Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-25-24 | Nuggets v. Knicks UNDER 224.5 | Top | 84-122 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Nuggets have failed to reach the total in three straight, and they rank dead last in the NBA in pace of play. The Knicks are right behind them, with both teams averaging roughly 100 possessions per game. The Knicks have been a different team since the trade with Toronto, and they have now gone under in 10 of their last 11 games. These teams have gone under in four of the last six head to head meetings, and it doesn't look like the bookmakers have adjusted here with what looks like an inflated number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals was a high scoring affair, and because of that the total for Game 2 is five points higher than it was in Game 1. The series opener saw Denver dominate the first half, but the Lakers made adjustments that allowed them to come storming back. When they stuck Rui Hachimura on the Joker, the REAL MVP was held to just 3 points on 0-of-2 shooting in the 4th quarter. Don't be surprised if things tighten up in Game 2, and keep in mind that both teams shot better than 54 percent from the field when both teams are averaging under 50 percent in these playoffs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-30-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 229.5 | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. So the first half total has gone under in five of six games, and now the bookmakers have made the adjustment. I don't think they have adjusted enough for a Game 7 though. There have been 15 Game 7s played in the NBA since 2018. The combined total fell short of 200 in 12 of those games. Only one of those 15 games went over the listed total for this game, when the Clippers beat the Mavericks 126-111 in 2021. We saw 109 points scored in the first half of Game 6, and I can't see them scoring more than that here in a Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 235 | Top | 118-99 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. So when it was announced that De'Aaron Fox was going to play despite a broken finger, the Warriors went from -4 in Game 5 to -1.5. I said that he could be a liability if he wasn't at 100 percent. He appeared to play pretty well, but his 24 points was a series low. He shot a series low 36 percent from the field and committed a series high six turnovers. I don't see it getting any better for the Kings here in Game 6. The Warriors won four series in last year's playoffs, and in their four series clinching wins the total went under in all four. The average combined total in those games was 207.5. I'll take the Dubs to win and the game to go under the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves UNDER 225.5 | Top | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 18 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. I bet the under in Game 1 of this series, and I said the following before the game: “Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games.” We have since seen Game 2 and Game 3 go over the total, but with the Wolves facing elimination in Game 4, I expect to see more of a defensive battle here. The under is 12-4 in Nuggets last 16 overall, and the Timberwolves have gone under in 12 of their last 17 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 211 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Nuggets are a ratings nightmare for the NBA, denying everyone the Clippers vs Lakers Western Conference Final that we waited for all season. Not only did they come back and win three straight after trailing the Clippers 3-1 in the series, they trailed by double digits in Game 7. The Nuggets shot over 49 percent from the field in Game 7 versus the Clippers, but it's hard to imagine they won't be set up for a let down in Game 1 versus the Lakers. After defeating the Jazz in a low scoring Game 7 in the first round, they lost Game 1 of their series versus the Clippers by a score of 120-97. Other than two low scoring Game 7s, Denver has seen 10 of their 12 playoff games go over the total of 210. The Lakers are averaging over 114 points per game in these playoffs, and the over is 20-7-2 in their last 29 meetings versus Denver. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-20 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans UNDER 242 | Top | 111-139 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@NO to go Under the total. The first thing that comes to mind when you see the Grizzlies playing the Pelicans might be that a high score is expected. That's fair enough, as both teams rank in the Top 10 in scoring, and the bottom 10 in defense. This hasn't been lost on the bookmakers, who have set the total for this game higher than 240. Neither of these two teams have reached that number since the last time they played each other. The Grizzlies have been a completely different team over their last 13 games, going 11-2 during that span. They are now in a position to make the playoffs, and an increased emphasis on defense should be expected. These two teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Grizzlies have gone under in seven of their last nine, and they have gone under in five straight versus New Orleans. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-20 | Blazers v. Heat UNDER 223 | Top | 111-122 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@POR to go Under the total. The Miami Heat own the best home record in the NBA at 16-1. They host Portland on Sunday, and the bookmakers have the total listed sky high at 223. These teams haven't seen a total as high as 220 in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Only one of those games saw a total higher than 215. Both these teams come in cold, with Portland coming in as losers of five of six overall. They scored an average of 107 points in those losses, well below their season average of 112+ points per game. The Heat are coming off back to back games scoring fewer than 90 points. They scored 84 in a home win over Toronto, then followed up with just 85 points in a loss at Orlando. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-20 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 217.5 | Top | 121-102 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@BKN to go Under the total. The Raptors have been hit hard by injuries, playing without Marc Gasol, Norm Powell and leading scorer Pascal Siakam. They lost 84-76 at Miami in their last game, shooting just over 30 percent from the field. Siakam hasn't played since December 19th, and the Raptors have scored an average of 106.5 points in eight games since (well below their season average). They have also stepped up on defense during that span, and they have held opponents under 100 points in four straight games. The under is 5-1-1 in the Raptors last seven road games, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five in Brooklyn. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-19 | Hawks v. Suns OVER 227 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@PHX to go Over the total. The Atlanta Hawks are feeling good about themselves coming into tonight's game at Phoenix, coming off a 125-121 win over the Nuggets in Denver. Tre Young scored 42 points on 13-of-21 shooting in the victory. It was however the third consecutive game that the Hawks allowed their opponent to score 120+ points. Tonight they face a Suns team that ranks among the top teams in the league in scoring, but the Suns are also allowing opponents to average more than 110 points per game this season. The history tells us that these two teams have gone under in five straight meetings, and nine of the last 10 meetings. That history might be keeping tonight's number artificially low, as the last two time these two teams played they score at least 230 combined points, but failed to reach a much higher total. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-06-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 220.5 | Top | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GSW@HOU to go Under the total. I had the under in Game 3, and after a low scoring first half it was bitter disappointment as they piled on the points in the third quarter and then eventually went to overtime. I don't think the Warriors have any interest in allowing the Rockets to tie this series, and they should step up the defensive intensity in the first half of Game 4. Here is what I said prior to Game 3: "Game 1 of this series was a close, low scoring battle with the Warriors winning 104-100. Game 2 was shaping up to be a similar score through three quarters, before an offensive explosion of 67 points in the fourth quarter. The Rockets are now on the ropes, and Game 3 might as well be an elimination game. James Harden is banged up, taking a shot to the face in Game 2 that has left him with vision problems. Steph Curry dislocated a finger in the last game, and we can expect more bumps and bruises as this series goes on. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings, and the under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Houston. The Rockets have failed to reach the total in seven straight when coming off an ATS loss." Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 220 | Top | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GSW@HOU to go Under the total. Game 1 of this series was a close, low scoring battle with the Warriors winning 104-100. Game 2 was shaping up to be a similar score through three quarters, before an offensive explosion of 67 points in the fourth quarter. The Rockets are now on the ropes, and Game 3 might as well be an elimination game. James Harden is banged up, taking a shot to the face in Game 2 that has left him with vision problems. Steph Curry dislocated a finger in the last game, and we can expect more bumps and bruises as this series goes on. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings, and the under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Houston. The Rockets have failed to reach the total in seven straight when coming off an ATS loss. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 220 | Top | 97-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@DEN to go Under the total. The Nuggets won Game 1 in a high scoring affair, with both teams shooting over 50 percent from the field. I expect them to see plenty of push back from the Blazers in Game 2, and I expect those numbers to go down. In four home games against the Spurs, Denver allowed an average of 95 points per game. The under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 home games, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six Conference Semifinals games. We've seen a lot of talk about the officiating in these playoffs, but the consensus from the league seems to be to let them play. I think the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated, and I'll fade the big number. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-19-19 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 203.5 | Top | 104-96 | Win | 100 | 42 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@IND to go Under the total.
I bet on the under in Game 2 of this series, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Pacers lost Game 1 by a score of 84-74, and yet the public is still betting on tonight's Game 2 to go over 200 points. I don't think Indiana is going to change a thing, coming out with every intention of muddying things up, playing down and dirty defensive basketball. The Pacers were the league's top defensive team in the regular season, ranking 1st in opponent's scoring average. Neither team shot the ball well in Game 1, and good looks will continue to be hard to come by throughout this series in my opinion." Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-19 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 226 | Top | 113-149 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@ORL to go Under the total. The Magic have won eight straight home games, and they are in a position to clinch the Southeast Division with just three games left in the season. They host Atlanta in their final home game, and Atlanta has won five of it's last seven. Orlando ranks 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and they have allowed an average of less than 100 points during their eight game home win streak. The under is 36-16 in the last 52 meetings between the two teams, and four of Orlando's last five home games against Atlanta have gone under the total. The opening number for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-19 | 76ers v. Hornets UNDER 224.5 | Top | 118-114 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on PHI@CHA to go Under the total. The Charlotte Hornets are only 2.5 games out of first place in the Southeast, but they are going to have to play a lot better than they did in their last game if they want to make the playoffs. Charlotte scored just 75 points in a loss at Miami on Sunday. The good news for the the Hornets is that they do play a lot better at home. Philly is coming off a big win over the Bucks in Milwaukee, but that could set them up for a let down here in Charlotte. Prior to upsetting the Bucks on Sunday, the Sixers had lost back to back road games at Chicago and Houston. The Sixers have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall, and four of their last five on the road. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-19 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 223.5 | Top | 147-154 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go Under the total. One of the biggest stories of the first half of the season has been an increase in scoring league wide. While the numbers are up this year from years past, one trend has held true for as long as I can remember. When the playoffs get closer, the defensive intensity always increases. This appears to be the case for the Spurs, who have been steadily impoving on defense. Their last home game was a 108-88 win over the Grizzlies. They come into tonight's game as winners of five of their last six, and they have allowed just 103 points per game during that span. The Thunder rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and the under is 6-1 in the last seven head to head meetings, and 4-1 in the last five at San Antonio. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-18 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 230 | Top | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@TOR to go Under the total. The Bucks are coming off a home loss to the Warriors, scoring a season low 95 points. This is the highest scoring team in the NBA, and they still average over 120 points per game. Playing on the road against one of the league's top defensive teams in Toronto, and their DPOY candidate Kahwi Leonard isn't a good spot for the Bucks. The Raptors are coming off an overtime loss a Brooklyn, suffering a let down after beating the Sixers at home by a score of 113-102. Kyle Lowry was just 1-of-8 from the field in the loss, and he's 4-of-23 from the field in his last three starts. These two teams have gone over in six of the last 10 meetings, but tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those previous games. In fact, nine of those 10 games saw a total at least 10 points lower than tonight's number. This is a big game between two of the top teams in the East, and easy buckets should be few and far between. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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10-30-18 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 227.5 | Top | 112-129 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@TOR to go Under the total. The Raptors suffered their first loss of the season on the road at Milwaukee last night. Their superstar Kahwi Leonard sat out that game so he could play tonight at home in the second game of a back to back. Leonard is widely considered to be the league's best defender, and with him in the lineup the Raptors have been tough. Leonard has played in five games this season, and only one of those saw more than 227 combined points. Tonight's total is far higher than in any of the previous ten games between Toronto and Philly, and the under looks like a great bet here with this inflated line. While the trends will tell you that these teams have gone over, it's important to know that those trends just don't hold true when you factor in the inflated total. Philly is not one of the better shooting teams in the league, and the Raptors should hold them to under their season average of 112 points per game. Take Under. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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05-01-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 227 | Top | 116-121 | Loss | -107 | 40 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NO@GS to go Under the total Jesse Schule |
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04-30-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 208 | Top | 101-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@BOS to go Under the total.
The pundits are calling for Philly to go all the way to the NBA Finals, but first they have to get past a Celtics team that finished three games ahead of them in the standings. I bet on Boston to win their series versus Milwaukee, and here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Celtics are just a slight favorite at home, despite being a #2 seed versus a #7 seed. Sure they would like to have Kyrie Irving in these playoffs, but lets not kid ourselves about how good they were without him. Keep in mind, last year this team gave Cleveland fits, and Kyrie was playing for the Cavs. This season they played more than their fair share of games without not only Irving, but several other key players. They won 13 of their last 19 without Kyrie, and four of those six losses came on the road. Boston is still the best defensive team in the Eastern Conference, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus Milwaukee. Boston is 5-1 ATS in it's last six at The Garden, and the under is 24-9 in the Celtics last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games." They won all four home games in the first round, and held the Bucks under 100 points in each of the last three games in that series. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-23-18 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 209 | Top | 96-113 | Push | 0 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@UTAH to go Under the total. |
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04-22-18 | Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 205.5 | Top | 104-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@IND to go Under the total.
The Pacers have a chance to take a stranglehold on this series, heading into Game 4 at home already up 2-1. The Cavs lone win came by a score of 100-97 at home in Game 2, and LeBron scored 46 points in that game. All three games in this series have been low scoring, and I expect another defensive battle in such a high stakes contest tonight. The Pacers were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA after the all start break, and these two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight at Indianapolis. The Cavs are just 5-16-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings between the two teams, yet they are a road favorite here tonight. Kevin Love is banged up, and George Hill could miss tonight's game with a back injury. The under is 15-5 in Pacers last 20 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 11 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-21-18 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 207 | Top | 102-115 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
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04-11-18 | Spurs v. Pelicans UNDER 211 | Top | 98-122 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@NO to go Under the total. |
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03-30-18 | Nuggets v. Thunder UNDER 224.5 | Top | 126-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN@OKC to go Under the total.
The NBA Playoffs are just a few weeks away, and as teams jockey for playoff position, we see a lot more intensity on defense. I bet on the under in the Thunder's 108-105 loss to Portland, and here is what I had to say before the game: "Both the Blazers and the Thunder rank among the top defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th and 7th in opponent’s scoring average. The Thunder are just one game back of Portland in the Northwest, and there is just two games separating 3rd place Portland and 6th place New Orleans in the Western Conference standings. The Blazers have won all three of their games against the Thunder this season, and two of those three games fell short of the total. The total for tonight’s game is higher than it was in any of those previous three contests." The Thunder host the Denver Nuggets tonight, and these two teams have gone under in two of three previous meetings this season. Once again, tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those previous three games. I'll place a value bet here on what appears to be an inflated total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-18 | Heat v. Pacers UNDER 207 | Top | 107-113 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@IND to go Under the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-23-18 | Clippers v. Pacers UNDER 219 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@IND to go UNDER the total.
I bet the under in the Pacers loss at New Orleans on Wednesday, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Pacers and the Pelicans are two teams that jockeying for playoff position, and they have a history of playing low scoring games. Eight of the last 10 meetings have fallen short of the listed total. Both teams have stepped up their intensity on defense in recent weeks, and the result has been lower scores across the board. That being said, tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. It's also higher than it was in any of Indiana's last 10 games overall, and nine of those games went under." Tonight's game against the Clippers is quite similar, and I expect another hard battle. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings, and the under is 6-0 in Pacers last six home games. The under has cashed in four of the Clippers last five visits to Indiana. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-18 | Warriors v. Blazers UNDER 227.5 | Top | 108-125 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@POR to go UNDER the total. |
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02-27-18 | Clippers v. Nuggets UNDER 232.5 | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
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02-26-18 | Rockets v. Jazz OVER 212 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@UTAH to go OVER the total. |
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02-11-18 | Grizzlies v. Thunder UNDER 207 | Top | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@OKC to go UNDER the total.
The Thunder might be shorthanded tonight, as Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony are both battling injuries. Neither played in a loss at LA on Thursday, and the Thunder scored just 88 points in that game. They face a Grizzlies come in as one of the lowest scoring teams in the league (29th), averaging just 99 points per game. They are also one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th in opponent's scoring average. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in four straight, while the under is is 19-6-1 in Grizzlies last 26 games playing on three or more days rest. The Grizzlies have really been struggling lately, failing to score 90 points in each of their last three games. Given the history, as well as the injuries, it seems odd that the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-18 | Pacers v. Spurs UNDER 199 | Top | 94-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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01-18-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 211 | Top | 89-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
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01-15-18 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 229 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go OVER the total.
The defending champion Golden State Warriors are the highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging over 115 points per game. They have scored 120+ points in seven of their last 10 overall, and they have scored 120+ points in seven straight with Steph Curry in the lineup. The Cavs are also one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, however they rank near the bottom of the league in points allowed. They have given up 120+ points in three of their last four overall, and they have lost three straight. The Warriors have dominated this series, winning six of the last seven meetings. While the most recent meeting was a low scoring game with the Warriors winning 99-92, Steph Curry did not play in that game. The previous four games in this series all went over the total, and Curry played in all of those games. The Warriors have gone over in seven of their last eight overall, and six of their last eight at Cleveland. The Cavs have gone over in four of their last five home games, and the over is 9-0 in their last nine home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-17 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 206 | Top | 92-117 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHI@BOS to go UNDER the total. |
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11-13-17 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 208 | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
10* |
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10-31-17 | Thunder v. Bucks UNDER 213.5 | Top | 110-91 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
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10-26-17 | Clippers v. Blazers UNDER 216 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show |
10* |
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10-23-17 | 76ers v. Pistons UNDER 214.5 | Top | 97-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@DET to go UNDER the total.
The Pistons are off to a solid 2-1 start, and they've been strong on defense allowing just over 104 points per game. They host the Sixers tonight, and despite so much optimism in Philly, this team is still a long way away from being competitive. The 0-3 Sixers have failed to score 100 points in back to back double digit losses. They hit just 39 percent from the field in a loss at Toronto on Saturday, and they could struggle against this gritty Detroit defense. Both these teams rank in the Top 10 in the league in defending the three-point shot, and the Sixers rank 26th overall in field goal percentage. These teams played three times last season, failing to reach the total in two of those three contests. The total for tonight's game is actually higher than it was in any of those three previous meetings. The Pistons have gone under in six straight home games against teams below .500. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-17 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | Top | 88-130 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHO@LAC to go UNDER the total. The Suns played a high scoring game at home last night, coming up just short in a heart-breaking two point (132-130) loss to the Lakers. They will play at the Staples Center against the other team from Los Angeles tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for the Suns. They have failed to cover in three of their last four against the Clippers in LA, and they failed to score 100 points in all four of those games. The Clippers are a different team without Chris Paul, but so far the most important thing about his replacement (Patrick Beverly) has been his defense. After shutting down Lavar Ball in the Clippers season opener, some media personalities were calling him "the best defensive PG in the NBA". The Suns have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 12 when coming off a loss, and I expect this game to be decided midway through the third quarter. The backups might get some minutes in garbage time here, and it's going to be tough for these teams to reach such a high total in a lopsided game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
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10-20-17 | Blazers v. Pacers OVER 221.5 | Top | 114-96 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@IND to go OVER the total.
The Indiana Pacers scored 140 points in their season opener, despite shooting just 9-of-34 from beyond the arc. They had eight players score in double figures, and the played at an incredible fast pace. They host the Portland Trailblazers on Friday night, and Portland is a team that is happy to run with the likes of Indiana. The total for this game is a little higher than it has been in previous meetings, but these teams combined to score over 225 points in three of the last four meetings. The Blazers scored 124 points, and shot 14-of-24 from three point range in their season opener versus Phoenix. CJ McCollum sat out the season opener due to a suspension, but he should be ready to go here in Indiana. The Pacers beat the Blazers 118-111 at home last December (the most recent meeting), and four of the Blazers last five at Indiana have gone over the total. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 221 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go Under the total.
Game 1 of the NBA Finals fell well short of an inflated total, and the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower number for Game 2. We saw an offensive outburst in the second game of the series, but the end result was the same (a blowout win for the Warriors). Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Cavs will play the Warriors in a rematch of last year's NBA Finals. In fact this is the third straight season that Cleveland will face the Warriors in the Finals, and over the past two seasons they have played 13 NBA Finals matches. Not one of those games saw more than 216 combined points. During the regular season these teams played three times, and went under in all three games. Despite these trends, a matchup between two teams that each ranked in the top five in scoring has the bookmakers opening with another enormous total for Game 1. Both these teams have put up impressive points totals in these playoffs, but they've also been dominant on defense. The Warriors have gone over in six straight, but the total for this game in far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. So far in these playoffs neither the Warriors or the Cavs have truly been in a position where they need to battle for a full 48 minutes. This is the Finals, and the stakes are high. Don't expect to see easy buckets and mental lapses on the defensive side of the ball. LeBron's legacy is at stake here, and while he just passed MJ to become the all time playoff scoring leader, I've been more impressed with his defense so far in this post-season." After a combined 245 points were scored in Game 2, the total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was on Sunday. I think this is another over-correction by the bookmakers. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | Top | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 149 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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05-25-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 216 | Top | 135-102 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total . The last time these two teams played in Boston, the total fell short of an inflated number. I cashed in on that game, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game." The situation is a little different here in Game 5, as the Celtics are now facing elimination. The Cavs previously closed out Toronto and Indiana, and both of those elimination games saw fewer than 212 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-17 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 216 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@CLE to go UNDER the total.
After suffering the worst loss in NBA Playoff History in Game 2 at home, the Celtics stunned the Cavs in Cleveland winning Game 3 by a score of 111-108. The Cavs led by 21 points in the third quarter of that game, and it looked like it was going to be another blowout. The Cavs obviously took their foot off the gas, allowing Boston to get back in the game. I seriously doubt we'll see that happen here in Game 4 tonight. We saw how dominant the Cavs can be when they held the Celtics to just 31 points in the first half of Game 2. I expect to see that same defensive intensity here in tonight's game. The Celtics upset victory in Game 3 was a feel good story, and they deserve full credit for showing up to play under tough circumstances. Don't be surprised if they suffer a let down here in tonight's game, as it's doubtful that they continue to shoot the ball so well from beyond the arc. Scoring has been up in these playoffs, and that has bookmakers setting the totals higher and higher. I think the value here in Cleveland tonight is a play on the under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-21-17 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 213 | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 24 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on BOS@CLE to go OVER the total. |
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05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 220 | Top | 130-86 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 211 | Top | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@BOS to go UNDER the total.
The Wizards avoided elimination in Game 6 when John Wall hit a three-point shot with just three seconds on the clock to put Washington up by one. It was a clutch shot on a night when neither team shot the ball well, and every bucket was hard earned. Washington shot just 5-of-24 from beyond the arc, and they were just 13-of-21 from the free throw line. I expect to see another tightly contested defensive battle in a winner takes all contest at the Garden on Monday night. Washington really struggled in Game 5 in Boston, shooting just 38.5 percent from the field, and 24.1 percent from beyond the arc. Bradley Beal scored 33 points in Game 6 at home, three more than his combined points in the last two games in Boston. Over the last two seasons, we've seen six NBA playoff series go to a seventh and deciding game, and every one of those games saw fewer than 211 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-08-17 | Warriors v. Jazz OVER 206 | Top | 121-95 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
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05-07-17 | Spurs v. Rockets OVER 212 | Top | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
10* |
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05-04-17 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 204.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@GS to go OVER the total. |
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05-03-17 | Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 216 | Top | 96-121 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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04-27-17 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 196 | Top | 92-89 | Win | 100 | 58 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIL to go UNDER the total. |
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04-22-17 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 217 | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@POR to go OVER the total. |
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04-21-17 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 197 | Top | 111-106 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@UTAH to go UNDER the total. After back to back unders in the first two games in this series, I don't think there's any reason to expect a different result when the series shifts to Utah. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Jazz upset the Clippers in Game 1, holding LA to 95 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Utah led the NBA in opponent's scoring average during the regular season, allowing just 96.8 points per game. Game 1 of this series fell well short of the total, and it was the fourth time in Utah's last five games at LA that the total landed below the number. Utah has also gone under in four of it's last five road games. The Clippers are an above average defensive team, and here in a "must win", they should step up the intensity. DeAndre Jordan ranks third in the NBA averaging three blocks per game, and he blocked three shots in Game 1. Playoff basketball is often a lot more defensive than the style of play seen during the regular season. That is evidenced by the fact that the Jazz have gone under in five straight Conference Quarterfinals games, and LA has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven in the first round of the playoffs." Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-17 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 197 | Top | 77-104 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIL to go UNDER the total.
I hit the under in Game 1 of this series, and then I didn't have a bet on Game 2, when the total went way over. Both teams shot close to 50 percent from three-point range in Game 2, well above their season averages. That's unlikely to happen again here in Milwaukee in Game 3. I expect tonight's game to be similar to Game 1, and here is what I had to say before this series started: "The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Raptors in Toronto tonight, and the Bucks lost three of four games in the season series. Three of those four games went under the total, and the Bucks scored an average of just 96.5 points in those games. Milwaukee had a strong second half, and finished ranked top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus the Raptors, and four of their last five at Toronto. Scoring normally goes down in the playoffs, and the under is 9-2-2 in Milwaukee's last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. Last year in their first round series versus the Pacers, six of seven games failed to reach a total of 200 points" Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-18-17 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 197.5 | Top | 91-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTA@LAC to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-17-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 188.5 | Top | 82-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@SA to go OVER the total. The Spurs put on a defensive clinic in Game 1 of this first round series versus Memphis, holding the Grizzlies to just 39.2 percent shooting in a 111-82 home win. That game still went over the total of 190, and the total for tonight's game is even lower than it was in Game 1. I expect Memphis to battle back here in Game 2, and they should be a little better offensively. The Grizzlies trailed by just three points at the half in Game 1 (52-49). They only managed to score 33 points in the second half, but the Spurs didn't slow down at all. San Antonio hit 10-of-19 three-point attempts, and shot 53.2 percent from the field. While these are two of the top defensive teams in the NBA, the bookmakers may be overcompensating for that with a total that is far lower than it was in any of the five meetings in this series this season. The Spurs have gone over in four of their last five overall, while the Grizzlies have gone under just once in their last five games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-17 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 219.5 | Top | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
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04-15-17 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 203.5 | Top | 97-83 | Win | 100 | 52 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@TOR to go UNDER the total.
The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Raptors in Toronto tonight, and the Bucks lost three of four games in the season series. Three of those four games went under the total, and the Bucks scored an average of just 96.5 points in those games. Milwaukee had a strong second half, and finished ranked top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus the Raptors, and four of their last five at Toronto. Scoring normally goes down in he playoffs, and the under is 9-2-2 in Milwaukee's last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. Last year in their first round series versus the Pacers, six of seven games failed to reach a total of 200 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-15-17 | Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 213 | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 36 m | Show |
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04-06-17 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 205 | Top | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@IND to go UNDER the total. |
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03-26-17 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 208 | Top | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@GS to go Over the total.
The Warriors have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game against the Grizzlies as winners of six straight. They've scored over 110 points in their last five games, but they haven't reached the total in any of their last nine games. Bookmakers have noticed, and the total for tonight's game is much lower than it was in any of the last five meetings in this series. Three of those games went over the total, but both these teams are riding under trends at the moment. Steph Curry has been heating up, hitting 53.2 percent from the field and 48.9 percent from beyond the arc over his last five games. These teams have met twice this season, and both of those games went way over. I expect both teams to go over 100 points here tonight, and it looks like the value lies with a play on over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-17 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 203.5 | Top | 97-100 | Win | 100 | 19 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@MIL to go UNDER the total. |
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03-24-17 | Nuggets v. Pacers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 125-117 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN@IND to go UNDER the total. |
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03-24-17 | Pistons v. Magic UNDER 207 | Top | 87-115 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
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03-23-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs UNDER 199 | Top | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
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03-19-17 | Kings v. Spurs UNDER 202.5 | Top | 102-118 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SAC@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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03-19-17 | Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 201.5 | Top | 91-116 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@TOR to go UNDER the total. |
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03-17-17 | Raptors v. Pistons UNDER 200.5 | Top | 87-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@DET to go UNDER the total.
The Raptors offense has struggled in the absence of starting PG Kyle Lowry, and they've averaged just 96 points per game over their last six. Four of those games were losses, including a 104-89 loss at Miami on Saturday. That was the last time they played on back to back nights, a situation that has seen them fail to reach the total in four straight. They've also gone under in eight of their last nine when coming off a loss. They will visit Detroit, a team that is battling for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons are level on points with ninth place Miami, and only occupy the eighth spot by virtue of the tie breaker. Chicago is only a game back in 10th place, meaning that this is very much a must win for Detroit. The Pistons have gone under in four straight home games, and they are one of the top defensive teams in the Eastern Conference. I expect a defensive battle here at the Palace tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-17 | Wolves v. Celtics UNDER 211 | Top | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
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03-13-17 | Bucks v. Grizzlies UNDER 204 | Top | 93-113 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@MEM to go UNDER the total.
The Bucks come into Memphis riding a six game winning streak, and they now occupy the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. During this win streak, they've played phenomenal defense, holding opponents under 100 points in five straight games. They don't have much margin for error, with Miami sitting just a game back in the standings. The Grizzlies are likely to play with a ton of desperation here as they look to end a five game losing streak. Even though they've been brutal defensively during their losing streak, Memphis is still the 4th best defensive team in the NBA allowing just over 100 points per game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in nine of the last 10. The one game that went over, was a 99-90 home win for Memphis. The under is 22-8-1 in Grizzlies last 31 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-17 | Wolves v. Bucks UNDER 202.5 | Top | 95-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN@MIL to go UNDER the total.
Both the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Milwaukee Bucks are making a push for the post-season. The Bucks have won five straight, and they've held the opposition to an average of 94 points in those games. Minnesota has won four of five, and has held opponents to an average of 91.6 points during that span. They come off a 103-102 home win over the Warriors last night, but they are still 2.5 games back of Denver for the final playoff spot in the West. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in nine of the last 12. The stakes are higher here than they were in any of those previous meetings, and I expect to see both teams play solid defense. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and four of their last five at home. They trailed Indiana by five points at halftime last night, but only gave up 35 points to the Pacers in the second half. I expect a similar result here in tonight's game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-17 | Spurs v. Thunder UNDER 213.5 | Top | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@OKC to go UNDER the total. |
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03-08-17 | Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 211.5 | Top | 91-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@MIN to go UNDER the total. |
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03-03-17 | Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 214 | Top | 135-130 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@ATL to go UNDER the total.
It's that time of year again... the stretch run in the NBA regular season. Teams are jockeying for playoff position, and preparing for the post-season. That means more attention to detail, and a lot more effort on the defensive side of the ball. Historically we know that playoff basketball tends to be significantly lower scoring than the regular season, but I believe that trend starts right now. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in six straight, and eight of their last 10. They host the Cavs, who have gone under in four of their last five. These two teams have trended over in recent meetings (7 of the last 10), but tonight's total is far higher than it was in an of those previous games. In fact, the listed total was under 200 in six of those games, and never higher than 208. The Hawks have more to play for, at home and sitting just 2.5 games out of first in their division. Atlanta ranks in the Top 10 in the league in points allowed, and the bottom 10 in points scored. They've gone under in four of their last five home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 222 | Top | 99-103 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total.
The Celtics host the Cavs Wednesday, and both teams are gearing up for a playoff run. This time of year we see teams step up the intensity on defense, especially in games like this. Boston has lost two of three games since the break, and the Celtics scored an average of less than 100 points in those games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially at The Garden where they've failed to reach the total in the last four meetings. Cleveland won nine of 11 games in February, and they've gone over in five straight road games. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all five of those games though, and it's far higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. Boston's leading scorer Isaiah Thomas is ice cold since the All Star break, shooting just 31.4 percent from the field in three games. He's not the only one struggling, Al Horford has totaled 10 points on 5-of-20 shooting the last two games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-17 | Heat v. Mavs UNDER 200 | Top | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@DAL to go UNDER the total.
The Heat have won 16 of their last 18 overall, but they face a tough test on the road in Dallas tonight. Both these teams are battling for a playoff spot, and Dallas has won three of their last four home games. The Mavs rank 4th overall in the NBA allowing just 100 points per game, and they rank 30th in scoring, averaging just 97.8 points per game. Dallas is coming off a 96-83 home win over New Orleans, and they held DeMarcus Cousins to just 12 points in that game. History favors the Heat, who have won four of the last five in this series. All five of those games saw fewer than 200 points scored, and I expect another defensive battle tonight. The under is 7-1-1 in the Mavs last nine games against Eastern Conference teams. Miami has gone under in five of it's last seven against Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-17 | Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 213 | Top | 114-98 | Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@BOS to go UNDER the total.
The Atlanta Hawks have come out of the All Star break in a slump. They lost their last game 108-86 at Orlando, and they've scored an average of 86.6 points per game while losing three straight. It won't get any easier tonight, playing on the road at Boston. The Celtics are 20-8 at home, and the have covered the spread in three straight home meetings with Atlanta. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in four straight meetings. The Celtics have gone under in nine of their last 10 home games when returning from a road trip. The total for tonight's game is higher that it was in each of the last 10 meetings. This time of year, when you have two teams jockeying for playoff position, you expect more emphasis on defense. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games, and I expect another low scoring game here at the Garden. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-17 | Hawks v. Clippers UNDER 213 | Top | 84-99 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@LAC to go UNDER the total.
The Clippers appear to have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game versus Atlanta as winners of three straight on the road. They put on a defensive clinic in an 88-72 win at Utah on Monday. Blake Griffin scored 26 points, pulled in 10 rebounds and dished out six assists, and the Clippers held the Jazz to just 32.2 percent shooting. Both the Clippers and the Hawks rank in the top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring, and both teams are coming off impressive defensive performances. Atlanta allowed Portland to score just 97 points in regulation in an overtime win at the Moda Center Monday. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings at Staples Center, and the under is 16-7-1 in Hawks last 24 versus Western Conference teams. This looks like a let down spot for the visitors, and I expect the Clippers to grind out a win at home against Hawks team that is 1-5 ATS in it's last six versus the Pacific Division. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-17 | Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 205 | Top | 88-111 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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02-12-17 | Pelicans v. Kings OVER 210 | Top | 99-105 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NO@SAC to go OVER the total. |
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01-28-17 | Kings v. Hornets OVER 209 | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
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01-26-17 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 202 | Top | 88-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAL@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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01-25-17 | Knicks v. Mavs UNDER 204.5 | Top | 95-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYK@DAL to go UNDER the total.
The Mavericks are coming off a blowout win over the Lakers, and they've held opponents to fewer than 100 points in four of their last five overall. Dallas only averages 96.6 points per game on offense (30th), but they have been one of the better defensive teams in league, allowing just 100 points per game (4th). They host the New York Knicks tonight, and the Knicks are struggling. New York beat the Mavs at home by a score of 93-77 at home in November, but had lost five straight in this series before that. Three of the last four meetings have gone under the total, and tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. Dallas has gone under in four of it's last five home games, and I expect another low scoring game in Texas tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-17 | Raptors v. Grizzlies UNDER 201 | Top | 99-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MEM to go UNDER the total.
The Raptors came up just short in a 108-106 home loss to San Antonio last night, and they have their work cut out for them on the road at Memphis in the second game of a back to back. The Grizzlies have lost three of their last four, but they will like their chances of getting back on track against a short-handed and tired opponent. Toronto's leading scorer DeMar Derozan didn't play last night, and isn't expected to play in Memphis. The Grizzlies are a tough team to score on at the best of times, ranking third in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing fewer than 100 points per game. Toronto won the last meeting between these two teams in a shootout in Toronto, but they had gone under in five straight meetings prior to that. They've failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 17 trips to Memphis. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-16 | Grizzlies v. Celtics OVER 198.5 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@BOS to go OVER the total.
The Grizzlies are one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 2nd in points allowed. Opponents are averaging just 97.7 points per game this season, but Memphis has lost four of it's last six, surrendering well over 100 points in each of it's last two losses. One of those games was a 112-109 home loss to the Celtics just seven days ago. They come into Boston tonight off a 112-102 loss at Orlando last night. Playing their second game of a back to back, the Grizzlies defense might not be at it's best. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in five of the last six meetings. Going back even further, the over is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings, and eight of the last 11 at Boston have gone over the total. The Celtics are hot, winning five of their last six, scoring an average of 108.9 points in those games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-16 | Lakers v. Hornets UNDER 213 | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers.
The Lakers are struggling after starting the season 10-10. They've lost nine of their last 10 overall, and PG DeAngelo Russell is still dealing with a knee injury that will keep him off the floor in Charlotte. The Hornets return home from a five game road trip, and they've won three of their last four at home. They held opponents under 100 points in all three of those wins, and they've held the opposition to an average of just 99 points in their last seven overall. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Hornets have gone under in five of their last seven overall, and 19 of their last 28 when playing on two days rest. The under is 6-2-1 in the Lakers last nine road games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-16 | Knicks v. Heat UNDER 204 | Top | 114-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYK@MIA to go UNDER the total. The New York Knicks are just 2-6 on the road this season, and they have failed to cover in nine of the last 10 in this series with the Heat. New York's 15th ranked offense is averaging 5.5 points fewer on the road than it does at home. The Heat are one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA, ranking 28th overall, averaging just 97.1 points per game. Miami's defense though is ranked 6th in the NBA, holding the opposition to an average of 98.8 points per game. The Heat are coming off a 99-92 loss at Portland, failing to reach the total for the fifth time in their last 10 games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Putting it in perspective, neither team has scored 100 points in the last four meetings, and the Knicks haven't reached the century mark in any of the previous 10 meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-16 | Heat v. Blazers OVER 214 | Top | 92-99 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@POR to go OVER the total. Portland is one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging over 110 points per game. They've scored an average of more than 121 points while winning two of three during this current home stand. They give up an awful lot of points as well, ranking 29th in the NBA allowing opponents to average more than 113 points. The Miami Heat are not known for their offense, but they come into Portland off back to back road wins at Denver and Utah. The Heat shot 51.2 percent in a 111-110 win at Utah on Thursday. These two teams have gone over the total in nine of the last 13 meetings, and the over is 12-1 in Portland's last 13 home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-16 | Lakers v. Grizzlies UNDER 200.5 | Top | 100-103 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAL@MEM to go UNDER the total. |
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11-30-16 | Hawks v. Suns UNDER 209.5 | Top | 107-109 | Loss | -119 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
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11-30-16 | Lakers v. Bulls UNDER 210 | Top | 96-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAL@CHI to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-30-16 | Grizzlies v. Raptors OVER 195 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
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11-30-16 | Pistons v. Celtics OVER 197.5 | Top | 121-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@BOS to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-28-16 | Jazz v. Wolves UNDER 196 | Top | 112-103 | Loss | -117 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
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06-10-16 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 206 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go OVER the total. After both the first two games of this series failed to reach the total, the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower number for Game 3 in Cleveland. The pace of play in the first two games should have resulted in a higher score, but Cleveland just kept on missing shots. The Cavs shot 52.7 percent from the field in Game 3, and they were 12-of-25 from three point range. Still the total for Game 4 remains much lower than it was in the first two games, and I think after three straight lob-sided games, we might finally see a competitive contest here in Game 4. Surely the Splash Sisters have to be better, and they have plenty to prove after going a combined 4-of-16 from beyond the arc in Game 3. The over is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-05-16 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 206.5 | Top | 77-110 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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06-02-16 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 210 | Top | 89-104 | Loss | -103 | 57 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go OVER the total. |