Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-16-24 | Warriors -3 v. Kings | Top | 94-118 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF WILD CARD GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Sacramento Kings are stumbling into the postseason with only two wins in their last seven games, and now they're coming up against a Golden State Warriors team that is much better than its No. 10 seed would suggest. The playoffs always bring out the best of Steph Curry, and he's also great at elevating his teammates. The last three meetings were all decided by one point, but I think the Warriors will run away with this one. 5* PLAY ON THE WARRIORS. |
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04-16-24 | Lakers -104 v. Pelicans | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
MIKE'S LAKERS/PELICANS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Los Angeles Lakers forced this matchup with a 124-108 win in the regular-season finale, and that win should give them a big psychological advantage. The Pels might also feel a bit deflated, as they could've avoided the play-in tournament altogether with a win in that game. Even so, one could argue that the New Orleans Pelicans have a better team than the Los Angeles Lakers, but they do not have the same playoff experience on their roster. LeBron James does not choke this early in the playoffs, and I fully expect Anthony Davis to play even though he's listed as questionable. 3* PLAY ON THE LAKERS. |
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04-16-24 | Rockies v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
5* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Philadelphia Phillies opened this series with a 2-1 win, and I expect another low-scoring affair when they host the Colorado Rockies for Game 2 Tuesday night. Phillies left-hander Ranger Suarez (2-0, 2.65 ERA) is off to a great start, and the Rockies are batting only .223 against left-handers. Rockies left-hander Austin Gomber (0-0, 4.91 ERA) is also off to a solid start, with eight runs allowed on 16 hits with a respectable 14 Ks over 14 2/3 innings of work. The Rockies have averaged 3.7 R/9 over their last five games, and the Phillies have averaged 3.1 R/9 over their last five games. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-15-24 | Canadiens v. Red Wings -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
5* NHL EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH The Detroit Red Wings have a shot at making the playoffs despite winning only three of their last 10 games. They are currently in a three-way tie with Washington and Philadelphia for the second and final wild-card spot in the Eastern Conference, and the Pittsburgh Penguins are lurking just one point behind, so realistically, they'll need to win out to have a chance. Still, with two games to go, both against a Montreal Canadiens team eliminated from playoff contention, the Red Wings must like their chances, and I expect nothing less than 100% focus tonight. The Red Wings are converting on a solid 23.16% of their opportunities to play with a man advantage, while the Habs are killing off only 76.36% of their penalties. I expect the Wings to win one by at least two goals. 5* PLAY ON THE RED WINGS -1.5. |
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04-15-24 | Angels +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
5* AL RUNLINE OF THE WEEK MAX BET Tampa Bay right-hander Zach Eflin has allowed 6, 1 and 5 runs through his first three starts of the season. With such inconsistency, I don't think the Rays should be this big of a favorite with Eflin on the mound, and without a reliable bullpen to back him up. The Rays relievers have a combined ERA of 6.23, which is dead last across the major leagues. 5* PLAY ON THE ANGELS +1.5. |
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04-15-24 | Twins +1.5 v. Orioles | 4-7 | Loss | -152 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB RUNLINE RIPPER Twins right-hander Louie Varland (0-2, 9.00 ERA) has had a rough start to the year, but so has Baltimore left-hander Cole Irvin (0-1, 8.10 ERA) as well. The Orioles are a better ream, but I think the Twins can keep this close. 3* PLAY ON THE TWINS. |
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04-15-24 | Guardians v. Red Sox -129 | 6-0 | Loss | -129 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
MIKE'S EARLY GUARDIANS/RED SOX PATRIOT'S DAY BOOKIE BREAKER The early start for this traditional Patriots' Day morning game at Fenway Park sets up a difficult for the Cleveland Guardians. Sure, it's not a long trip from the Bronx, where they beat the Yankees yesterday, but nevertheless, they're on the road again while the Red Sox play their seventh straight game at home. Red Sox right-hander Kutter Crawford has allowed only seven hits and two runs (one earned) over 15 2/3 innings on the season. 3* PLAY ON THE RED SOX. |
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04-14-24 | Padres +1.5 v. Dodgers | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SUNDAY NIGHT PADRES/DODGERS MLB BOOKIE BU$TER Padres right-hander Yu Darvish has a 2-2 record with an impressive ERA of 2.13 and 44 strikeouts in 7 starts versus the Dodgers since the start of the 2022 season. Dodgers left-hander James Paxton has allowed only two runs over 11 innings on the season but the Padres are averaging a healthy 5.3 R9 against left-handers for the season. The Padres are 4-2 against the runline as underdogs. 3* PLAY ON THE PADRES +1.5. |
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04-14-24 | Nuggets -10.5 v. Grizzlies | 126-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NUGGETS/GRIZZLIES NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Denver Nuggets are coming off a highly disappointing 121-120 loss to the Spurs in San Antonio. A win in that game, and they could've locked down the No. 1 seed in the conference without any help. Now, instead, they're coming into Sunday in a three-way tie for the top spot with Minnesota and Oklahoma City and need both to lose to pass them in the standings. I expect the Nuggets to do what they can and put a beating on a Grizzlies team that has lost four straight games by 12 points or more. 3* PLAY ON THE NUGGETS. |
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04-14-24 | Mavs v. Thunder UNDER 223.5 | 86-135 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MAVS/THUNDER NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BLA$TER The OKC Thunder are looking to secure the top spot in the conference, while the Dallas Mavericks have their No. 5 seed and a first-round matchup with the LA Clippers locked in. I don't expect to see much life from Dallas in this game, and the Thunder should be able to slow down once they've taken a comfortable lead. 3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-14-24 | Hornets v. Cavs OVER 209 | 120-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
MIKE'S HORNETS/CAVS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER This seems like too low a total for a contest of exhibition character, where defense will not be a priority. 3* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-13-24 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks +102 | 2-4 | Win | 102 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CARDINALS/DIAMONDBACKS MLB MONEYMAKER The Arizona Diamondbacks and the St. Louis Cardinals are heading into Sáturday with identical 6-7 records following a 9-6 Cardinals win in the opener of this series Friday night. I like the price we get on the D'Backs to bounce back here against St. Louis right-hander Kyle Gibson, who was tagged with seven runs in six innings of a 10-3 loss to Miami in his last start. Arizona right-hander Ryne Nelson has allowed eight runs through 7 2/3 innings in his first two starts of the season. The Diamondbacks are averaging 5.0 R/9 vs. right handers while the Cardinals are averaging only 3.6 R/9 vs. right-handers. 3* PLAY ON THE DIAMONDBACKS. |
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04-13-24 | Canadiens v. Senators -154 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NHL MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE I expect a strong effort from the Ottawa Senators in their last home game of the season. The Sens are 9-2 SU in the last 11 head-to-head matchups with the Montreal Canadiens, who are 6-20 SU in their last 26 games as underdogs. 3* PLAY ON THE SENATORS. |
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04-13-24 | Lightning -135 v. Capitals | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -135 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
5* NHL EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Tampa Bay Lightning to bounce back from a shootout loss in Ottawa on Thursday. They are 21-13 SU with a +10.9% ROI off a loss on the season (9-3 SU with a +28.9% ROI as road favorites). The reeling Washington Capitals have lost seven of their last eight games. 5* PLAY ON THE LIGHTNING. |
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04-12-24 | Pistons v. Mavs -12.5 | 107-89 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PISTONS/MAVS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER This looks like a terrible spot for the Detroit Pistons who will have to face one of the hottest teams in the league while playing on short rest. The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 111-92 win in Miami. They are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points, 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 games, and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games. Additionally, the Mavericks are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record while the Pistons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 3* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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04-12-24 | Twins v. Tigers -122 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
5* AL CENTRAL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Detroit Tigers hand the ball to left-hander Tarik Skubal for his second start of the season. Skubal tossed six scoreless innings against the Chicago White Sox in his season opener before giving up four runs in 6 1/3 innings against Oakland in his second start. The Tigers won both games, and I like the Tigers to pick up another win here against a Minnesota Twins team that is cold on the plate. It's also worth noting that Skubal has allowed just five hits over 12 scoreless innings in his last two matchups with the Twins. 5* PLAY ON THE TIGERS. |
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04-12-24 | Pacers v. Cavs -3 | Top | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* PACERS/CAVS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to fade the Indiana Pacers following three consecutive wins. In their last game, the Pacers put a 140-123 beating on Toronto, but they are only 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Cleveland Cavaliers had lost three on the bounce before their 110-98 win over the Memphis Grizzlies Wednessday night. They'll be looking forward to close out the regular season with two home games, and they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5. 4* PLAY ON THE CAVS. |
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04-12-24 | Braves v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Neither Atlanta left-hander Max Fried (0-0, 18.00 ERA) nor Miami left-hander Trevor Rogers (0-1, 5.40 ERA) has had a good start to the year, and I expect to see a fair amount of runs scored when the Marlins host the Braves for the opener of a three-game series Friday night. The Braves bats are red hot, and Miami scored five runs in a win over the Yankees in the Bronx in their last game. 4* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-11-24 | Rockets v. Jazz +11 | 121-124 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
MIKE'S ROCKETS/JAZZ ATS I don't see why a Houston Rockets team already eliminated from the playoffs should be this big of a favorite. Sure, the Jazz have been a punching bag in recent weeks (0-10 SU, 2-8 ATS in the last 10 games), but they're 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a losing straight-up record, and they lost by only one point when they hosted the Rockets on March 29. In addition to Jazz to cover the spread, I also like the over. Over is 12-2 in Rockets last 14 overall. Over is 15-7-2 in Rockets last 24 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. 3* PLAY ON THE JAZZ. |
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04-11-24 | Rockets v. Jazz OVER 227 | 121-124 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
MIKE'S ROCKETS/JAZZ TOTAL I don't see why a Houston Rockets team already eliminated from the playoffs should be this big of a favorite. Sure, the Jazz have been a punching bag in recent weeks (0-10 SU, 2-8 ATS in the last 10 games), but they're 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a losing straight-up record, and they lost by only one point when they hosted the Rockets on March 29. In addition to Jazz to cover the spread, I also like the over. Over is 12-2 in Rockets last 14 overall. Over is 15-7-2 in Rockets last 24 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. 3* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-11-24 | Knicks v. Celtics OVER 213.5 | Top | 118-109 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
5* NBA EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Boston Celtics have had the No. 1 seed in the conference locked up for quite some time, and their only focus for now is to stay healthy, so they're unlikely to fight hard on the defensive end. The New York Knicks will be fired up as they push for the No. 2 seed in the East, and they are coming off back-to-back 120+ point games. Over is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 overall. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-10-24 | Suns -3.5 v. Clippers | 124-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
MIKE'S LATE SUNS/CLIPPERS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER I expect the Phoenix Suns to bounce back with a big game tonight after getting wrecked by the Clippers in Phoenix last night. The game was much more lopsided than the 105-92 scoreline would suggest; the Clippers were up by 33 points at halftime! The Suns are a lot better than that, and there's a good reason they're a favorite tonight. Clippers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 3* PLAY ON THE SUNS. |
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04-10-24 | Mavs v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 111-92 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
5* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a good spot to fade the Dallas Mavericks, who are in a potential flat spot following a 130-104 win in Charlotte last night, their fourth win and cover in a row. The Miami Heat will also play on short rest following a 117-111 win in Atlanta Tuesday night, but they have the homecourt advantage. Heat are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. 5* PLAY ON THE HEAT. |
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04-10-24 | Mavs v. Heat OVER 215.5 | 111-92 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
MAVS/HEAT TOTAL This looks like a good spot to fade the Dallas Mavericks, who are in a potential flat spot following a 130-104 win in Charlotte last night, their fourth win and cover in a row. The Miami Heat will also play on short rest following a 117-111 win in Atlanta Tuesday night, but they have the homecourt advantage. Heat are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. In addition to Miami to cover the spread, I also like the over. The Heat have averaged 117 ppg through their last three games, and the over is 6-0 in their last 6 overall. 3* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-10-24 | White Sox v. Guardians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
5* AL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Chicago White Sox are 7-3 to the under for the season, and that should come as no surprise as they're averaging a paltry 2.1 R/9. Tonight, they'll run into Cleveland right-hander Tanner Bibee (1-0, 3.86 ERA) while countering with right-hander Erick Fedde (0-0, 2.79 ERA). Both pitchers are off to a solid start to the season, and I expect regression at the plate from both sides after combining for 12 runs yesterday. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-10-24 | Nationals v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 106 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Washington Nationals are coming off three straight wins as +137, +193 and +174 underdogs. There's no way they can keep the upsets coming like this, and tonight they'll face a San Francisco Giants team desperate for a win and looking to deny the Nats to sweep the three-game series. Nationals left-hander Patrick Corbin has allowed eight runs over 10 1/3 innings in two starts on the season, while Giants right-hander Jordan Hicks has allowed just one earned run over his 12 innings on the mound. Additionally, note that Corbin has lost his past two starts against the Giants while allowing 15 hits and 10 runs over just 7 2/3 frames. 4* PLAY ON THE GIANTS -1.5. |
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04-09-24 | Rays -115 v. Angels | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
MIKE'S RAYS/ANGELS MLB MONEYMAKER The Los Angeles Angels are 1-1 in Patrick Sandoval's two starts on the season. Sandoval limited Miami to two runs over 5 2/3 innings in his last start, but now he'll face a Tampa Bay Rays team that is averaging 5.5 R/9 against left-handers. Rays righty Aaron Civale has been excellent with just two runs allowed over 12 innings of work. 3* PLAY ON THE RAYS. |
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04-09-24 | Magic v. Rockets +3 | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MAGIC/ROCKETS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a favorable spot to back the Houston Rockets to end a five-game losing streak. They're catching an Orlando team in a potential letdown spot following its 113-98 win over the Chicago Bulls last time out. Rockets are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 4* PLAY ON THE ROCKETS. |
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04-09-24 | Wizards +16.5 v. Wolves | 121-130 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
MIKE'S WIZARDS/WOLVES NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Minnesota Timberwolves are clearly the superior team, but the Washington Wizards have been fairly competitive in recent weeks, and they are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. The Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. 3* PLAY ON THE WIZARDS. |
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04-09-24 | Mavs -12.5 v. Hornets | 130-104 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MAVS/HORNETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Dallas Mavericks are red hot and 8-1 ATS in their last nine games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. 3* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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04-09-24 | Orioles -136 v. Red Sox | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
MIKE'S EARLY 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Baltimore right-hander Corbin Burnes has not disappointed through his first two starts with the team. The Orioles won both games, with Burnes allowing just three runs on 10 hits with 14 Ks over 11 2/3 innings. The Boston Red Sox are also 2-0 in Brayan Bello's two starts, but he has allowed six runs over 10 innings. While it was enough to defeat Seattle and Oakland, I think Boston and Bello will take an L here. 4* PLAY ON THE ORIOLES. |
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04-08-24 | Golden Knights +106 v. Canucks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
5* NHL WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a great spot to back the Vegas Golden Knights to bounce back from a humbling 7-4 loss as close to a -200 favorite in Arizona Friday night. They've had the whole weekend to mull over the loss, while the Vancouver Canucks were in action on Saturday when they lost 6-3 in LA. The Knights have won 10 of the last 13 matchups in Vancouver, and while the Canucks are coming into this game with the better record, I'm not convinced they're the better team. 5* PLAY ON THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS. |
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04-08-24 | Rays -135 v. Angels | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -135 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Tampa Bay Rays roll into Los Angeles on the back of a pair of wins in Colorado. Tonight, they hand the ball to Zach Eflin, who limited Texas to one run on five hits over 6 1/3 innings in his last start. The Angels counter with left-hander Tyler Anderson who is coming off seven scoreless innings against Miami, but his career numbers against the Rays are ugly (nine runs allowed over 10 1/3 frames). The Rays are averaging 5.5 R/9 while batting .272 against left-handers on the season. 4* PLAY ON THE RAYS. |
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04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut -6.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 16 h 55 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NCAA TOURNAMENT CHAMPIONSHIP GAME BEST BET The defending champions, the UConn Huskies, are the first team since North Carolina (2016, 2017) to play in back-to-back title games. They're perfect 5-0 SU in their previous five title game appearances. Both teams are perfect against the spread in the NCAA tournament this year, but I make the Huskies an even bigger favorite for this matchup than the bookmakers do. 5* PLAY ON UCONN. |
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04-08-24 | Tigers v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
MIKE'S TIGERS/PIRATES MLB TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER The Detroit Tigers have scored just one run through their last two games, and the Pittsburgh Pirates' bats have cooled off after a hot start to the year. Tigers right-hander Reese Olson tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings in his season debut, and this looks like a good bounce-back spot for Pittsburgh righty Mitch Keller to get his season back on track after getting slapped around in his first two starts. Keller has a 3.86 ERA in four career starts against the Tigers. 3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-07-24 | Stars v. Avalanche -125 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
5* STARS/AVS NHL WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Dallas Stars and the Colorado Avalanche are jostling for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference. The Stars are currently sitting at No. 1, with the Avs in third and the Vancouver Canucks in the mix as well. The Avs have owned the Stars in recent seasons, and they've already defeated Dallas twice this calendar year. The Stars are one of the hottest teams in the NHL, while the Avs are only 2-4 in their last six, but I like the price we get on the Avs to bounce back from a 6-2 loss to the Oilers. 5* PLAY ON THE AVS. |
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04-07-24 | Predators +107 v. Devils | 3-2 | Win | 107 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
MIKE'S PREDATORS/DEVILS NHL MONEYLINE We won with the New Jersey Devils against the Ottawa Senators on Saturday, but I'm fading them here against a Nashville Predators side that also plays on short rest following a 2-0 loss to the Islanders last night. Both teams are in the playoff picture, so motivation will not be a factor, but if we look at how the two teams have performed on 0 days rest, the Preds have a huge edge: Predators are 6-1 when playing on 0 days rest Devils are 3-12 when playing on 0 days rest. 3* PLAY ON THE PREDATORS. |
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04-07-24 | Thunder v. Hornets OVER 215 | Top | 121-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
5* NBA NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Oklahoma City Thunder are 44-32-1 to the over for the season, and I expect them to give us a strong effort on the offensive end tonight following a 126-112 loss to the Indiana Pacers in their last game. Over is 21-7 in Thunder last 28 games following a straight up loss. Over is 8-2 in Thunder last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Over is 9-2 in Thunder last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 6-1 in Hornets last 7 games as an underdog. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-07-24 | Pelicans v. Suns -6.5 | Top | 113-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
5* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Phoenix Suns and the New Orleans Pelicans are heading into Sunday with almost identical records, but the Pels are going through a slump and coming off four consecutive losses. The Suns on the other hand are gearing up in time for the playoffs, and they're 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Pelicans are 11-25-1 ATS in their last 37 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 5* PLAY ON THE SUNS. |
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04-07-24 | Senators v. Capitals -130 | 3-2 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SENATORS/CAPITALS NHL MONEYLINE We won with the New Jersey Devils against the Ottawa Senators on Saturday, and I'm fading the Sens again here when they're asked to play on short rest against a Washington Capitals team that while coming into this game on a five-game losing streak, all losses came as underdogs. As favorites, the Caps are typically more reliable, and this looks like a good spot for them to pick up a win. 3* PLAY ON THE CAPITALS. |
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04-06-24 | Canucks v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 22 m | Show |
5* NHL WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Los Angeles Kings and the Vancouver Canucks clashed twice in March, with the Canucks winning 2-1 in LA and the Kings winning 3-2 in Vancouver. The over/under is 0-9-1 in the last 10 meetings, and I expect another low-scoring affair in this preview of a potential first-round playoff matchup. The Canucks have not scored more than three goals in any of their last five games, and the Kings have scored three goals or fewer in four of their last five games. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-06-24 | Alabama v. Connecticut UNDER 161.5 | Top | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
5* NCAA TOURNAMENT FINAL FOUR TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Alabama Crimson Tide have scored 89 points in back-to-back games, but tonight they'll face a UConn Huskies team that has held its last two opponents to 52 points each, and its last four opponents to 58 points or fewer. The Huskies will dominate the game and control the tempo, and I expect them to make this a relatively low-scoring affair. Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 NCAA Tournament games. Under is 6-1 in Huskies last 7 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. Under is 9-4 in Crimson Tide last 13 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-06-24 | 76ers -12 v. Grizzlies | Top | 116-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia 76ers have been heating up as they've been getting healthier, but they still have to make up ground to avoid the play-in tournament. The Sixers are a lot more dangerous than their current 8th-seed would suggest, and I think they'll make light work of a Memphis Grizzlies team that will play on short rest following a 108-90 win over the Detroit Pistons last night. Additionally, the Grizzlies are in a potential letdown spot after three consecutive upset wins. 4* PLAY ON THE 76ERS. |
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04-06-24 | Flyers -150 v. Blue Jackets | 2-6 | Loss | -150 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
MIKE'S FLYERS/BLUE JACKETS MONEYLINE The Columbus Blue Jackets are coming off a 4-2 loss to the New York Islanders, and they have won only two of their last nine games. The Philadelphia Flyers are desperate for a win, as they're still in the playoff picture despite six consecutive losses. Sure, the Flyers will play on short rest following a 4-2 loss in Buffalo Friday night, but I still think this is more than a fair price. 3* PLAY ON THE FLYERS. |
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04-06-24 | Devils -114 v. Senators | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
MIKE'S DEVILS/SENATORS MONEYLINE The New Jersey Devils lost 4-2 when they hosted the Ottawa Senators on March 23, but they had won the past four meetings. They're coming off three high-scoring losses, but tonight, they'll face an Ottawa team that was blanked in a 6-0 loss to Florida in their last game and has struggled on both ends of the ice of late. 3* PLAY ON THE DEVILS. |
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04-06-24 | Mets v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
5* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET I expect to see a fair amount of runs scored when the Cincinnati Reds host the New York Mets Saturday afternoon. Mets right-hander Luis Severino was slapped around for six runs (three earned) on 11 hits over five innings in his season debut. Mets right-hander Nick Martinez gave up three runs on six hits over five innings against the Washington Nationals in his first start of the season. The Reds have been swinging hot bats, and this looks like a good spot for the Mets bats to get going after a slow start to the season. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-06-24 | Jets -117 v. Wild | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
MIKE'S JETS/WILD MONEYLINE The Winnipeg Jets hit the road off home wins over the Los Angeles Kings and the Calgary Flames. They're a solid 21-13-3 on the road, and they've won the last four head-to-head matchups against the Minnesota Wild, who have scored just six goals through their previous three games. 3* PLAY ON THE JETS. |
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04-05-24 | Warriors v. Mavs -5 | 106-108 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
MIKE'S WARRIORS/MAVS SIDE This looks like a tough spot for the Golden State Warriors, who will on the road for a second straight night following their 133-110 win in Houston last night. They're riding a six-game winning streak but will now face a Dallas team that is even hotter with eight wins in nine games. The Mavs will also play on short rest, but they've not had to travel, and this is a revenge spot for the Mavs after losing 104-100 when they visited the Warriors on April 2. In addition to the Mavs to cover the spread, I also like the under. Under is 6-0 in Warriors last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Under is 43-15-1 in Mavericks last 59 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 3* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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04-05-24 | Warriors v. Mavs UNDER 228 | 106-108 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
MIKE'S WARRIORS/MAVS TOTAL This looks like a tough spot for the Golden State Warriors, who will on the road for a second straight night following their 133-110 win in Houston last night. They're riding a six-game winning streak but will now face a Dallas team that is even hotter with eight wins in nine games. The Mavs will also play on short rest, but they've not had to travel, and this is a revenge spot for the Mavs after losing 104-100 when they visited the Warriors on April 2. In addition to the Mavs to cover the spread, I also like the under. Under is 6-0 in Warriors last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Under is 43-15-1 in Mavericks last 59 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-05-24 | Kings v. Celtics -10 | Top | 100-101 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Boston Celtics are coming off three straight double-digit wins, and I think they'll keep pressing the pedal to the metal when they host the Sacramento Kings Friday night. The Kings will play on no rest and fatigue was already an issue yesterday when they fell apart in the second half of a 120-109 loss to the Knicks in New York. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. Celtics are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. 4* PLAY ON THE CELTICS. |
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04-05-24 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -154 | 3-0 | Loss | -154 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
MIKE'S EARLY MLB MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE The New York Yankees have started the season 6-1. I like the price we get on them tonight to pick up another win in their first game in the Bronx for the season. Yankees righty Marcus Stroman has made one career start against Toronto, in which he allowed only three hits over five scoreless innings. Toronto left-hander Yusei Kikuchi is 4-3 with a 3.57 ERA in 12 career outings (10 starts) against the Yankees, but note that the Bronx Bombers are averaging 5.3 runs per nine innings against left-handers this season. The Jays are batting only .175 on the season, and I don't think they'll be able to keep pace with the Bronx Bombers. 3* PLAY ON THE YANKEES. |
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04-04-24 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 227.5 | Top | 133-110 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The over/under is 1-4 in the last five meetings and the under is 35-16-1 in Rockets last 52 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 8-3 in Warriors last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-04-24 | 76ers +2.5 v. Heat | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SIXERS/HEAT NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Philadelphia 76ers have been shorthanded in recent weeks, but Joel Embiid was back in action in their 109-105 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. I think they have a good chance of winning outright when visiting the Miami Heat tonight. The Heat are riding a three-game winning streak, but note that they are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win, and the 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. 3* PLAY ON THE 76ERS. |
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04-04-24 | Kings v. Knicks -3.5 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
5* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a good spot to back the New York Knicks to bounce back from three consecutive losses while at the same time fading a Sacramento Kinsg team that is coming off a pair of double-digit wins. Knicks are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Kings are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win. Kings are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 5* PLAY ON THE KNICKS. |
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04-03-24 | Cavs v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to fade the Cleveland Cavaliers following their 129-113 win in Utah Tuesday night. The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record, and they'll face a Phoenix Suns team that'll play in front of their hometown crowd for the first time since March 21. The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. 5* PLAY ON THE SUNS. |
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04-03-24 | Angels v. Marlins -114 | 10-2 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
MIKE'S ANGELS/MARLINS MLB MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER The Miami Marlins are still winless following a 3-1 loss to the Los Angeles Angels Tuesday night. This is their worst start in franchise history, but I like the price we get on the Marlins tonight with A.J. Puk (0-1, 18.00 ERA) on the mound. Puk was knocked around by Pittsburgh in his season debut, but the left-hander is 2-1 with a 2.35 ERA in eight career appearances against the Angels. 3* PLAY ON THE MARLINS. |
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04-02-24 | Mavs v. Warriors UNDER 233 | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
MIKE'S LATE-NIGHT MAVS/WARRIORS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER The Dallas Mavericks won 109-99 when they hosted the Golden State Warriors on March 13, and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair when they clash at Chase Center Tuesday night. Under is 18-7-1 in Warriors last 26 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Under is 19-9 in Warriors last 28 overall. Under is 56-27 in Mavericks last 83 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. 3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-02-24 | Cavs -11.5 v. Jazz | Top | 129-113 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
5* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Cleveland Cavaliers to bounce back from a humbling 130-101 loss to the Nuggets in Denver. Tonight they'll take on a far easier opponent in a Utah Jazz team that is coming off a 127-106 loss in Sacramento and is winless and 2-7 ATS in its last nine games. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Jazz are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Jazz are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 5* PLAY ON THE CAVS. |
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04-02-24 | Penguins v. Devils -160 | 6-3 | Loss | -160 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NHL MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE This looks like a good spot to fade the Pittsburgh Penguins who will play on short rest and off an upset win over the Rangers last night. The New Jersey Devils will be looking to bounce back from a 5-2 loss to the Sabres in Buffalo on March 29. The Devils won 5-2 when they hosted the Pens back on March 19, and they've won the last seven meetings. 3* PLAY ON THE DEVILS. |
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04-02-24 | Angels v. Marlins -140 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I expect to see a hungry Miami Marlins come out fully focused as they're in desperate need of a win following an 0-5 start to the season. In his season debut, Marlins' right-hander Jesus Luzardo held Pittsburgh to two runs with eight strikeouts over five innings. Luzardo was 5-4 with an ERA of 2.99 in 19 home starts last season, and he has limited the Angels to two runs over 10 innings in previous meetings. Angels veteran left-hander Tyler Anderson will make his season debut today. Anderson typically struggles early in the season and owns a career ERA of 5.19 in Apri throughout his career 4* PLAY ON THE MARLINS. |
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04-01-24 | Suns v. Pelicans UNDER 225 | Top | 124-111 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
5* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The New Orleans Pelicans and the Phoenix Suns are coming into the week in sixth and eighth place, respectively. With both teams in need of wins down the stretch, I think we'll see a low-scoring game of playoff character when they clash on Monday night. Under is 21-6 in Pelicans last 27 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-01-24 | Tigers v. Mets -130 | 5-0 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
MIKE'S 3-GAME MLB HIGH ROLLER REPORT This looks like a good spot to fade the 3-0 Detroit Tigers while at the same time back the 0-3 New York Mets to pick up their first win of the season. Mets left-hander Sean Manaea is 3-2 with a 3.98 ERA in six career starts against the Tigers who were 16-22 against left-handers last season. The motivation should favor the winless Mets. 3* PLAY ON THE METS. |
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04-01-24 | Royals v. Orioles -143 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
MIKE'S 3-GAME MLB HIGH ROLLER REPORT The Baltimore Orioles are coming off their first loss of the season. They were held to a disappointing three hits in a 4-1 loss to the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday after scoring 24 runs through the series' first two games. I expect them to bounce back with a strong effort tonight against a Royals team with Michael Wacha on the mound. Wacha has a 5.19 ERA in 10 career starts against the Orioles. Also, note that while we get the Orioles in a bounce-back spot, the Royals are in a completely opposite spot as they're coming off an 11-0 win over the Twins after scoring just one run per game through two losses to open the season. 3* PLAY ON THE ORIOLES. |
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04-01-24 | Pirates v. Nationals -113 | 8-4 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
MIKE'S 3-GAME MLB HIGH ROLLER REPORT This looks like a good spot to fade the 3-0 Pittsburgh Pirates as they hand the ball to Marco Gonzales, who was 0-1 with an 8.64 ERA in five starts during spring training. The 1-2 Washington Nationals counter with MacKenzie Gore, who was 0-0 with a 5.87 ERA in four starts during spring training. It's hard to start the season 4-0, even for an elite team, and Pittsburgh is not an elite team ... 3* PLAY ON THE NATIONALS. |
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03-31-24 | Bulls v. Wolves OVER 212 | Top | 109-101 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST vs. WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH The Minnesota Timberwolves are holding opponents to an NBA-best 106.2 points per game on the season, but I think the bookmakers have set the total way too low for this Sunday night matchup with the Chicago Bulls. Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 8-0 in Bulls last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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03-31-24 | Bulls +8 v. Wolves | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
MIKE'S BULLS/WOLVES SIDE The Minnesota Timberwolves are holding opponents to an NBA-best 106.2 points per game on the season, but I think the bookmakers have set the total way too low for this Sunday night matchup with the Chicago Bulls. Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 8-0 in Bulls last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. In addition to the over, I also like the Bulls to cover the spread. The Wolves are in a potential flat spot following their 111-98 win over the Nuggets in Denver Friday night. The Bulls, meanwhile, will be looking to bounce back from a 125-108 loss as a road favorite in Brooklyn. 3* PLAY ON THE BULLS. |
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03-31-24 | 76ers -11 v. Raptors | Top | 135-120 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* SIXERS/RAPTORS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia 76ers are dealing with injuries, but they're still a much stronger team than the Toronto Raptors and I expect to see a focused and motivated Sixers team tonight as they look to end a three-game losing streak. 76ers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. Raptors are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Raptors are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. 4* PLAY ON THE SIXERS. |
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03-31-24 | Lakers v. Nets +5.5 | 116-104 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
MIKE'S LAKERS/NETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Brooklyn Nets have built some momentum with three consecutive wins, and i think they'll put the LA Lakers to the test Sunday afternoon. Nets are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite. Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. 3* PLAY ON THE NETS. |
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03-31-24 | Angels v. Orioles -150 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Last season, the Orioles were a solid 36-19 (+$17.9% ROI) against left-handed starters, and they won 11-3 when they faced Angels' left-handed starter Patrick Sandoval in the season opener. They've outscored the Angels 24-7 through the first two games of this series, and I think they'll win easily again here against Angels' lefty Reid Detmers. 4* PLAY ON THE ORIOLES. |
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03-30-24 | Clemson v. Alabama -2.5 | Top | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
5* CBB TOURNEY ELITE 8 GAME OF THE YEAR Both teams are coming into this NCAA Tournament West Regional final matchup off impressive upset wins against the top-two seeds in the Sweet 16, but I like the Alabama Crimson Tide to be the team to move on to the Final Four. Clemson defeated Bama 85-77 in Tuscaloosa in November, but that was part of a rough five-game losing streak for the Tide, who are in a much better position now. Bama scored 89 points on UNC last time out, and their 90.7 points per game is the best scoring average in the nation. Clemson has won as underdogs three times in the tournament, but this is where the Tigers run comes to an end. 5* PLAY ON ALABAMA. |
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03-30-24 | Bucks -4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 122-113 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
5* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH This looks like a great spot to fade the Atlanta Hawks who are coming off back-to-back double-digit upset wins over the Boston Celtics. The Milwaukee Bucks, meanwhile, will be looking to bounce back from losses to the LA Lakers and the New Orleans Pelicans. 5* PLAY ON THE BUCKS. |
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03-30-24 | Hurricanes -1.5 v. Canadiens | Top | 3-0 | Win | 102 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
5* NHL EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH This looks like an ideal spot to fade a Montreal Canadiens team coming off three consecutive upset wins. Tonight, they'll face a Carolina Hurricanes team that is as solid as always, and coming off a 4-0 win over the Detroit Red Wings. The Canes are 4-1 SU as road favorites of -200 or more, and all wins came by at least two goals. 5* PLAY ON THE HURRICANES -1.5. |
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03-30-24 | Celtics -5.5 v. Pelicans | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CELTICS/PELICANS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER This looks like a good spot to back the Boston Celtics to bounce back from a pair of close losses as double-digit favories against the Hawks in Atlanta. The Celtics are too proud of a team to drop three in a row, and they're still a solid 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 3* PLAY ON THE CELTICS. |
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03-30-24 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Aston Villa -160 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* EPL SOCCER BOOKIE BU$TER Aston Villa is coming into the weekend in fourth place, which would give them a spot in the Champions League next season if the season ended today. Villa is desperate to get back on track after two winless games, and the team is a solid 10-1-3 home at Villa Park for the season. Wolves are a mid-table team, and I don't think the visitors can match the home team's motivation and hunger. 4* PLAY ON ASTON VILLA. |
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03-29-24 | Creighton +3.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 7 m | Show |
MIKE'S CBB TOURNEY SWEET 16 GAME OF THE YEAR The Tennessee Volunteers are 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 while the Creighton Bluejays are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Vols have an edge of the defensive end, but they made only 33.8% of their shots when they knocked out Texas in the last round while Creighton has a lot of scoring threats. 5* PLAY ON CREIGHTON. |
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03-29-24 | Giants v. Padres -140 | 8-3 | Loss | -140 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE The San Diego Padres opened the season with a 6-4 win, and I like them to get another win Friday night with Joe Musgrove on the mound. Musgrove went 10-3 with a 3.05 ERA last season and he is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA in 13 career starts against the Giants. San Francisco left-hander Kyle Harrison went 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA in seven starts in his rookie season last year. Harrison gave up six runs on six hits in 5 2/3 innings during a 6-1 defeat in his first and only start against the Padres who were 23-14 as favorites and facing a left-handed starter. 3* PLAY ON THE PADRES. |
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03-29-24 | Warriors -12 v. Hornets | Top | 115-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a fantastic spot to fade the Charlotte Hornets, who are coming off a 118-111 win as a 9.5-point underdog to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Since the All-Star break, underdogs off a win as an underdog are only 14-31 ATS, and the Warriors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite of 11.0 or greater. 4* PLAY ON THE WARRIORS: |
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03-28-24 | Giants +100 v. Padres | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB MONEYLINE MONEYMAKER Logan Webb had a rough preseason, but I expect the Giants' ace to step up his game again in their regular-season opener. Webb is 3-2 with a 2.50 ERA in 10 career outings (nine starts) against the Padres whose starter Yu Darvish is 2-3 with a 6.23 ERA in 11 career starts against the Giants. Additionally, the early start is in our favor as Darvish has a 6-13 team record (-11.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons. 3* PLAY ON THE GIANTS. |
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03-28-24 | Blue Jays v. Rays -125 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Toronto right-hander Jose Berrios is 3-4 with a 4.91 ERA in 10 career starts against the Rays while Tampa Bay righty Zach Eflin is 2-2 with a 5.64 ERA in five career appearances (four starts) against Toronto. Eflin is solid though and finished last season 16-8 with a 3.50 ERA, so if Toronto has any edge on the mound at all (doubtful), the Rays make up for it with a better team overall and a big bullpen edge. 4* PLAY ON THE RAYS. |
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03-28-24 | Nationals +1.5 v. Reds | 2-8 | Loss | -151 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Cincinnati Reds are coming into the season aiming for a playoff run, but I don't think a win will come easy against a Washington Nationals team with Josiah Gray on the mound. Last season, the Nats went 18-10 against the runline as underdogs with Gray as the starter, and he has a 3.27 ERA in two career starts against the Reds. 3* PLAY ON THE NATIONALS +1.5. |
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03-27-24 | Spurs v. Jazz -3 | Top | 118-111 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to fade the San Antonio Spurs following their upset win as a 12-point underdog to the Phoenix Suns on Monday. The Spurs are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win, and they'll face a Utah Jazz team looking to snap back from a 115-105 loss to the Dallas Mavericks. The Jazz are 19-9-2 ATS in their last 30 games following a double-digit loss at home and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. 4* PLAY ON THE JAZZ. |
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03-27-24 | Lakers v. Grizzlies OVER 221.5 | Top | 136-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
5* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Los Angeles Lakers will play on short rest following a 128-124 loss to the Bucks in Milwaukee last night. Tired legs typically equal high-scoring games for the Lakers, who are 8-0-1 to the over in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest. The Memphis Grizzlies are coming off a 128-103 loss to the Denver Nuggets, and they've allowed 118 points or more in four of their last five games. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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03-27-24 | Clippers -6 v. 76ers | 108-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CLIPPERS/SIXERS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Philadelphia 76ers are still in playoff contention despite being hit hard with injuries in the second half of the season. They defeated the Clippers 121-107 as a 9-point underdog on Sunday but took a loss to the Sacramento Kings the following night as they closed out a four-game road trip. Both teams will play their third game in four nights, but it's a tougher spot for the shorhanded 76ers and I expect to see a hyper-motivated Clippers as they look to bounce back from losses to the Sixers and the Pacers. Clippers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5. 76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5. 76ers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. 3* PLAY ON THE CLIPPERS. |
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03-26-24 | Mavs v. Kings UNDER 233.5 | Top | 132-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MAVS/KINGS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY (10:00 PM) The Sacramento Kings will play on short rest following a 108-96 win over the Philadelphia 76ers and they have held their last five opponents to an average of 102.4 ppg. The Dallas Mavericks have also been feisty on the defensive end of late with only 105, 107, 97 and 105 points allowed through their last four games. Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games as a favorite. Under is 55-27 in Mavericks last 82 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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03-26-24 | Oilers v. Jets +110 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
5* NHL WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK The Winnipeg Jets return home from a five-game road trip which they wrapped up on a bad note with three consecutive losses. They're a solid 23-9-2 on home ice for the season though, and tonight they'll host an Oilers team that has dropped four of its last five on the road. 5* PLAY ON THE JETS. |
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03-26-24 | Warriors -120 v. Heat | Top | 113-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
5* EAST vs. WEST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a great spot to fade the Miami Heat who are in a potential letdown spot after blowing the doors off the Cavs on Sunday while at the same time backing the Golden State Warriors to rally after back-to-back losses. Heat are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Warriors are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Warriors are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. Warriors are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 5* PLAY ON THE WARRIORS. |
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03-26-24 | Warriors v. Heat UNDER 219 | 113-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
MIKE'S WARRIORS/HEAT TOTAL This looks like a great spot to fade the Miami Heat who are in a potential letdown spot after blowing the doors off the Cavs on Sunday while at the same time backing the Golden State Warriors to rally after back-to-back losses. Heat are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Warriors are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Warriors are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. Warriors are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. In addition to the Warriors to win the game, I also like the under. Under is 10-1 in Warriors last 11 games as a road favorite. Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 8-1 in Heat last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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03-25-24 | Wizards v. Bulls -12.5 | 107-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
MIKE'S WIZARDS/BULLS NBA SIDE This looks like a good spot to back the Chicago Bulls to bounce back from losses as underdogs to the Houston Houston and the Boston Celtics. The Washington Wizards are a far easier opponent, and note that the Bulls are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a losing straight-up record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. The Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record, and in a letdown spot following back-to-back wins over the Sacramento Kings and the Toronto Raptors. The Wizards are 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. 3* PLAY ON THE BULLS. |
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03-25-24 | Suns -12 v. Spurs | 102-104 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SUNS/SPURS NBA SIDE The Phoenix Suns put a 131-106 beating on the Spurs in Phoenix on Saturday, and I expect them to win big again when facing the Spurs in San Antonio Monday night. Suns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. 3* PLAY ON THE SUNS. |
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03-25-24 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 224.5 | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CELTICS/HAWKS NBA TOTAL The Boston Celtics have scored 119 points or more in eight straight games. They defeated the Hawks 125-117 in Boston on Feb 7. That game went under the closing total of 244 points, but we're seeing a much lower number for this game. Over is 40-16 in Hawks last 56 Monday games. Over is 8-3 in Hawks last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Over is 5-1-1 in Celtics last 7 games as a favorite. 3* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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03-24-24 | Canadiens v. Seattle Kraken -161 | 5-1 | Loss | -161 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NHL MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE This looks like a good spot to back the Seattle Kraken to end a seven-game losing streak. The Montreal Canadiens are only 1-6 in their last seven games and 2-8 in their last 10, and 1-15 in their last 16 as underdogs. The Kraken are 4-2 SU as home favorites laying -150 or more while the Habs are 8-21 as home underdogs and their opponent laying more than -150. 3* PLAY ON THE KRAKEN. |
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03-24-24 | Warriors +3.5 v. Wolves | Top | 110-114 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
5* WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK The Minnesota Timberwolves are coming off a 104-91 win over the Cleveland Cavaliers, but I would not be surprised if they lost outright when hosting the Golden State Warriors Sunday night. When fully fit, the Wolves would have a massive advantage in the paint, but that will not be the case for this game. Karl-Anthony Towns is sidelined, and Rudy Gobert is listed as questionable. Additionally, Anthony Edwards is also listed as questionable while the Warriors are coming into the game at full strength. The Warriors will be looking to bounce back from a disappointing 123-111 loss as a home favorite over the Indiana Pacers. Warriors are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss, 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss, and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 5* PLAY ON THE WARRIORS. |
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03-24-24 | Cavs +4.5 v. Heat | 84-121 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CAVS/HEAT SIDE This looks like a good spot to back the Cleveland Cavaliers to bounce back-to-back losses SU and ATS. The Cavs are coming off a 104-91 loss to the Timberwolves in Minnesota, but note that they're 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. They'll visit a Heat team that is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. In addition to the Cavs covering the spread, I also like the under as I think the total is this low for a very good reason as both teams are dealing with injuries. Under is 20-6 in Cavaliers last 26 road games. Under is 12-4 in Heat last 16 home games. Under is 35-16 in Heat last 51 overall. 3* PLAY ON THE CAVS. |
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03-24-24 | Cavs v. Heat UNDER 204.5 | 84-121 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CAVS/HEAT TOTAL This looks like a good spot to back the Cleveland Cavaliers to bounce back-to-back losses SU and ATS. The Cavs are coming off a 104-91 loss to the Timberwolves in Minnesota, but note that they're 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. They'll visit a Heat team that is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. In addition to the Cavs covering the spread, I also like the under as I think the total is this low for a very good reason as both teams are dealing with injuries. Under is 20-6 in Cavaliers last 26 road games. Under is 12-4 in Heat last 16 home games. Under is 35-16 in Heat last 51 overall. 3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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03-23-24 | Celtics v. Bulls UNDER 221.5 | 124-113 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CELTICS/BULLS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER The Boston Celtics will play on short rest following a 129-102 blowout win in Detroit Friday night. I think we'll see a slower-paced and lower-scoring game when they visit the Bulls in Chicago tonight. Under is 5-1-1 in Celtics last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. Under is 8-3 in Bulls last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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03-23-24 | Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 226.5 | Top | 119-147 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
5* WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET On Thursday, the Utah Jazz lost 113-97 to the Mavs in Dallas. They have scored 100, 104, 107, and 97 points in their last four games, all of which went under the total. The Houston Rockets have been involved in high-scoring affairs lately, but note that the under is 14-6 in the Rockets' last 20 Saturday games. Additionally, the under is 38-17 in the Rockets' last 55 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. This situation applies to this contest as they're coming off a 127-117 win over the Chicago Bulls. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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03-23-24 | Suns -9.5 v. Spurs | 131-106 | Win | 100 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SUNS/SPURS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER This looks like a good spot to fade the San Antonio Spurs, who will play on short rest following a 99-97 home loss to the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday night. The Phoenix Suns are currently the no.7 seed in the West and looking to improve their position and avoid the NBA Play-In Tournament. The Suns will be a team to watch in the playoffs. They have an absolutely elite starting five, arguably the best in the NBA, and I expect them to be able to take advantage of a tired Spurs team. 3* PLAY ON THE PHOENIX SUNS. |
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03-23-24 | Oilers -125 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NHL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Toronto Maple Leafs defeated the Caps 7-3 as a road favorite on Wednesday, but they'll face a tougher test when they host the Edmonton Oilers on Saturday. This will be the third time they're a home underdog this season, and they lost the previous two (both against Carolina). Meanwhile, the Oilers are 16-12 as road favorites and 15-3 SU in their last 18 games against an opponent from the Eastern Conference. 4* PLAY ON THE OILERS. |
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03-23-24 | Gonzaga -4 v. Kansas | Top | 89-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
5* NCAAB TOURNAMENT ROUND OF 32 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Kansas Jayhawks barely scraped past Samford in a tight game on Thursday, and they've not looked quite right for some time. The Gonzaga Bulldogs, on the other hand, were as dominant as ever in their 21-point win over McNeese State. I see no reason why we wouldn't back the team that looks the part in this matchup. Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite. Jayhawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as an underdog. Jayhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 5* PLAY ON THE GONZAGA BULLDOGS. |
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03-22-24 | Celtics -12.5 v. Pistons | Top | 129-102 | Win | 100 | 17 h 0 m | Show |
5* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Celtics beat the Pistons 119-94 in Boston on Monday and followed that up with a 122-119 win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday. The Pistons are coming off a 122-103 loss to the Pacers, and I don't see how they can keep it close against a Boston team that clearly has no intentions of slowing down or likely to look past any opponent. Celtics are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. Celtics are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Pistons are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. 5* PLAY ON THE CELTICS. |