No. 1 line of Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak and Patrice Bergeron is again leading the way for the Bruins with a combined 35 points. Pastrnak has nine goals and six assists, Marchand has four goals and eight assists and Bergeron has two goals and six assists. This is a GREAT spot for Boston. The Bruins have dropped two straight, falling in a shootout to the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday before a 4-3 defeat in overtime against the Maple Leafs in Toronto on Saturday. Boston has not played since, while the Maple Leafs ate playing for the second straight night. Toronto head coach Mike Babcock opted to go with No. 1 netminder Frederik Andersen vs Columbus last night, meaning he will start backup Michael Hutchinson against the Bruins (??). Hutchinson, a Bruins draft pick in 2008, has allowed NINE goals in two starts this season. As for the Bruins, Tuukka Rask will return to the Bruins' net for this contest (Halak played in Saturday's loss at Toronto). Rask is 3-0-1 (1.72 GAA & .946 SP) this season and 17-7-2 with a 2.13 GAA in 29 appearances against Toronto. Good luck...Larry |
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10-21-19 | Avalanche v. Blues -129 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the StL Blues at 8:00 ET. The Colorado Avalanche qualified for last year's postseason as the West's no. 8 seed but then upset the top-seeded Calgary Flames in the first round (4-1). The Avs then extended their second-round series with the Sharks to seven games, before losing. However, the Avs visit St Louis tonight with a 7-0-1 record, as the NHL’s ONLY team without a loss in regulation time. The Avalanche allowed 46 shots on Saturday but received a hat trick from Tyson Jost and took advantage of their opportunities in a 6-2 victory at Tampa Bay, setting a club record for most points through eight games (15). The St Louis Blues are the reigning Stanley Cup champion and were able to open the current with a four-game point streak. However, the Blues have lost FOUR straight (0-2-2), after giving up three unanswered goals in the second period of Saturday’s 5-2 home setback against Montreal. The addition of more scoring options up front has been one of the keys to the early-season surge by the Avs and the third line of Jost, J.T. Compher and Colin Wilson came up big Saturday with a total of eight points. However, Colorado's No. 1 line is a match for any other team's. Center Nathan MacKinnon (41 goals / 99 points) is surrounded by wings Gabriel Landeskog (34 goals / 75 points) and Mikko Rantanen (31 goals / 87 points). Nazem Kadri and Andre Burakovsky were acquired from Toronto and Washington, respectively plus fellow forward Joonas Donskoi signed as a free agent to provide an added jolt to Colorado's offense. The No. 1 unit of MacKinnon, Rantanen and captain Landeskog has already combined for 22 points. No. 1 goalie Gribauer is 5-0-1 (2.79 GAA & .919) and backup Francouz is 2-0-0 (1.95 GAA & .951 SP). Center Brayden Schenn leads the Blues in goals (five) and points (eight), while David Perron scored his fourth goal in Saturday’s loss (has six points) and is four points shy of 500 for his career. Vladimir Tarasenko (seven points) has notched at least one point in four straight games and Jaden Schwartz also has a four-game point streak going, after scoring his first goal on Saturday (six points, as well). Goalie Jordan Binnington was a star for the Blues in last year's run to the Cup and he's expected back in net after being rested on Saturday. Binnington (2-1-3, 2.93 GAA & .909 SP) is 0-1-2 in his last three games, after earning at least one point while giving up a modest seven goals in his first three starts. The Avs won at Tampa Bay (last year's top team in the regular season, by far) but did allow 46 shots on goal. They now play another road game (the team's FIFTH of a six-game trip) at the home of the defending Cup champs. The Blues buckled against the Canadiens in a 5-2 loss at home Saturday. What's more, they blew two-goal leads in their two games prior to that, a 4-3 shootout loss to the Vancouver Canucks at home and a 3-2 overtime road loss to the New York Islanders.Time for St Louis to get its act together and for Jordan Binnington to step up. That's my bet! Good luck...Larry |
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10-16-19 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals -115 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
My NHL 10* Game of the Month is on the Was Caps at 7:00 ET. The Toronto Maple Leafs have opened 4-2-1, after scoring FOUR times in the second period to beat Minnesota 4-2 last. The victory comes following a four-game stretch in which the Maple Leafs won just ONCE (1-2-1). The Washington Capitals have opened 3-2-2 but are winless (0-1-2) in their first three games at home for the first time since the 1983-84 season. The Capitals gave up four goals in the first 9 minutes, 25 seconds of Monday’s 6-3 loss to Colorado at Capital One Arena and here's what head coach Todd Reirden told reporters about his team’s performance on Monday.“We got away from our team identity right from the start,” he said. “You could see the difference when we played to our identity and started to be physical and forecheck, now the whole game changed. We’ve got to be able to do that for 60 full minutes.” Mitch Marner recorded three points (one goal) and defenseman Morgan Rielly set up four goals on Tuesday, while Auston Matthews scored his team-best seventh goal, giving him eight points (one behind team-leaders Marner and Rielly). Captain John Tavares scored for the second time in three games (he has six points), while Frederik Andersen (4-2-0, 3.14 GAA & .893 SP) got the victory with a 27-save performance. Braden Holtby lasted just 7 minutes, 54 seconds on Monday, allowing three goals on as many shots and NEEDS to find his top form after opening the season 1-1-2 with a 4.27 GAA and .846 SP. Captain Alex Ovechkin has scored four of his team-leading five goals in the last three contests, while defenseman John Carlson has notched at least one point in SIX of his seven games this season. He leads the team with 11 points, including a club-high nine assists. We could see two backup goalies in this one. Andersen started and won last night for Toronto, which could mean backup Michael Hutchinson (0-0-1, 3.85 GAA & .894 SP) will make his second start on Wednesday."It’s a team, and we’re a team,” Reirden said of Holtby. “I’m sure there are some things that he would have liked to have done different. But there’s some things that a lot of us would have liked to have done different. We’re in this together.” However, Reirden yanked Holtby in favor of rookie Ilya Samsonov on Monday, who checks in with a 2-1-0 record (1.43 GAA & .944 SP). The goalie situation is irrelevant for me, it's more about a quality Washington team which after going 113-37-14 on home ice the previous four regular seasons, has gone winless in its first three games at home for the FIRST time since 1983-84 season. The Caps give the D.C. fans something to cheer about tonight, one night after the Nats clinched the franchise's first-ever World Series appearance by sweeping the Cards in the NLCS. Good luck...Larry |
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10-14-19 | Avalanche v. Capitals -127 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -127 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Was Capitals at 5:00 ET. The Colorado Avalanche had the good fortune of opening the current NHL season with a four-game homestand. The Avs took advantage of that schedule by opening with three consecutive two-goal victories and then then pulled out a 3-2 OT win against Arizona this past Saturday. While Colorado is without a blemish in 2019-20, Washington snapped a three-game winless skid (0-1-2) with Saturday's 4-1 win at Dallas. The two teams meet tonight in Washington, as the Avs test their 4-0-0 start against the 3-1-2 Caps. Former Capital Andre Burakovsky recorded his second game-winning goal in as many contests, as he netted the OT winner on Saturday. The 24-year-old Russian is facing his former team for the first time since being traded to the Avalanche in June for a second- and third-round pick in the 2020 NHL Draft. Nathan MacKinnon (led Colorado LY with 99 points) is tied for the team with six points (5 assists with linemate Mikko Rantanen (2nd on the team with 87 points, who has three goals and three assists. The Avs are particularly happy with their decision to move on from offensive-minded blue-liner Tyson Barrie and shift their focus toward the reigning Hobey Baker Award winner, Cale Makar. He has rewarded Colorado's faith in him by becoming the first defenseman in franchise history to begin his career with at least one point in his first four regular-season games. He has yet to score a goal but has five assists, scoring one goal and setting up five others in 10 playoff contests last spring. Capitals captain Alex Ovechkin has three goals and an assist in his last three contests and tops Washington with four goals. However, defenseman John Carlson recorded his third straight multi-point performance and fourth of the season after scoring and setting up a goal in Saturday's win and leads all NHL blue-liners in assists (eight) and points (10). The Capitals have had problems holding leads in the third period in the early going so far, but the defense and rookie goalie Ilya Samsonov made everything stand up against Dallas. Samsonov is thought to be the goalie who will take over for Braden Holtby as the veteran's contract expires after this season. Holtby has not started very well this season (1-1-2 with a 3.67 GAA & .868 SP) but is expected to be in net tonight, as he owns a 5-1-0 record with a 2.34 goals-against average in six career starts vs Colorado. Rookie goalie Pavel Francouz made his NHL debut and finished with 34 saves in Colorado's OT win on Saturday but he is the backup to Philipp Grubauer, who backed up goalie Braden Holtby during his time with the Capitals. Some (most?) may remember that Grubauer won the starting job heading into the 2017-18 playoffs but Holtby took it back and led Washington to the Stanley Cup. Grubauer was in net for Colorado's first three wins and has played well (2.34 GAA & .931 SP). Colorado's 4-0-0 start is the team's best in SIX years but as noted, this marks the team's FIRST game away from Denver. The Avs were a modest 17-16-8 on the road last season and I'm on the Caps in this one, as Holtby & Co. will be primed to best Grubauer . Good luck...Larry |
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10-12-19 | Penguins v. Wild -117 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the Min Wild at 8:30 ET. The Minnesota Wild have opened 0-3-0 and are hoping that some home cookin' will cure what ails them. All three of the Wild's losses have come on the road as head coach Bruce Boudreau noted. "They've been three road games against three tough teams," he said following his team's losses to Central Division rivals Nashville, Colorado and Winnipeg. "Granted, we would have liked to have won one or two of them. But now we get to go home. No excuses." The Penguins, who are dealing with long-term injuries to key performers, salvaged a split of their season-opening four-game homestand with a 2-1 victory over Anaheim this past Thursday Evgeni Malkin, Bryan Rust, Nick Bjugstad and Alex Galchenyuk are all sidelined by injury, but head coach Mike Sullivan told reporters that he isn't interested in making wholesale changes even with team's injury list growing larger by the day. "I don't think we're going to change our identity or style of play. I think we're going to simplify our style of play," said Sullivan. Minnesota goalie Devan Dubnyk has limped out of the gate this season by yielding 11 goals on 93 shots this season (3.73 GAA / .882 SP). Those numbers are far above his career numbers i]of .255 GAA and .916 SP. Simply put, this marks Pittsburgh's first road game of the season, after the injury-riddled Pens were only able to split four home games. The task gets MUCH tougher here. Goaltender Matt Murray (2.52 GAA / .920 SP) has played all four Penguins games but with the team's first set of back-to-back games this weekend, backup Tristan Jarry stands a good chance of getting his first start of the season (that would be nice). The Wild are OVERDUE to play a good game. The time seems "just right' for that to happen in the club's home opener. Good luck...Larry |
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10-12-19 | Capitals +104 v. Stars | Top | 4-1 | Win | 104 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
My 9* play is on the Was Capitals at 8:00 ET. Both Washington (2-1-2) and Dallas (1-3-1) have played nothing but one-goal games this season, including the Stars winning 4-3 (OT) in Pittsburgh this past Tuesday. Both clubs come into this contest off a loss, as Caps blew a two-goal lead in a 6-5 loss at Nashville on Thursday, while the Stars fell to 0-1-1 at home this season after blowing a two-goal lead in a 3-2 shootout setback to Calgary on the same night. Alex Ovechkin scored twice Thursday, giving him three goals this season, as the future Hall of Famer is showing no signs of slowing down. T.J. Oshie is also off to a fast start with three goals, scoring on his only shot against Nashville. Goalie Braden Holtby (1-1-2 with a 3.67 GAA and .868 SP this season is expected between the pipes Saturday but he's 2-4-2 with a 4.02 goals-against average and .867 save percentage in nine career games (eight starts) versus the Stars. Roope Hintz recorded an assist on the power play Thursday for Dallas and is tops on the club with four goals and five points. Tyler Seguin (two) is the only other multiple goal scorer on the team. Goalie Ben Bishop ( with linemates Jamie Benn and Alexander Radulov each tallying once. Ben Bishop is 1-2-1 on the season (2.48 GAA & .910 SP). I like the quick "rematch" situation here and expect the Caps to get some "revenge." Holtby's numbers vs the Stars are a mild concern but Bishop hasn't dome much better in his career vs the Caps. He made 29 saves in Tuesday's win at Washington but is just 4-6-2 with a 3.37 GAA and .891 SP in 13 games against Washington. Holtby is a former Vezina Trophy winner and his goaltending sparked the Caps to their Stanley Cup win in 2018. Washington is the play. Good luck...Larry |
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10-10-19 | Ducks v. Penguins -136 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* "signature" 36-Club Play is on the Pit Penguins at 7:00 ET. The Anaheim Ducks finished last season just 35-37-10 (80 points) and found themselves on the outside looking in on the 2019 postseason. It marked an end to SIX consecutive playoff appearances for the Kings and going back further, a run of 12 postseason appearances over a 15-year span (Ducks lost a Stanley Cup Final in 2003 but won the Cup in 2007). The Ducks will play the second contest of their four-game road trip against the Pittsburgh Penguins on Thursday, having opened 3-0-0. The Penguins made the playoffs for the 13th consecutive season in 2018-19 and have won three Stanley Cups in that span, in 2009, 2016 and 2017. However, the Penguins have opened the current season 1-2-0 and are facing early adversity in the form of long-term injuries John Gibson's sterling play between the pipes has been the common theme in all three of Anaheim's victories this season. He has turned aside 98 of 101 shots (.970 save percentage) while allowing just one goal in each contest (1.00 GAA). Anaheim showed its resolve in scoring three times in the third period on Tuesday, to earn a 3-1 win at Detroit. The Ducks are scoring only 2.67 GPG, surviving on the play of Gibson and the team's entire defense. Anaheim's penalty killing unit has been superb in front of Gibson, killing off all seven opponent power plays, giving the unit a "perfect score" by going 27 of 27, including the preseason. I noted Pittsburgh's injury woes at the top. The Pens are without centers Evgeni Malkin and Nick Bjugstad plus winger Bryan Rust (all are out for an extended period of time), and then lost winger Patric Hornqvist on Tuesday in the first period of a 4-1 loss against Winnipeg when he got hit by a shot taken by teammate Kris Letang. Pittsburgh head coach Mike Sullivan said Hornqvist and Galchenyuk are day-to-day because of lower-body injuries, which is better news than he has had on other injured players lately, but that does not mean one or both will be available against the Ducks. "John Gibson has got a massive amount of leadership skills in him and he's the best goalie in the game," new coach Dallas Eakins said after his netminder's 31-save performance in Tuesday's 3-1 win over Detroit.To put it mildly, that's VAST overstatement! Yes, Anaheim has opened with three straight wins but the first two came over Arizona and San Jose, teams which are 0-6-0 to open the season. Eakins may think Gibson's "the best in the game" but he should look at Matt Murray's resume, which includes winning back-to-back Stanley Cups in his first two seasons of his career (Murray is in his fourth season). Pittsburgh is far from 100 percent but Anaheim hasn't opened 4-0 in its history (first season was 1993-94) and Gibson owns a 4-4-0 record with a 3.80 goals-against average and .886 save percentage in eight career starts vs the Pens. 'Jump' all over Pittsburgh in this one! Good luck...Larry |
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10-08-19 | Bruins v. Golden Knights -138 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -138 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Veg Knights at 10:05 ET. The Boston Bruins lost Game 7 of the 2019 Stanley Cup Final 4-1 at home to the St Louis Blues but have opened the current season by winning their first two games, both on the road. The Bruins continue their season-opening four-game road trip with a visit to the Vegas Golden Knights on Tuesday night. Vegas lost the 2018 Stanley Cup Final to the Washington Caps (4 games to 1) and like Boston, has opened the new season with two wins. The Bruins have eked out two one-goal wins, at Dallas (2-1) and then at Arizona (1-0). The Bruins are averaging only 23.0 shots on goal, ranking LAST of the NHL 31 teams. The team's 1.50 GPG average ranks 27th. Boston's top line of Bergeron, Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak were among the league's most potent units last season, combining for 108 goals, but they have managed only two points thus far. Tuukka Rask stopped 28 of 29 shots at Dallas and Jaroslav Halak had 35 saves for his 48th career shutout in the win over the Coyotes. Either goalie will represent a challenge for Vegas. As opposed to Boston, scoring has not been been an issue for Vegas, as the Golden Knights have posted NINE goals in completing a home-and-home sweep of San Jose. The Golden Knights jumped out to early 2-0 leads in the first period of each of their first two games plus owns three short-handed goals, as well. The Golden Knights' top line is centered by William Karlsson, who plays with wingers Mark Stone and Reilly Smith. Stone has a team-high four points, while Karlsson and Smith each have three points. Smith and Karlsson also play on the team's top line and are the main reason Vegas has snuffed out all 10 short-handed situations. Goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury has stopped 55 of the 57 shots he's faced (1.00 GAA & .965 SP). Marc-Andre Fleury was drafted first overall by the Pittsburgh Penguins in the 2003 NHL Entry Draft. He joined the Penguins in 2003–04 and during his 13 seasons with the team won Stanley Cup championships in 2009, 2016, and 2017. However, with the emergence of Matt Murray, Fleury willingly waived his no trade and no movement clauses to be left exposed by the Penguins for 2017 NHL Expansion Draft, where he was subsequently selected by the Vegas Golden Knights. He's been the backbone of the team in its first two season and is expected to be so again this year. The Bruins remain on the road and the team has yet to 'unlock' its offense. No reason to expect that to change here, vs Fleury. Good luck...Larry |
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10-07-19 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets -115 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on the Col Blue Jackets at 7:00 ET. The Buffalo Sabres finished last season 33-39-10 (76 points), missing the postseason for the EIGHTH straight year (was also the team's SEVENTH straight losing season). In stark contrast, the Columbus Blue Jackets were able to sneak into the postseason by going 47-31-4 (98 points), claiming the East's No. 8 seed. Columbus was 'rewarded' by drawing the NHL's top team, the Tampa Bay Lightning which had 128 points. In a MAJOR upset, the Blue Jackets swept the Lightning in four games and then took a 2-1 lead over the Bruins, before losing three in a row. The two teams meet tonight in Columbus but it's the Sabres who have gotten off to a 2-0-0 start, not the 0-2-0 Blue Jackets. Buffalo opened teh season with a 3-1 win at Pittsburgh and then routed New Jersey 7-2 in its home opener on Saturday. Four players have recorded at least three points over the first two contests, with defenseman Rasmus Dahlin leading the charge with four. Ralph Krueger is just the fourth coach in franchise history to win his first two games, joining Marcel Pronovost (1977), Scotty Bowman (1979) and Jim Roberts (1981). Columbus has surrendered 11 goals while scoring just three in losing its first two games, after falling 7-2 in Pittsburgh on Saturday. Obviously, the Blue Jackets have struggled defensively, which is unlike a John Tortorella-coached team. "(The Penguins) end up scoring a few goals and then we lose our composure as far as how we have to play," Tortorella told the Blue Jackets' official website. "It just gives me a great opportunity to start teaching as far as what the patience of our game has to be." This is a GREAT spot for Columbus and I'll support the feelings of the Blue Jackets' 21-year-old center Pierre-Luc Dubois who said, "We're a (freaking) good team. We just have to believe in it." this relatively young Columbus club allowed five second-period goals during Saturday's ugly 7-2 loss at Pittsburgh. Columbus last opened with three straight defeats in 2015-16 and I say that "AIN'T happening here!" Good luck...Larry |