Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -1.5 | 0-10 | Win | 136 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Arizona lost game 1 of this series by a 5-3 count and Im betting they will lose this game as well vs what my power rankings suggest is the superior side. Phillies have won 17 of their L/24 overall play off games, and have now won 3 straight post season games by 2 or more runs. I know Dbacks Kely is a quality hurler, but the Phillies sometimes explosive batting order can make the best of pitchers look ordinary as was the case in game one of this series vs Zac Gallen. Also it must be noted that the Phillies pitching staff is also in top form and have not allowed more than 3 runs and 6 of their L/7 tilts. With that said, Phillies starter Nola won Game 3 of the NLDS last Wednesday, when he allowed two runs over 5 2/3 innings in the Phillies' 10-2 victory. He is 4-2 with a 3.76 ERA in seven career postseason starts. Momementum resides in the City of Brotherly Love. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or more ) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games and 49-30 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Play on Philadelphia -1.5 runline |
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10-09-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks used a six-run first inning against Dodgers legend Clayton Kershaw in Game 1, scoring five of those runs before making their first out of the evening, to earn an 11-2 victory on Saturday and its now bounce back time for a now wide awake Dodgers team. Dbacks starter Gallen gave up five earned runs in a start seven times this season and two were against the Dodgers, including Aug. 28 at Los Angeles where he allowed career-worst four homers whike serving up six runs in a 7-4 loss. That came during a three-game sweep by the Dodgers when the D-backs were outscored 23-5. My power rankings suggest Gallen does not matchup well here vs a explosive Dodgers batting order. Dodgers starter Miller faced the D-backs twice this season and went 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in 12 innings. LA DODGERS are 15-3 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher like Gallen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.3 which qualifies on this runline offering. LA DODGERS are 17-3 against the money line after allowing 9 runs or more this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.5 which easily qualifies on this runline offering. ARIZONA is 2-15 against the money line in road games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff registering in at -3.2 which qualifies on this run line offering. MLB. Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season are 35-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3. Play on LA Dodgers to win -1.5 |
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10-04-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 143 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
The Phillies Im betting get the series sweep when they host the Miami Marlins in Game 2 of a wild-card series on Wednesday. Philadelphia took the opener of the best-of-three set 4-1 on Tuesday and my projections make them strong favs for a convincing victory tonight. My power rankings suggest Braxton Garrett, a f hurler who has never pitched in the playoffs and went 9-7 with a 3.66 ERA in 31 games (30 starts) this season does not matchup well here vs this explosive Phillies batting order. In yesterdays win every Philadelphia player in the starting lineup had at least one hit of the team's 11 total hits. Rinse and repeat here today. MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), in October games are 30-10 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 runline |
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09-27-23 | Dodgers v. Rockies +1.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
The Rockies when playing at home, area dangerous underdog opponent. Coors Field is a wild card environment, and that was evident when Colorado took game one of this series as close +200 underdogs. Im once again betting on the spoilers giving the Dodgers all they can handle today making the runline a viable investment option. MLB Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 11-39 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate. Play on Colorado +1.5 runline |
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09-26-23 | Diamondbacks v. White Sox +1.5 | 15-4 | Loss | -127 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks will give the ball to right-hander Zach Davies (2-5, 6.81 ERA). Davies has not pitched more than four innings in any of his past three starts. His ERA was 7.11 on June 18, and it has not gone below 6.37 since then. He is fade material in his current form, and is being over rated here on this RL line offering. In two career starts against the White Sox, Davies is 0-1 with a 10.57 ERA. He gave up nine runs on 13 hits in 7 2/3 innings during those tilts. I know the White Sox Urena has not pitched much better, but it must be noted that the Dbacks are 0-6 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 3 seasons. ARIZONA is 1-11 ) against the money line vs. poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (CHI WHITE SOX) - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 6.50 or more over his last 10 starts are 63-17 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago White Sox on the +1.5 runline |
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09-19-23 | Angels v. Rays -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
Los Angeles (68-82) without their injured star Shohei Ohtani are fade material in their current form. Halos starter SANDOVAL is 1-11 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) LA ANGELS are 14-31 SU when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg diff clicking in -2.3 .
TAMPA BAY is 18-3 SU vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with the 3.6 rpg diff .TAMPA BAY is 37-11 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.3 which easily qualifies on this runline offering from the books. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games are 38-8 L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the a rpg diff of +3.1. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win -1.5 runline |
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09-17-23 | Padres v. A's +1.5 | 10-1 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
OAKLAND is 13-0 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse since 1997 like San Diegos starter Martinez who currently owns a 1.935 WHIP on the season overall. SAN DIEGO is 31-42 against the money line in road games this season. Oakland is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games and Im betting they keep it close today or pull of the ML underdog upset. The safest high probability bet at the most viable price is to take the run-line. Play on the As to cover +1.5 on the runline |
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09-06-23 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 5-12 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks (71-68) after a loss yesterday are in what you might call as deseration mode even. they are currently one game behind the Cincinnati Reds in the battle for the National League's third wild-card spot. The Miami Marlins are a half-game ahead of Arizona. They need to win and will be very motivated. Rockies starter Flexen owns a ugly 1-6 record along with a bloated 7,83 ERA on the season and is fade material here according to my power rankings. Flexen is 1-2 with a 5.94 ERA in seven starts since joining the Rockies. Flexen is 1-1 with a 5.48 ERA in four career starts against Arizona. Advantage Arizona on the runline. Arizonas starter Davies limited the Baltimore Orioles to one run and four hits over six innings in a 4-2 win on Friday and has momentum entering this tilt. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ARIZONA) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 56-9 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Arizona to win -1.5 runline |
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09-04-23 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
The Rockies have lost 11 of their last 14 games and look completely asleep at the proverbial wheel. The Rockies have lost each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a winning record. Meanwhile, Diamondbacks are battling with the Marlins, Giants, and Reds for the last wild card spot and need wins badly and Im betting will play like it here today. Merrill Kelly gets the ball, and he is 10-6 with a 3.31 ERA and 147 strikeouts this season and gives the Dbacks the edge on the hill. KELLY is 10-1 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.4. COLORADO is 3-34 against the money line as an underdog of +200 or more this season with a average rpg diff of +3.6 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who walked 1 or more hitters each of his last 2 outings are 76-13 L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average rpg diff of +2.5 going on the board. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 45-4 L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average run per game diff clicking in at +2.1 which qualifies on this runline offering. Play on Dbacks -1.5 to cover on the runline |
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08-30-23 | Rangers v. Mets +1.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The first two games in this series have been won by 1 run deficits and Im betting on another close tilt . SHOWALTER is 20-5 against the money line in home games after 2 straight one run losses in all games he has managed since 1997 with the average rpg diff clicking in at +0.6 which qualifies on this runline offering. Rangers starter DUNNING is 2-10 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)DUNNING is 5-17 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)DUNNING is 2-17 against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)DUNNING is 4-17 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +130 to -255) (TEXAS) - after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less against opponent after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games are 11-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. Play on the NY Mets to win +1.5 runline |
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08-29-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-9 | Win | 107 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
KELLY has never beaten the Dodgers in his career going 0-10 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.26 and a WHIP of 1.614 . Nothing changes tonight as the Dodgers with future HOF pitcher on the hill Kershaw have the edge. Kershaw is 5-1 along with a stingy 1.72 ERA at home this season. LA DODGERS are 22-4 SU in August games this season with a rpg diff of +2.6. Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 13-84 L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 which qualifies on this run line offering. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 4-45 L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LAD to win -1.5 runline |
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08-27-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Mariners | 2-3 | Win | 122 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
After smashing out a 15-2 win yesterday vs the Royals Im now betting on major regression here from Seattle. Note: SERVAIS is 4-16 SU after a win by 10 runs or more as the manager of SEATTLE. Seattle starter CASTILLO is 6-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 8-16 against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 7-33 L/26 seasons for. a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC to +1.5 runline |
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08-25-23 | Braves v. Giants +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
SFs starter and ace of the staff WEBB is 16-7 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)Webb has never lost to the Braves in his career, going 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA in five starts and Im betting he keeps them in this tilt as well. On the flipside, I know Strider has pitched well for the Braves and did well against the Giants last time he faced them, but now SF has the edge on what to expect from the righty and will make the necessary adjustments. ATLANTA is 11-20 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams against a run line of (+1.5, -210) to (-1.5, -255) (ATLANTA) - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 7-30 L/5 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Giants on the runline +1.5 |
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08-22-23 | Rockies v. Rays -1.5 | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
COLORADO is 39-104 SU in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons like the TBs Littell, with the average rpg diff coming-in at -1.9. Littell owns a 2.55 ERA with 11 strikeouts and one walk in 17 2/3 innings during this month, and in the process has posted a solid 0.793 WHIP and deserves respect here vs a Colorado side that struggles on the road especially against righties as is evident by the above trend and the lowly 3.7 rpg production in away tilts. TAMPA BAY is 37-9 SU in home games vs. a starting pitcher like Blach whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons with the average margin rpg diff clicking in at +2.3 which qualifies on this this runline offering. Rockies starter Blach owns a ugly 9.00 ERA in two career starts against the Rays. Rinse and repeat on board . COLORADO is 2-24 against the money line as a road underdog of +200 or more this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.8. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (COLORADO) - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 14-47 L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win -1.5 runline |
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08-21-23 | Marlins v. Padres -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 104 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Miamis starter WEATHERS is 0-7 SU vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3. WEATHERS is 1-10 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a rpg diff clicking in at -2.9. Weathers owns a 10.69 ERA in his L/3 starts and is fade material in his current form. Padres starter WACHA is 16-1 SU vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff registering at +4. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are 4-47 L/26 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at a whopping -4 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Padres -1.5 runline |
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08-21-23 | Giants +1.5 v. Phillies | 4-10 | Loss | -138 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Right-hander Aaron Nola (10-8, 4.58 ERA) hasn't pitched past 5 1/3 innings in any of his last four starts and is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA during that span, and Im betting things don't get much better for him and his Phillies today.SAN FRANCISCO is 12-3 against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons and the last time they visited the City of Brotherly love came away with a 3 game sweep. SF also beat the Atlanta Braves yesterday and now have momentum entering this tilt. Play on the Giants to win +1.5 runline |
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08-20-23 | Phillies v. Nationals +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 122 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Nationals have won three games of their L/4 and six of their past eight tilts going into a Sundays matchup against the visiting Philadelphia Phillies and deserve respect here as underdogs.
WASHINGTON is 25-19 SU vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season like Wheeler. WASHINGTON is 11-8 against the money line as a home underdog of +150 to +200 this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at - 0.2 in those 19 games, which qualifies on this ATS run-line offering. Nats starter WILLIAMS is 16-5 SU in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WILLIAMS is 22-13 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WILLIAMS is 17-6 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 39-19 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (PHILADELPHIA) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a below avg starting pitcher (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, in August games are 12-26 L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors which qualifies on this run line offering. Play on the Washington Nationals on the +1.5 runline |
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08-20-23 | White Sox v. Rockies +1.5 | 10-5 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
I know Colorados starter Flexen has been in sub par form this season, but he is still a viable hurler with great trending data behind him. C FLEXEN is 14-4 SU vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 17-4 SU vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 9-0 SU vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 15-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 20-8 SU line in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) With the White Sox struggling all season long. against righties like Flexen Im betting the home side edge here on this generous runline offering. BLACK is 41-22 SU in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .393 or better as the manager of COLORADO with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.7. WHITE SOX are 2-9 SU in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 8-23 SU line after 4 or more consecutive road games this season. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +215 to -130) (COLORADO) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 63-28 L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win +1.5 runline |
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08-19-23 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. Reds | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Toronto lost the first game of this series by a 1-0 count and now Im projecting a big rebound. Torontos starting pitcher today BASSITT is 15-0 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average margin of victory coming in at 5 rpg. TORONTO is 11-2 SU after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season with the average margin of victory clicking in at +2.3. SCHNEIDER is 38-19 SU in road games in the second half of the season as the manager of TORONTO with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (CINCINNATI) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 7-32 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Blue Jays to win -1.5 runline |
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08-17-23 | Mariners -1.5 v. Royals | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
George Kirby the Mariners starter enters this game in top form having garnered a 0.86 ERA along with a 0.571 WHIP in his L/3 trips to the hill. Here against a very inconsistent Royals offense Im betting he dominates again in a conclusive victory. Mariners starter KIRBY is 16-5 ( against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.7. SEATTLE is 31-16against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff registering in at +2.2. KANSAS CITY is 6-25 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 6-32 L/26 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win -1.5 on the Run-line |
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08-16-23 | Brewers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter KERSHAW is 41-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in his career with the average rpg diff coming in at +2.1. (Team's Record) He gives LAD a strong opportunity to extend their current red hot win streak of 9 games that has seen the Dodgers 7 of those 9 victories by +2 or more runs! Milwaukee is averaging just 3.2 rpg vs LHP this season via a nasty looking .219 BA and are fade material here vs future HOF pitcher Kershaw. LA DODGERS are 30-11 SU vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like Miley with the average rpg diff clicking at +2.8. LA DODGERS are 34-7 SU in August games over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff recorded at +3.4. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 72-11 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors withe the average run per game diff clicking in at +3 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Dodgers -1.5 runline |
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08-15-23 | White Sox +1.5 v. Cubs | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Hendricks' in has last three starts is 0-2 along with a bloated 6.19 ERA. In 12 career starts against the White Sox, Hendricks is 2-6 with a 4.77 ERA and is fade material here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. White Sox right-hander Touki Toussaint pitched a scoreless inning of relief against the Cubs on July 26 and has a 2.45 ERA against them lifetime in three relief appearances and Im betting he will keep his team in this game for as long as he is on the hill. CHI WHITE SOX is 5-0 against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons at Wrigley. CHICAGO CUBS are 0-12 SU in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 0-9 SU in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 2-13 SU in home games against AL Central opponents over the last 3 season.CHICAGO CUBS are 3-11 SU in home games after allowing 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on the White Sox to win +1.5 runline |
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08-14-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies +1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 125 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling as is evident by their LAST 10 GAMES: Rockies: 3-7, .186 batting average, 5.18 ERA, outscored by 20 runs Diamondbacks: 2-8, .224 batting average, 4.87 ERA, outscored by 21 runs. I know Arizona has won 2 straight, but the way their offense has struggled they do not look like viable favs, especially on this runline offering in a place (Coors Field) where the home side (Rockies) play their best ball. Yes, even with Merrill Kelly on the hill for the Dbacks. (after-all this is the launching pad known as Coors field and no pitcher is safe in this environment) If Kelley does not start the desert snakes overall woes in this venue will be become evident. Bottom line the Dbacks cannot be trusted to cover this runline offering. BLACK is 77-51 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season as the manager of COLORADO. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +215 to -130) (COLORADO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or more over his last 5 starts are 33-8 L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win on the +1.5 runline |
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08-12-23 | Tigers v. Red Sox -1.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Boston after some inconsistent play in July and early August have now won 3 straight games and have cashed 4 of their L/5 for their backers. With the Bosox facing struggling Motown starter Manning who has garnered a 0-3 record along with a 9.18 ERA in his L/3 starts they once again have an inside edge on conclusively coming out of this tilt with a victory. Meanwhile, Bostons Brian Bello remains a solid pitching proposition to back, as he has garnered a stable 3.08 ERA at home in Fenway this season. BELLO is 11-3 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with a +2.3 rpg diff . BOSTON is 11-1 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games this season with a average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 which qualifies on this Run-line offering. DETROIT is 4-19 against the money line against AL East opponents this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3 which qualifies on this Run-line offering. Play on Boston to win -1.5 runline |
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08-10-23 | Braves v. Pirates +1.5 | 5-7 | Win | 112 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Atlanta's rookie fire baller Elder has looked a little gassed of late as is evident by allowing 20 earned over his past 23 innings. He will be supported by a tired bullpen that has worked alot of innings recently.Elder has garnered a ugly 7.71 ERA over his last five starts. Advantage Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh won the opener 7-6 on Monday and must not be underestimated as they group looks fearless at the moment in the spoiler role. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA= 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games are just 19-32 L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pirates to win +1.5 runline |
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08-09-23 | Blue Jays v. Guardians +1.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
The Guardians squeezed out a 1-0 victory yesterday vs the Jays, and Im betting on another close game tonight , which gives us an edge with this runline offering. TORONTO is 25-31 SU against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons like the Guardians starter Allen. Jays starter GAUSMAN is 5-10 SU when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 45-32 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 season with a -0.2 rpg diff. MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +130 to -255) (TORONTO) - after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less against opponent after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games are 11-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Toronto are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against Cleveland and have lost 5 of the L/7 meetings in this series. Play on Cleveland Guardians +1.5 on the runline |
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08-07-23 | Rockies v. Brewers -1.5 | 1-12 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Right-hander Freddy Peralta (7-8, 4.46 ERA) goes to the hill for Milwaukee in the series opener today. Peralta registered a win in his last outing, striking out seven and allowing three runs over six innings in the Brewers' 6-4 victory at Washington lat week. Peralta , back on May 2 vs the Rockies struck out 10 in six innings on the way to a no-decision and once again according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up very well here and is a viable hurler to back at home where the Brewers have won 6 of their L/7 vs the Rockies. Note: Colorado has only averaged 3.9 rpg on the road this season, and have scored 2 or less runs in 3 of their L/4 overall. COLORADO is 2-20 SU as an underdog of +200 or more this season with the average rpg diff registering at -3.6. MLB Road underdogs with a opening money line of +200 or more (COLORADO) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts (Lambert), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 1-37 L/26 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.3 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 to win |
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08-06-23 | Diamondbacks v. Twins +1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks have lost 21 of their last 28 games and enter Sunday's action 1 1/2 games behind Cincinnati for the final NL wild-card spot and Im betting they will haver issues salvaging a win from this 3 game set today. I know their ace Zac Gallen has pitched well this season, but he is just 2-4 with a 4.93 ERA in 12 road starts and is being over rated here. Note: The Twins will return fire with a top tier hurler who suffered injury problems last season but now looks rehabilitated as is evident by making six starts for Saint Paul, where he went 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA while earning the International League Pitcher of the Month honors for July. Hes the wild card here and that makes us taking the runline a viable wagering opportunity. ARIZONA is 4-15 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season. ARIZONA is 3-14 SU vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB Road teams against a run line of (+1.5, -210) to (-1.5, -255) (ARIZONA) - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games are 4-38 L/26 seasons for a 91% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota +1.5 on the runline |
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08-05-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Phillies | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Two pitchers KCs Alec Marsh (0-5, 6.75 ERA) and Philadelphia left-hander Cristopher Sanchez (0-3, 2.66) are hurlers who cant find the win column. Nothing comes easy for these two throwers and that that lack of being able to get across the finish line will factor into this tilt. It must be be noted that Kansas City recorded its seventh straight win with a 7-5 victory in the series opener on Friday and with that positive momentum on their sides Im betting they wont easily be defeated here tonight in Philadelphia by the Phillies. QUATRARO is 6-0 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of KANSAS CITY. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (PHILADELPHIA) - starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 134-150 L/26 seasons for a sub par 47.5% conversion rate. ( This Runline offering matches up well with this SU data base gem) MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 67-32 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC Royals +1.5 runline |
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08-02-23 | Mets v. Royals +1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 110 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
The Royals have now won 4 straight games via. a up-ticking offense that has scored 27 runs in those 4 tilts , and have momentum entering this contest vs a very inconsistent NY Mets side in the 2nd game of this series. After the Mets shipped away top reliever David Roberston along with Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander you can bet on some negative down energy in the Mets dugout today making them fade material. NY METS are 19-28 SU vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Ragans . NY METS are 15-19 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. SHOWALTER is 35-60 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in all games he has managed since 1997. KANSAS CITY is 29-19 SU in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 32-22 SU in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 41-16 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC Royals to cover +1.5 on the run line |
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07-29-23 | Brewers v. Braves -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
The Braves took a conclusive 10-7 win vs the Brewers yesterday and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation manifesting itself here again today. ATLANTA is 44-20 against the money line after a win this season. ATLANTA is 11-1 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like the Brewers Teheran. Meanwhile Braves fireballer Bryce Elder (7-2 , 3.32 ERA) while not pitching all that well of late, is more than capable of bouncing back here against a very inconsistent Milwaukee Bucks offense that is averaging just 4 rpg on the road this season via a .232 BA. The Braves are batting .277 at home this season while averaging 5.9 rpg. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 4-44 L/27 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1 rpg which qualifies on this RL offering. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (MILWAUKEE) - after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR, in July games are 14-40 L/4 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win -1.5 |
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07-26-23 | Pirates +1.5 v. Padres | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
The Padres will send out Seth Lugo (4-4, 3.72 ERA) to face the Pirates' Johan Oviedo (3-11, 4.77) on Wednesday. I know Oviedo has lost his past eight decisions but he owns a stable 3.23 ERA in five starts in June and I expect he will keep his team in this game against a Padres side the Pirates have had success against lately winning 4 of the L/5 meetings. SAN DIEGO is 9-15 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (PITTSBURGH) - poor hitting team (AVG.250 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 32-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pirates +1.5 on the run-line |
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07-26-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Guardians | 3-8 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
The Guardians will be the first below .500 team Marsh (0-4, 6.20 ERA) has gone against. He made his debut against the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 30, then started against the Minnesota Twins, Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees -- and lost all 4 starts However, this offense he goes against here today is very light hitting and Im betting he gives them all they can handle, which will help keep his team in this game . In 100 games that the Guardians have played this season, they have a 0.00 rpg diff . MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL) are 34-9 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +165 to -135) (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 36-12 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.' Play on the Royals +1.5 run-line |
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07-23-23 | Rockies v. Marlins -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Luzardo (8-5, 3.34 ERA the Marlins starter has seen his team go 13-7 when he starts. The southpaw has won his past three decisions and hasn't lost since June 12 and gives his team a great opportunity to end their current 7 game losing streak here today in convincing fashion. Colorado has averaged just 3.7 rpg on the road this season MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 70-10 L/5 seasons for a 88 % conversion rate including 8-0 100% this season with a rpg diff clicking in at +2.7 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Miami Marlins to win -1.5 |
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07-20-23 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The Astros dominated a pair of earlier three-game series against Oakland, sweeping both by a total score of 31-9 and Im betting on more of the same action here tonight in Oakland. OAKLAND is 6-37 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season with average rpg diff clicking in at -3.9 which qualifies on this run line offering.
Im betting Astros starter (France) who was supported by 27 total runs, in three recent starts has the edge. He went 2-0 with a 2.60 ERA in those outings and deserves respect on this run-line offering as he is supported by a bullpen that owns a solid 3.67 ERA on the season. Meanwhile, As starter left-hander Hogan Harris (2-3, 6.51 ERA), have seen his team lose in each of his last five appearances, three of which were starts. In the other two, Harris served in a bulk-innings reliever role. The rookie has gone 0-3 with an 8.03 ERA over that stretch and is fade material at this point of his career in a starters role. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to +165) (OAKLAND) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), playing on Thursday are 5-29 L/5 seasons for a 85% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston -1.5 run-line |
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07-15-23 | Rays -1.5 v. Royals | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
After a fast start to their season the Rays showed some regression just before the all star break, but they did take a 10-4 win in their final game before the break against the Atlanta Braves and have both rest and some momentum entering this game after yesterdays tilt was cancelled. ampa Bay's Tyler Glasnow (2-3, 4.10 ERA) and Kansas City's Alec Marsh (0-2, 7.00) are scheduled to face off in the opener. With the pitching advantage going to the Rays. Glasnow struck out 12 of the 19 batters he faced in five innings during the most recent outing against the Royals, back on June 25 and gets my support today against a very inconsistent Royals offense. The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 93 games (+8.15 Units / 7% ROI) MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line -120 to +115) (TAMPA BAY) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA= 5.70 to 6.20)-AL, on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors are 32-7 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win -1.5 |
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07-14-23 | White Sox v. Braves -1.5 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
Atlanta (60-29) has won three of its last four games, 12 of its last 14, and has won 11 consecutive series dating back to Arizona, June 2-4. The Braves lead the NL East by 8 1/2 games over the Miami Marlins and deserve respect here on this run line offering vs a very inconsistent Chicago White Sox club. Atlantas starter Morton has won his last four starts. His last time out he pitched 6 1/3 innings and allowed one run on four hits, two walks and six strikeouts in a win over Tampa Bay.Quote: "Charlie was really, really good and very efficient," Atlanta manager Brian Snitker said. "He just keeps amazing me. The ball was coming out of his hand really good." End Quote. Morton has made three career starts against Chicago, going 3-0 with a 3.57 ERA and get the nod again in what Im betting will be a conclusive Braves victory. Note: The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+14.05 Units / 72% ROI) ATLANTA is 19-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.4 which qualifies on this ATS offering. ATLANTA is 11-0 against the money line in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff registering at +3. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (CHI WHITE SOX) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more with the average rpg diff clicking at +4 which easily qualifies on the is run-line offering. Play on Braves to cover -1.5 run-line |
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07-05-23 | Rockies v. Astros -1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
Colorado is only averaging 3.7 rpg on the season, and against a quality pitcher like France should once again have problems with run production.France pitched seven shutout innings in his previous trip to the hill against the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday, allowing four hits and two walks while fanning two in a 14-0 win.Meanwhile, Right-hander Chase Anderson (0-3, 6.50) will start the series finale for the Rockies on Wednesday and is projected as cannon fodder for a Houston team that starting to hit on all cylinders having won 6 of their L/7 overall. Anderson has lost each of his last three starts ,recording a ugly a 21.21 ERA in the process.Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Rockies are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. American League West.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (COLORADO) - after a game where they had at least 10 less hits than their opponent, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 9-38 L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston Astros runline -1.5 |
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06-25-23 | Nationals v. Padres -1.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Left-hander MacKenzie Gore (3-6, 4.02 ERA) will start for the Nationals against Padres' right-hander Seth Lugo (3-3, 3.86). After getting shutout yesterday Im betting on an immediate bounce back today in what my projections estimate is a multiple run or more victory. Note: Gore is on a five-decision losing streak, and the Nationals have lost nine of the past 10 games that Gore has started. Add another negative number to that tally today. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (SAN DIEGO) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 54-7 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.9 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on San Diego to win -1.5 |
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06-24-23 | Nationals v. Padres -1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
Padres bats have exploded in their L/2 trips to the diamond procuring 23 runs , and Im betting their red hot bats will continue thier top tier work today vs a Washington side that has allowed 8, 9, 5, and 13 runs in 4 of their L/5 tilts and allowed an average of 6.3 rpg in their L/7 games overall with the average rpg diff clicking in at 3.2 rpg (1-6 record). note: MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who walked 1 hitters or less each of his last 2 outings are 13-74 L/26 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors with the the average rpg diff clicking in a t +2.3 which qualifies on this run line offering. Padres to win -1.5 runline |
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06-23-23 | Brewers +1.5 v. Guardians | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
Brewers starter Miley (4-2, 3.28 ERA) is of a 5-0 win against the Pittsburgh Pirates last time out and has momentum behind him entering this tilt against a Guardians side Im betting he matches up well against. Meanwhile, Cleveland will reply with right-hander Shane Bieber (5-4, 3.51 ERA) in the series opener. Bieber has not looked as consistent this season as he did when the won the Cy Young award in the 2020 season. Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 inter-league road games vs. a team with a losing record. Guardians are 7-15 in their last 22 interleague home games. MILWAUKEE is 20-10 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons CLEVELAND is 4-11against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MILWAUKEE) - NL team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less), cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games are 34-18 L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (CLEVELAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 10-25 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (CLEVELAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 5-30 L/26 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Brewers |
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06-18-23 | White Sox v. Mariners -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 131 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Lynn, is in. a big time funk as is evident by having allowed 17 earned runs over his last three starts spanning (14 innings), and overall has have a very disappointing start to his season. He is getting hit hard ,ranking in the 31st percentile in hard-hit rate. Meanwhile, Mariners starter Bryce Miller is projected to have a decent game here vs a White Sox offense that ranks 24th in baseball in runs per game scored. Mariners are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Lynn.. White Sox are 7-18 in their last 25 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Miller. White Sox are 6-20 in their last 26 during game 3 of a series. Play on Seattle to win |
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06-14-23 | Rays v. A's +1.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
The Rays after a very fast start to their season, are suffering some regression entering this game, as is evident by having lost 3 of their L/4 including the first two games of this series against a Oakland As side that has now won 7 straight, and on a proverbial opposite trajectory to their opponents after a disturbing start to their current campaign. The As have momentum on thier sides, and it seems all aspects of their game pitching/hitting are all in high gear at this time which Im betting gives us value on this runline offering. Rays are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the As Medina .Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League West. TAMPA BAY is 10-17 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play on Oakland to cover +1.5 runline |
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06-12-23 | Rockies +1.5 v. Red Sox | 4-3 | Win | 115 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Im betting the Rockies will catch the Red Sox in an emotional letdown spot after a come from behind victory last night in extra innings against arch rivals the NYY. BOSTON is 1-8 against the money line in home games in an inter-league game this season. Both these hurlers Seabold and Paxton have pitched decently of late and both have seen their L/2 trips to the mound decided by 1 run and with that said, I expect a closer game than the line might indicate. Since we are getting +1.5 runs here on plus money, Im feeling confident about the viability of this wager. Red Sox are 1-10 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter like Seabold. Play on Colorado on the +1.5 runline |
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05-30-23 | Braves -1.5 v. A's | 1-2 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
The Braves behind top tier pitcher Elder (3-0, 2.01 ERA) look like viable bets here tonight on the run-line vs a downtrodden As side. The right-hander's ERA ranks third among all qualified major league pitchers. Oakland ended an 11-game losing streak with a 7-2 victory on Monday, giving the A's just their 11th win this season and sixth at home. Im betting on them having immediate regression here today and for the Braves to be primed for a big win in redemption mode. Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 inter-league road games vs. a team with a losing record. Braves are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Oakland.OAKLAND is 1-19 SU vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with the average run per game diff clicking in at +4 which easily qualifies on this run line offering.OAKLAND is 8-41 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.7. Play on Atlanta Braves -1.5 to win |
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05-01-23 | Reds +1.5 v. Padres | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 0-11 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) I know he has pitched well recently but it must be noted thatSNELL is 5-13 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 overall and get the nod here on. a value run line. Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League Central. Play on Cincinnati Reds +1.5 runline |
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04-29-23 | Royals v. Twins -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
The Royals have lost by 2 runs or more in 8 of their L/11 overall losses and this tilt projects out to be a runline win for the Twins. The Twins last 5 wins overall have come by 2 runs or more. Rinse and repeat in a projected mismatch. Note: KCs starter Brad Keller . Over the past 14 games, a Royals starter has been has garnered a win just one time , with all Royals starters combining to allow 57 runs (56 earned) in 67 2/3 innings during that span -- an ERA of 7.45. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (MINNESOTA) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 58-9 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.5 which qualifies on this run line offering from the books. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 11-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Twins -1.5 runline |
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04-27-23 | A's v. Angels -1.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
The As look abysmal at this point in the season, and today Im betting they have huge problems with Angels super star starter Ohtani. Ohtani (3-0, 0.64 ERA) has made five starts this season and is yet to give up more than three hits in a game. OAKLAND is 1-15 against the money line after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with the average rpg diff clicking at -5.5. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (OAKLAND) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 1-36 L/26 seasons. Play on the LAA to win -1.5 runline |
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04-22-23 | Royals v. Angels -1.5 | 11-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
The Royals have lost 7 straight and 10 of their L/11 with only one of the losses coming by 2 or less runs. Advantage Halos on the runline. KANSAS CITY is 2-17 against the money line after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff registering at -3.2. Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-34 L/5 seasons with the average rog didd clicking in at +2.6 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 4-41 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.2 which qualifies on this Run-line offering. Play on the LA Angels to win -1.5 |
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04-21-23 | White Sox v. Rays -1.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
The Rays are off to a 16-3 start with a plus-83 run differential, the largest through 19 games in the modern-baseball era and Im betting on some rinse and repeat action here this evening as they host the White sox they will send Michael Kopech (0-2, 6.32 ERA) to start the series opener for Chicago. Tampa Bay ahs averaged 7.8 rpg at home this season and blasted righty starters like Kopech for an average 7.2 rpg. TAMPA BAY is 20-2 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.9 which qualifies on this run-line offering.TAMPA BAY is 12-0 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with the rpg diff registering at +5.8 which qulaifies on this runline offering. Play on TB to win -1.5 |
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04-19-23 | Rays -1.5 v. Reds | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Tampa Bays starter RASMUSSEN is 13-0 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.9 which easily qualifies on this runline offering. Meanwhile ,the Reds will turn to a rookie making his major league debut Wednesday as right-hander Levi Stoudt gets the spot start. Needless to say this is a bad matchup vs an inexperienced MLB pitcher. Rays are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Reds are 8-24 in their last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the TB Rays to win -1.5 runline |
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04-16-23 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | 9-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Houstons starter VALDEZ is 22-5 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.4 which qualifies on this runline offering. Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and this year so far are averaging just 2.5 rpg in production vs southpaws. .Meanwhile,HOUSTON is 45-15 against the money line against left-handed starters like Heaney over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.9. The Astros superior starter and bullpen will help us cover this runline offering. Play on Houston to win -1.5 runline |
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04-13-23 | Red Sox v. Rays -1.5 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
The Rays have been in top form so far this season and have recorded 4 shutouts and registered 12 straight wins and now Im betting on lucky 13 to be a conclusive victory. The 12 wins to start their season have seen 11 of those games decided by 2 or more runs and a rinse and repeat situation is my bet today vs a Red Sox side that has lost 3 straight .TAMPA BAY is 20-5 against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons as hosts.Rays are 42-11 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Red Sox are 8-20 in their last 28 road games.Red Sox are 4-12 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Red Sox are 13-40 in their last 53 games on astroturf. Play on Tampa Bay to win -1.5 |
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04-12-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Rangers | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Brad Keller. In his first two starts of the year Keller has a 1-1 record with a 2.61 ERA and nine Ks in 10.1 innings and has the ability to keep his team in this game. Meanwhile, Texas sends Eovaldi who is 1-1 with a 4.22 ERA. According to early season power rankings KCs struggling offense matches up well here giving us an edge on a runline wager backing the visiting Royals. TEXAS is 38-60against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (TEXAS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season (AL), playing on Wednesday are 6-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. Play on Royals +1.5 run-line |
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04-10-23 | Nationals v. Angels -1.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
The Angels will be primed for a redemption performance today after blowing a big lead to the Blue Jays yesterday and finally succumbing in extra innings by a 12-11 count. Washingtons starting hurler CORBIN is 2-19 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.4 which qualifies on this run line offering. CORBIN is 4-25 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff registering at -3.9 rpg. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (WASHINGTON) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 10-61 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.5 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Angels -1.5 runline |
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10-04-22 | Rockies v. Dodgers -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -150 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter URIAS is 15-0 SU vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.6 which qualifies on this run line offering. LA DODGERS are 17-1 SU in home games after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff recording at +3.. The Rockies upset the Dodgers yesterday by a 2-1 count. Big rebound on board for today for the Dodgers. ROBERTS is 164-61 SU in home games after allowing 2 runs or less as the manager of LA DODGERS. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 61-7 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.6 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on LA Dodgers to win -1.5 |
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10-02-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 110 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
Blue Jays are crushing the BoSox this season going 15-3 against the bean town crew. They’ve won eight consecutive tilts in the season series by a combined score of 77-22 count and Im betting that run wont end today behind a offense that has been on fire -Toronto’s owns .828 OPS over the last 15 days which ranks second in MLB and will also help power this total to be eclipsed . |
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09-25-22 | Tigers v. White Sox -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
White Sox starter CEASE is 15-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.8 which qualifies on this this run line offering.CEASE is 10-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.87 and a WHIP of 1.144.. I know the White Sox have lost 5 straight, but today Im betting on a offensive explosion vs a pitcher on T.Alexander that owns a 7.07 road ERA this season. ALEXANDER in his career is 0-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.17 and a WHIP of 1.722. DETROIT is 91-268 against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997 with a rpg diff of -2.1. Play on White Sox to win -1.5 |
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09-22-22 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter URIAS is 13-0 against the money line vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) the rpg diff clicks in at +5.2 which easily qualifies on this runline offering. URIAS is 27-4 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average run per game diff coming in at +3.4. Urias is in top form having garnered minuscule 1..89 ERA in his L/3 starts all wins allowing just 4 ERS in 19 innings of quality work, and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. URIAS is 6-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 0.781 in his career. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 33-2 L/25 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.6 rpg which qualifies on this ATS ( Run-line) offering. Play on the LA Dodgers to win -1.5 |
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09-07-22 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Padres | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Dbacks starter Henry will face the Padres today and has been in good form away from home of late , going 2-0 in his last two road starts, with a 3.49 ERA. He took a bit of beating last time out, but is a quality hurler and Im betting he bounces back. Padres Starter DARVISH is 3-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL are 42-101 L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dbacks +1.5 run-line |
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09-06-22 | Marlins v. Phillies -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
The Phillies dropped two of three against the Arizona Diamondbacks and were then swept by the San Francisco Giants to cap the 1-5 road swing and will now be hungry for redemption and to get their momentum back on a upward swing against a Marlins side that has lost 7 straight games. PHILADELPHIA is 23-4 SU vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.8. MIAMI is 4-23 SU vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg diff clikcing in at -3.1. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 3 starts are 13-77 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in a t-2.8 which qualifies on this ATS line offering. Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 |
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08-30-22 | Rockies v. Braves -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -159 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Colorado stater URENA is 2-23 SU vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.9. Jose Urena owns a ugly 10.39 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and looks like cannon fodder for the explosive Braves. Braves starter FRIED is 13-1 against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with average rpg diff recorded at +3.8. ATLANTA is 20-2 SU when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season with the rpg diff registering at +2.8 . Atlanta is in a rebound mode tonight after two straight losses. Note:ATLANTA is 13-1against the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses this season with average rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 113-20 L/5 seasons with the average run diff clikcing in at +3.3 which qualifies on this ATS line offering. Play on Atlanta to win -1.5 |
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08-30-22 | Rays -1.5 v. Marlins | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The host Miami Marlins, have previously lost five straight games to the in-state rival Tampa Bay Rays and Im betting nothing changes today. It must be noted that in two career starts against the Marlins, Rays starter McClanahan is 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA. That includes a 4-0 win on May 24 when McClanahan pitched brilliantly with nine strikeouts in six scoreless innings. Rinse and repeat scenario now in play. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (MIAMI) - bad NL offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 8-33 L/25 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rays to win -1.5 |
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08-29-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Marlins | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Right-hander Tony Gonsolin has been over powering this season as is evident by a 16-1 record along with a stingy 2.10 ERA . Im betting he continues to add to his Cy Young award chances here today vs a very inconsistent Miami Marlins side. Advantage on multi run victory for the powerful Dodgers offense . GONSOLIN is 14-1 SU line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.5. MIAMI is 2-15 SU vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg dfff clicking in at -3.5 . MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 112-20 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.3 rpg which qualifies on this run-line offering. MLB Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) -NL, hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 10 games are 37-11 L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Dodgers -1.5 |
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08-28-22 | Yankees v. A's +1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 122 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
These teams played two tight games so far in this series with each side squeezing out 3-2 victories. More of the same projected action is now on board giving us value with a runline wager with the As. BOONE is 26-30 SU in road games revenging a one run loss to opponent as the manager of NY YANKEES. Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 games following a loss. Yankees are 6-15 in their last 21 road games. Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. NY YANKEES are 5-10 SU in road games in day games this season. NY YANKEES are 5-11 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 2 seasons like Martinez. Road teams (NY YANKEES) - after a one run loss against opponent after scoring 4 runs or less 6 straight games are 19-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the As to win +1.5 runline |
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08-28-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Marlins | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter URIAS is 14-1 SU in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.1 . URIAS is also 17-2 SU in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.7. Miami squeezed by the Dodgers yesterday, but a repeat performance is not on the table here today. Note: MIAMI is 5-16 against the money line after allowing 1 run or less this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 111-20 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on the LA Dodgers to win -1.5 run-line |
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08-24-22 | Cardinals -1.5 v. Cubs | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The red hot visiting Cardinals Im betting will grab their 10th victory in 11 games when they face the Cubs on Wednesday night . Im also betting it comes in conclusive fashion. The NL Central-leading Cardinals have hit .310 with 18 homers while averaging seven runs over the last 10 trips to the diamonds. Meanwhile, their pitching staff has a 2.17 ERA with an opposition batting orders averaging f .178 in the last 12 contests. Rinse and repeat here tonight behid Cards starter Mikolas who has given up three runs and six hits while going eight innings in each of his last two starts, both wins. MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +130 to -255) (ST LOUIS) - off a win of 10 runs or more over a division rival, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 35-10 L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 17-55 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.6 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on the Cardinals -1.5 runline |
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08-24-22 | Braves v. Pirates +1.5 | 14-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
In this series finale, Atlanta right-hander Kyle Wright (15-5, 3.14 ERA) is scheduled to face Pittsburgh right-hander Mitch Keller (4-9, 4.49). Keller according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings matches up well here vs the Braves giving us the edge on the run-line. The Braves won all four games in a home series against Pittsburgh in June and have won the first two this series 2-1 and 6-1 but Im betting on some regression here today. ATLANTA is 18-22 against the money line in day games this season. Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games are 32-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate! Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 runline |
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08-22-22 | Mets v. Yankees +1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
After watching the Yankees find a way to salvage a game from their weekend series with the Blue Jays yesterday I feel their is a momentum edge here taking the Yanks to find a way to pull off another victory and get them selves out of this late season funk. I know The Yanks starter German has looked far from spectacular since his return from the IR, but now I expect after enough innings of work should also be ready to help his team get going in the right direction. Note:GERMAN is 14-2 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in his career. (Team's Record) Its obvious he pulls in a diff gear in these kinds of tilts at home. I know the Mets will send out top tier hurler Scherzer (9-2, 2.15 ERA) but a we know this Yankees team can make the best of hurlers look bad. Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague home games. Play on the Yankees +1.5 runline |
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08-21-22 | Marlins +1.5 v. Dodgers | 3-10 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Todays Im going to back a potential Cy Young award front runner in this tilt featuring the visiting Marlins vs the LA Dodgers. The Marlins stater Sandy Alcantara owns a stingy 2.78 xERA, and is allowing a .243 xwOBA, with opposition batting orders garnering a lowly .209 xBA against the strong righty. Meanwhile, the Dodgers will replay with inexperienced R Pepiot. The Dodgers right hander has made just six starts in the the big leagues and despite of no losses, recorded a sub par 5.03 xERA, a 7.11 BB/9 rate, and 1.77 HR/9 rate. These are obviously not good numbers, and even the light hitting Marlins look capable of doing some damage here against him. The Dodgers are a great team and own a consistent offense so they are always dangerous, but Im betting Alacantara can keep them in this game and they could possibly steal it. Marlins are 10-3 in their last 13 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League West.Marlins are 12-5 in their last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher who is undefeated after 5 or more starts, starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 25-56 L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami +1.5 |
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08-20-22 | Royals v. Rays -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 110 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Rasmussen (7-4, 2.80 ERA) had a bid for a perfect game last time he took to the hill and enters this game in top form. In three career outings (one start) vs the Royals, Rasmussen is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA . He defeated the Royals on July 22 in Kansas City when he threw five innings of one-run ball in a 7-3 win. Meanwhile, the Rays offense will go against left-hander Kris Bubic (2-7, 5.11 ERA). Advantage Tampa Bay -1.5. Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter like Rasmussen. Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (KANSAS CITY) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less are 107-21 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.4 which qualifies on this ATS run-line offering. Royals are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play on Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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08-20-22 | Brewers v. Cubs +1.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
The Cubs pitchers have been in top form garnering a 2.98 ERA since the All-Star break . Cubs starter Marcus Stroman in his last seven trips to the hill has been solid as is evident by registering a 2.21 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP along with 33 strikeouts in 36.2 innings of top tier work and has owned the Brewers during this current campaign recording a 0.75 ERA in 12 innings . Im betting on him having another strong outing vs a very inconsistent Milwaukee offense. Cubs offense meanwhile, has strong momentum on their sides averaging five runs per game in their L/11 tilts and matchup well vs Brewers starter Peralta . The righty has not gone past 5 innings since returning from IR and according to my power rankings does matchup well vs this up-trending Cubs batting order. MILWAUKEE is 2-10 SU vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .400 or less in the second half of the season this season.MILWAUKEE is 3-11 SU vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season.MILWAUKEE is 1-6 SU in road games in August games this season. Brewers are 1-5 in the last 6 meeting. Play on the Cubs +1.5 on the runline |
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08-19-22 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Arizona has won eight of its past 12 games and is fresh off a four-game road split against the San Francisco Giants and off a win yesterday and deserve respect here getting runs vs the Cards who easily be in a letdown mode after an extended home stand . Note: Left-hander Tommy Henry (2-1, 4.15) will make his fourth career start for the Diamondbacks. The southpaw won his last two outings and is in top form. ST LOUIS is 1-8 SU in road games after 4 or more consecutive home games this season MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line 165 to -135) (ARIZONA) - after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more are 29-5 L/22 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dbacks to win +1.5 runline |
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08-19-22 | Giants v. Rockies +1.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Giants starter WOOD is 5-11 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) The Giants have struggled to find consistency most of the year, and that was on full display yesterday vs Arizona as they lost 5-3. More of the same sleepy action in Colorado tonight. Giants are 4-11 in their last 15 games following a loss.Giants are 3-9 in their last 12 road games.Giants are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. National League West. COLORADO is 11-1 SU in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons. COLORADO is 7-0 SU in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (COLORADO) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games are 31-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado Rockies to win |
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08-16-22 | Tigers v. Guardians -1.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Garrett Hill the Tigers starter has struggled on the road this season, going 0-3 along with a 7.80 ERA. Im betting he gets blasted again vs a Cleveland Guardians side that has won 9 of their L/11 overall . The Tigers are averaging just 2.8 rpg via a ugly .212 BA on the road this season. Note: Guardians starter PLESAC is 4-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.16 and a WHIP of 0.908. CLEVELAND is 30-8 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by an average of 2.2 rpg which qualify on this runline offering. Tigers are 14-43 in the last 57 meetings in Cleveland. Play on Cleveland -1.5 |
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08-13-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Royals | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
The Dodgers have won 11 straight games all by at least 2 runs and Im betting nothing changes tonight. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher LIKE HEANEY whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 109-18 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average rpg dif clicking in at +3.3 which qualifies on this Run-line offering. Play on the LA Dodgers -1.5 runline |
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08-12-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Royals | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter GONSOLIN is 23-4 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a average rpg diff +2.6. Dodgers are red hot having won 10 straight games, with all the victories coming by 2 or more runs and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today vs the Royals. LA DODGERS are 18-1 SU vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 . LA DODGERS are 26-4 SU vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg diff of +3.1. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 109-18 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate . Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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08-09-22 | Marlins v. Phillies -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
The Phillies will go with Zack Wheeler (10-5, 2.69 ERA) on the hill Tuesday. In his last start against the Atlanta Braves, Wheeler allowed five hits and one run in seven innings.Wheeler is 9-4 with a 2.45 ERA in 18 career starts against the Marlins and gives the explosive Phillies an edge. The Phillies clubbed 14 home runs in their four-game weekend sweep over the Washington National and are in top form offensively making them viable runline candidates here today vs the usually light hitting Marlins. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 107-18L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 which qualifies on runline action. Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 runline |
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08-05-22 | White Sox -1.5 v. Rangers | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Cease has dominated of late, going 3-0 along with a minuscule 0.47 ERA. Im betting he continues to own his opposition here tonight and projected run-ilne win. Cease is 6-1 with a 1.30 ERA in nine road starts. CEASE is 24-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 Texas Starter OTTO is 1-11 SU in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3. Otto owns a 2-3 home record this season with a 7.69 ERA and is fade material in his current form. Play on White Sox to win |
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08-04-22 | Astros -1.5 v. Guardians | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Justin Verlander the Astros top tier veteran starter owns a 1.72 ERA on the road this season, and owns a very stingy 1.64 ERA against teams that are .500 or better in his six road starts. Im betting on more of the same action here today against the Guardians. The Astros come to play against top tier teams consistently showing their elite status and laying -1.5 runs here is a viable wagering opportunity with Verlander on the hill. CLEVELAND is 6-26 SU vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2.8 rpg. HOUSTON is 23-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2 rpg. Play on Houston Astros -1.5 |
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08-04-22 | Rockies +1.5 v. Padres | 7-3 | Win | 117 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Rockies starter FREELAND is 8-2 SU when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 7-3 SU against division opponents this season. (Team's Record) FREELAND has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs Padres. Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. We definitely have a runline advantage here and a viable investment opportunity. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 26-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate. Play on Colorado +1.5 runline |
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08-04-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Giants | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Super star Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw (7-3, 2.66 ERA), has started more games against the Giants than against any other team. When he gets the ball on Thursday, he will be making his 53rd career start in his 55th overall head-to-head against the Giants, having garnered a 1.99 ERA. The veteran lefty is also 14-6 with a 1.58 ERA in 27 career games, including 25 starts, at San Francisco's Oracle Park and gets the nod again for a highly likely dominating performance. Im betting the road side to sweep this series and improve to 8-0 against the Giants since the All-Star break and in the process win by more than 2 runs according to my projections. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 57-9 L/25 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.5 which qualifies on this RL offering. Play on the LA Dodgers to win -1.5 RL |
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07-31-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Atlanta will send All-Star left-hander Max Fried (10-3, 2.73 ERA) against Arizona right-hander Merrill Kelly (10-5, 3.04). Kelly has been hot lately, but my power rankings suggest regression here vs a hot hitting Braves batting order that my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggests he does matchup well against. Note: Kelly has made two career starts against the Braves, going 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 42-4 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1 rpg. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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07-30-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Braves starter ANDERSON is 8-0 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at 3.5 runs which qualifies on the -1.5 RL offering. ANDERSON is 10-1 SU in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff registering at 2 rpg. ANDERSON is 1-0 in his career when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.429. 9 I know Anderson has had a hiccup in his L/2 starts, which were far from quality but he matches up very well here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings and deserve respect . ARIZONA is 7-39 SU as a ML road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.3 which qualifies on this RL offering. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 57-7 with the average rpg diff coming in at +2.6 which once against qualifies on this RL offering from the books. |
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07-27-22 | Marlins +1.5 v. Reds | 3-5 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Reds starter CASTILLO is 4-9 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -0.9 . Im betting on the Marlins keeping this close or getting the outright win which adds value to gets +1.5 runs on the line. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) (CINCINNATI) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 2-32 L/25 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to cover +1.5 on the runline |
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07-13-22 | Reds v. Yankees -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -150 | 1 h 44 m | Show | |
Mike Minor is for lack of a better word, crap during this campaign, as is evident by garnering a 6.33 ERA and 6.79 FIP. With that said Im betting on Stanton lighting him up. Minor this has a ugly slash line vs righties .310/.385/.610 and with guys like Stanton in the lineup who is a top tier right handed batter. |
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06-29-22 | A's v. Yankees -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Athletics starter Irvin has posted a 5.03 ERA and a 5.92 FIP in his L/34 innings of sub par work and here today in the finale of this series Im betting the Yankees unleash their offense and easily come away with a 2 more run victory.OAKLAND is 0-18 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season like the Yankees starter Taillon with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.4 which qualifies on this runline investment option. TAILLON is 12-1 (+11.2 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff coming in at +3.5 rpg. Play on the Yankees to win -1.5 RL |
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06-27-22 | A's +1.5 v. Yankees | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
The Yankees are off a hard fought series vs the Houstons Astros this past weekend that resulted in a series split. Now in a emotional letdown state, Im betting the Yankees are vulnerable to a sub par performance vs a top tier hurler in the form of the As starter Blackburn 6-3, 2.97 ERA). BLACKBURN is 6-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 7-1 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Blackburn's only career appearance against the Yankees was on Aug. 29 in Oakland when he opposed Montgomery and pitched five scoreless innings. He goes against Montgomery again and I like what he brings to the table again. OAKLAND is also 29-14 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons like Montgomery. MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (NY YANKEES) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 13-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland on the RL. +1.5 |
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06-15-22 | Royals v. Giants -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The Giants are heating up again having won 5 straight games, while their opponents tonight have lost 4 straight. Im betting on both these runs remaining intact tonight. Rinse and repeat. Note: The Royals have seen their L/13 games decided by 2 runs ore more. MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SAN FRANCISCO) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 39-14 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Francisco to win -1.5 |
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06-14-22 | A's v. Red Sox -1.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Boston starter Nick Pivetta (5-5, 3.78 ERA) who is 5-1 with a 1.96 ERA over his past seven starts go to the hill today to take on a very inconsistent Oakland batting order that my own power rankings suggest he matches up well against. Pivetta has pitched seven shutout innings in each of his two career starts against Oakland (last two seasons). PIVETTA is 2-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.571. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. Athletics are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League East. OAKLAND is 1-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at - 3.7 .KOTSAY is 2-25 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start as the manager of OAKLAND with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.7. Play on Boston Red Sox -1.5 runline |
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06-12-22 | Pirates v. Braves -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Braves took a 10-4 win yesterday and my projections estimate another lopsided victory today. The Braves are red hot having won 10 straight while the Pirates are in a slump as is evident by 5 straight losses. ' PITTSBURGH is 9-34 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.8. Note: Pirates starter Quintana owns a 8.68 ERA in four career starts against Atlanta. Quintana is coming off a poor start against the Detroit Tigers on Tuesday when he permited four runs in 3 1/3 innings of a 5-3 loss. Pirates are 3-9 in their last 12 games after losing the first 3 games of a series. Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 overall. Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 overall. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL are 8-61 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.3. Play on Atlanta to win |
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06-11-22 | Pirates v. Braves -1.5 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
PITTSBURGH is 9-34 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a rpg diff clicking in at -2.8. Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL are 8-61 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.3 . |
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06-11-22 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
The Phillies are red hot and with Zack Wheeler on the hill at home wheres he’s been over powering this season they have a definitive edge. Wheeler in 36 1/3 innings of work as a host has recorded a minuscule 1.73 ERA and a 2.21 FIP. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 against the money line in June games this season winning by an average of 4.9 rpg ( Phillies 7.6 Opponent 2.7) Dbacks starter BUMGARNER is 0-11 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a average rpg diff clicking in at -2.5 rpg. ARIZONA is 7-36 against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons with the average run diff clicking in at -2 which qualifies on this runline offering. Play on Philadelphia Phillies to win |
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06-07-22 | A's v. Braves -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
The A's are 16 games under .500 for the first time since Sept. 18, 2017 and are off a 1-9 home stand. Needless to say the As are not in good form and susceptible to be blown out against a Braves side that is one of the best in baseball vs LHP like Irvin averaging 6.1 rpg in production. Atlanta ranks #1 vs LHP pitching with isolated power and No.4 in OPS vs southpaws. Note:Irvin has made five career relief appearances against Atlanta, all while he played for Philadelphia, and posted an 11.32 ERA in 10 1/3 innings. OAKLAND is 0-11 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.5 rpg. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 57-5 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.8 which qualifies on the RL offering. Play on Atlanta Braves to win -1.5 |
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06-05-22 | Tigers v. Yankees -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Detroits offense on the road has really been struggling averaging just 2.1 RPG via a lowly .197 BA. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggests Montgomery matches up very well here and that the Yankees top tier offense also matches up well vs Garcia who is a right-hander (0-1, 4.70 ERA). Yankees team ERA is a major-league-best 2.73. Montgomery has allowed three runs or fewer in each start this year. Yanks have won all 5 games this season by 2 runs or more vs Detroit. NY YANKEES are 19-2 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. NY YANKEES are 15-1 against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season with the average rpg diff coming in at +3.8. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (DETROIT) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 37-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.7. Play on NYY -1.5 |
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05-25-22 | Tigers v. Twins -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Detroit has averaged just 2.3 rog on the road this season behind a lowly .209 BA. The Tigers have lost 9 of their L/11 games by 2 runs or more and Im expecting similar results here vs a Minnesota side that is averaging 6.6 rpg in their L/7 tilts with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.9 . DETROIT is 2-14 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season this season with the average of 2 rpg diff clicking in which qualifies on this runline offering. MINNESOTA is 21-6 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2 rpg. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (DETROIT) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games are 6-37 L/25 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate. Play on the Minnesota Twins -1.5 runline |
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05-21-22 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Texas will send Jon Gray (1-1, 5.73 ERA) to the mound while Houston will counter with fellow right-hander Justin Verlander (5-1, 1.38). The pitching advantage obviously resides with the Astros . Verlander has won his last four starts, has pitched at least five innings in each of his seven starts this season and has not allowed more than five hits in any tilt he has pitched in . His most recent outing was on Sunday when he gave up just two hits and three walks in five innings in an 8-0 Houston win in Washington. HOUSTON is 30-10 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.8 . MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (HOUSTON) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 49-5 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with a average of +3.2 which qualifies on this runline offering. Play on the Astros to win -1.5 |
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05-19-22 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Houston left-hander Framber Valdez (2-2, 2.93 ERA) will start the opener against Texas on Thursday. He is coming off his longest outing of the season: stretching out for 7 2/3 innings during which he allowed one run on seven hits and two walks with six strikeouts in a 6-1 win over the Washington Nationals on Friday. Im betting the momentum of his last effort continues here . Meanwhile,Right-hander Glenn Otto (1-1, 6.38 ERA) goes to the hill for the Rangers. He matched his career high for hits (eight), walks (four) and earned runs (eight) allowed in his latest start, an 11-3 loss to the Red Sox on Saturday. His form in that game is a pretest to what Im betting his fate is here today vs a consistent Houston Astors squad. Otto owns a 6.39 ERA against Houston -- all at Globe Life Field. WOODWARD is 10-40 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of TEXAS with a rpg diff average of -2. Play on Houston to win -1.5 runline |
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05-16-22 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Los Angeles starter right-hander Tony Gonsolin (3-0, 1.33),has limited the opposition to a .168 batting average through his first six starts covering 27 innings and gives the an edge to the Dodgers on the runline. I know the DBacks have played well ,but they now go against a Dodgers side that will want to keep momentum going after a win vs the Phillies on Sunday. If this game is close, in the later innings and even if the Dbacks have a improbable lead it must be noted that DBacks closer, Mark Melancon has an 8.49 ERA with five losses. ARIZONA is 2-27 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.6. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 31-2 L/25 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.7 which qualifies on the ATS line. Play on LA Dodgers to win -1.5 |
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05-13-22 | Phillies v. Dodgers -1.5 | 12-10 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw (4-0, 1.80 ERA has given up one run or none in four of his five starts. In three lifetime appearances (two starts) against the Dodgers, Phillies starter Gibson is 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA. Advantage Dodgers in bounce back mode from a loss yesterday. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 90-10 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with a rpg diff clicking in at +3.7 which qualifies on a run-line betting option. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 31-1 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 which qualifies on the run-line. Play on LA Dodgers on the Runline -1.5 |