Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-21-21 | San Diego State -2.5 v. UTSA | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
SAN DIEGO ST is 18-7 ATS in road games vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTSA) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 19-45 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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12-21-21 | Wyoming v. Kent State +3.5 | 52-38 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
Kent State behind senior quarterback Dustin Crum is a dangerous two-way threat , as he finished second in the MAC with an average of 273.5 yards per game total offense. He passed for 2,922 yards and 16 touchdowns and rushed for 633 yards and 11 more TDS. Add to that Running back Marquez Cooper who was fifth in the league with 1,080 yards rushing and had 11 touchdowns which contributes to an explosive offense that is averaging 243 yards rushing and 237 yards passing per game. I know Wyoming has a strong D, but Kent State is a shock and awe type side, that will be hard to keep up with. Cowboys are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. it must be noted that the Cowboys lost 38-14 to what was thought to be an inferior Hawaii team to end the season, and their consistency this year was non existent losing to sides like New Mexico and don't inspire me with their game preparation. Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. WYOMING is 6-17 ATS L/23 in road games after a loss by 21 or more points . Lewis is 12-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of KENT ST. Play on Kent State to cover |
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12-18-21 | Oregon State v. Utah State +7.5 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 61 h 38 m | Show | |
Utah State has a had a very successful season and are off pounding a strong San Diego State side to win the Mountain West title and they must not be underestimated here vs Oregon State. Despite of talent divergence between the PAC 12 and Mountain West from a general perspective, the Aggies have shown themselves an above average group, and Im betting will be competitive today behind a explosive offense. Note: Oregon state has been below average on D this season and have almost no pass rush, which puts them at a disadvantage against this type of offensive unit. Pac-12 bowl teams coming off a victory like Oregon State are just 1-21 ATS L/6 seasons. Play on Utah State to cover |
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12-18-21 | Eastern Michigan +9.5 v. Liberty | 20-56 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 7 m | Show | |
Central Michigan blasted E.Michigan in their last game of the season by a 31-10 count. The team looked lethargic, and HC Creighton was not happy with the performance. Im betting they bounce back here in their Bowl appearance vs a public fav. (Liberty) Note: Eastern Michigan HC Creighton has covered 14 straight times in his career as a road underdog when coming off a loss. E MICHIGAN is 20-7 ATS in road games off a road blowout loss by 21 points . Creighton is also 3-0 ATS L/3 Bowl appearances with W.Mich. E MICHIGAN is 14-2 ATS L/16 in road games vs. good passing teams like Liberty averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. Liberty finished their season failing to cover 3 straight and are fade material here for me today vs under rated and disrespected MAC side. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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12-18-21 | UAB +7 v. BYU | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 56 h 46 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings UAB is highly under rated under HC Bill Clark who has built the Blazers into a strong cohesive unit. UAB has looked tough as nails against top tier sides with a .800 or better record cashing 7 of 9 opportunities with 5 of those coming in the underdog role. Considering how strong this Blazers D is allowing just 18.7 ppg on the road this season Im betting BYU will not easily win this game if at all. UAB is 6-0 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. this season. BYU is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UAB) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more are 61-23 ATS L/29 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UAB to cover |
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12-17-21 | Toledo v. Middle Tennessee State +10.5 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 22 m | Show | |
Bahamas Bowl - Thomas Robinson Stadium - Nassau Toledo is being over rated here, under HC Candle the Rockets are just 0-3/SU/ATS in Bowl Games and this season going against sides with a .500 record or better failed to cover 4 of 5 times. I know Midd Tennessee State is without their starting QB for this tilt, but are still built to hang with a side like the Rockets when factoring in a complete depth perspective on both sides of the ball. TOLEDO is 9-22 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.TOLEDO is 23-45 ATS L/68 vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better. Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover |
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12-11-21 | Navy +7 v. Army | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
We are expected to have cloudy skies a few showers and some overall less than favorable weather with temps around 50 degrees F. We know these teams use the triple option as their go to means for the moving the ball and nothing will change today. With that said, Im expecting a ground war, here between these military schools, with the points looking to be golden in what Im betting will be very close affair. I know Navy's record is not a feature that makes bettors feel comfortable , but remember the Middies made play off side Cincinnati work hard for a 27-20 win last month and must not be disrespected in what this team will be treating as their biggest game of the season. |
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12-04-21 | USC +4.5 v. California | 14-24 | Loss | -102 | 40 h 9 m | Show | |
The PAC 12 is not getting alot of respect this year from the pundits , and maybe they dont deserve it. Despite of the talent levels, most teams maybe other than Utah dont stand out and have shown a great deal of inconsistency. Today we have two PAC 12 Futility Poster stories, going head to head as California hosts USC. In past meetings the Trojans have had the edge from a historical standpoint, winning 20 of 26 games all as chalk. Note: HC Justin Wilcox is a ATM machine for the his backers as an underdog as is evident by his 21-9 ATS record getting points and Im backing him again. Also betting on some of the players that are supposed to return next year dial up their energy as Im sure incoming HC Lincoln Riley is watching this tilt closely. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 42 points or more last game are 29-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team (CALIFORNIA) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 28-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USC to cover |
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12-04-21 | Iowa +11 v. Michigan | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 50 m | Show | |
Im betting on. a huge emotional letdown from Michigan this week after defeating Ohio State last time out. The Wolverines after a huge win and celebration are now vulnerable vs a less talented but extremely cohesive team that is coached by one of football most under rated HCs Kirk Ferentz. Iowa are 12-3-2 ATS vs .850 or better conf opposition. Michigan 1-5 ATS vs .800 or better conference opposition. CFB favorite of 6 plus points with a superior record than its opp in its conference championship game – if coming off an ATS win of 15 or more points and facing an .800 or less foe are just 1-10 ATS L/25 seasons. Play on Iowa to cover |
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12-04-21 | Houston v. Cincinnati -10 | 20-35 | Win | 100 | 34 h 27 m | Show | |
Bearcats are undefeated on the season and have won 26 straight home games at Nippert Stadium, and stud QB Desmond Ridder has never lost a tilt on his home field and nothing Im betting will change today against Houston. The Bearcats are an elite team, and when motivated can easily smash a team like Houston. the Bearcats motivation will come from the fact that they will be the first power 5 team to go to the college football play offs with a win here today, and Im betting they do it in conclusive fashion. Hey I know how well Houston has played but they are in over their heads here this Saturday. Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in their L/5 games vs .900 or better opposition. Houston is just 1-6 SU/ATS L/7 visits here . CINCINNATI is 8-0 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 1-10 ATS L/11 in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return. CFB home team (CINCINNATI) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 32-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.\ CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival, when playing on a Saturday are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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12-04-21 | Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette +3 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 44 h 27 m | Show | |
SBC Championship Game Lafayette won the only meeting between these teams this season, 41-13 and App State despite of wanting revenge do not matchup well vs Cajuns. Note: Lafayette is 6-1 ATS L/7 in conference action at home as a dog vs a team they beat in their previous meeting. Lafayette HC Napier who leaves for Gainesville after this tilt is 11-5 ATS L/16 as a dog, including 7-1 ATS when coming off consecutive wins . APPALACHIAN ST is 2-10 ATS after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins CFB home team vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 33-7 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on Lafayette to cover |
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12-04-21 | Utah State v. San Diego State -3.5 | 46-13 | Loss | -109 | 77 h 16 m | Show | |
The Aztecs own the 2nd best ground defense in the nation and they are dangerous smash and grab specialists forcing takeaways. The Aztecs are tough as nails on defense overall ranking No. 13 in the nation and multi dimensional on offense when they need to be as they proved vs Boise State, a Im betting Utah State will have issues with this type of side. Look for Utah State to become one dimensional on offense, as moving the chains on the ground will be difficult and for a muted effort from them here today against this strong Aztec stopping units . CFB Road underdogs of +155 to +300 vs. the money line (UTAH ST) - after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 1-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 ppg which qualify on this ATS line offering. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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12-04-21 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -5.5 | 21-16 | Loss | -106 | 41 h 38 m | Show | |
Big-12 Championship Game - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX Oklahoma State took out Oklahoma last week, and now have a huge amount of confidence entering this game against the Baylor Bears. Oklahoma State (11-1) is in good position to make the College Football Playoff with a victory and we should find them very motivated in crunch time. Note:Cowboys are 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS laying points in this series and in their current top tier defensive form ranking No.3 in the nation in D allowing just 16.4 ppg . With that said, Im betting they have an edge here today of a TD or less making this a viable wagering opportunity with the favorite. Oklahoma State is 6-1 ATS with single-digit spreads this season. Cowboys are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. .Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf. OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons.OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 ATS against conference opponents this season. Gundy is 12-4 ATS in road games after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins as the coach of OKLAHOMA ST. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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12-03-21 | Eastern Washington +3 v. Montana | 41-57 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
UM is giving up just 13 points per game and are getting alot of respect from the lines-makers , (to much in my betting opinion) even here on their own field. EWU is scoring 44.2 points, and in the first meeting between these teams blitzed UM for four plays of 35 or more yards , while Montanas 10 other opponents combined for three plays of more than 35 yards. EWU won that battle, by a 34-28 count and once again matchup well here behind an explosive offense that scored and 51 Red Zone TDs and has shown it can have its way with this strong defense. Key to game:Last week, EWU ran for 129 yards against a Northern Iowa defense that was allowing just 83.3 yards per game on the ground and in their first meeting vs Montana went over 100 yards rushing, (one of only two teams to achieve that vs the Grizzlies this season) Im betting on them breaching the century mark here on the ground which will once again open up their explosive air attack which in turn will be the ultimate difference maker. Play on Eastern Washington to cover |
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11-27-21 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State -4 | 33-37 | Push | 0 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State Defense are pure stoppers ranking No. 1 in the nation in third down stops, No. 1 in sacks and tackles for loss, No. 2 in scoring, and No. 3 in total defense.Now just at the perfect time coming into this game against long time rivals the Oklahoma Sooners the Cowboys offensive attack has revved up and is now hitting on all cylinders recording 400 yards or more in three of the last four trips to the gridiron. Right now the Boyz are complete package of a team and a very dangerous opponent for a Sooners side that depends on explosive offensive plays to achieve positive results. Advantage Oklahoma State. OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. this season.OKLAHOMA ST is 8-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread this season.OKLAHOMA ST is 8-0 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers this season. CFB home team vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA ST) - in conference games, after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 34-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA ST) - in conference games, after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 45-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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11-27-21 | UTSA v. North Texas +10 | 23-45 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
15th-ranked UTSA Roadrunners will be under extreme pressure to complete an undefeated regular season here against a stout opponent that has won 4 straight games covering all 4. The Mean Green still have to win their home finale for bowl eligibility and have plenty to play for other than just ruining the Roadrunners undefeated season .Advantage North Texas NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS after playing a conference game this season.NORTH TEXAS is 16-5 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals since 1992. CFB home team (NORTH TEXAS) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team (UTSA) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 25-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. North Texas to cover |
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11-27-21 | Troy v. Georgia State -6.5 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
When Georgia State records more than 25.1 points, it is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 overall and my projections expect a 28 plus or more point output. The Panthers have covered the spread twice this season when favored by 6.5 points or more (in three chances).This season, the Trojans have just one ATS victory in four games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more and are once again fade material here at a TD or less. GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last 2 seasons. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (TROY) - after gaining 150 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 2-37 L/29 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -20.9 ppg qualifying on this ATS line offering. Play on Georgia State to cover |
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11-27-21 | Ohio State v. Michigan +7.5 | 27-42 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
This Michigan football program is off one its worst in its history last season, and they have responded with poise and bounced back in a big way. The one loss to Michigan State was not completely surprising considering recent snake bites they have suffered in this series. However, wins vs Penn State and Wisconsin including some close road wins solidified their ability to compete. I know Ohio State is the better overall side, but with the grit the Wolverines have shown Im betting on a big effort here and cover as the redemption tour continues. MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS in games played on turf this season. CFB home team vs. the money line (MICHIGAN) - off 1 or more straight overs, with a good scoring defense - allowing 17 or less points/game are 69-8 SU L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team (MICHIGAN) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-27-21 | Texas Tech v. Baylor -14 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bears lead the Big 12 in total offense behind the duo of Abram Smith and Treston Ebner and are ultimately very fluid with their chess like attacks. This Bears team has a uncanny way of controlling the tempo of a game and Im betting Texas Techs wont keep up . Note: I know Blake Shapen is expected to be under center today for the Bears but this kid is talented and he will be out to make an impression and let the running game do the rest. Red Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Red Raiders are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.Red Raiders are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Red Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. BAYLOR is 10-1 ATS ( versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6.25 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS ( in home lined games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 20 ppg. BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS ( after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game this season with a ppg diff clicking in at +21.7 ppg. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (TEXAS TECH) - after gaining 150 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after out gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 2-37 L/29 seasons for a 95% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -20.9 ppg which qualifies on this ATS offering. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (BAYLOR) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, in conference games are 25-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Baylor to cover |
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11-27-21 | Miami-OH v. Kent State +1.5 | 47-48 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
Kent State destroyed Akron last week by a 38-0 count and continue to show explosive offensive continuity averaging 46.8 ppg at home. On the flip-side , visiting Miami O is only averaging 19.8 ppg in offense when playing in the visitors role. Kent State has the advantage. KENT ST is 12-3 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992. KENT ST is 10-2 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team vs. the money line (KENT ST) - off a huge blowout win by 35 points or more over a conference rival, with a winning record on the season are 48-8 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kent State to cover |
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11-26-21 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +14 | 35-13 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
E.Carolina is playing their best football of the season, as they enter this game on a 4 game win streak, and have played their best football at home this season winning 4 of 5 games while allowing just 18.8 ppg defensively. I know Cincinnati is a top tier team but they have played a long hard schedule, at a very high level and from time to time this season, have played games against lower tier sides like its a de-facto bye week. Advantage East Carolina Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.Bearcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons. E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. E CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS in home games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better . Houston is 12-2 ATS L/15 vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. as the coach of E CAROLINA. Pirates are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. CFB home team vs. the money line (E CAROLINA) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on East Carolina to cover |
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11-26-21 | Kansas State +3 v. Texas | 17-22 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
Texas is in free fall after suffering 6 straight losses. Ending their futility today Im betting wont come easy if at all and Kansas States strong defense will be the difference maker. Im not saying this version of the Texas Longhorns is soft but their defense certainly is allowing 32.9 ppg overall and will be their downfall here today as it has been all season long. KANSAS ST is 11-1 ATS L/12 as a road underdog of 3 points or less . KANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 2 seasons TEXAS is 0-6 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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11-26-21 | Eastern Michigan +9 v. Central Michigan | 10-31 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigans passing attack is explosive and the ground game has been balanced and hard to stop . That was evident in a 22-21 win over top tier Mac opponent Western Michigan. With a offense that rip points up on the board in bunches the Eagles are solid underdogs. Creighton is 8-0 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of E MICHIGAN.Creighton is 9-1 ATS in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of E MICHIGAN.Creighton is 12-2 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of E MICHIGAN.Creighton is 16-4 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. as the coach of E MICHIGAN. E MICHIGAN is 15-2 ATS in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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11-26-21 | Boise State v. San Diego State +3 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
This game has implications for the races in both the West and Mountain divisions and Im expecting both sides to leave everything on the field it what the lines-makers and myself expect to be a very close game, with the points in my betting opinion ending up being golden. The Aztecs defense is a wall against opposing ground games, and it all ties together with an offense that controls games in a very chess like conservative fashion. In a big game like this the home side looks like viable option getting points. SAN DIEGO ST is 7-0 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.Hoke is 11-2 ATS in home games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game in all games he has coached. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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11-25-21 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -1 | 31-21 | Loss | -113 | 35 h 2 m | Show | |
Egg Bowl Mississippi State sits at 7-4 overall and 4-3 in the SEC West. Ole Miss is 2nd in the division at 9-2 overall, 5-2 in conference play. The Miss State Bulldogs have played well against higher-ranked teams, especially as hosts, taking out NC State, Kentucky, and Auburn at Davis Wade. All of those football programs were ranked at the time. Im betting Leach and company have the edge again vs their higher ranked opponent. Key tonight will be the Bulldogs strong rush defense which ranks No. 21, in the nation and 4th in the SEC behind Georgia, Alabama and A&M which will take away from the Rebels being able to open up their pass game , which will limit their offensive options. On the flipside Im betting Miss State QB Rogers will meticulously follow a controlled game plan that will utilize everything available to him and give the viable Ole Miss D more than what they can plan for. Leach is 32-12 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992.Leach is 22-7 ATS in home games after gaining 375 or more passing yards in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games against opponent after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games are 38-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. Play on Miss State to cover/win |
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11-25-21 | Fresno State v. San Jose State +7.5 | 40-9 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a big game for San Jose State, as a win would make it bowl eligible. Needless to say Im betting we pull out all the stops to find a way to get a victory here. Im betting on the Spartans top tier D to keep them in this game until the end. SAN JOSE ST is 9-1 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.SAN JOSE ST is 13-4 ATS L/17 after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game. Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on field-turf. Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play on the San Jose Spartans to cover |
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11-20-21 | Syracuse +11.5 v. NC State | 17-41 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 16 m | Show | |
After being very competitive this season , Syracuse looked tired/lifeless vs Louisville last week in a 41-3 loss. Previous to that 5 of their L/6 games were all decided by 4 points or less and they have won the stats battles in 8 of 10 games this season. There is good news coming for Syracuse bettors this week as Babers is 8-0 ATS after gaining 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game as the coach of SYRACUSE. On the flip-side NC States HC Doeren is 0-9 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 230 or more rushing yards/game as the coach of NC STATE like Syracuse. I expect Syracuse to pound away on the ground today and to take advantage of Wolfpack side that has failed to cover 4 of their L/5 as 10 or more point home fav in conference tilts. SYRACUSE is 12-3 ATS L/15 vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return. SYRACUSE is 8-2 ATS in all games this season.
Play on Syracuse to cover |
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11-20-21 | UCLA v. USC +3.5 | 62-33 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 34 m | Show | |
Rivals go head to head today in southern California , and Im betting the under performing but under rated home side has the edge. The UCLA secondary is vulnerable as is evident by allowing an average of 240 yards per game. The one thing that USC can do consistently is go deep and make passes, and that what will be the difference maker here today. UCLA is 4-14 ATS L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). USC has been a recent ATM when faltering going 6-0 ATS as a home pup when coming off consecutive losses, including a 6-0 ATS mark as a home dog with a below .500 record. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - with 16 total starters returning are 76-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play USC to cover |
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11-20-21 | Rice v. UTEP -8.5 | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (RICE) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 1-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at -19 ppg. Play on UTEP |
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11-20-21 | Arkansas v. Alabama -20.5 | 35-42 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
Alabama has crushed Arkansas 100-10 count in the last two meetings and Im betting on another beatdown here, as the Tide ramp up into championship form, especially on defense, where they have allowed just 15.8 ppg at home this season. Alabama is 5-1 ATS as home favorite of less than 24 points. Lay and it and play it on Alabama to cover |
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11-20-21 | UAB +4.5 v. UTSA | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
The UTSA Roadrunners come into this game undefeated, but Im betting they will have their hands full with UAB this week in a key game. Its alot of pressure for a team to stay undefeated in College Football, and Im betting they feel the heat here today vs a UAB side that is ntorious for picking up big wins in key games. Note: The Blazers allow a little over 100 rushing yards per game, and they lead the league in total defense. Defence wins championships and in this case gets us the cover in this spot play. |
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11-20-21 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Oklahoma | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
Iowa State has big time revenge on board vs Oklahoma this Saturday , after having their butts handed to them in last year’s Big 12 Championship. Note:Iowa State is a profitable 5-1 ATS L/6 away with conference revenge .I know the Cyclones are also off a loss last week in heart breaking fashion, but now that will make them even hungrier as a collective. Advantage Iowa State. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OKLAHOMA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in weeks 10 through 13 are 45-85 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.(Lost a Baylor last week 27-14) |
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11-20-21 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -4 | 27-48 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
Clemson slowly but surely has gotten back towards championship form and now must be respected here at home to handle a one way Wake Forest offensive juggernaut. The Clemson D, Im betting will give Wake a real test, while the Deacons D, is usually their weak link and wont stand up very well in the end. (Wake ha allowed an average of 42 ppg on the road this season) Clemson HC Swinney is 14-2 SU L/16 when having won three straight games.. WAKE FOREST is 0-6 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road underdogs (WAKE FOREST) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 50-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Clemson to cover |
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11-19-21 | Air Force +2 v. Nevada | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 36 h 11 m | Show | |
Air Force has impressed me this season, winning the stats battles in 9 of 10 games and are 4-0 SU/ATS on the road this season and after watching them take down Colorado state last time out on the road by a 35-21 margin it became clear they are for real. Now the talented and gritty Falcons crew take to the road again and Im betting they wont be intimidated at all here by a Nevada side that did not completely live up to expectations this season and now in a emotional letdown spot, after losing a key heart breaker to San Diego State last week. . CFB team (AIR FORCE) - after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game are 55-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Air Force to cover |
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11-19-21 | Memphis +9 v. Houston | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
There is alot of pressure here on the Houston Cougars as a win this week against a dangerous Memphis side and another next week vs UConn and HC Holgernson and company will take on Cincinnati in the AC Conference Championship game. However, Memphis would love to play spoiler here and they do have the offensive weapons to make Houston sweat and to get us the all important cover. Note: Memphis is 5-1 SU/ 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series and must be respected because of their explosiveness and ability to get a upset win or backdoor cover. |
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11-16-21 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan +5.5 | 21-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
E.Michigan is bowl eligible, but must garner a victory tonight and beat Northern Illinois next week , as well some other uncontrollable good luck to be able to get a share of the MAC West title. Needless to say Im betting the Eagles will leave everything on the field today vs a Western Michigan team that gives up alot of big plays in the secondary. Eagles are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight up loss. Creighton is 13-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) as the coach of E MICHIGAN. Eagles are 27-12 ATS in their last 39 games as an underdog. W MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. W MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 2 seasons.W MICHIGAN is 3-12 ATS L/15 as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. Broncos are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games. Lester is 0-6 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of W MICHIGAN. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (E MICHIGAN) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 38-11 ATS L/29 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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11-13-21 | NC State v. Wake Forest -1 | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 30 h 47 m | Show | |
Wake Forest explosive offense Im betting will really be aggressive and attack the Wolpacks D which has allowed over 400 yards in three of its last five games. Advantage Wake Forest. WAKE FOREST is 6-0 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons. NC STATE is 1-10 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team (WAKE FOREST) - after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 39-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (WAKE FOREST) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games are 37-2 L/10 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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11-13-21 | Notre Dame v. Virginia +6 | 28-3 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
Rested Virginia was on a 4 game win streak before being derailed last time out in a back and forth offensive slugfest but now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs Notre Dame. NOTRE DAME is 8-26 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992. Virginia is 16-3 ATS vs .800 or better opposition. Virginia is 5-1 ATS L/6 off a bye. VIRGINIA is 8-1 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons. Mendenhall is 7-0 ATS in home games after scoring 42 points or more last game as the coach of VIRGINIA which was the case vs BYU in a 49-66 loss. CFB home team (VIRGINIA) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 70-36 ATS L/29 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia to cover |
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11-13-21 | Oklahoma v. Baylor +6 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
Sooners’ are over rated and the pollsters know it , but the lines makers don't seem to because of their lengthy win streak keep propping them up which is great for sharp money but not so much so for the diehard fans who back the Sooners no matter what . Yes the Sooners have found ways to win this season but are 0-6 ATS with HC Lincoln Riley at the helm as conference road favorites. Nothing seems to be coming easily for the Oklahoma and that will continue here vs a side in Baylor that is playing in revenge mode for a loss last year in this series. The Bears are 20-5 SUATS at home in Waco the last 10 seasons against opposition coming off a victory including 8-0 ATS as an under dog. BAYLOR is 8-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team (BAYLOR) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 23-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on the Baylor Bears to cover |
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11-13-21 | East Carolina +5.5 v. Memphis | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
ECU allows 24 ppg to Memphis' 29.1 and more than 400 yards a game so the better defense rests with the Pirates. The Pirates have only failed to cover 2 of their 9 games ATS this season to rank 6th-best in the nation at covering the spread and once again according to my power rankings matchup very well here vs the Memphis . Look for E.Carolina to lean on their D, here and to pound the ball on the ground alot more to slow the flow of their explosive opponents.E CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. CFB road team (E CAROLINA) - after allowing 175 or less total yards in their previous game, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB are 107-53 ATS L/29 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on E.Carolina to cover |
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11-13-21 | Central Florida +7.5 v. SMU | 28-55 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
UCF is playing decent ball of late and have 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 with the only loss coming to undefeated Cincinnati. With that said, the UCF is more than capable hanging around here vs a SMU side that has lost two straight while giving up 400 plus yards in those tilts defensively. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCF) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 36-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.UCF is 8-1 straight up against SMU since 1992. CFB road team vs. the money line (UCF) - after allowing 14 points or less in 3 straight games against opponent after a loss by 6 or less points is 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on UCF to cover |
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11-13-21 | Houston -24.5 v. Temple | 37-8 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
The Temple Owls look to just be going through the motions as it looks like they threw the towel in on their season a while, back and that has been evident over their L/4 games where they have been outscored, 180-27. With that said, Im betting Houston laying down abeatdown of mammoth proportions here today against a team that will probably just lie down for them.Houston is ranked 10th in the nation, averaging 39.1 points per game and Im betting they breach that number here in this spot. TEMPLE is 0-6 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -34 ppg. CFB Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points (TEMPLE) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in November games are 27-62 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (HOUSTON) - after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival are 60-28 ATS L/29 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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11-12-21 | Cincinnati v. South Florida +23.5 | 45-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
USF will be very motivated to be ready to extend their 6-0 ATS L/6 mark in this series vs undefeated Cincinnati. Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in South Florida. Its a ugly kind of clothes pin to the nose type selection, but this is easily the Bulls biggest game of the season considering that will not go bowling. Im betting they leave everything on the filed here while the Bearcats begin to feel the pressure of maintaining a undefeated season. Bearcats are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.Bulls are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Play on South Florida to cover |
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11-11-21 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh -6.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
North Carolina ended the Wake Forest win streak at 8 games last week in a emotional back and forth offensive slugfest. Now Im betting the Tar Heels wont have that same energy this week after that exhausting physical and emotional victory , and will fall victim to a Pittsburgh team that can actually play defense and light up the board just as efficiently. With that said look for Panthers QB Pickett to land KOs all day in the pocket behind a top-10 offensive line. N CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. Brown is 0-9 ATS off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of N CAROLINA. Brown is 4-15 ATS after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points in all games . CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PITTSBURGH) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 30-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors, CFB Road underdogs (N CAROLINA) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 14-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh to cover |
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11-10-21 | Ball State -2.5 v. Northern Illinois | 29-30 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Cardinals have been a top tier unit against the run as they have not allowed more than 130 yards in any of the last four games and that will be key Im betting in a road win N.Illinois. On the flipside add to that the Huskies have allowed 12 touchdowns on 23 possessions over the last two games and you have an edge to the short road fav. BALL ST is 8-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game over the last 3 season. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game over the last 3 season. Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cardinals are 14-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Huskies are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. CFB home team (N ILLINOIS) - good rushing team - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, after allowing 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 4-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.
Injury note:[QB] 11/04/2021 - Rocky Lombardi left last game, is "?" Wednesday vs Ball State ( Head ) Play on Ball State to cover |
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11-09-21 | Ohio +6 v. Eastern Michigan | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
The Eagles took part in a back and forth affair last time out on the road vs Toledo winning by a 52-49 count as 9 point dogs, and will now be in a letdown spot here this Tuesday making them vulnerable to a Ohio program that has covered 5 of their 6 tilts in this series. Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Bobcats are 19-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Bobcats are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog. Bobcats are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog. E MICHIGAN is 1-11 ATS L/12 after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored.E MICHIGAN is 3-15 ATS in home games after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Eagles are 16-33 ATS in their last 49 games following a straight up win. Eagles are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.Eagles are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. OHIO U is 10-2 ATS in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return. Play on Ohio. to cover |
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11-09-21 | Buffalo +7.5 v. Miami-OH | 18-45 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. BUFFALO is 19-8 ATS L/27 when the total is between 56.5 and 63. Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - in conference games, off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite are 51-19 ATS L/29 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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11-06-21 | USC +10.5 v. Arizona State | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
The Sun Devils enter into this game in a 2 game losing streak and recently that has not been a good formula for success for this program as they are just 6-15 SU in conference games when coming off two straight negative results. I know the Trojans may not inspire bettors with their uneven play this season but they are 17-4 L/21 vs Arizona State and from a matchup view point offer value on this line. I know USC will be without star WR Drake London, (injury) but QB Kedon Slovis still has a strong duo of WRs Tahj Washington and Gary Bryant that could start on most college football teams in this nation. CFB Home favorites (ARIZONA ST) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, after the first month of the season are 26-60 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on USC to cover |
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11-06-21 | Indiana +20.5 v. Michigan | 7-29 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 26 m | Show | |
After blowing a huge lead last time out to Michigan state - Michigan will come in here hanging their heads low vs a side that would love nothing more than to inflict more damage on their already battered egos. they could also easily find themselves looking ahead to Penn State which will be their next opponent. I know Penix Jr is out at QB for the Hooisers but they are quite capable of top tier offensive production behind freshman QB Donaven McCulley who threw for 242 yards and two scores last time out in a 38-35 loss to Maryland . Note: Donaven McCulley was a 4 star prospect. MICHIGAN is 9-21 ATS in home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Indiana is also 6-0 ATS L/6 on the road in conference action as a 13 point or more dog. INDIANA is 19-8 ATS L/27 in road games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (INDIANA) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-06-21 | Texas +7 v. Iowa State | 7-30 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas RB RB Bijan Robinson ran for just 43 yards last time out on 19 carries . It was a disappointing performance for a back that had accumulated 100 yards in five straight games previous to that. This week Im betting on the senior bouncing back in a big way and being a key contributor in a Texas cover vs Iowa State. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (IOWA ST) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 12-38 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 36-11 ATS L/29 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Cyclones are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in November. Play on Texas to cover |
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11-06-21 | Florida v. South Carolina +18.5 | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 36 h 43 m | Show | |
Last weeks lopsided loss to Georgia will be a demoralizing factor coming into this road game against the Gamecocks. South Carolina (4-4, 1-4) is coming off a bye week that followed a 44-14 defeat at then-No. 17 Texas A&M on Oct. 23 and now on rested legs will be out to pull off the upset while trying to get some kind of redemption. Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Gators are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. South Carolina 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games at home as an underdog of 13 or more points. CFB Road favorites (FLORIDA) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 22-54 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. South Carolina to cover |
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11-06-21 | LSU +29 v. Alabama | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
This is alot of points to be laying if your a Alabama backers, especially considering the LSU Tigers have revenge on board for a ugly DD loss they suffered to the Tide the last time they played. Now rested and off a bye week with a great deal of preparation time Im betting on LSU making a game out of this or at the the very least covering the number. LSU is 6-0 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons. LSU Is 8-2 ATS L/10 as a dog of 20 or more points , including 7-0 ATS when playing with revenge. LSU has covered 8 of their L/12 visits here, and won SU the last time they were here in 2019. Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. LSU is 13-2 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. Play on LSU to cover |
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11-06-21 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -4 | 28-31 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 38 m | Show | |
Miss State is off a big win vs Kentucky last week, and could find it hard to get up the energy to take out a Arkansas side that my power rankings suggest is a under rated opponent. MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-9 ATS off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals ARKANSAS is 18-6 ATS L/24 in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. ARKANSAS is 13-4 ATS in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-7 ATS against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team vs. the money line (ARKANSAS) - excellent team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 40 RY/G), after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games are 31-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.6 ppg. Play on Arkansas to cover |
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11-06-21 | Utah State v. New Mexico State +18.5 | 35-13 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 12 m | Show | |
Utah State can put points on the board but their defense is atrocious allowing an average 435-yards per game. That to me is not conducive to be able to cover this big of spread on the road . I know New Mexico state may not inspire may bettors, but this is a viable point take here for the home dog according to my projections, especially since they are off a bye week and have had two weeks to prepare . Add to that back door cover capabilities with the 28t h ranked passing offense in the nation ( 276 yards per game) and Im betting we have value with a ugly puppy. Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Aggies are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. MWC. Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on New Mexico State to cover |
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11-06-21 | Michigan State v. Purdue +3 | 29-40 | Win | 100 | 30 h 45 m | Show | |
Michigan State used alot of energy to come back from a DD deficit to defeat their long time Big 10 rivals Michigan last week, and will now have some problems getting back that intensity vs a Purdue side that has won the stats battles in 6 of their 8 games this season. It was not all peaches and cream for the spartans lat week a they allowed a hefty amount of yards on D. MICHIGAN ST is 4-18 ATS L/22 in road games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Brohm is 8-1 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of PURDUE.Brohm is 7-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game as the coach of PURDUE.Brohm is 17-4 ATS L/21 versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached. Play on Purdue to cover |
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11-06-21 | Middle Tennessee State +17 v. Western Kentucky | 21-48 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 10 m | Show | |
Middle Tenn State vs W Kentucky “100 miles of hate”. plus the points looks like a viable wagering opportunity. These teams are big time rivals , and Im betting on fireworks tonight in a tilt Im expecting to be closer than the line might indicate. Both sides are 4-4 on the season, and are both playing well overall right now. Major Bowl implications and a rivalry situation makes the points golden in my humble betting opinion. Hey I know how explosive the Hilltoppers offense has been , but Middle Tenn has also been explosive recently scoring 34 or more points in 4 of their L/5 trips to the gridiron.Blue Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in November.Hilltoppers are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite. Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The two most recent meetings in this series were decided by 3 and 4 points. Play on Midd Tenn State to cover |
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11-06-21 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia +3.5 | 24-3 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
West Virginia with recent wins vs Iowa State and TCU are now in bowl contention and must not be underestimated as home dogs when they are determined to get a much needed third straight victory. Oklahoma State is a fine team, winning 7 of 8 but are just 2-9 ATS L/11 as road favs going against a side off 2 consecutive SU/ATS wins. CFB team (W VIRGINIA) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent are 29-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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11-06-21 | SMU v. Memphis +5 | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
Huge heart breaker last week as SMU lost their first game of the season, thanks to a punt return returned for a TD and a subsequent 44-37 loss. That was excruciating painful and Im betting the Mustangs will have a huge problem getting their butts off the mat for this one.SMU is 14-30 ATS in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game while MEMPHIS is 24-10 ATS in home games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. Dykes is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play as the coach of SMU. Memphis covered six straight times in this series until suffering a close 30-27, loss as chalk last season . SMU is 1-9 ATS in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 0-6 ATS in road games after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 3-12 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MEMPHIS) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 36-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-06-21 | Illinois v. Minnesota -14.5 | 14-6 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
Illinois has almost no offensive flow while Minnesotas D, has been mostly staunch as is evident by allowing just 18.9 ppg with 5 of their L/6 opponents unable to muster more than 16 points. The Gophers can also light up the board, especially at home where they have put 30 or more points in the board in 3 of their L/4 as hosts. Im betting on a lopsided affair here. MINNESOTA is 9-0 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (MINNESOTA) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, in conference games are 24-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-05-21 | Utah v. Stanford +9 | 52-7 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
Stanford is highly inconsistent but according to my power rankings this ATS number is bloated making the Cardinal a live home dog here vs Utah. The Cardinal showed their inconsistencies last time out in. a favorite loss to Washington by a 20-13 count, but the Huskies are very under rated so Ill give the Cards a break on that one. HC Shaw is 14-4 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite as the coach of STANFORD. He's on the hot seat right now, and if he does not have his team ready to play this week, a farewell party maybe on the agenda. Stanfords Desperation, redemption quotas have me taking points here. UTAH is 2-10 ATS L/12 as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (STANFORD) - an average offensive team (21-28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 56-24 ATS L/29 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Stanford to cover |
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11-05-21 | Virginia Tech -2 v. Boston College | 3-17 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Boston College is having problems again the run and especially dual QB threats. Louisville Cardinal Malik Cunningham and Syracuse’ Orange pivot Garrett Shrader ran all over Boston College as the Eagles allowed 620 + rushing yards including 6.4 yards per carry in those losing tilts. Don't look now but now they have to face another strong ground game featuring double trouble threat Burmeister. CFB team (BOSTON COLLEGE) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 22-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |
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11-04-21 | Georgia State v. UL-Lafayette -12 | 17-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Georgia State took part in a hammering slugfest vs Southern Georgia last week and Im betting they are still not at 100% after that nasty battle in the trenches and could find the sledding rougher than expected against a very physical Lafayette side. Meanwhile, Louisiana Head coach Billy Napier is a perfect 15-0 all-time against Sun Belt West sides including a 5-0 record in conference play this year and 5-0 all-time against Georgia State. I know these are SU numbers, but Lafayette is explosive averaging 40.5 ppg at home this season while allowing just over 12 ppg, and that will be the difference maker -the Cajuns offense. The Ragin Cajuns at home have outscored their opposition by an average of 23.5 point per game and have covered by 15 or more points in each of their last three home games. Meanwhile, Georgia State is 1-3 ATS as dogs this season. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival, in November games are 59-9 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.3 ppg which qualifies on this spread. Play on Lafayette to cover |
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11-02-21 | Miami-OH -7.5 v. Ohio | 33-35 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Miami (OH) gets their starting QB back making them a dangerous opponent for Ohio. RedHawks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games vs. teams with a losing home record. Ohio is 1-7 on the year and have lost four of their last five games and fade material in this current form. MIAMI OHIO is 6-0 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. OHIO U is 3-15 ATS L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) Martin is 30-9 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games as the coach of MIAMI OHIO.Martin is 12-1 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season as the coach of MIAMI OHIO. OHIO U is 0-6 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.OHIO U is 2-10 ATS in home games over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games are 87-46 ATS L/29 season for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the Miami Ohio Red Hawks to cover |
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11-02-21 | Eastern Michigan +9 v. Toledo | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan has lost only one game by more than 7 points this season and that was to Wisconsin on the road. Creighton is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of E MICHIGAN and always has his team ready to compete. Creighton is 6-0 ATS in road games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better as the coach of E MICHIGAN. Eagles are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog.Eagles are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 road games. Candle is 3-11 ATS off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of TOLEDO which was the case vs W.Michigan last time out.Candle is also just 4-12 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% like E.Michigan or better as the coach of TOLEDO.Rockets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a bye week.Rockets are 2-7 ATS/SU in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Play on Eastern Michigan |
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10-30-21 | Washington +2.5 v. Stanford | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 50 h 12 m | Show | |
The Washington Huskies are a 7-0 team if the offensive play-calling wasn’t so bad. The talent is there at Washington but its the guys directing plays on the sidelines that down grade this Huskies program. However, today vs a inconsistent Stanford team Im betting the visitors find a way to cash for us here this Saturday. STANFORD is 0-6 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. CFBl teams where the line is +3 to -3 (STANFORD) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October game are 13-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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10-30-21 | Ole Miss v. Auburn -2.5 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 58 m | Show | |
Auburn is well rested and off a bye week, and will be primed to take down Ole Miss in this spot play. The Auburn D, will be the difference maker as they are 78 yards bette than the Ole Miss stopping units. Auburn has won the two most recent meetings in this series and are 17-4 L/21 overall meetings. CFB Home favorites (AUBURN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are 121-76 ATS L/29 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Auburn to cover |
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10-30-21 | SMU v. Houston | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 47 h 9 m | Show | |
Im betting the explosive offense of SMU will be held in check this week by the Houston Cougars D, that is ranked 4th overall. The host has covered 4 straight in this series and Im betting on a Rinse and Repeat situation. SMU is 1-8 ATS in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 3-15 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. CFB home team (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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10-30-21 | Georgia State -6 v. Georgia Southern | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 1 h 37 m | Show | |
GEORGIA ST is 8-0 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992. GEORGIA ST is 9-1 ATS vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last 3 seasons CFB road team vs. the money line (GEORGIA ST) - average team (+/- 0.6 YPP) against a terrible team (outgained by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 29-1 L/10 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. Georgia State to cover |
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10-30-21 | Southern Miss v. Middle Tennessee State -13.5 | 10-35 | Win | 100 | 44 h 50 m | Show | |
Southern Miss generated just 107 offensive yards last week while getting shut out by UAB and they are big time fade material here vs a Middle Tennessee State team that up-trending in my rankings. SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS as an underdog this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -22.9 ppg. SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -24.9 ppg. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (SOUTHERN MISS) - with a poor offense - averaging 315 or less total yards/game, after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for 79% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (SOUTHERN MISS) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 1-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.9. Middle Tennessee to cover |
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10-30-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State +4 | 33-37 | Win | 100 | 42 h 24 m | Show | |
Michigan State is the real deal and just keep improving. Ill be honest I was not sold on them, but after watching the Spartans play on more than one occasion I get the feeling this is a never say die very tough crew . Entering this game against arch nemesis Michigan they are averaging 34.9 points and 451.7 yards per game while the defense, which allowed more than 21 points just once this season. CFB home team (MICHIGAN ST) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Michigan State to cover |
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10-30-21 | Bowling Green v. Buffalo -13.5 | 56-44 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Bowling Green has won just 5 of their L/30 trips to the gridiron and are completely outgunned according to my projections by a Buffalo program that plays their best football at home and after 2-54 start have won 2 straight and in contention in the MAcEast. BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin ppg diff clicking 31.3 ppg. Buffalo 6-1 ATS win skein in this series. BOWLING GREEN is 0-6 ATS in road games after a loss by 17 or more points over the last 3 seasons . Opponent 49.2 BG 8.3 BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS in home games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21 ppg. CFB Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (BUFFALO) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 24-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on the Buffalo to cover |
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10-29-21 | UNLV +20 v. Nevada | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Nevada according to my power rankings is being over rated here on this line. I know UNLV is o-7 on the season, but they have been mostly competitive and deserve respect here getting 20 plus points . The last time these teams met the Rebels upset Nevada 33-30 two seasons ago, and Im betting they make the Wolfpack work hard again.Rebels are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.Wolf Pack are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Play on the UNLV to cover |
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10-28-21 | Troy +17.5 v. Coastal Carolina | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
Im betting that Coastal Carolina ha a huge hangover after having their undefeated season come to an abrupt end last time out vs at Appalachian State by a 30-27 count. Now against the 7th ranked defense in the nation, Im betting Coastal has problems on lift off and will start slowly. Note: In recent meetings the Trojans have really made Coastal work for wins . CCU won 36-35 at home two seasons ago and than took a hard fought are 42-38 in L.A.. Im betting things wont come easily again. TROY is 7-0 ATS against teams who force 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 14-39 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Troy to cover |
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10-28-21 | South Florida +10 v. East Carolina | 14-29 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
East Carolina won last year's meeting 44-24 and now redemption is at hand for the Bulls and Im expecting them to be ready to perform after last weeks win vs Temple. The Pirates (3-4, 1-2), have lost two games in a row, and are limping into this tilt. Pirates are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.Pirates are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite. S FLORIDA is 5-0 straight up against E CAROLINA since 1992 here on the road. Play on South Florida to cover
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10-23-21 | USC +7 v. Notre Dame | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 38 m | Show | |
USC at 3-3 are not be respected right now by linesmakers despite of great deal of talent all through the lineup. Yes, they have not performed optimally but are still extremely dangerous opponent for an inconsistent and lucky to sport a 5-1 record this Fighting Irish side. Both sides are well rested but it must be noted that the Trojans are 9-1 ATS going into a non conference battle off a bye and 4-0 ATS L/4 off a loss. USC is 6-1 ATS as a underdog of 6 or more points and 11-2 ATS when coming off a SU home favorite loss. USC is 12-3 ATS after allowing 42 points or more last game. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on USC to cover |
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10-23-21 | South Alabama v. UL-Monroe +13.5 | 31-41 | Win | 100 | 60 h 20 m | Show | |
UL Monroe (3-3 on the season) scored a huge underdog upset vs Liberty last week by a 31-28 count and now with momentum on their sides I expect them to be competitive here again this week vs a South Alabama : Note: South Alabama is just 12-23-1 ATS on the road in Sun Belt play. S ALABAMA is 1-9 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more which was the case in the 41-14 win vs Georgia Southern last week. Play on UL Monroe to cover |
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10-23-21 | San Diego State +3 v. Air Force | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 47 h 28 m | Show | |
Air Force is a one way offense that moves the chains on the ground, and that is a problem for them here tonight as they take on a San Diego State rush defense allowing just 61 rushing yards per contest ranking among the best in the nation. SD State is 7-2 L9 ATS in this series and have won 9 straight with the Visitor going 3-0 L/3 . San Diego State is also 9-2 as 8 point dogs or less. AIR FORCE is 1-10 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. CFB road team (SAN DIEGO ST) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after a win by 6 or less points are 31-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego State to cover |
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10-23-21 | Boston College +6.5 v. Louisville | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 1 m | Show | |
Boston College roared out to a 4-0 start to their season, and than lost a hard fought battle to Clemson by a 19-13 count and than in a letdown state were beat up by North Carolina in their follow up. Now rested and ready for redemption Im betting the Eagles come out here and give Louisville all they can handle for the cover. Note: BC is 7-0 ATS L/7 entering this series off a loss. From a statistical standpoint the Golden Eagles are 122 yards superior to the Cards from a defensive standpoint, which Im betting will be the difference maker here today. BOSTON COLLEGE is 24-11 ATS (as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992.BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-1 ATS in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals since 1992. BC has won 4 of the L/5 meetings on the road in this series with the only loss coming by 2 points. Play on BC to cover |
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10-23-21 | Clemson +3.5 v. Pittsburgh | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
Clemson has not been an underdog in 64 straight games dating back to the 2016 season. I know they have not performed optimally this season, behind their QB DJ Uiagalele, but this is still a talented group especially on defense where Im betting they will give this explosive Pittsburgh team problems. CLEMSON is 21-9 ATS in road games vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game since 1992. Swinney is 11-2 ATS after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of CLEMSON. Narduzzi is 1-8 ATS in home games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of PITTSBURGH. CFB road team (CLEMSON) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after a win by 6 or less points are 31-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Clemson to cover |
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10-23-21 | Colorado +9 v. California | 3-26 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 7 m | Show | |
Cal does not deserve to be this big a favorite here. The Bears have accumulated a 1-5 SU record with the only win against FCS Sacramento State.The Golden Bears currently rank last in the PAC 12 in total defense while their opponent the (Colorado Buffaloes ranks 4th and 6th in total offense . Note: CALIFORNIA is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Colorado won 34-0 last week as dogs and are being put into the dog pound again this Saturday in Berkeley. Colorado under Dorrell is 5-0 ATS coming off a SU underdog victory. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COLORADO) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-34 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to cover |
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10-23-21 | Kansas State +1 v. Texas Tech | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 49 m | Show | |
From a matchup perspective Kstate. Matched up well here according to my power rankings and from a historical standpoint have done well in this series winning 4 of their last 5 trips to Lubbock while winning 9 of the last 10 meetings overall. I know the wildcats lost last week, so they are not getting alot of respect right now form lines-makers, but it must be noted HC Chris Klieman when coming off a SUATS loss is 6-0 ATS L/6. Look for KStates top tier QB Skylar Thompson to be the difference maker. KANSAS ST is 11-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992. Wells is 1-12 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in all games he has coached since 1992. TEXAS TECH is 0-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons. CFB home team (TEXAS TECH) - after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the KState Wildcats to cover |
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10-23-21 | Cincinnati v. Navy +28 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 41 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bearcats are 0-4 ATS as road favorites of 17 or more points and despite of all their obvious strengths could find the sledding tough against a never say die Navy side that has cashed 4 of their L/5 as 12 point or more conference dogs. Note: Military Dogs of 20 or more points are 5-0 ATS L/4 seasons. The Bearcats have also failed to cover in 6 of their L/8 vs Military schools including 0-3 ATS when favored by two TDs or more. Probably not an upset in the making, but getting points is a viable investment option. Play on Navy to cover |
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10-23-21 | Wake Forest v. Army +3 | 70-56 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
I know Wake Forest is undefeated on the season, but Im still not a big believer in their overall prowess as a top tier team , and feel strongly they will find the sledding tough here in West Point this Saturday vs Army. From a historical standpoint the Demon Deacons are just 0-3-1 ATS as road favs when carrying a undefeated record. The Black Knights can hit the weakest part of the Wake D, which allows an average of 171 ypg on the ground, behind the 2nd-ranked rushing offense in the nation and garner us a cover and possible outright upset. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WAKE FOREST) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October game are 12-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ARMY) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game are 29-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on Army to cover |
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10-22-21 | Memphis v. Central Florida +1.5 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
UCF head coach Gus Malzahn is on the hot seat this teams need wins and now especially after getting smashed by 56-21 count at Cincinnati last week , which did not make Central Florida backers/boosters very happy and the rumblings are getting louder. The good news here for UCF is that host is on a 13-1 ATS run in this series while, Memphis’ has lost 13 of their L/15 when playing on the road against UCF. MEMPHIS is 0-7 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 0-6 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 0-6 ATS in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 8-30 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Central Florida to cover |
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10-21-21 | UL-Lafayette -18 v. Arkansas State | 28-27 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
I have projected a 3 TD win + here for Lafayette. ARKANSAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -28.3 ppg. CFB home underdogs (ARKANSAS ST) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game, after 2 straight games where 70 total points or more were scored are 7-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - off a home blowout win by 28 points or more, a top-level team ( 80% or more ) playing a terrible team ( 25%) are 25-1 SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at +25.5 points per game. Play on UL Lafayette to cover |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +5.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
The Chanticleers are ranked and deserve respect even as road favs. But App State has a reputation for being giant killers and also deserve respect especially as home underdogs. Coastal enters this year's meeting undefeated and have a huge targets on their backs while Appalachian St is perfect 2-0 at home. The Mountaineers have also won 23 of their last 25 home games dating back to the middle of the 2017 season and 6 of 7 meetings in this series. Mountaineers’ 8-0 SU when coming off a loss the past four seasons. Mountaineers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. APPALACHIAN ST is 8-1 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road favorites (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 15-35 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate . Play on App State to cover |
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10-16-21 | Louisiana Tech v. UTEP +6.5 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 38 h 11 m | Show | |
The Miners are playing some very good football as is evident by their 5-1 record and ranked in the nation’s Top 20 in both Total Defense and Tackles for Loss. Recently they have had the advantage from a ATS perspective vs the 2-3 Bulldogs cashing 4 of the L/6 meetings and today Im betting they grab the cheese again. Note: HC Skip Holtz has failed to cover 16 of 26 road games as single digit chalk in his career. So from that data this is not a role his teams excel in. UTEP is 16-5 ATS L/1 after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. CFB road team (LOUISIANA TECH) - off a road loss against opponent off a double digit road win are 23-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UTEP to cover |
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10-16-21 | TCU +13.5 v. Oklahoma | 31-52 | Loss | -104 | 36 h 41 m | Show | |
. The Oklahoma Sooners have made any successes they have had torturous for their fan base and no victories vs FBS teams by more than 7 points. This week . Sooners QB Caleb Williams may start again after entering their game last week and rallying his team to a OT victory vs Texas. That was a hugely emotional game for the Sooners and now they may find it difficult to get up for this one, making them vulnerable to cover this matchup. OKLAHOMA is 8-22 ATS L/30 vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. Riley is 0-6 ATS after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers as the coach of OKLAHOMA. Patterson is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points as the coach of TCU. CFB road team (TCU) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 48-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TCU to cover |
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10-16-21 | Iowa State v. Kansas State +6.5 | 33-20 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 7 m | Show | |
With Kansas State QB Skylar Thompson back in the lineup,Im betting the wildcats get their mojo back and really give Iowa State all they can handle here at home. This is also a big revenge tilt for the Wildcats who were crushed last season by Iowa State by a 45-0 count. Note: KANSAS ST is 4-0 ATS as a home dog with revenge. KANSAS ST is 26-12 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) . KANSAS ST is 22-7 ATS after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Note: ISU QB Brock Purdy only has 5 TDs so far this season, and its obvious his WRs and him are not on the same page. Thats not a good look going against a D with hate in their eyes. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS ST) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-33 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. KANSAS ST is 13-1 straight up against IOWA ST since 1992 at home. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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10-16-21 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee +2.5 | 31-26 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 52 m | Show | |
Tennessee is starting fast this season and have outscored their opposition by a 101-13 count in the first quarter , including scoring s on 11 straight drives over the past two tilts in the first half of the game. Im betting on another fast start vs a suspect Ole Miss D, and a subsequent underdog cover. Meanwhile, Ole Miss is off a back forth 52-51 win vs Arkansas last week, and will now be in a huge emotional letdown spot. OLE MISS is 4-13 ATS after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored. Tennessee is 13-2 L/15 meetings in this series. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OLE MISS) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 7-30 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. CFB home team (TENNESSEE) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 31-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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10-16-21 | Stanford v. Washington State | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Washington St has won 2 straight conference tilts the last time as an underdog which sets up well for a win here vs a inconsistent Stanford allowing 60 more yards than they gain and that has lost 2 of their L/3 games. Washington State has won the last four meetings in this series including 3 as underdogs. WASHINGTON ST is 22-9 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (STANFORD) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 21-50 for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington St to cover |
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10-16-21 | Utah State v. UNLV +7 | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 20 m | Show | |
Despite of starting their season at 0-5 the UNLV Rebels have been competitive of late as was evident in their L/2 road games against Fresno State losing by a 38-30 count and a 24-17 defeat to UTSA. Now here in their home opener vs. Utah State Im betting UNLV has the weapons to cover here vs a Aggies side that can score in bunches, but can also allow a boatload full of points. Rebels are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Play on UNLV to cover |
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10-16-21 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +17 | 49-9 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 29 m | Show | |
Mississippi State is off a bye week and well prepared to take on the Tide. I know there is a perception that Saban and company will be pissed after getting upset last time out and be ready to breath fire, but Im betting it wont be that easy. Note: Alabama head coach Nick Saban is 0-5 ATS with the Tide during the regular season in his career when coming off his first loss of the campaign and going against an above .500 side like Mississippi State. CFB Home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (MISSISSIPPI ST) - off a win against a conference rival, after the first month of the season are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miss State to cover |
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10-16-21 | Kent State +7 v. Western Michigan | 31-64 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 59 m | Show | |
The Golden Flashes have to be respected in their current form as this sit at the top of the MAC East Division . They have taken on big 12 Texas A&M and a couple of Big Ten sides ie (Iowa and Maryland), and are battle tested . Last week they smashed a pretty good Buffalo program accumulating a whopping 633 yards of offence and are capable of really making a strong Western Michigan ise feel the heat here this week. Im betting KSU QB Dustin Crum be the difference maker with his arm and legs. Golden Flashes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Golden Flashes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Golden Flashes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games. Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.Broncos are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Play on Kent State to cover |
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10-16-21 | Purdue +12 v. Iowa | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show | |
Wow. Big win for Iowa last week, as they came back to win 23-20 after knocking the Penn State Lions starting QB out of the game. This is a huge letdown spot for Iowa and a competitive Purdue team will be ready to take advantage of the situation. Iowa HC Ferentz as a favorite in conference games after defeating an undefeated side , is 0-4-1 ATS L/5 at home, as well as 0-4-1 ATS vs an above .500 opponent like Purdue . Boilermakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Boilermakers are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog. Boilermakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iowa. Play on Purdue Boilermakers to cover |
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10-16-21 | Fresno State v. Wyoming +3.5 | 17-0 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Im betting on Wyoming pounding away on the ground and for the home town crowd and thin air of Larime to make life difficult for visiting Fresno this Saturday. Bohl is 18-9 ATS in home games against conference opponents as the coach of WYOMING CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (FRESNO ST) - off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 28-62 ATS L/5 seasons for 29 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Wyoming to cover |
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10-16-21 | Michigan State v. Indiana +4.5 | 20-15 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
Michigan State is having a great season so far. But their record is based on beating . sub .500 teams so I wont get to carried away with singing their praises. Indiana head coach Tom Allen is officially on the hot seat and QB Michael Penix, Jr., needs to stand up and show some moxxy and get some how get some redemption for an ugly start vs a over rated team with a D that allows 420 plus ypg .” Indiana is well rested and if there was ever a time they make a run its today here and now . Indiana is 4-0 ATS L/4 after a bye week. Play on Indiana to cover |
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10-16-21 | Nebraska v. Minnesota +4.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
The Gophers are. being under rated and if they had not taken a week off vs Bowling Green would be 4-1 right now instead of 3-2. The Gophers have owned Nebraska in the last two here at home spanking the Huskers 34-7 and 54-21 and today Im betting they get the job done again in the underdog role. MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. Fleck is 35-18 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins in all games he has coached . Play on Minnesota to cover |
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10-15-21 | Clemson v. Syracuse +14 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 59 h 35 m | Show | |
Clemson to me has been less than impressive this season with a 0-5 ATS mark, with their average margin ppg diff clicking in at just +6.4 ppg a far cry from recent seasons. Meanwhile, Coach Babers has the Orange playing some very disciplined defensive football, and they must respected on this Two TD line here at home. Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.Orange are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. SYRACUSE is 7-0 ATS L/7 in home games after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games .SYRACUSE is 18-3 ATS L/21 in home games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game and 11-1 ATS in home games after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game. Babers is 7-0 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game as the coach of SYRACUSE. Babers is 12-3 ATS ( versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached in his career. CFB home team vs. the money line (SYRACUSE) - with a good rushing D - allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games is 46-7 L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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10-15-21 | Marshall v. North Texas +11 | 49-21 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 28 m | Show | |
Marshall at .500 on the season has not been able to get any kind of momentum this season and have continually been in close games as is evident by four straight decisions decided by 7 points or less. Meanwhile, North Texas after giving Missouri all it could handle in a 48-35 loss as a 20-point dog, and subsequent cover. In their previous tilt they also showed their ability compete in a 7 point loss to Louisiana Tech as an 11.5-point underdog which resulted in a cover. Im betting the Mean Green continue to conjure up the spirits , and the gambling gods shine on their backers again here vs the Thundering Herd .MARSHALL is 0-9 ATS L/9 after allowing 125 or less passing yards in 2 straight games. Play on the N.Texas Mean Green |