Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-12-20 | Houston v. Memphis +5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 32 h 48 m | Show | |
Houston has under achieved this season, and despite of being in desperation mode as they look for a Bowl invite, Im betting if they find a way to win, it wont come easily vs the 6-3 Memphis Tigers who are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series while having covered 9 of their L/12 at home as underdogs. Note: Houston because of covid issues have not played since Nov 14, which was a win vs defensive hapless South Florida. Rust and flow issues are my bet here in. atilt that favors Memphis and not the Cougars. HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. HC Holgerson has failed to cover 18 of his L/24 games with rest. Play on Memphis to cover |
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12-12-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Troy +14 | 42-38 | Win | 100 | 33 h 56 m | Show | |
Coastal Carolina is off a huge win vs BYU last time out and now going on the road will be in a vulnerable emotional letdown situation. TROY is 7-0 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons. The Trojans are 6-0 ATS as home underdogs of more than 10 points since becoming a Division-1 program in 2001 and must not disrespected or underestimated in this spot. Play on the Troy Trojans to cover |
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12-12-20 | UAB v. Rice +7.5 | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 30 h 55 m | Show | |
Rice upset a strong Marshall side last time out and deserve respect behind a strong secondary that had five picks in the above mentioned underdog win. Meanwhile, UAB hasn't played since Halloween and since then, leading WR Austin Watkins has decided to skip the rest of the season.RICE is 13-4 ATS L/17 off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points.RICE is 16-4 ATS in home games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. RICE is 25-6 ATS in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. CFBUnderdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (RICE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more are 55-22 ATS L/28 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rice to cover |
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12-12-20 | Wake Forest v. Louisville -1 | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show | |
The Demon Deacons (4-3, 3-3 ACC) have played once since Oct. 31 -- a 59-53 loss Nov. 14 at North Carolina and held a full practice on Saturday, it was its first since Thanksgiving Day. The Deacons are a rusty team, and are at a disadvantage here mon the road this week. CFB road team vs. the money line (WAKE FOREST) - in a game involving two excellent offensive teams ( 440 or more YPG) after 7+ games, after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game are 23-3 SU L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Louisville to cover |
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12-12-20 | Western Michigan v. Ball State -1.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
Ball State enters this tilt in top form as is evident by having allowed season-low yardage in each of their last two tilts , with QB Drew Plitt passing for 300-yards in both games including 6 Touch down passes. Im betting on more of the same top tier action here at home today vs a Western Michigan team that is over rated according to my power rankings mostly because of a pourous defence that allows an average of 35 ppg. MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. W MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-12-20 | Georgia v. Missouri +13.5 | 49-14 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
Its become obvious to me that Georgia is just not as explosive as recent incarnations of the program, and are getting far to much respect here in the road in this SEC matchup vs Missouri. Note: Georgia has questions at quarterback. Starter Stetson Bennett took a hard hit and injured his shoulder on Saturday. He left the game in favor of D'Wan Mathis, who struggled as a starter in the season opener against Arkansas and has seen limited playing time since. Considering that Stetson is less than 100% and may not play at all I like the Tigers chances according to my projections of getting us a cover here this week. |
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12-11-20 | Nevada +2 v. San Jose State | 20-30 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Due to Santa Clara (Calif.) County’s COVID-19 restrictions, San Jose State is forced to leave home at UNLV’s old stadium. Thats not a conducive situation for success as Im sure their flow will be thrown off to some extent. Advantage Nevada. Play on Nevada to cover |
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12-05-20 | Fresno State +7 v. Nevada | 26-37 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 18 m | Show | |
After a long trip back home from Hawaii after having their undefeated season abruptly end Im expecting Wolf Pack... who have failed to cover the last five meetings in this series at home to once again feel the pinch in this key game vs a Fresno State side that deserves respect as an underdog. CFB home team (NEVADA) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals are 13-37 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEVADA) - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 16-43 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fresno St to cover |
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12-05-20 | Baylor +22 v. Oklahoma | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 36 h 45 m | Show | |
Baylor's largest loss this year was by 10 points and Im betting they find a way to hand tough here vs this potent Oklahoma Sooners offense.Oklahoma and Baylor played twice last season -- both thrilling games pulled out by the Sooners. In the regular-season matchup, Oklahoma overcame a 31-10 halftime deficit to win 34-31. In the Big 12 Championship Game, the Sooners needed overtime to win 30-23. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 season.BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CFB Home favorites of 21.5 or more points (OKLAHOMA) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, when playing on a Saturday are 25-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baylor to cover |
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12-05-20 | Clemson -21.5 v. Virginia Tech | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 35 h 2 m | Show | |
The No. 3 Tigers smashed Pittsburgh last week and looked like they were not worried about running up the score. for their 28th-consecutive home win. Considering Clemsons D, now looks to be in top form as is evident by holding 4 of their last six opponents to season-low yards I will not feel any hesitation and laying a load of lumber here with them today vs a talented but over rated Virginia Tech side. Clemson is 17-0 ATS/SU L/17 as a road favorite of more than a TD coming off a game where scored more points than their team total with the average combined ppg diff clicking in at 36 ppg while covering by just under 19 ppg. Also CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS in road games off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons ( Clemson 43 Opp 9). Play on Clemson to cover |
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12-05-20 | BYU v. Coastal Carolina +10.5 | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show | |
The No. 14-ranked Chanticleers (9-0) were scheduled to face No. 25 Liberty (9-1) on Saturday. But that game was cancelled Thursday due to COVID-19 issues within the Flames program.So Coastal Carolina will host No. 8 Brigham Young (9-0) instead. According to my power rankings these sides are more closely matched than the linesmakers number and thus Im recommending we take the points. CFB A home team vs. the money line (COASTAL CAROLINA) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or more )are 43-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. CFB home team vs. the money line (COASTAL CAROLINA) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (34 or more PPG) after 7 or more games, after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game are 30-7 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BYU) - in a game involving two good rushing teams (190 to 230 RY/game), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 5-24 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Coastal Carolina to cover |
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12-05-20 | Georgia Tech +6.5 v. NC State | 13-23 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
GTech after almost a month off came out and smashed the Duke Blue Devils last week putting a season-high 523 yards in their 56-33 victory. Now Im betting on that momentum to continue vs a North Carolina State season looking ahead to post season play and most probably looking to stay healthy. GEORGIA TECH is 10-2 ATS off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. GEORGIA TECH is 8-1 L/9 on the road against the spread versus NC STATE . CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (GEORGIA TECH) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 31-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia Tech to cover |
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12-05-20 | Tulsa v. Navy +13 | 19-6 | Push | 0 | 30 h 5 m | Show | |
The Tulsa Canes produce just under 62% of its offensive flow via their passing game while the Navy defense ranks 2nd in the conference against the pass. Meanwhile, the Middies offense generates 62% of their drives on the ground while Tulsas defense ranks 4th in the conference against the rushing attacks. Im betting because of these peripherals that we see a game alot closer than the linesmakers are estimating . Add to that this is a look ahead situation for Tulsa with nationally ranked Cincinnati on deck for next week and a live dog looks to be on board here today. NAVY is 9-0 ATS vs. sub par passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-05-20 | Boston College +4 v. Virginia | 32-43 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Virginia is getting to much respect here based on three straight wins , that were actually not that impressive other than their 44-41 shootout win vs UNC where they were still out yarded. Prior to their current run they lost 4 straight games which included blowout beatdowns vs Wake Forest and NC State. Meanwhile, Boston College remains under rated , despite of a strong Q JBurkovec who has thrown for over 2,500 yards on the season with 17 touchdowns with only five interceptions and a never say die group around him that plays hard.Virginia ranks last in the ACC in pass defense, allowing 289.0 yards per game through the air and are vulnerable here today. Play on Boston College to cover |
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12-05-20 | Bowling Green +3 v. Akron | 3-31 | Loss | -112 | 46 h 24 m | Show | |
Akron has lost 20 straight tilts overall, including 11 straight on the road and their L/9 at home . HC Tom Arth's Zips haven't won a single game at (0-16) and now they are being made 3 point chalk. Not buying it, and Im recommending we take the points with Bowling Green. AKRON is 0-10 ATS /SU when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons. BOWLING GREEN is 6-1 against the spread versus AKRON since 1992 @ Akron! CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (AKRON) - with a turnover margin of -1.5 /game or worse on the season are 6-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs (BOWLING GREEN) - after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after a loss by 17 or more points are 62-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Bowling Green to cover |
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12-05-20 | Eastern Michigan +13.5 v. Western Michigan | 53-42 | Win | 100 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
Western Michigan is a perfect 4-0 on the season but their L/3 games have been decided in one possession final scores. Now enters a never say die hard nosed E.Michigan side that is not usually an easy out as is evident by their 23-6 ATS L/29 game record as road underdogs. E.Michigan is off a loss last time out, but that sets them up for a big motivational bounce back situation here vs top tier opposition. Note: Eastern Michigan is 14-0 ATS L/14 on the road coming off a loss with none of the SU losses in this set coming. by more than a TD. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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12-05-20 | Ohio State v. Michigan State +24 | 52-12 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
The Buckeyes come into this game with COVID-19 problems, and go against a Michigan State side that is starting to find its stride and is off a surprising win vs Northwestern last time out. The Buckeyes are still obviously the superior side, but Im betting Ohio States flow will be off because of the health issues being centered upon by league officials and the media. Its just not a cohesive environment, for positive energy to flow. With that said, Ill give the edge to the uptrending Spartans and their solid defensive abilities to cover the number . MICHIGAN ST is 38-19 ATS after allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game. CFB Road favorites (OHIO ST) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 33-71 ATS L/28 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -2.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 21 m | Show | |
App State has lost two games this season one to ranked Coastal Carolina after blowing a lead and once to a powerful looking Marshall football program. But Im betting that will be their last loss in Sunbelt conference action this season. and from my power rankings list matchup well vs a ULL side that they own a perfect 8-0 SU record against in their L/8 meetings. Look for AUS QB Zac Thomas who is 30-5 as a starter in his College career to show us what hes made of today and that in my opinion is pure titanium After putting 70 points on the board vs UL Monroe last week, I look for a energy drop off here against a side that is out to make a statement. : You have to remember Lafayette has clinched a title shot and are a in a look ahed situation with Coastal Carolina up next in the conference title game. APPALACHIAN ST is 8-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons.APPALACHIAN ST is 7-0 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. CFB Home favorites (APPALACHIAN ST) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (outgain opp. by 50-100 YPG), after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on App State to cover |
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11-28-20 | Nevada v. Hawaii +7.5 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 29 m | Show | |
The Wolf Pack are off a huge win vs San Diego State last time out and will be in a letdown spot here vs Hawaii this week who sit at 2-3 and hungry for a win as they look for a Bowl experience. , It must be noted that HC Graham owns a 22-4 ATS record at home against opposition arriving off a SUATS victory. Nevada is vulnerable thus taking points is a viable investment option. Wolf Pack are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play on Hawaii to cover |
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11-28-20 | Arizona +11 v. UCLA | 10-27 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
Arizona did not play well vs Washington last week, but did look good vs strong USC team in a earlier tilt and very much look capable of staying close enough for a cover vs a Chip Kelley program that has been far from consistent since his arrival losing 18 of 27 games. Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Wildcats are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Wildcats are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Bruins are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.Bruins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.Bruins are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Play on Arizona to cover |
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11-28-20 | Memphis v. Navy +13.5 | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
Memphis is not as strong as they have been in recent seasons, and as a favorite (0-3 ATS) in an FBS game this season and the D is weaker than expected allowing 477 yards per game . Meanwhile, Navy coach Ken Niumatalolo is a proven winner and now desperate need for a victory to be Bowl eligible. With that said, Im betting he will have his team ready to play this Saturday behind what is now a more balanced offensive attack .
Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf.Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Play on Navy to cover |
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11-28-20 | Northwestern v. Michigan State +13.5 | 20-29 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
A big win vs Wisconsin last time out has Northwestern sitting at a perfect 5-0. The Cats were far then perfect in the 17-7 win vs the Badgers and were out yarded by 100 yards and may now showing a little exhaustion and could easily be over looking the struggling Spartans making them vulnerable. Meanwhile, the Spartans under first-year head coach Mel Tucker have just win vs long time rivals Michigan and have suffered two straight loss one of which came vs a powerful Indiana team so they get a break there from me . Spartans are a viable 6-1 ATS L/7home as a DD dog and are viable underdogs in this spot. Michigan State to cover |
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11-28-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Texas State +17.5 | 49-14 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
The Texas State Bobcats are uptrending in power rankings and coming off a impressive upset of Arkansas State. Texas State also came very close to upsetting Boston College earlier in this season and took UTSA into double-overtime. Meanwhile Coastal Carolina despite of their high ranking are now a team that could feel some pressure and now in a huge emotional letdown spot after beating App State last time out will be vulnerable making getting points with this dangerous underdog a viable option.Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog and have covered 5 straight games overall. Play on Texas State to cover |
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11-28-20 | Kent State v. Buffalo -7 | 41-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
The Akron Zips look to be in big trouble here today despite of showing off a explosive offense. The Zips real issues though are on the defensive side of the ball where they rank 124th in the nation against the run allowing an average of 234 ypg. Today against a Buffalo side that has a super star RB in Jaret Patterson who is off a 301 yard output last time out the Zips are not viable underdogs, and being over rated. Considering the Bulls were upset by Akron last season Im betting they will be wide awake for the revenger and ready to be merciless in their venture. Note: buffalo has cashed 6 of the L/7 when they have revenge in this series. CFB Home favorites (BUFFALO) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 65-24 L/28 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. CFB Home favorites (BUFFALO) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgain opponents by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 33-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by just under 27 ppl. Leipold is 8-0 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play as the coach of BUFFALO with the average ppg diff clicking in at 8.6 ppg. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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11-27-20 | Stanford -1 v. California | 24-23 | Push | 0 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Stanford has started their season slowly, but Im betting on them getting on track here vs the California Bears here today in PAC 12 action. Note: The Stanford Cardinal own a solid 9-1 SU record in this series , including a 5-0 SUATS run when playing on the road at Berkeley. The lone loss in this series came last time these teams met and now I expect revenge to be in play. I know Stanford has failed to cover or win 6 straight times going back to last season, but all good and bad runs must come to an end. Note: Stanford HC Shaw is 16-2 SU and 15-3 ATS after a loss as a favorite. ( They lost time out 35-32 at home vs Colorado). Two weeks now since that ugly effort and Shaw will have his team ready to operate functionally. Play on Stanford to cover |
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11-27-20 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina +6 | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
Notre Dame’s is vulnerable here vs North Carolina. The Irish defense ranks outside the top 70 in both pass and rush explosiveness which is big trouble versus a 5 star North Carolina offense that ranks top-25 in both and has scored 48 points or more their L/4 trips to the gridiron at home. UNC HC Mack Brown 12-6 AT L/18 as a conference home dog , including 4-0 SU/ATS as a dog of 6 or less points. North Carolina. - home team vs. the money line (N CAROLINA) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 29-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team (N CAROLINA) - after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 4 consecutive games, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 28-6 ATS L/28 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NOTRE DAME) - after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game are 13-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on North Carolina to cover |
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11-27-20 | Iowa State +1.5 v. Texas | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
Iowa State according to my power rankings are right up there with the Sooners a side that they beat already this season in another marquee big 12 battle . HC Campbell’ is 23-6 ATS as a conference underdog, including 10-0 ATS against opposition coming off consecutive wins and looks like a viable option here this afternoon, Meanwhile, Texas just does not look consistent this season, while HC Tom Herman looks like a coach in jeopardy of losing his job , which does not play well in a dressing room which will reflect itself onto the field. Herman as a conference favorite, including an ugly 5-16 ATS home record . Play on Iowa State to cover |
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11-26-20 | New Mexico v. Utah State +6.5 | 27-41 | Win | 100 | 30 h 27 m | Show | |
This one is simple for me. No way does New Mexico deserve to be road favs here . Remember this is a team that has lost 11 straight road games, and dont deserve this kind of respect. No not even against a struggling Utah State side that does have an advantage of being off a bye week, and now lead by a new HC Maile who was also a captain of this Aggies team in the early part of the century. He will have the respect of his team, and Im betting they play hard here today and that they wont go down without a fight and get us the cover. |
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11-21-20 | Boise State -14 v. Hawaii | 40-32 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 13 m | Show | |
Boise State is missing some players because of covid but the key ingredients to the team are still intact and considering a recent embarrassing loss to BYU that still stings Im betting we see this team wide awake and ready to compete in a big way vs a Hawaii side, that just does not look as cohesive as some recent incarnations of the program. HAWAII is 0-7 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. Boise state is 7-0 SU/ATS L/7 meetings in this series. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (HAWAII) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games against opponent after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 4-25 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin ppg diff clicking at 22 ppg. Play on Boise State |
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11-21-20 | USC v. Utah +3 | 33-17 | Loss | -112 | 37 h 18 m | Show | |
Utah opens at home to night against USC. It must be noted that CFB teams in Game One of the season are 13-3 SU versus opposition playing their third game of the season, including 8-0 SUATS in the last eight dating back 30 seasons. Considering the Trojans had to come from behind in both their first two games, its become evident to me there are some hiccups in their flow. Also exerting that kind of energy will now have them in a let down spot. With Utah in revenge mode for a 30-23 loss last season, Im betting we see them very motivated . Utah is 4-1 ATS L/5 in revenge mode. UTAH is 8-1 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. USC is 4-13 ATS off 2 no-covers where the team won as a favorite since 1992. Utah is 14-1 SU in home openers and 13-2 SU in season openers with HC Whittingham at the helm. Utah to cover |
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11-21-20 | Kansas State +11 v. Iowa State | 0-45 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 1 m | Show | |
Iowa State is a solid team but this is a never say die Wildcats team that despite of some covid issues is chalk full of physical players who play smash mouth football and considering KSU is 11-1 SU in this series Ill be recommending we take the points here today.
KSU head coach Chris Klieman getting points as he is 9-3 ATS as a dog in Big 12 games, including 5-0 ATS when getting 7 or more points.Kansas State is also 12-0 ATS as a dog of more than seven points coming off a loss. CFB Road underdogs (KANSAS ST) - after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 32-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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11-21-20 | Kentucky +30 v. Alabama | 3-63 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
This is not one of Sabans strongest teams , as is evident by currently ranking 49th in the nation in Total Defense. With Next week, seeing Alabama ready to play their holiday fare: the Iron Bowl, Nov. 28, vs. Auburn, they could easily find themselves not focused here and what Im calling a look ahead situation. Meanwhile, Kentuckys D, must be respected and are more than capable of slowing down Alabama's vaunted offense. KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS in road games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game over the last 3 season. Stoops is 7-0 ATS in road games after a game where they committed no turnovers as the coach of KENTUCKY. Kentucky is 12-0 ATS /10-2 SU L/12 off a win as a favorite which was the case vs Vanderbilt last time out. Take the points with Kentucky |
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11-21-20 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh +3 | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
These teams come in with identical 4-4 records and Im betting that the final score will be indicative of their current records and closely contested with the more rested team at home Pittsburgh having the edge getting points. VTech has really played some very tough physical games recently against Liberty and Miami by 3 points and 1 point respectively. Considering the Panthers will be in revenge mode for a 28-0 kick to the helmet last season you can bet they will be primed and read to deliver some pay pack. . Pittsburgh has owned this series for their betting backers at home going 7-0 ATS . VIRGINIA TECH is 2-11 ATS in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56. CFB road team (VIRGINIA TECH) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28) after 7+ games, after a loss by 3 or less points are 3-22 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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11-21-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada +2 | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
Both teams have viable offenses and viable defenses and according to my projections and look evenly matched but with Nevada having home field advantage (even with no fans) the wrong team is favored. Nevada has won the last two meetings in this series and deserve respect here as underdogs. Norvell is 8-1 ATS in home games after playing 2 straight conference games as the coach of NEVADA. CFB road team vs. the money line (SAN DIEGO ST) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against an average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR), after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games are 9-21 SU L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. Play on Nevada to cover |
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11-21-20 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida +6 | 36-33 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show | |
Cincinnati continues to roll and have beaten down most of their opponents with little empathy. That non stop flow of action however, may not benefit them in the long term and especially here today against a very tough opponent in UCF. The Knights lost 27-24 as 3.5-point favorites @ Cincinnati last season. Actually that tilt now gives me alot of confidence when backing Central Florida here today as UCF outyarded the Bearcats 423- 343 in that game. Considering the Knights are 22-2 SU at home the last four seasons it wont come as a surprise to me if they find a way to pull of the SU upset. Heupel is 8-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game as the coach of UCF. (The Knights beat Temple 38-13 last time out) CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 10-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCF) - off a home win, with 16 total starters returning are 31-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UCF to cover |
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11-21-20 | Indiana +21 v. Ohio State | 35-42 | Win | 100 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
This time, for the first time in program history, the No. 9 Hoosiers (4-0 Big Ten) will participate in a regular-season, top-10 matchup when they play No. 3 Ohio State (3-0) with first place at stake in the East Division. The lines-makers obviously dont think that the Hoosiers are for real, and they most probably cannot handle the pressure. But from a numbers standpoint I have to take a contrarian view and grab the points with the Hoosiers. INDIANA is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.Allen is 6-0 ATS off a road win against a conference rival as the coach of INDIANA. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-20-20 | Purdue v. Minnesota +3 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show | |
Minnesota suffered a 35-7 loss to Iowa a week ago and now look to rebound vs a Purdue side that continues to be without their their top WR Rondale Moore and could be without their QB Aidan O Connell. It might not seem like it but Minnesota is a talented team that won 11 games last season, with plenty of experience, and Im betting they right their sinking ship this week. The key will be based around not making as many mistakes as they have made early this season, and for Mohamed Ibrahim who leads the nation in rushing yards per game at 178.8 to be the catalyst against a Purdue side off a heart breaking , loss last week , and now on a short-week road spot . Minnesota is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven games following a double-digit loss at home.The Golden Gophers are 18-4-4 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS loss. Minnesota to cover |
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11-19-20 | Tulane +6.5 v. Tulsa | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
Tulsa has had three weekends in which a game was postponed due to COVID-19 issues. This week, the Golden Hurricane return to action just five days after a 28-24 victory against then-No. 19 SMU and will now be in a letdown state after making a strong comeback in a physical affair. Meanwhile,Tulane is off a 38-12 victory Saturday against Army, and are surging via 3 straight victories and deserve respect here as underdogs. Tulane is also a bankroll expanding 5-0 ATS run while staunchly stopping its last three opponents and holding them to just 12 PPG.Tulane has defeated Tulsa each of the last three seasons, and this could be another rinse and repeat situation , which makes getting points a solid proposition.TULSA is 1-10 ATS in home games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.Fritz is 8-0 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better in all games he has coached since 1992. HC Philip is 4-13 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach of TULSA. Play on Tulane to cover |
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11-18-20 | Northern Illinois +15 v. Ball State | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
Ball State was handed a 38-31 defeat vs Miami O took a hard fought win by a 38-31 count over Eastern Michigan. Their biggest problem is the Cardinals defense, and after N.Illinois proved they can push some effective offensive flow vs Buffalo putting 30 points on the board, in ther first game another positive output makes them viable opponents again here tonight. Neu is 4-16 ATS after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored as the coach of BALL ST. N ILLINOIS is 45-23 ATS as a road underdog since 1992. N ILLINOIS is 25-11 ATS in road games in November games since 1992.BALL ST is 13-28 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. N ILLINOIS is 9-2 SU/ATS BALL ST since 1992. Northern Illinois to cover |
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11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan +1.5 | 52-44 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
After a huge comeback last time out against Toledo coming back with 2 TDS late in the game to win 41-38 will now have Western Michigan in a emotional letdown situation. This negative energy flow situation does not bode well for them against Central Michigans very physical D, that leads the MAC . The Chips third-down stops have been key so far, allowing opponents only six conversions in 26 attempts. C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS in home lined games over the last 2 seasons. CFB road team (W MICHIGAN) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against a good defensive team (16-21 PPG), after a win by 3 or less points are 5-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate. CFB Home favorites (C MICHIGAN) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (outgain opp. by 50-100 YPG), after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on Central Michigan to cover |
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11-18-20 | Toledo v. Eastern Michigan +7 | 45-28 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Western Michigan made a huge comeback last time out vs Toledo erasing 2 TD's in 28 seconds at the end of the game to win 41-38. Now Toledo in a letdown spot will take time to get going, and considering Eastern Michigan ability to hang tough in most of their MAC games over the last few seasons I feel confident getting points. TOLEDO is 0-7 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.TOLEDO is 0-6 ATS in road games after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons.Candle is 0-7 ATS in road games after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored as the coach of TOLEDO.Creighton is 10-1 ATS off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival as the coach of E MICHIGAN. (Eastern Michigan is off to a 0-2 start with losses by 7 points or less at Ball State and Kent State.) Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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11-17-20 | Akron v. Kent State -25 | 35-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
Akron did not win a game last season and went 1-11 ATS and started this season 0-1 SU but did cover and are now big time DD underdogs here again. With a freshman QB at the helm of the offense , Im doubting things get much better in a shortened season for the Flashes, and as far as tonight goes, I expect they will have their proverbial butts handed to them, via the arm of QB Justin Crum who is averaging 8.8 yards per pass. CFB home team (KENT ST) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game against opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 61-25 ATS L/28 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kent State to cover |
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11-14-20 | Oregon State +13.5 v. Washington | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 40 h 30 m | Show | |
The Beavers started out their season with a loss, but it must be noted that Oregon State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. and are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Having a game under their proverbial belts vs a rusty Huskies side that are playing their opener after last weekend's game at Cal was canceled due to Covid problems with the Bears. Advantage on the line = Beavers. Note: Oregon States QB Tristan Gebbia was 34 of 49 for 329 yards and a TD in that opening loss to Washington State. This kid looks special and getting points with a guy like this is a solid long term situation, Beavers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Washington. Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on Oregon State to cover |
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11-14-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan +5 | 49-11 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 50 m | Show | |
It was ugly last week when Indiana beat Michigan for the first time in 23 trys. Now Harbaugh and company are taking a shit kicking from the media who are dumping all over him. Harbaugh is a competitor and Michigan is a proud football program with quality players , some of which are looking forward to a NFL career and that kind of embarrassing effort does not sit well, and now Im betting on a monumental bounce back situation . With that said, Im recommending we take the points and take advantage of recency bias. Hey Wisconsin is a fine team, but this spread seems like its just a tad high and possibly misplaced when looking at the bigger picture. Michigan is 23-1 SU at home in game 4s , including 5-0 SUATS with HC Harbaugh at the helm. Badgers are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Home team is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Play on Michigan to cover |
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11-14-20 | Temple +25.5 v. Central Florida | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 37 h 28 m | Show | |
UCF has Cincinnati up on deck for next week, and could easily find themselves in a look ahead situation. Considering UCFs defense ranks 105th in the country allowing an average 474 yards per game and also ranking 74th in points allowed at 31.3 per game it is feasible that Temple can put enough points on the board to provide us with a cover . I know that Temple did not look good last time out in a loss, but are rested off a bye week, and well primed/rested to perform more respectably today. Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week. Owls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.Owls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Owls are 41-18 ATS in their last 59 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Owls are 22-10 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog.Owls are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 conference game. Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Knights are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Play on Temple to cover |
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11-14-20 | South Carolina v. Ole Miss -11 | 42-59 | Win | 100 | 35 h 8 m | Show | |
Ole Miss totaled more than 600 yards for the third time this season and sophomore quarterback Matt Corral earned both Davey O'Brien National Quarterback of the Week and Walter Camp National Offensive Player of the Week honors after completing 31 of 34 passes and throwing six touchdown passes without an interception. Ole Miss is ranked fifth nationally in total offense (541.0 yards per game) and is averaging 38.0 points per game. I know they take on a team with a similar 2-4 record but these two sides in their current form could not be farther apart. SEC home team like Ole Miss that scored 38-plus points in its last game if they are seeking triple revenge-exact against a conference opponent are 21-2 ATS L/30 seasons. Play on Ole Miss to cover |
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11-14-20 | Florida State v. NC State -9.5 | 22-38 | Win | 100 | 35 h 49 m | Show | |
The 4-3 Wolfpack still have bowl aspirations and will now be very motivated against a flawed FSU side that is off 48-16 loss to Louisville and 41-17 smash down vs Pittsburgh . With that said, Im betting another behind the wood shed beating is on the agenda for the Seminoles. Note: NC State loss a hard fought game last time out to Miami FL, NC State is 11-0 ATS/SU as a favorite of more than three points coming off a home loss with the average margin of victory coming by 30.3 ppg with every game easily covering this offered number by the .lines-makers. The Seminoles are 0-3 on road, with the closest result a 42-26 outcome at undefeated Notre Dame on Oct. 10. Play on NC State to cover |
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11-14-20 | SMU +1 v. Tulsa | 24-28 | Loss | -113 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Tulsa is the undefeated team in AAC play, along with Cincy but Im betting that party comes to an end here vs the Mustangs. SMU is one of only 17 teams in FBS to average at least 7.0 yards per play. It also ranks in the top 25 in a alot of categories including Total Yards Per Game (9th)/Total Points Per Game (15th)/Passing Yards Per Attempt (15th)/Completion Percentage (24th). I know D, wins championships, but I also know getting to a championship games means you need to score, and today that will be key to a SMU win which is their ability to put mucho points on the board in bunches. Play on SMU to cover |
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11-14-20 | Northwestern v. Purdue +3 | 27-20 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 24 m | Show | |
11-14-20 | Hawaii v. San Diego State -10.5 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
San Diego State, were upset 28- 17, as a 10-point underdog last time as they fell asleep at the proverbial wheel after taking a lead. Now frustrated and ready for redemption they take on a Hawaii side off a win. Note: Hawaii is just 2-8 ATS as double-digit conference underdogs and 3-14 ATS L/17 against opposition coming off a SU favorite loss, including 0-10 ATS when Hawaii is coming into a tilt off victory. With that said, look for the Aztecs top tier D, that has allowed 223 ypg to dominant in bounce back mode. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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11-14-20 | Notre Dame v. Boston College +11.5 | 45-31 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
Notre Dame enters this tilt off a hard fought big time win in OT vs Clemson last week and will now be in a huge letdown situation vs a tough Boston College side that is not an easy out and that also played Clemson tough when they met earlier this season. The Irish are on an 0-4 ATS run as DD road favs. Meanwhile, Boston College is 8-0 ATS L/8 as a home dog of 15 or fewer points. Play Boston College to cover |
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11-14-20 | Colorado v. Stanford -7 | 35-32 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 51 m | Show | |
Stanford lost to Oregon by a 35-14 count in their opener but the game was much closer than the final score might indicate as they Cards were only out-yarded by 496-413. Meanwhile, Colorado came out swinging in their opener and beat UCLA 48-42 in a game that exposed their defence for me leading into this game. With that said Ill back Stanford here , to take advantage of the Buffs porous D, and back HC David Shaw who is 9-0 SU in home openers, with the average margin of victory coming by 24 PPG to come out on top and get the cover. Stanford to cover |
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11-14-20 | Indiana v. Michigan State +7.5 | 24-0 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
Indiana is off ending a 23-game series losing streak to Michigan with a 38-21 victory against Michigan. You can see the emotion in that game from the Hoosiers and the celebrations afterwards. But now their in a big time emotional letdown situation that makes them susceptible to being upset. Especially with Ohio State on board which also creates a look ahead situation. Hey I know Michigan state looked horrible last time out in a DD loss, but Im betting they bring out some magic here today and get us a cover in a place where they have won 14 of the L/15 meetings in this series SU. Hoosiers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Hoosiers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Spartans are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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11-14-20 | Army +3 v. Tulane | 12-38 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Armys offense is churning out 5.5 yards per carry in their games against FBS opponents and today Im betting that attack will remain in top gear against a Tulane run unit that has been stringent , but has yet to face a dangerous triple option. Army is 39th in the country in rushing success and sixth in power success this season. On the flipside Black Knight run D, is one of the top units in the nation allowing just 3.4 ypc ranking sixth nationally in defensive rushing success. Tulane can move the chains on the ground, but this kind of smash mouth stopping unit can make opponents dizzy. Advantage Army. Army to cover |
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11-13-20 | East Carolina +28 v. Cincinnati | 17-55 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
East Carolina QB Ahlers is on a 9:1 touchdown-to-interception run and put together his best career game against a Tulsa defense that must be considered stringent. With that said Im betting he is capable of orchestrating consistent drives and putting points up on the board today vs a staunch Cincinnati D. Considering the Bearcats have UCF on board we could easily see them in a look ahead situation and if in the lead by a big enough margin may take the pedal of metal and go into stay healthy mode , which opens up the door for a Pirates back door cover. Either way Im projecting that 4 TDs is just a tad high here and the value resides with taking points.Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Bearcats are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Play on East Carolina to cover |
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11-13-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota +3.5 | 35-7 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
Iowa after smashing Michigan State 49-7 last week take recency bias into this game as road chalk, something i really don't think they deserve. After such a big output by Ferentz's group I can see them down trending here vs a home dog in Minnesota that must not be underestimated. The Golden Gophers are 10-5 ATS L/15 as conference home dogs, including 7-1 ATS against opposition coming off a SUATS victory like Iowa. Golden Gophers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Hawkeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-12-20 | Colorado State v. Boise State -13.5 | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
BYU smashed Boise State at home on the Blue carpet in embarrassing fashion last time out, their worst defeat since a 64-19 blowout by in state rivals Idaho back in 1996. Broncos, seemed to just lose their drive to compete, when starter Hank Bachmeier was ruled out pregame and backup Jack Sears left very early in the game. Everything imploded from there, and now after being throttled and the laughing stock of Mountain West for a week, Im betting HC Harsin will have his squad ready to rebound in a big way here this week, as his QB situation looks to be back to normal. Note: Boise State is 12-2 SU/ 11-3 ATS off a defeat where they allowed more than 36 points. Wyoming, which for a long time has seen a lack of a consistent aerial attack, had 10 passes of at least 15 yards last Thursday night in a loss to the Rams and Im betting will get torched here this evening.Colorado State has also been one of the worst teams in College Football in coverage and defensive finishing drives and should be ripe to be smashed here vs an angry redemption minded group of Broncos who will not take the pedal off the medal til the very end in this spot. I know this is the Broncos 3rd game in 13 days, but these young guys are well conditioned and Boise State has never lost a Thursday night game in the history of the program, and tonight Im betting it comes by more than this posted line. Rams are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on Boise State to cover |
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11-11-20 | Central Michigan -7.5 v. Northern Illinois | 40-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Central Michigan after an impressive season returns 70% of its offensive production from last campaign, and Im betting they take advantage of N.Illinois Huskies side off a loss to Buffalo in week one allowing 49 points and failing to cover. CMU also owned the second-best defense in the MAC last season and returned 77% of production to a unit that ranked 40th in the country in Success Rate and 24th against the run behind a front seven. Ranked No. 1 in the nation in Stuff Rate in 2019. I think some pundits were impressed by the Huskies ability to look cohesive enough to hang with Buffalo, but the program was confident knowing they had not lost to Buffalo in more than 28 years. Anyway my projections are telling me we have a mismatch here and that the favorite is highly likely to win by DDs. In last season’s meeting, the Chippewas crushed the Huskies, 48-10 and out-gained NIU, 615-251 and a rinse and repeat situation vs an inexperienced sled dogs is not out of the question. It must be noted that the Chips are 8-2 SU and 9-0-1 ATS on Wednesdays, and 5-1 ATS in their last six lined road openers. Play on Central Michigan to cover |
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11-11-20 | Eastern Michigan v. Ball State -8 | 31-38 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
E.Michigan has a reputation for covering as underdogs and stayed within the numbers in a 27-23 loss, in game 1 despite of a less than average performance and also thanks in part in Kent State inability to kick a late FG for the cover. Now alot of pundits are on the Eagles again, maybe because of their reputation and because of Ball State loss to Miami O. A game that Ball State probably deserved to win when looking at the data. Anyway as far as todays game goes, it must be noted that E. Michigan ranks 124th overall in returning production this season and 116th on offense and . 112th on defense. I know Creighton is a fine coach but the rebuilding.restocking inexperienced Eagles, Im betting just dont have the guns to hang with a cranky Ball State side that has won 10 straight home openers. Play on Ball State to cover |
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11-10-20 | Miami-OH v. Buffalo -9.5 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The RedHawks’ are off a come from behind win vs Ball State in their very physical opener, and could now find themselves in a letdown spot on the road road with their QB situation being a big question mark for the game as starter Brett Gabbert could still be in concussion protocol. . Tonight Im betting the Buffs to come out of this with a cover and victory behind the legs of their backfield super star Patterson who has 35 career rushing TDs and just short of 3000 yards. Note Miami allowed 195 yards and three touchdowns last week on the ground and should be cannon fodder in this spot as visitors. RedHawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.RedHawks are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 Tuesday games. Bulls are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games. Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Bulls are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 conference games. Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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11-07-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame +5.5 | 40-47 | Win | 100 | 33 h 41 m | Show | |
Tigers QB Trevor Lawrence will miss this game due to COVID-19. With that said, Im not sold on freshman backup QB D.J. Uigalelei being able to notch a road win vs a one of the best looking Fighting Irish squads Ive seen in a long time. Add to that the Irish have won 22 straight home games and will not be easily intimidated has me going against Swinney and company . Note: Brian Kelly is 11-3-2 ATS career record as a home pup. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
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11-07-20 | Baylor +14 v. Iowa State | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 31 h 18 m | Show | |
The Bears are not getting alot of respect from lines-makers because of the perception of their current mediocrity , because of the qss kicking they took vs TCU last time out but it must be noted that they are 8-1 ATS as conference dogs of more than 6 points and must be respected against an inconsistent Iowa State program that is just 23-27 ATS L/50 as chalk. Hey I know Iowa State pounded a pathetic looking Kansas side last time out, but it must also be noted that the Cyclones are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.Bears are 13-2-2 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.Bears are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.Bears are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bears are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Baylor to cover |
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11-07-20 | UCLA v. Colorado +7 | 42-48 | Win | 100 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
Buffs new HC Karl Dorrell will be primed take on a UCLA program he coached from 2003 to 2007 which is his old alma mater . With that said, Colorado looks to me to be a viable home dog vs a UCLA program that is 0-5-1 ATS lined season openers, as well as 1-5 ATS in lined road openers, while Colorado is 4-0 SU/ATS in lined season openers. Bruins are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.Buffaloes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on Colorado to cover |
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11-07-20 | Pittsburgh +2.5 v. Florida State | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 28 h 1 m | Show | |
I think the linesmakers got this line right when Pittsburgh U was installed as favorites when the line first emerged. Now with the big swing in the line we have value with a pup that is alot better than their record might indicate. The fact that the Panthers are 0-4 SU L/4 and got pounded by Notre Dame last time out had had huge implications on this line, but from a matchup perspective of teams with offenses that are not flowing it must be noted that Pittsburgh are allowing 2 Yards Per Rush while the Seminoles allow 5.8 per rush. Im betting on rested Pittsburgh finding running room, while the Seminoles wont which will result in the visitors covering with a outright SU win not beyond the perimeters of reality. Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week. Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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11-07-20 | Florida +3.5 v. Georgia | 44-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 6 m | Show | |
Ill call this investment option the magic of 3s. Georgia has won the last 3 head to head games in this series after Florida grabbed the previous 3 after Georgia took the 3 before that and Florida took the 3 before that. Its now time for the Gators to start a 3 game win streak of their own. Ok , guys enough of the numerology. From a projection standpoint getting points here with a up-trending Florida is a viable wagering opportunity that deserves an outlay of funds taking points. Note: College Football SEC teams like Florida that scored 38 or more points in its last game if they are seeking triple revenge-exact are 32-6 ATS in conference games and if they have suffered a least one loss on the season are 25-3 ATS in these situations. Play on Florida to cover |
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11-07-20 | Houston +14 v. Cincinnati | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 6 m | Show | |
Cincinnati enters this game off a big revenger vs Memphis last week where they left everything on the field in DD win. Now in a letdown situation Im betting Houston behind a offense that can do some damage look to be viable upset specialists or backdoor artists. Note : Houston HC Holgerson is 13-3 ATS record as a double- digit underdog, including 8-1 ATS if they own a .record of .500 or better . Road team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.. Play on Houston to cover |
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11-07-20 | Michigan State v. Iowa -6.5 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 29 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a classic hangover spot for me to center my attention on this week. Michigan State upset Michigan last week and Im betting they will be a in a letdown spot vs a very hungry Iowa side that is playing at home in desperation mode after two straight losses to start their season. Note: Iowa is 6-0 ATS coming off consecutive losses and get my support here today.Spartans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Iowa. Play on Iowa to cover |
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11-07-20 | South Florida v. Memphis -17.5 | 33-34 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 60 m | Show | |
Last week Memphis took a beating from a revenge minded Cincinnati and now will be out to get some revenge here vs a USF side, that is 0-5 SU and ITS vs FBS sides this season(outstated in all 5 games). Memphis is 15-0 ATS /SU L/15 as a 12+ point favorite coming off a loss with the average margin of victory coming by 31.2 ppg. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-06-20 | BYU v. Boise State +3 | 51-17 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 46 m | Show | |
The Broncos are 5-0 vs. BYU in games played in Boise. The Broncos have won 4 straight over teams ranked in the AP Top 10 and despite of how well BYU is playing Im backing the Broncos to bring us home the cash. Boise State is 4-0 L/4 as dogs the last 3 years, and 3-0 SU/ATS as home underdogs of less than 3 points. Harsin is 9-1 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6.25 or more yards/play in all games he has coached. CFB Home underdogs (BOISE ST) - after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 67-22 ATS L/28 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Boise state to cover |
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11-06-20 | Miami-FL v. NC State +11 | 44-41 | Win | 100 | 59 h 8 m | Show | |
The Wolfpack’s has a 3-game winning streak come to an end vs North Carolina, 48-21 last time out. The game was closer than the final score might indicate, and NC State looked viable overall. Meanwhile, Miami is off to a 5-1 start with their only defeat coming to Clemson). Tonight though the Canes might easily be in a look ahead situation as VTech is on deck next for them. Thats not a solid situation for Miami bettors as NC State is well rested after a week off . Note: The Wolfpack are a bankroll expanding 20-4 ATS L/24 opportunities when playing with rest vs an ACC opposition. Miami Fl is just 1-6 ATS as conference road favs of 3 plus points, as well as 3-15 ATS with rest versus a league opposition. Play on NC State to cover |
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11-05-20 | Utah State v. Nevada -16.5 | 9-34 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
The Aggies are off to a 0-2 start and look hapless in a lot of ways. Meanwhile, the Wolfpack behind a offense that averages, 37 ppg, and ranking 13th in FBS in total offense, averaging 496 yards per game for 7.47 yards per play should be able to eclipse that mark vs a Aggies D, that has allowed an average of 40 points per game thus far while ranking 98th in FBS in total defense, allowing 510 yards per game, and 6.94 yards per play. My projections estimate the Wolfpack should eclipse the 45 point plateau and easily run away with this vs a side that will not have the guns to get a back door cover . Play on Nevada to cover |
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11-04-20 | Ball State +2.5 v. Miami-OH | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
My projections for both sides has me seeing them as equal competitors. With the line above the key 3 point reference point for this type of matchup Im recommending we take the points here. It must be noted that EMU has cashed three straight times in lined season openers, while Kent State has failed miserably out of the gate recording an ugly 0-8 SU record under the same perimeters . In last years meeting Eastern Michigan blitzed the Flashes D for 509 total yards despite of losing and being upset. With that said, and revenge on board I look for EMU to do more damage to the Flashes D, which translates into another rinse and repeat situation looks to be a viable option and cover. Creighton is 20-10 ATS as a road underdog as the coach of E MICHIGAN. Play on EMU to cover |
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11-04-20 | Buffalo v. Northern Illinois +14 | 49-30 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
I know this Buffalo program has come along way and deserves respect , but this line is just a bit to bloated considering N.Illinois pedigree. You have to remember despite of a below .500 season last season the Huskies still upset the likes of Ohio, Toledo and Western Michigan. I do know that N.Illinois is restocking but, their current young group must not be disqualified as capable opponents. N ILLINOIS is 63-40 ATS as an underdog since 1992. N ILLINOIS is 5-0 straight up against BUFFALO since 1992. Play on N.Illinois to cover |
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11-04-20 | Eastern Michigan +5 v. Kent State | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
My projections for both sides has me seeing them as equal competitors. With the line above the key 3 point reference point for this type of matchup Im recommending we take the points here. It must be noted that EMU has cashed three straight times in lined season openers, while Kent State has failed miserably out of the gate recording an ugly 0-8 SU record under the same perimeters . In last years meeting Eastern Michigan blitzed the Flashes D for 509 total yards despite of losing and being upset. With that said, and revenge on board I look for EMU to do more damage to the Flashes D, which translates into another rinse and repeat situation looks to be a viable option and cover. Creighton is 20-10 ATS as a road underdog as the coach of E MICHIGAN. Play on EMU to cover |
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10-31-20 | San Diego State -8 v. Utah State | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 7 m | Show | |
Utah State is not as explosive as they have been in past seasons, and were smashed by Bosie State 42-13 in their first game of the year. Now against another top tier side, this Aggies group that no longer has Packers first round pick QB Jordan Love in the lineup are a side that is in in big torouble. I know Rocky Long is no long er the HC for San Diego State but now with Brady Hoke the Aztecs are ready to blaze a new more relentless course behind a usually tough D, and now a more stable offence. Note: San Diego State is 8-0 SU/6-2 ATS L/8 as 6 or more road chalk. |
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10-31-20 | Ohio State v. Penn State +12.5 | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 38 m | Show | |
10-31-20 | Mississippi State +31 v. Alabama | 0-41 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
10-31-20 | New Mexico v. San Jose State -13.5 | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show | |
10-31-20 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech +20.5 | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a game where Im betting that Notre Dame after a big blow out victory vs Pittsburgh last time out will come out here with a more muted effort against a downtrodden Georgia Tech crew on the road . This is a situation where the Irish will want to stay healthy and get out of here not having to exert to much energy with bigger fish on the horizon and very little chance of moving up in the CF polls.Collins is 10-1 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return in all games he has coached since 1992 and GTech is 4-1 ATS L/5 in this series. Georgia Tech to cover |
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10-31-20 | Indiana v. Rutgers +11.5 | 37-21 | Loss | -109 | 31 h 48 m | Show | |
After last weeks monumental OT win vs Penn State will have the Indiana Hoosiers in a natural letdown state here on the road vs a under rated Rutgers side that is also off a upset last week vs Michigan State. CFB road team (INDIANA) - off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points against opponent off a double digit road win are just 25-60 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team vs. the money line (INDIANA) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more against opponent off a road win are just 10-57 SU in their following game since 1992. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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10-31-20 | UAB v. Louisiana Tech +13.5 | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Skip Holtz’s LATEch are in trouble and in jeopardy of having their 6 game bowl streak come to an end . But Holtz has done well in the underdog role in the past going 52-27-1 ATS career mark as an underdog, including 12-3 ATS as a pup with revenge in a conference tilts.UAB is 1-4 ATS vs FBS teams this season and cannot be trusted to cover this big a spread on the road. LOUISIANA TECH is 18-6 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite which was the case last week in a 1 point loss to under rated UTSA. Louisiana Tech to cover |
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10-31-20 | Wake Forest -11.5 v. Syracuse | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 28 h 3 m | Show | |
Syracuse is a team that looks completely asleep at the wheel, and today Im betting they get run over by what can sometimes be an explosive Wake Forest offense and what has now suddenly become a dominant D in the red zone as was evident vs Virginia Tech last time out in a win. The Demon Deacons have won 3 straight games, and are rolling, and Im betting they tee off today against a banged up Orange side that is playing with little confidence. WAKE FOREST is 7-0 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB road team (WAKE FOREST) - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a terrible team (25% or less) are 42-13 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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10-31-20 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -6.5 | 10-49 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show | |
Cincinnati proved to me how potent they are when they marched into SMU and smashed them by a 42-13 count. Now here in revenge mode vs Memphis Im betting on another conclusive victory. Last year the Bearcats lost to the Tigers twice so you can bet their motivational juices are oozing everywhere. With Memphis having to deal with star WR Damonte Coxie deciding to opt out of this season, their definitely going to have problems with big plays and their overall flow against one of the nations top defenses. Note: Memphis is 0-7 ATS on the road vs ,750 or better opposition. CINCINNATI is 7-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons. CINCINNATI is 9-1 ATS off a road blowout win by 28 points or more. Fickell is 12-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play in all games.
CFB home team (CINCINNATI) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati |
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10-31-20 | Purdue v. Illinois +8 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 23 m | Show | |
I think this line is bloated and favors the underdog at home. I know Purdue came from behind last week to upset Iowa, but now Im betting their in a letdown mode, and going on the road here is not easy especailly against a side Im sure theyre not hyped up to play against. Note: Purdue is 1-5 ATS when favored by more than 3 points on the road, Meanwhile, Illinois was a solid 5-2 ATS at home last season, including 3-0 ATS as dogs and at least from my perspective deserve respect here as underdogs. |
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10-31-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Georgia State +3.5 | 51-0 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
The coastal Carolina Chanticleers , are rockin and rollin with a 5-0 record. .So its easy for bettors to look at this as a easy short chalk road opportunity against a Georgia State side that is very competitive . behind a viable ground game that has gained 5.0 Yards Per Rush while the D has allowed 3.2 YPR on defense. Note: The Panthers are 6-1 ATS L/7 at home. GEORGIA ST is 21-9 ATS in October games. CFB home team (GEORGIA ST) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on Georgia State to cover |
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10-31-20 | UTSA +4.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 3-24 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
10-30-20 | Hawaii v. Wyoming -1 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Wyoming is off a 37-34 overtime loss at Nevada in its season opener and will be ready for a huge bounce back effort here vs Hawaii in their home opener. Meanwhile, Hawaii opened up on the mainland with a lopsided win vs Fresno State. However , it must be noted that this Hawaii football program is just 1-13 SU in their last fourteen tilts on the road when coming off an away game and have lost their L/5 visits to Wyoming going back to at 1east 1992. With Wyoming showing strong precedent here winning 22 of their L/26 home openers and after watching portions of their heart breaking loss vs the Wolves last week, Im betting their more than capable of notching a victory in this spot. Wyoming to cover |
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10-29-20 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern -5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 37 h 27 m | Show | |
A first place team South Alabama comes into this game as underdogs to the Sun Belts cellar dweller Georgia Southern.That is a interesting dichotomy, but from a [power rankings perspective and from a head to head matchup analytical view the home team deserves to be favorites. South Alabama is just 2-21 SU L/23 as visitors and have failed to cover 15 times , and are 1-15 SU and 4-12 ATS in conference tilts. Georgia Southern is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in their L/6 meetings , including 3-0 SU/ATS at home . GSU is 7-0 SU L/7 and 6-1 ATS as home chalk. S ALABAMA is 0-9 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1992. CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GA SOUTHERN) - with a poor defense - allowing 5.8 or more yards/play, after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game are 25-4 ATS :L/28 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Georgia Southern to cover |
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10-24-20 | Cincinnati +2.5 v. SMU | 42-13 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati D is tops in the AAC, ranking first in both total and scoring defense while giving up just 12.3 points per game and are well rested as they have been off since Oct 3. Thats extremely important vs a explosive SMU offense that ranks among the top attacks in the nation. However, that offense Im betting will not be as efficient here this week against this type of D, and with receiver Reggie Roberson and starting running back TJ McDaniel out will find themselves less fluid. These teams have played very closely contested games in recent meetings, and Im sure another one is at hand, but my projections make the Bearcats the superior tea, and with the wrong side favored will take a stance with the points. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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10-24-20 | Louisiana Tech -2 v. UTSA | 26-27 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 26 m | Show | |
UTSA has played valiantly of late, however, putting in so much hard work and still losing, three straight they are now exhausted. Army was last weeks opponent and before that BYU and UAB on the road. Those were all physical grinding affairs, and now against a hungry LATech squad, off an embarrassing 35-17 home loss to Marshall last time out, Im betting they wont have the needed energy to get across the finish line again. Louisiana Tech is 12-0 ATS/SU as a favorite coming off a home loss where they scored less than 35 points. UTSA is 0-6 ATS after playing 2 straight non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Play on LA Tech |
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10-24-20 | Utah State v. Boise State -16.5 | 13-42 | Win | 100 | 36 h 60 m | Show | |
Broncos have owned this series against the Aggies clicking on 16 of the L/17 meetings straight up and have been an ATM for their betting backers cashing on 13 of those games against the spread. Last season when these teams met at Utah State the Broncos teed of on the Aggies winning by a 56-21 count and that was with Utah States star QB in the lineup (Jordan Love). I know the Aggies will be out looking for revenge, but Im betting Bryan Harsins group just don't have same quality guns as the Broncos needed to get the job done. Key: .QB Bachmeier started eight games as a true freshman last season. He recorded a 7-1 record as a starter and threw for 1,879 yards and 9 touchdowns while completing 63 percent of his passes and today Im betting he continues his ascension. Play on Boise State to cover |
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10-24-20 | South Carolina v. LSU -5.5 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 37 h 2 m | Show | |
Missouri according to my power rankings is being over rated here today. Yes, they beat Auburn last time out, but despite of getting the W, they were out yarded by a 481-297 count, which tells a truer tale of their abilities . Here today vs a very hungry defending national champion Im betting their vulnerabilities will be exposed. Missouri is 0-6-1 L/7 in this series vs LSU. LSU is 6-0 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 2 seasons. Defending National Champions are 50-9-1 SU in games with a below .500 record, including 9-1 ATS in conference games. CFB home team vs. the money line (LSU) - struggling defensive team (440 or more YPG) against an average defensive team (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 26-7 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.8 ppg. CFB home team vs. the money line (LSU) - excellent passing team (8.3 or more PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PY/Att.), after allowing 9 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 31-8 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.8 ppg. Play on LSU to cover |
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10-24-20 | Baylor +9.5 v. Texas | 16-27 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas has fallen in my power rankings thanks in part to a defense that has allowed 456 yards and 36 points per game. Meanwhile, Baylor is up-trending and took out Texas, 24-10, in Waco last season and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 visits to Austin. I know the Longhonrs have revenge on board, but the way they are playing nothing will come easy for them , thus getting points here makes for a viable wager. TEXAS is 0-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 over the last 3 season. Herman is 0-8 ATS in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 as the coach of TEXAS. BAYLOR is 9-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons.( Failed to cover their last time out on Oct 3 to W.Virginia is. a 27-21 loss) CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, in the second half of the season are 27-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. CFB college football home favorite like Texas with a week of rest in Game Five if they allow 30 or more points per game are just 3-21 ATS L/30 seasons. Play on Baylor to cover |
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10-24-20 | Houston v. Navy +15 | 37-21 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 46 m | Show | |
Navy at 3-0 in AAC play is huge underdog here at home. I know Navy does not look as cohesive as past carnations of this program, but Houston is over rated as well, as was evident when BYU ran over them as visitors , and that fact the team has given up as many yards as they have accumulated. With that said, and knowing how Military colleges dont take to being embarrassed or disrespected by the linesmakers, Ill make a stand here with the Middies and the points. NAVY is 9-2 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. NAVY is 7-0 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Navy is 11-0 ATS L/12 as a dog facing a team allowing at least 29 points per game. The only 3 losses in this set came by 3 points exact. Play on Navy to cover |
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10-24-20 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +10.5 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
After a muted 13-point effort against Clemson to open the season, the Demon Deacon offense has looked explosive . Wake Forests QB Hartman, has been in top form in his last three tilts, connecting through the air for an average of 9.0 yards per attempt with no interceptions. Thats the kind of team and QB you want to back as underdogs getting points. My own projections make this to many points for Vtech to be favored by, and Im buying in to the Deacons ability to cover vs a side that has failed to cover its last 4 in back to back road games. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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10-22-20 | Arkansas State v. Appalachian State -12.5 | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 34 h 22 m | Show | |
Arkansas State has an explosive offense but the App State Mountaineers defense is showing themselves to be as tough as nails, as is evident by holding their opposition to 19.3 PPG and in their only loss allowed another top tier explosive offense to just 17 points on the road vs Marshall. Tonight I expect the Mountaineers D, to own the line of scrimmage vs the Wolves and for the Mounties offense to tee off on a Arkansas St D, that is allowing 39.8 ppg. APPALACHIAN ST is 7-0 ATS /SU versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 2 season with average margin of victory coming by an average of just under 22 ppg. Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (ARKANSAS ST) - with a poor first half defense - 16 or more points per game, after 2 straight games where 70 total points or more were scored 39-82 ATS L/28 years for a 68% go against conversion rate. Play on App State to cover |
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10-17-20 | North Carolina v. Florida State +14 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
UNC showed its vulnerabilities on defense against the Hokies, allowing 46 points last week and now Im betting incumbent QB Jordan Travis will exploit those issues here this week for Florida State. I know Florida State never seems to inspire bettors, but N.Carolina is being over rated here on the line, thus giving us value with the home underdog. Florida State is 15-3-1 SU in this series since joining the ACC. and are 5-0-1 ATS when facing a undefeated Tar Heels. Play on Florida State to cover |
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10-17-20 | Marshall v. Louisiana Tech +14 | 35-17 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
This is just to many points for Marshall to be laying on the road especially with the The Bulldogs showing a 16-4 ATS record as underdogs with revenge , including 13-1 ATS in conference tilts. Last year Fritz and company lost 31-10 at Marshall and now with payback on the agenda they will be at their best. MARSHALL is 6-17 ATS L/23 in road games off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival . LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. LA Tech to cover |
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10-17-20 | Army v. UTSA +7.5 | 28-16 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 34 m | Show | |
Army lit up their two first opponents of the season recording crushing win vs MTSU and UL-Monroe, However since than Army has lost to Cincinnati by 14 points , allowed Abilene Christian to score 23 points on them and barley got by a less than stellar Citadel by just 4 points. Meanwhile, the Roadrunners have captured three wins this season and gave BYU and UAB hard fought close tilts on the road. From a matchup perspective this line is slightly tainted based on Army's reputation which gives us value with a home pup that has cashed 5 of their L/6 as single digit dogs at home. Play on UTSA to cover |
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10-17-20 | Texas State v. South Alabama -3 | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show | |
South Alabama got beat by UAB at home on September 24th and have now had plenty of time to recuperate and be fully rested for this tilt vs Texas State(1-4) and have an edge. CFB home team vs. the money line (S ALABAMA) - excellent passing team (8.3 or more PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PY/Att.), after allowing 9 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 ppg. Play on South Alabama to cover |