Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-26-22 | Avalanche -111 v. Lightning | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Avs squandered their chance to win the Cup on home ice. However, I expect them to finish the deal this evening. The Avs have been money off a loss and they are 53-26 (+14.7) the past few seasons, when playing with revenge. There's no question that the champs are great at fighting off elimination. It finally catches up with them tonight though. Remember, TB is still just 33-29 against teams with a winning record while Colorado is 40-18. Expect the Cup to be awarded. |
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06-24-22 | Lightning v. Avalanche -167 | 3-2 | Loss | -167 | 27 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. While I always expected them to win, I believe that the Avalanche really sealed the deal with their Game 4 victory. Now, they've got a chance to close things out on home ice. They smell the blood in the water and they will not be denied. Tampa has been a terrific story these past few years. There's no quit in the Lightning. However, that Game 4 loss figures to be deflating. They're banged-up physically and emotionally. The Avs, on the other hand, have momentum and the home crowd behind them. They've scored 23 goals their last four games here, all of them victories. Remember the last game here? A 7-0 destruction. That was on the heels of a close Colorado win the previous game, much the same way this one sets up. Including their Game 1 and Game 2 victories here, the Avs are 59-13 their last 72 as home favorites. While we probably won't get another 7-0 blowout, I do fully expect another Colorado victory. |
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06-22-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on Col/TB UNDER the total. Off three straight high-scoring games, one might have expected a higher O/U line. The fact that it's still six shows how well-respected the defenses (and Tampa's goalie) are. In a critical Game 4, I expect those defenses/goalies to step up and steal center stage. The UNDER is 6-0 the past six times that Tampa's opponent scores two goals or less in its previous game. The UNDER is also still a healthy 7-1 the past eight times that the champs played with one day's rest in between games. The last time that the Avs were off a loss, their next game was low-scoring, a 3-2 final. Since a March 8th loss to the Devils, I've got the UNDER at 4-0 the past four times that the Avs allowed five or more goals in their previous game. Expect a relatively low-scoring affair. |
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06-20-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -119 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on Colorado/Tampa UNDER the total. The first two games, both at Colorado, finished above the number. However, I expect the change in venue to result in a lower-scoring affair. The UNDER is a perfect 5-0 the past five games played here at Tampa. All five finished with six or fewer goals and the last four all finished with five or less. In fact, those four games averaged less than four combined goals. In their last five games here, the defending champs have surrendered only five combined goals. While I'm certain Tampa will clean up its goals allowed, scoring figures to prove more difficult. The Avs are stingier than many realize. Off a shutout, their goalie is full of confidence. The last time that the Tampa allowed more than four goals was on June 1st. After giving up six in that game, the next was a 3-2 final. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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06-18-22 | Lightning v. Avalanche -146 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 62 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Lightning had a golden opportunity to steal Game 1. They rallied from a 3-1 deficit to force OT. The game was theirs for the taking. The Avalanche were the team which seized the moment though. A frustrating and deflating way to lose for Tampa. Now, the Avs have positive momentum on their side and they're no longer dealing with an abnormal amount of rest. True, Tampa has dropped previous openers and came back to win Game 2 and the series. The Avs are much better than the teams which they previously faced though. They're quicker and more explosive than the defending champs. The Colorado home crowd was absolutely fired up in Game 1 and the fans will make a difference in Game 2. While the Lightning are mediocre on the road, the Avs are now 36-9 when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. I say they improve on those stats Saturday night. |
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06-15-22 | Lightning v. Avalanche -154 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. Great matchup. The best team against the defending champs. It's true that the Avs have had a very lengthy layoff. While that could potentially lead to some early rust, this team is too talented to let it affect them for long. Keep in mind that the Avs are 57-13 the past 70 times that they were listed as home favorites. The Avs won the lone 2022 meeting with the Lightning; they got strong goaltending themselves while also firing 47 shots on the Tampa goal. The favorite is 15-4 the past 19 in the series overall. Expect those stats to improve Wednesday. |
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06-07-22 | Rangers v. Lightning -170 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. As you know the Rangers took the first two games, at MSG. They grabbed a 2-0 lead in Game 3, too. The Lightning don't quit though. They dug deep and rallied for the 3-2 win. The winning goal came with less than a minute left. Those are the type that can really hurt the other team. Now, they've got the momentum back on their side - and they've got the Rangers thinking about what could have been. Coach Cooper commented: "We had to stop the Rangers' roll. Hopefully, that goal with 42 seconds left put a little pin in their bubble." I absolutely expect that to be the case. The Rangers really fed off their home crowd in the first two games and then they took the crowd of the game, to a certain extent, early on in Game 3. The Lightning are now 5-0 their last five on home ice, 8-1 their past nine and 11-2 their past 13. Expect them to tie up the series. |
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06-05-22 | Rangers v. Lightning -170 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. Yesterday, the Avalanche took a commanding 3-0 series lead in the Western Finals. This afternoon, the Rangers have a chance to do the same in the East. As impressive as the Rangers looked at MSG, I don't see the defending champs going down without a serious fight. Off their 3-2 Game 2 loss, note that the Lightning are a dominating 89-26 their last 115 games, after scoring two or fewer goals in their previous game. The Rangers were really feeding off their home crowd but they won't have that luxury here. The Lightning are 4-0 their last four on home ice, 7-1 their past eight and 10-2 their past 12. Expect them to dig deep and get it done. |
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06-03-22 | Lightning v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Tampa/NY UNDER the total. While Game 1 was high-scoring, I'm expecting a lower-scoring affair this evening. Remember, that prior to Game 1, the Lightning had only allowed four combined goals in their previous five games. They're not going to give up six again. The Rangers, for their part, have allowed two goals or less in seven of their past eight and they've allowed three goals or less in 11 straight. Prior to Game 1, the two previous 2022 meetings both finished with four or fewer combined goals. After a wild Game 1, we saw the scoring slow down in Game 2 of last night's series. I believe we'll see the same thing here. |
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06-03-22 | Lightning -120 v. Rangers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 36 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on TB. I'm well aware that the Rangers have had Tampa's number this season. However, I'm also aware that the champs are pretty good, when off a loss. Really good. The Lightning have only lost three previous times in these playoffs. In all three cases, they responded by winning their next game. Scores were 5-3, 7-3 and 4-3. In fact, dating back to a rare losing streak at the beginning of April, the Lightning are 7-0 the past seven times that they were off a loss. Remember, the champs lost 5-0 in Game 1 at Toronto. Let's also keep in mind that they had a very long layoff before Game 1. Coach Cooper noted: "It's Game 1. We've been through this before. We've won series when we've lost the first game and won series when we won the first game." Stamkos, for his part, had this to say: "We certainly didn't have our best. It is what it is. We're not a group that's going to use that as an excuse. We have to be better." Stamkos and co. WILL be better; I expect them to even up the series. |
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06-01-22 | Lightning v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on TB/NYR UNDER the total. We saw last night's game get crazy but I'm expecting a much lower-scoring affair this evening. The two 2022 meetings had scores of 2-1 and 4-0. With the Rangers winning the 2-1 game here, note that the UNDER is 7-3 the past 10 times that TB attempted to avenge a home loss. As for the Lightning, they've seen the UNDER go 5-0 their past five, most recently a 2-0 win. With the UNDER at 9-4-2 their last 15, when off a shutout win, expect goals to again be few and far between. |
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05-31-22 | Oilers v. Avalanche UNDER 7 | 6-8 | Loss | -125 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on the UNDER. Everything one reads about this matchup, or sees on TV, is talking about how high-scoring this series is going to be and about the McDavid vs McKinnon showdown. Its true, those are two of the best in the world and both these teams are highly capable of putting the puck in the net. That said, this is still the playoffs and scoring is rarely as easy as many seem to expect it to be. Keep in mind that two of three 2022 meetings, including the lone one here at Colorado, finished with five or fewer goals. The Avs are still only allowing 2.7 gpg in the playoffs and they allow 2.6 gpg here on the season. They've seen the UNDER go 44-32-1 the past few seasons, when facing an opponent which defeated them in the previous meeting. Don't be surprised when this doesn't result in quite the "goal-fest" many will be hoping for. |
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05-31-22 | Oilers v. Avalanche -168 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. All the talk is about the McDavid vs. McKinnon showdown. This series is about more than that matchup though and the Avs are the more complete team. Playing on home ice and playing with extra rest, I expect them to demonstrate that this evening. The Avs are 35-11 at home. The Oilers are 25-22 on the road. Big difference. The Avs are also 7-2 (+4.2) when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. The Oilers, on the other hand, are 2-7 (-7.6) when doing so. Going back further finds Colorado at 18-8 (+6.7) when playing with three or more day's rest and Edmonton at 6-13 (-10.9) when doing so. I feel the price could easily be even higher and I say the Avs draw first blood. |
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05-30-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -142 | 6-2 | Loss | -142 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The home team has won every game in this series. While I thought the Canes would score the road win in Game 6, I expect them to bounce back and get it done this evening. The Canes won the three games here by scores of 3-1, 2-1 and 2-0. Remember, home ice was also the difference in the Carolina/Boston series. While the Rangers are a respectable 26-21 on the road, the Canes are a commanding 36-12 here at home. They outscore visiting teams by a 3.3 to 2.0 margin here. They've won nine straight here and they haven't allowed more than two goals in a game here in these playoffs. In what should be a good game, expect home ice to again prove the difference. |
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05-28-22 | Hurricanes +100 v. Rangers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. As you likely know, the home team has won every game in this series. That being the case, it would be easy to make a case for the Rangers. However, I don't see the home ice trend continuing. The Hurricanes know that the Lightning are already waiting for them. They know that the Western Conf. Finals are set to begin Tuesday. They can't afford to play a Game 7 on Monday. Off Thursday's 3-1 win, note that the Canes are 25-13 (+6.6) when off a win by two or more goals. The Rangers are actually getting outscored by a 3.2 to 3.1 average margin in these playoffs. The Canes, on the other hand, are outscoring teams by a 2.7 to 2.4 margin. I believe they're the stronger team and I expect them to rise to the occasion and for them to prove it tonight. |
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05-26-22 | Oilers v. Flames -145 | 5-4 | Loss | -145 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Oilers have looked pretty unstoppable the past few games. This is still "The Battle of Alberta" though and the Flames aren't going to go down without a fight, on home ice. They're 46-29 (+10.3) the past 75 times that they allowed four or more goals in their previous game. While the Oilers allow 3.1 gpg on the road, the Flames allow 2.4 here at home. In fact, the Flames have outshot visiting teams by a dominating 36 to 26.6 average margin here this season. They've still won seven of the past 11 home meetings with the Oilers. Expect them to extend the series. |
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05-26-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -151 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. Home ice has been the difference in this series. The Rangers won the last two games, both at MSG. However, the Canes won the two here by scores of 2-1 and 2-0. Remember, home ice was also the difference in the Carolina/Boston series. While the Rangers are a respectable 26-20 on the road, the Canes are a commanding 35-12 here at home. They outscore visiting teams by a 3.3 to 2.0 margin here. They've won eight straight here and they haven't allowed more than two goals in a game here in these playoffs. Expect home ice to again prove the difference. |
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05-25-22 | Blues v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on St. Louis/Colorado UNDER the total. As you may have heard, there's been some bad blood in this series. (St. Louis goalie Binnington got knocked out of the series.) That's out of the way for the most part now though and the teams have adjusted. It's important to note that games in this series have been different here at Colorado than they were at St. Louis. The two games which the Blues hosted had scores of 6-3 and 5-2. However, when the Avs were on home ice, as they are again tonight, the scores were 4-1 and 3-2. Colorado can score with the best of them but is also capable of being very stingy. Remember, the Avs' last game here against the Predators finished with a score of 2-1. I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair this evening, the UNDER improving to 4-0 the Avs' past four games here. |
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05-23-22 | Avalanche v. Blues +1.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -165 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing ST. LOUIS on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals) I won with the Avs last game. I'm well aware that they're a very strong team. The Blues have been playing them tough though. Down 2-1, I expect them to bounce back and give their guests all they can handle. Remember, the first game was decided by a single goal and the Blues won the second. Also, the Avs only outscored the Blues 12-11 in the three regular season games. The Blues know its now or never. Their record here is every bit as Colorado's road record. Expect them to bounce back with AT LEAST the "puck-line cover." |
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05-23-22 | Panthers +1.5 v. Lightning | 0-2 | Loss | -215 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing FLORIDA on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) Needless to say, the Panthers have dug themselves a deep hole. It will be very difficult to come all the way back. They know they need to take it one game at a time though; I don't expect them to go down without a fight. The Lightning were 10-9 (-6.1) this season, after winning their previous three or more games. The Panthers, for their part, are 10-3 (+7.1) the past 13 times that they lost their previous three or more games. They're also still 20-8 the past 28 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. While Tampa won the first game at Florida by multiple goals, the second was a 1-goal game. While Tampa won the first here by multiple goals, I see the second also resulting in another very close one. That said, I'm grabbing the extra +1.5 goals. |
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05-22-22 | Flames v. Oilers UNDER 7 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on Calgary/Edmonton UNDER the total. Needless to say, this has started out as a very high-scoring series. The results from those first two games have led to a generously high O/U line here. I believe it'll prove to be too high. The series is now tied and shifting north to Edmonton. Often, the change of venue also leads to a change in tempo. Off the Game 2 loss, the Flames will be doing everything they can to slow down the Oilers and limit Edmonton's scoring chances. Calgary's Tyler Toffoli commented: "I think since I've been here, we've done a really good job of playing our type of hockey. The past two games, we haven't been playing to our foundation and it's been getting away from us and we're giving up too many scoring chances." The Flames have seen the UNDER go 4-2 the past six times that they were tied in a series. All three of their road playoff games have finished with six or fewer combined goals. Last time they played here at home, also tied in a series, the Oilers won by a score of 2-0. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than expected. |
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05-21-22 | Avalanche -160 v. Blues | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Avs were never going to win every game. So, the fact that the Blues are putting up a tougher fight than the Predators is not surprising. That said, we're going to see the best from Colorado today. The Avs have been the class of the west this season. They know this is their year and they know they need to win this pivotal game. Colorado's Nathan MacKinnon commented: "It's unfortunate, but it's 1-1," MacKinnon said. " ... we got to forget about it and move on and get back to the way we can play. We still feel like we're a great team. We have to forget about it and move on." I think, years past, we might dwell on it and get down on ourselves and each other. We just got to pick each other up and move on and stay positive. We still believe we can get this thing done and win the series." I expect MacKinnon to lead by example. The last time the Avs were off a 3-goal loss, they put up seven in their next game. They're 5-1 their last six, when off a home loss of three or more goals. They'll be better and they'll get it done. |
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05-20-22 | Oilers +1.5 v. Flames | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing EDMONTON on the Puck-line (+1.5 goals) The Oilers dug themselves a big hole in Game 1. They rallied to get back in it, making for a wild game, but ultimately fell short. They're going to be desperate tonight and I expect their very best effort. The Oilers are already 2-0 in these playoffs, after having fallen behind in a series. After losing Game 1 in the first round, they came back and won Game 2 by a score of 6-0. Still 25-9 their last 34 within the division, expect them to bounce back with AT LEAST the puck-line cover. |
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05-19-22 | Lightning v. Panthers -158 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -158 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. Clearly, the Lightning are still a really good team. Off an extremely hard-fought 7-game series against the Leafs, they still had enough left in the tank to take Game 1. They'd finish with a 4-1 victory. Expect the champs to find things considerably more difficult this evening. The Panthers grew a lot in the first round. They, too, were on the brink of getting knocked out. They kept coming back though; there is no quit in this team. After losing the opener of that series by a 4-2 score, the Panthers bounced back and crushed the Caps by a 5-1 score in Game 2. They'd go on to lose Game 3 by a 6-1 score. Once again, they bounced back. Including that Game 4 victory, the Panthers are a highly profitable 20-6 (+15) the past 26 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game, a perfect 4-0 their past four. They're 58-26 the past 2+ seasons, after allowing four or more goals. The Panthers are also still a dominating 33-8 their past 41, when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. Expect them to improve on those stats and even the series. |
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05-18-22 | Oilers +1.5 v. Flames | 6-9 | Loss | -175 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing EDMONTON on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) With the Flames favored on the ML, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Oilers. In a game which figures to be tight the entire way, those extra +1.5 goals could well prove invaluable. The Oilers were 25-8 within the division. The Flames began their series with Dallas with a 1-goal win and they closed that series with a 1-goal win. Two of Edmonton's three losses to LA came by a single goal. Grab the extra +1.5 goals and expect AT LEAST the puck-line cover. |
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05-18-22 | Oilers v. Flames UNDER 6 | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on Edmonton/Calgary UNDER the total. If looked at as a whole, the first round of the NHL playoffs was very high-scoring. The scoring finally cooled off at the end of the opening round and the recent lower scores continued last night, the beginning of the second round. I expect goals to be fairly hard to come by in this one. Calgary was the one remaining team which primarily played low-scoring games in the first round. Six of seven games finished with five or fewer goals. The other finished with six. The four games here at Calgary all finished below the number. They had scores of 1-0, 2-0, 3-1 and 3-2. The Oilers check in off a 2-0 win of their own. That being the case, I feel this number is generously high and providing us with excellent value. Look for another relatively low-scoring affair. |
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05-18-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -159 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. Great comeback by the Rangers. I expect it to catch up to them tonight though. The Canes are a different beast than the Penguins. While Crosby and co were hoping for one last kick at the can, the Canes are an up-and-coming team. They're coming off a great season and they truly believe they've got a good chance at hoisting the cup. They took three of four 2022 meetings with NY and they're 33-12 here on the season. They outscore visiting teams by a dominant 3.4 to 2.1 average margin. While the Canes outshoot visiting teams by a 34.6 to 28.1, the Rangers get outshot 31.7 to 21.7 on the road. Look for the Canes to be too much for them tonight, the Rangers falling to 12-18 their last 30, after winning their previous three games. |
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05-17-22 | Lightning v. Panthers -155 | 4-1 | Loss | -155 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Lightning are the defending champs but the Panthers are favored for good reason. Both teams were tested in the opening round. However, the Lightning were really pushed to the brink. As a result, the Panthers play with an extra day's worth of rest. Note that they're 7-1 the past eight times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games. The injury to Brayden Point was a big one. He's a key player for Tampa and is currently doubtful. The Panthers are 46-8 the past 54 times that they were listed as home favorites. They let the Lightning get the jump on them in last year's series but they'll draw first blood in this one. |
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05-15-22 | Stars v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on Dallas/Calgary UNDER the total. This has been the one series which has actually resembled playoff hockey. Prior to yesterday, when all three Game 7's finished below the total, the other matchups had been flying over the total throughout the first round. That hasn't been the case in this series though. In this series, no game has finished with more than six goals. Scores have been 1-0, 2-0, 4-2, 4-1, 3-1 and 4-2. A closer look shows that the three lowest scores (1-0, 2-0 and 3-1) were the three games which were played here at Calgary. That's an average of only 2.33 goals in the games played here. In a winner-take-all situation, as we saw yesterday, I'm expecting goals to be hard to come by. Look for another low-scoring affair. |
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05-15-22 | Penguins v. Rangers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on Pitt/NY UNDER the total. All three of yesterday's Game 7's finished comfortably below the total. Those matchups had previously been high-scoring but yesterday the scores were 3-2, 2-1 and 2-0. I expect a similar result in this one. These teams have been here before. In 2014, off a 4-2 win, the Pens had a 3-1 series lead over the Rangers. The Rangers rallied though, staying alive with a 5-1 win over their own. By the time they reached Game 7, the scoring dried up, the final score was 2-1. I expect history to repeat itself in the form of another low-scoring final game. |
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05-14-22 | Kings v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA/Edmonton UNDER the total. A high-scoring playoffs continued yesterday. With this being a Game 7, I expect that to change this afternoon. I won't be surprised when this one is tight and low-scoring the entire way though. This series has been a battle and neither team is going to want to give an inch. Note that the UNDER is 18-12-2 the past 32 times that LA played a road game with an O/U line of six or moe. The Kings are off a 4-2 loss last time out but their goaltending has been excellent. The UNDER is 15-10-1 the last 26 times that LA allowed four or more goals in its previous game. Look for those stats to improve this evening. |
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05-14-22 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TB/Toronto UNDER the total. A high-scoring playoffs continued yesterday. With this being a Game 7, I expect that to change this afternoon. I won't be surprised when this one is tight and low-scoring the entire way though. This series has been a battle and neither team is going to want to give an inch. The Leafs, who started this series with a 5-0 win here, have been stingy here all season. They score the same number of goals at home as they do on the but they allow considerably less, only 2.6 per game, here at Toronto. The last time that TB closed out a game was the Stanley Cup Finals, a 1-0 win over Montreal. The last time (Isles last year) that TB was in a Game 7, the score was also 1-0. Don't be surprised when this one proves to also be much lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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05-14-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Boston/Carolina UNDER the total. A high-scoring playoffs continued yesterday. With this being a Game 7, I expect that to change this afternoon. Games have been on pace to finish below the total, only to have late scoring and/or empty net goals. I won't be surprised when this one is tight and low-scoring the entire way though. This series has been a battle and neither team is going to want to give an inch. Remember, there aren't any empty net goals when the game is tied, either. The Bruins have seen the UNDER go 8-5-4 when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or more. During that span, the Canes have seen the UNDER go 17-10-2 when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or more. Look for the scoring to dry up and those stats to improve. |
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05-13-22 | Panthers v. Capitals UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Florida/Washington UNDER the total. The high-scoring results, from this series and the playoffs in general, have helped provide us with a very generous O/U line. I believe it'll prove to be too high. The Capitals are now trailing for the first time in these playoffs. They've been trailing in a playoff series six previous times the past few seasons. The UNDER was 4-1-1 in those games. We have to go back a long time, but it's also interesting to note that the UNDER is 2-0-1 the three times that the Panthers were leading in a series. The Caps actually score slightly less gpg at home while the Panthers score considerably less on the road. I feel that the line is generously high and I'm expecting a relatively low-scoring affair. |
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05-13-22 | Rangers v. Penguins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY/Pitt UNDER the total. While I did win with the Rangters last game, the totals in this series have not treated me kindly. That won't prevent me from looking at this evening's game with a clear and unbiased mind; every game is unique. In this case, the high-scoring results, from this series and the playoffs in general, have helped provide us with a very generous O/U line. Consider that the O/U lines were 5.5 at the beginning of the series. Needless to say, that's a significant difference. The UNDER is 19-11-1 when the Rangers were off a win by two or more goals and 11-6-1 when the Pens were off a loss of two or more. I feel we're getting very fair value and I fully expect those stats to improve this evening. |
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05-12-22 | Wild v. Blues UNDER 6.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Minnesota/St. Louis UNDER the total. (8*) I'll readily admit that I've been surprised by how high-scoring these playoffs have been. Those high-scoring results have provided us with some generously high O/U lines. I expect this one to prove to be too high. The Blues have solved their goaltending issues. Binnington has been sharp since coming into the series and he's helped act as a defender, as well as a goalie. After the last game, Blues coach Craig Berube said this: "Binnington did a hell of a job. I thought he made some big saves for us. I've talked about the puck play. He was excellent with that puck tonight. He killed a lot of their forecheck." I don't expect the Wild to keep giving up so many though. Note that Minnesota road games have been lower-scoring than Minnesota home games but that the opposite is true of the Blues. They score equally on the road as they do at home but they allow fewer goals here, on home ice. Don't be surprised when this one finishes with the lowest combined score of the series, to date. |
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05-12-22 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -130 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TB. (8*) I'm not counting out the Lightning yet. Tampa is 5-0 the past five times it was trailing in a playoff series, 30-14 (+15) its past 44 in that situation. During that span, the Leafs are 9-22 (-15.8) when leading in a playoff series. The Lightning are also 57-24 the past 2+ seasons, when playing with 'revenge.' They've bounced back big from both previous losses in this series. Expect them to force a Game 7. |
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05-12-22 | Hurricanes v. Bruins UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Carolina/Boston UNDER the total. (9*) I'll readily admit that I've been surprised by how high-scoring these playoffs have been. Those high-scoring results have provided us with some generously high O/U lines. I expect this one to prove to be too high. The UNDER is 9-5-3 when the Bruins played a home game with an O/U line of six or more. The Bruins gave up five goals last time out. They only allow an average of 2.7 gpg though; I expect a much better defensive effort. Boston also managed only one goal last game. Some teams tend to bounce back with a big offensive performance, when coming off that type of game. However, in the Bruins' case, they tend to follow up a game like that by becoming more "stingy" in their next game; the UNDER is 10-4 after the Bruins scored one goal or less in their previous game. Going back further finds that Boston has seen the UNDER go 23-14 in that situation, the past 2+ seasons. Look for those stats to improve here. |
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05-11-22 | Capitals v. Panthers -220 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. Talk about wasted opportunity. The Capitals had the Panthers right where they wanted them last game. They couldn't seal the deal though and that's now going to be a tough pill to swallow. The Panthers, who never stopped believing, now have the momentum back on their side. A closer look at the stats from last game shows they actually had a big edge. Remember, this team rarely loses here. Indeed, the Panthers are a dominant 45-8 their last 53 games as a home favorite, including a 5-1 win in the last game here. It's also worth noting that the favorite is 39-19 the past 58 meetings between these teams. The Panthers led the NHL in gpg, averaging better than four goals per game. Order restored, expect them to take control of the series. |
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05-11-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -129 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY. Backs against the wall, I expect the Rangers to be at their best evening. NY Coach Gerard Gallant read his team the riot act after the last game: "Total team disappointment ... " Gallant's Rangers WILL be better. The home team is 4-1 the past five in the series. The Rangers are still 5-2 the past seven meetings here. They won the last game here by a 5-2 score. Remember, the Rangers were 28-10-2-3 here. I like the decision to stick with their #1 goalie and I look for the Rangers to bounce back and extend the series. |
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05-11-22 | Penguins v. Rangers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on Pitt/NY UNDER the total. A high-scoring series has led to the "most generous" O/U line yet. I feel that it'll prove to be too high. The Rangers are sticking with #1 goalie, Shesterkin. I feel that's a good move and I expect him to be better. As his coach said: "He's the best goalie in the league. So, I'm going to go with him." Coach Gallant is also demanding an improved defensive effort. He went on to say: "Total team disappointment. There wasn't much commitment to playing defense tonight." Expect a greatly improved defensive effort and for this one to finish above the big number. |
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05-10-22 | Kings v. Oilers -200 | 5-4 | Loss | -200 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Kings deserve a lot of credit for making this a series. However, in this pivotal game, I expect the "cream to rise to the top." The Oilers are indeed the superior team. While they'll certainly be feeling some pressure, they've got the talent to overcome that. This is their time and I expect them to rise to the occasion. The Oilers, still 23-7 (+13.4) in divisional play, were at their best the last time that the series was tied. While I'm not expecting another 8-2 blowout, I am expecting another victory. |
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05-10-22 | Blues v. Wild UNDER 6.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on St. Louis/Minnesota UNDER the total. It's been a high-scoring playoffs. We're slowly starting to see that change though and with this series knotted at two, I'm expecting a relatively low-scoring affair. Note that these teams snuck under the total (5-1 final, on an O/U line of 6.5) when the series was previously tied. While the Blues solved Fleury last game, he was excellent in the previous two games. Meanwhile, the Blues are projected to start Binnington again. Both goalies are proven playoff performers and capable of stealing one. The Wild know they need to limit their penalties and that in turn will limit the Blues' chances. "We've got to stay out of the box ..." Wild coach Dean Evason noted. Plenty of line value and I'm expecting a more disciplined-low-scoring affair. |
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05-10-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -139 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. It was never going to be easy for Carolina. The Bruins are a tough team and they've eliminated the Canes in two recent postseasons. However, in both those cases, the Bruins held home ice advantage. This time, its Carolina which has that edge. Home ice has certainly been significant in the series, too. The Bruins won the two games at Boston by scores of 4-2 and 5-2. However, the Canes won the two games here at Carolina by scores of 5-1 and 5-2. This is what Carolina worked so hard for all regular season. So, that these pivotal games could be played here. While the Bruins were relatively mediocre on the road, the Canes are a dominant 31-12 on home ice, outscoring visiting teams by an average of 3.4 to 2.1. Expect them to bounce back and take this critical game. |
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05-10-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Boston/Carolina UNDER the total. It's been a high-scoring playoffs. We're slowly starting to see that change though and with this series knotted at two, I'm expecting a relatively low-scoring affair. The UNDER is 2-0 the past two times that the Canes were tied in a series. In 2020, when these teams were tied in their series, the next game had a score of 3-1. It should also be noted that the UNDER is 17-10-1 the past 28 times that the Canes played a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. With the UNDER also 8-5-3 when the Bruins played a road game with an O/U line of six or greater, look for this one to prove the lowest-scoring game of the series. |
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05-09-22 | Panthers -172 v. Capitals | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. After blowing Game 1, the Panthers calmly responded with a big win in Game 2. After getting blown out in Game 3, I expect a similar response from the Panthers this evening. The Panthers are 11-3 when playing with revenge and 21-9 after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. Going back further finds thems at 47-30 (+15) in the revenge role and 57-26 (+20) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. During that span, they're also an outstanding 19-6 (+14) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect the determined Panthers to bounce back and to improve on those impressive stats. |
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05-09-22 | Rangers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY/Pittsburgh UNDER the total. While its been a high-scoring series and playoffs in general, I expect that to change this evening. The Rangers have seen the UNDER go 18-12-1 after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. The Pens have still seen the UNDER go 5-1 after their previous three, or more, consecutive games finished above the total. The UNDER is also 15-9-1 the past 25 times that they were in that situation. With the UNDER also 18-13-1 the past 32 times that the Pens were off a win of two or more goals, don't be surprised when the goalie/s steal/s center stage in this one. |
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05-08-22 | Wild v. Blues UNDER 6.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Minnesota/St. Louis UNDER the total. We've seen some high-scoring games so far in these playoffs including a very high-scoring Saturday. As these series continue, however, I expect the scoring to come down. In this case, we're working with a generously high O/U number. I believe that it'll prove to be too high. Two of the three games have finished with six or fewer goals. The three games have averaged six. Yet, we're currently working with a 6.5, at most shops. The last time that the Blues were off b2b losses, they responded with a 4-0 shutout win. The previous time that they were off b2b losses, they won 4-1. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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05-08-22 | Hurricanes v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Carolina/Boston UNDER the total. The Bruins switched goalies prior to Game 3. That switch, combined with the change of venue and a more desperate Boston team, led to the Bruins allowing only two goals. I expect their improved goaltending and defensive play to carry over into Sunday afternoon. This time, however, I expect the Canes to also bounce back with a stingier defensive effort. Prior to allowing four last game, the Canes had allowed just three goals in the first two games of the series combined. The last time that the Bruins snapped a 'losing streak,' their next game finished with a score of 2-1. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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05-07-22 | Rangers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY/Pitt. UNDER the total. While we saw some relatively high-scoring games at MSG, I'm expecting a lower-scoring affair now that the series is tied and has shifted to Pittsburgh. The UNDER is 3-0-2 the past five times that the teams faced each other here. All five meetings finished with six or fewer goals. Overall, the five meetings averaged less than five goals, per game.The Rangers' last two visits here had final scores of 1-0 and Also, note that the UNDER is 5-1 the Pens' last six games, where their opponent scores five or more goals in its previous game. Despite coming off the Game 2 victory, Rangers' coach Gallant is emphasizing defense: "...We've got to play stronger hockey in our defensive zone ... " Expect a relatively low-scoring affair. |
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05-06-22 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -125 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Canes held serve at home; they won both the first two games at Raleigh. However, I don't see the battle-tested Bruins going down without a fight. While the Canes did score an upset here in January, the favorite has won 24 of the past 32 meetings in the series. The Bruins will be switching up the goalie and that change can often light a spark. This is Swayman's chance and I expect him to be ready. Arguably, "Sway" should have been the guy from the Day 1. The Bruins have won each of their last four games here and they allowed just four goals combined in those games. When playing at home, the Bruins have also won four of their past five playoff games against the Canes. Expect them to dig deep, up their game and get back in the series. |
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05-05-22 | Capitals v. Panthers -234 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. Needless to say, the Panthers can't afford to lose this one. The Game 1 loss has them in a hole. The Panthers were 20-9 after allowing four or more goals though and 10-3 when playing with 'revenge.' They're still a dominant 34-8 on home ice, outscoring visiting teams by an average of 4.6 to 2.9. Yes, the price is steep; but they're 44-8 their last 52 as home favorites. The Caps, who will be playing their fourth straight on the road, are 3-6 after playing their previous three on the road. Florida's Sam Bennett noted: "We're still in good spirits. We still know how good a team we are. There's no panic in this locker room." Expect Bennett and co. to bounce back. |
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05-05-22 | Penguins v. Rangers UNDER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY/Pittsburgh UNDER the total. These teams scored six goals through three periods. Then, they needed to get to a third OT period just to get the next goal. I expect that low-scoring pace, that we saw from that second half (OT) of that game, to carry over into this one. Prior to Tuesday's game, the previous four 2022 meetings between these teams had scores of 3-0, 3-2, 5-1 and 1-0. Game 1 saw a total of 151 shots fired, a total of 83-68. Yet, the teams still only managed seven goals. They won't have nearly that many shots in this one. Consequently, they won't have nearly as many goals, either. Look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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05-04-22 | Kings v. Oilers -182 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. After dropping Game 1, the Oilers obviously need this one. I expect them to respond with their very best effort. Edmonton captain Connor McDavid had this to say: "I thought we just didn't handle it all that well. The Kings got the jump on us. I think we did a great job getting back in the game and gave ourselves a chance, but ultimately it came down to one bounce." I expect the Oilers' superstar to lead by example tonight. Remember, the Oilers were 28-12-0-1 here while the Kings were 23-11-5-2 on the road. The Oilers are still 9-3 their last 12 as a host in the series. McDavid and co. won't let this one come down to one bounce. Expect them to even the series. |
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05-03-22 | Stars v. Flames UNDER 6 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on Dallas/Calgary UNDER the total. The Stars have seen four straight games finish with six or fewer combined goals. They've allowed less than three goals in each of their last three games after scoring less than three in each of their previous six, before that. The Flames check in off games with scores of 3-1 and 3-2. The projected goalies are Oettinger and Markstrom. Both had excellent seasons and both are capable of "standing on their head" and stealing a game for their team. While NY's Shesterskin may have him beat slightly, Markstrom's numbers are right there near the top of most categories. These teams also met in the playoffs in 2020. The first game of that series finished with a final score of 3-2. Meanwhile, the first game at Calgary finished with a score of 2-0. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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05-03-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -123 | 4-3 | Loss | -123 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY. The Penguins may still have some of the more recognizable names but the Rangers are favored for good reason. The Pens are 23-18 on the road. The Rangers are 27-14 at home. The Pens score 3.1 gpg on the road while the Rangers score 3.2 gpg at home. Its on the other side of the puck where NY has the real edge though. The Rangers allow a mere 2.3 gpg at home. The Pens allow 2.8 gpg overall. The Rangers, 6-1 the past seven times that they played with three day's rest in between games, had their way with the Pens the past few meetings. NY won the past three games by scores of 3-0, 3-2 and 5-1. I feel the price is fair and I expect the Rangers to grab Game 1. |
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05-02-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -110 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. These teams have a history. They faced each other in the first round of the 2020 playoffs. The previous year, they met in the Eastern Conference Finals. In both cases, the Bruins won the series. In both cases the Bruins had home ice advantage. In both cases, the Bruins won Game 1. Things are different this year though. This time, its the Canes who have home ice advantage. Needless to say, they're painfully aware of the importance of winning Game 1. I expect them to have the edge. Carolina has won six straight games and is coming off its best ever reg. season. The Canes dominated the Bruins along the way. They won the two games at Boston by scores of 7-0 and 6-1 and they won the lone game here at Carolina by a score of 3-0. Carolina coach Brind'Amour had this to say: "You learn from your past. These guys that have been here before, that's what's driving them and has all year." Canes dig deep and get it done. |
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04-29-22 | Golden Knights v. Blues -160 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -160 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. I successfully played against both these teams in their last game. The Blues lost on the road against a motivated Colorado team. Certainly, there's no shame in that. They still played fairly well and they'd been red hot before that. Importantly, they want to bounce back to enter the playoffs on a roll AND because they still have a shot at having home ice advantage against the Wild. On the other hands, the Knights lost to lowly Chicago last game. It was a devastating loss as it killed their chances of making the playoffs. Really, those chances were pretty slim. Still, they were fighting hard right until the end and that makes the loss to Chicago that much tougher to handle. Vegas player Max Pacioretty had this to say: "It's just a tough pill to swallow right now and it's going to take some time to digest, because right up to the end there, I never lost hope in thinking we were going to make it." Playing their third game in four days, the first two both going to S/O's, gutted from losing both and being eliminated, it's going to be hard for the banged-up Knights to match the Blues' intensity. Given the situation, I believe the price could easily be considerably higher. Blues roll. |
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04-29-22 | Senators v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Ottawa/Philadelphia OVER the total. Not much reason for defense in this one. Potentially shaky goalies. Two teams looking to bounce back with better offensive showings. Ottawa's recent visits here have finished above the total. The OVER is 12-6 after the Flyers scored one goal or less in their previous game. The UNDER is also 9-6 their last 15 against sub-500 teams. Not to be outdone, the Sens have seen the OVER go 11-6-1 their last 18 against losing teams. This will be the fourth time that they played the second of b2b games in the past few weeks. The previous three instances saw the second game finish with scores of: 6-4, 4-3 and 4-3. Expect a high-scoring affair. |
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04-29-22 | Blackhawks v. Sabres -118 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Hawks came through for me last game. Their win over Vegas offiically eliminated the Knights from postseason contention. The players acknowledged that they enjoyed playing the role of spoiler. It was also their home finale. So, there was plenty of reason for motivation. This evening, however, there's no chance for any "spoiling." Playing their home finale, in front of what's expected to be a sellout, or near-sellout crowd, I expect the Sabres to be the more motivated team. It's Rick Jeanneret's final game as a brodcaster. Beloved in Buffalo, he's been calling games for my entire life, the NHL's longest running voice. The Hawks are 5-18 (-12.6) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Sabres are 9-4 their last 13 against teams with a losing record. Buffalo rolls. |
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04-29-22 | Red Wings v. Devils -142 | 5-3 | Loss | -142 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NJ. Both teams are off disappointing seasons. Both head coaches may be out. I expect the Devils to be the hungrier team in this one though. Not only are they playing at home, but they've lost both this season's meetings. The most recent of those was less than a week ago, in their most recent game here. That game notwithstanding, the Devils have been better on home ice than the Wings have been on the road. The Wings score only 2.3 goals (while allowing 3.8) on the road, while the Devil score 3.1 gpg at home. Look for the revenge minded Devils to dig deep and get some payback. |
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04-27-22 | Golden Knights v. Blackhawks +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing CHICAGO on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) On the surface, it seems Vegas has much more to play for. After all, if they win their final two games and the Stars lose their next two, the Knights can still make the playoffs. The Hawks are playing out the string. That said, I like how this one sets up for the Hawks. The Knights realize that their chances are very slim. Keep in mind that Dallas' next two games are both at home and that they come against Arizona and Anaheim. Here, the Knights face a rested Chicago team which is still playing hard and which would love to do some 'spoiling.' The Hawks are off a win, one where Kane was clicking, and they'll be motivated to win their home finale. Meanwhile, Vegas left it all on the ice last night. After last night, their coach commented: "It's not perfect, back-to-back. We emptied the tank tonight. We don't have a choice. We've got to find a way to re-energize here and get ready and win a game tomorrow." With the Knights heavily favored on the ML, we can get an extra +1.5 goals with the Hawks for a reasonable price. Five of the past six meetings between these teams were decided by a single goal; the other was a 3-1 Chicago win. Grab the +1.5 goals and expect AT LEAST another 'puck-line cover.' |
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04-26-22 | Blues v. Avalanche -165 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Avalanche are relling. The Blues are rolling. Yet, the Avs are favored for good reason. The Blues are a solid 23-17 on the road. However, the Avs are a dominant 31-8 at home. Arguably the most talented team in the league and already the #1 seed in the West, the Avs are also coming in "hungry." Off a 4-1 loss to the Jets, note that they're 7-1 the past eight times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. They're 50-18 the past 68 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. Coach Jared Bednar had this to say: "Our work is cut out for us here to get our guys back to playing our game, getting back to our identity. Starts with the work, the competitiveness. Moves on to execution, details, the whole gamut ... " Catching the Blues at the end of a road trip, expect Bednar's team to bounce back. |
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04-24-22 | Blues v. Ducks +1.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing ANAHEIM on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) While they won't be going to the playoffs, this is a big game for the Ducks. Not only is this their home finale but its also the last home game for Getzlaf. Keep in mind that he's been their captain since 2010 and that's played his entire career (starting 2005/06) here. Anaheim forward Zegras had this to say: "Seventeen years here. He is the Anaheim Ducks to me. Through everything, new GMs, new coaches, he's been here through everything. All of us young guys look up to him as the Anaheim Duck. It's very cool in my opinion to say we got to play with him." Captain Eakins added: "It's hard for me to put into words what Ryan Getzlaf has meant to this organization, what he means to this organization and what he means to me. It's more of a feeling when you think about him as a person and a player. People are never going to remember what you said or what you did, but they will always remember how you made them feel." Indeed, its a big game for the Ducks and they're going to play hard. Note that they've beaten the Blues in both this season's meetings and that three of the past five meetings were decided by a single goal. Also, while both teams play the second of b2b game, the Blues are also playing their third game in the past four days. (The Ducks had a few days off before the b2b.) Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
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04-23-22 | Rangers v. Bruins -135 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. While the Rangers come in as the hotter team, I expect the Bruins to be the "hungrier" team. They don't want their Original Six rival earning the season sweep and they're anxious to bounce back from Thursday's 4-0 loss. The Rangers are just 12-16 (-5.9) the past 28 times that they were off a winning streak of three or more games. During that stretch, the Bruins were 22-14 (+3.9) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Boston coach Cassidy commented: "We've got to finish better ..." Look for Cassidy's team to do exactly that this afternoon, bouncing back and improving to 15-6 when coming off a loss of two or more goals. |
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04-22-22 | Senators v. Blue Jackets -103 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. I like how this one sets up for the Jackets. The Senators have seen two of their last three games go beyond regulation. They've been "getting up" for their games against Canadian rivals (those games were against Vancouver and Toronto) but they lost to Seattle the last time that they faced an American team. With a game against Montreal on deck tomorrow, I believe they could easily get caught looking past Columbus. On the other hand, the Jackets get tomorrow off. Their full focus is on snapping their skid and earning a victory in tonight's game. Listed as very slight favorites, note that the Jackets are 14-3 their last 17 in the favorite role. Overall, they're 18-11 (+7.7) against losing teams. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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04-21-22 | Canucks v. Wild -170 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Canucks have fought hard to try and reach the playoffs but I expect their efforts to fall short. A loss here will hurt. Off a 2-0 win, the Wild are 27-9 (27-7-2) on home ice. Fighting for playoff seeding, they won't let down against the banged-up Canucks. They're 60-33 against losing teams the past 2+ years, 25-11 when facing losing teams in the second half of the season. In addition to playing on home ice, the Wild are far healthier. Those injuries will catch up to the Canucks tonight. While Minnesota is off a shutout, it can also really put the puck in the net. The Canucks average 3.0 goals per game while the Wild average a whopping 4.1 gpg here at home. They beat the Canucks here last month and they'll do so again this evening. |
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04-21-22 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -110 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA. While the Leafs have been playing well, they're going to encounter an angry Tampa team in this one. Not only are the Lightning livid about their recent skid, they're also looking to avenge a loss here from earlier this month. The Lightning are a dominant 53-24 (+17.5) the past few seasons, when playing with 'revenge.' That includes a 24-12 mark, when attempting to avenge a home loss. While it remains to be seen whether Matthews will play for Toronto tonight, the coach's comments provide insight into the Leafs' overall attitude about the importance (or lack thereof) of these games. Keefe commented: "We're not just resting Auston, he has an injury. Maybe he could play through it, but that doesn't make sense to do so. We're looking bigger picture here. You've got team and individual accomplishments, all those kinds of things, and we're mindful of them, they're important in their own way. But the ultimate goal of having us ready to compete at playoff time is what it's all about." This month's win earlier here notwithstanding, the Leafs aren't as strong on the road as they are at home. They're just 19-15 (-7.9) when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or more. Going back further finds them at -14.6 in road games with an O/U line of six or more, the past 2+ seasons. While the Leafs allow 3.5 gpg on the road, the Lightning allow just 2.7 gpg at home. That superior defense will be the difference in this one. Tampa coach Cooper commented: "If you want to go far in the playoffs, if you want to do anything, you have to play defense. You have to stick your ego aside and not worry about how many points you're going to get or how much ice time you're going to get. You have to worry about keeping the puck out of the net. Everything positive comes from that." Lightning bounce back. |
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04-20-22 | Capitals v. Golden Knights -125 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on VEGAS. While the Caps are still battling for seeding, they've already clinched a playoff spot. Vegas, on the other hand, is fighting for its playoff life. The Knights dominated their last game but came up short. Coach DeBoer noted: "The message is we can't waste any energy right now on missed opportunities. We've got to look forward to the task at hand and get excited about showing everybody that we're capable of doing it." The Caps are playing the fourth leg of a 5-game road trip. They're 2-4 after playing their previous three at home. While the Knights won at Washington earlier, the home team has taken four of the past five meetings. I say Vegas digs deep and bounces back with the important victory. |
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04-19-22 | Red Wings v. Lightning -1.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -185 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing TAMPA on the puck-line (-1.5 goals) The Wings are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Lightning are massive favorites for good reason. They're the far stronger team. They're playing at home. They're much healthier. Plus, with the Leafs ahead of them in the standings, they've got far more to play for. I really liked what I saw from the Lightning last game. They were down 4-2 against the Jets but then scored five straight. Coach Cooper commented: "Those scrums probably helped. I think we needed something to pull us into the fight. You're down 4-2, and some of the rough stuff, I thought, pulled us into the fight a bit. Then we took advantage of a tired team in the last half of the game." I expect Cooper's club to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. While the Wings stayed within a goal in each of the two games at Detroit (TB won 2-1 and 7-6) the Lightning won the game here at Tampa by two goals. Now, they're catching the Wings off a pair of games where they were outscored by a combined score of 10-1. Expect the class difference to be clearly evident, a multi-goal victory for the champs. |
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04-18-22 | Senators v. Seattle Kraken -110 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on SEATTLE. I like how this one sets up for the home team. In addition to having home ice advantage, the Kraken are the much healthier team. After beating NJ here on Saturday, they had last night off. They also get tomorrow off. Their full focus is on avenging last month's 4-3 (OT) loss at Ottawa. Speaking of OT, the Sens are off a tough 5-4 (OT) loss to the rival Leafs and they have a game at Vancouver tomorrow. That said, they could easily look past their lowly hosts. Remember, the Sens are just 21-40 (-10.9) the past few seasons, when off a game where they scored four or more goals. Winning streaks have been hard to come by for the Kraken. This is a perfect opportunity to get one. Expect them to make the most of it. |
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04-17-22 | Sabres v. Flyers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on Buffalo/Philadelphia UNDER the total. This is the second game of a meaningless home-and-home series between these teams. The Sabres rallied for a 4-3 win yesterday. I expect today's rematch to be lower-scoring. Yesterday notwithstanding, both teams often have trouble putting the puck in the net. In their three previous games, prior to yesterday, the Sabres had been blanked once and scored two goals in another game. In fact, the Flyers can say the exact same thing. They came into yesterday's game off a 4-0 loss, after having scored two goals in losing their previous game. The Sabres have seen the UNDER go a profitable 25-12-3 the past 40 times that they played the second of b2b games. The Flyers score just 2.6 gpg on the season. Only Arizona averages less. At 2.8 gpg (2.6 on the road) the Sabres aren't much better. Expect a low-scoring affair. |
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04-16-22 | Penguins v. Bruins -122 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Bruins need this one more than the Penguins. Not only are they trying to snap a losing streak, they're trying to lock up a playoff spot. The Pens, on the other hand, already just clinched the playoffs in their last game. The Bruins are a bit banged-up. However, the Pens are too. They'll be without Malkin and they're #1 goalie, amongst others. Boston coach Cassidy commented: "Frustration is a useless emotion. I'm not frustrated. We want to correct things." While the Pens are 0-4 the past four times that they were off a win, the Bruins are 5-1 their last six against teams from the Metro. Division. Looking to avenge an earlier loss here and knowing that they'll face these same Penguins again in less than a week, at Pittsburgh, expect Cassidy's team to "correct things" this afternoon. |
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04-14-22 | Ducks v. Lightning -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -145 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing TAMPA on the puck-line (-1.5 goals). The Ducks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Looking to avenge an earlier 5-1 loss at Anaheim and looking to get back on track, after having dropped five of six, the Lightning are going to be all business. Not only are the Lightning 51-24 (+15.5) their last 75 in the 'revenge role,' but they also a commanding 30-6 (+21.5) the past 36 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. Note that their last two wins came by scores of 5-0 and 5-2. So, when they have won its been by a comfortable margin. They'll face an Anaheim team which is a dismal 1-14 its past 15 games against teams with a winning record. Expect TB to improve to 13-2 its past 15 against losing teams, picking up the 'puck-line cover' along the way. |
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04-12-22 | Senators v. Red Wings -120 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on DETROIT. This will be the third meeting this month, between these teams. The Sens won on April 1st and then again on Aprill 3rd. However, I don't believe that the Wings are going to lose three times in less than two weeks to this team. While Ottawa did manage a win here on 4/1, the home team has still taken five of the past seven meetings. The Wings have still won seven of the past 10, here at Detroit. The 4/1 loss here notwithstanding, the Wings have been much better at home than they have been on the road. Since those two Ottawa losses, the Wings have responded with victories over Boston and Winnipeg and an OT loss vs. Columbus. So, five points in their past three. Playing with double-revenge and playing with two day's rest in between games, expect the Wings to take this one. |
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04-10-22 | Ducks v. Hurricanes -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing CAROLINA on the puck-line (-1.5 goals) The Ducks managed to earn a rare win yesterday. That was against Philadelphia though. Now, they're playing the second of b2b games at one of the toughest venues in the league. Note that they're 1-12 their last 13 against teams with a winning record. Prior to yesterday's win, the Ducks had lost by scores of 4-2 and 6-1. Off a loss, the Canes will be all business. While the Ducks allow 3.6 gpg on the road, the Canes allow 2.1 gpg on home ice. Schedule in its favor, look for Carolina to improve to 27-11 here, picking up the "puck-line cover" along the way. |
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04-10-22 | Sabres v. Lightning -1.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing TAMPA on the puck-line (-1.5 goals) The Sabres are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Lightning have dropped four straight and they're ready to take out their anger on someone. The Sabres just happen to be in the way. Tampa played well in the Boston game; a similar effort here will surely result in victory. Tampa coach Jon Cooper commented: "It's frustrating when you lose a game in overtime when you feel you might have deserved another fate. That's the game. I would hope the guys would be frustrated now. Let's channel the energy to Buffalo. You picked up a point. Let's move on ..." Give Buffalo credit for battling some tough teams lately. Still, battling and winning are two different things. For a team no longer playing for anything, those tough losses will start to take a toll. Each of the past five meetings between these teams have been decided by two or more goals. The Lightning won four of those, including a 6-1 win in the most recent meeting. With that result, the Lightning are 21-5 the past 26 meetings. I'm expecting them to bounce back with another multi-goal victory in this one. |
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04-09-22 | Capitals +1.5 v. Penguins | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing WASHINGTON on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) Last night served as a good reminder of the value of having an extra +1.5 goals to work with. All five games were decided by a single goal. This figures to potentially be another close one, as games between these rivals often seem to be. The Pens are struggling right now and they had a travel issue which led to Friday's practice being canceled. They're 2-6 their last eight games. One of the wins was by a single goal and the other was against Detroit. Needless to say, Washington represents a much tougher opponent. The Caps got back on track with a win over Tampa last time out. Note that the road team has won four of the past five meetings in this series. The lone 2022 meeting saw the Caps win 4-3, in OT. Expect AT LEAST another 'puck-line cover' from the motivated visitors. |
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04-08-22 | Bruins v. Lightning -145 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on TB. While I respect the Bruins, they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off three straight losses and already 0-2 against the Bruins in 2022, the Lightning are going to be bringing it tonight. I expect their very best effort. Note that Tampa is 51-23 (+17) its past 74, in the revenge role. During that span, the Bolts are also 8-1 when off three or more consec. losses. This season, they've had four previous instances where they've lost three straight games. In all four cases, they won their next game. They won those four games by a combined score of 16-5, too. The Bruins, who will be without Pastrnak (and others) are 4-6 their last 10 against winning teams. Expect revenge-minded Tampa to bounce back. |
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04-07-22 | Sabres v. Hurricanes -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing CAROLINA on the puck-line (-1.5 goals). The Sabres are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Not only are the Canes off b2b losses, but the most recent losses of those came at the hands of these same Sabres. The Canes have been money, when playing the second game of a home-and-home set and they're not about to lose twice in a row to the lowly Sabres. They won 6-2 in the earlier meeting here and 4-2 in the previous meeting here. In fact, they've beaten the Sabres six straight times here. The Canes may be only 3-3 their past three games but the wins have come by scores of 4-0, 6-1 and 7-2. While the moneyline price is too steep, the puck-line price remains reasonable. Lay the -1.5 goals and expect a big win from the revenge-minded home team. |
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04-07-22 | Predators -160 v. Senators | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Fighting for playoff positioning, the Predators need this game. They're playing well right now and can't afford to squander this opportunity against an inferior opponent. Nashville goalie Saros is hot right now; he's already in playoff mode. The offense is, too. Off their 6-2 win over the Wild, note that the Preds are 6-1 their last seven, when off a game where they scored five or more goals. The Sens have had some recent success against losing teams. They're 1-5 their last six against winning teams though and they're 1-6 their last seven as home underdogs. The Preds are 21-9 the past 30 times that they were favored by greater than -125. Expect them to be too much for the outmatched Sens in this one. |
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04-06-22 | Red Wings v. Jets UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on Detroit/Winnipeg UNDER the total. The Wings have been on an 'over' streak. However, I expect it to come to an end, at Winnipeg, this evening. Keep in mind that the recent high-scoring results by the Wings have rewarded us with a generously high O/U line. (This season's earlier meeting had an O/U line of 5.5 at most shops. A few went to six but one had to lay relatively significant juice to play the 'under,' in those cases.) I believe tonight's higher line is offering excellent value. Note that the earlier meeting finished with a final score of 3-0. Including that result, four of the past five meetings have finished below the number. Currently, the Jets have seen three of their past four finish below the total and they've failed to score more than three goals in any of those games. While I'm well aware of some of Detroit's 'over' stats, I'll point out that the UNDER is 36-14 the past 50 times that the Wings scored four or more goals in their previous game. During that span, the UNDER is also 24-9 when Detroit was off a victory of two or more goals. Expect those stats to improve this evening. |
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04-05-22 | Islanders v. Stars -120 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The Isles are in the wrong place at the wrong time. Not only are the Stars looking to avenge a recent road loss to the Isles but they're also angry from a loss to the lowly Kraken in their most recent game. They'd previously been playing well but didn't show up for that one. Joe Pavelski commented: "This one stings a little bit because you come in 3-0 (on four-game trip) and you fully expect to go home with eight points. Throughout a season you're thinking that's a pretty good trip, but with the situation we're in, you can be a little greedy and selfish and you wanted that fourth one. So we'd like to have that last one." Coach Bowness added: "We haven't given up that many breakaways all year, let alone one game. We didn't have the jump in our legs, we were a step behind for two periods, and they just fed on our miscues when we had to open it up." He will demand more from the Stars tonight and I expect them to respond with their best effort. While both teams are currently out of the playoffs, the Stars' chances are FAR better than New York's. (Both teams are 9th in their conference but the Isles are 11 back of the 8th place team while the Stars have two teams which are only a point ahead of them and they're within 10 points of every team, except Colorado.) That said, the Stars can't afford to squander this game. Look for them to bounce back and to improve to 6-1 the past seven times that they were off a game where they scored two goals or less. |
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04-05-22 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers -159 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Panthers will have revenge on their minds, as the Leafs recently beat them, at Toronto. That was the Panthers' final game of a 7-game road trip and they were playing the second of b2b games. The long trip caught up with them. The Panthers also haven't forgotten that the Leafs beat them here last season. (The home team is still 14-3 the past 17 in the series.) Things set up differently for this evening's rematch. This time, in addition to playing at home, the Panthers have the schedule in their favor. They had last night off, while the Leafs are off a big win over Tampa. That's noteworthy as Toronto is a money-burning 14-19 (-16.3) the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. Off a 5-3 win last time out, note that the Panthers are a commanding 32-9 (+14.6) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. They're also 8-2 in the revenge role. Payback time. |
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04-04-22 | Flames -170 v. Kings | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Kings just upset the Flames, in a shootout, at Calgary, less than a week ago. The Kings were playing that 3/31 game, after having been involved in a shootout at Edmonton the previous night, too. Tonight, I expect the revenge-minded Flames to return the favor. The Kings had a great trip. The first game back can be tough though and they're still dealing with numerous injuries. Even with the recent win at Calgary, they're still only 40-60 their last 100 division games. The Flames, who won here in December, have done a great job of bouncing back from losses; this is their first losing streak since early January. They're 5-1 the past six times that they allowed five or more goals in their previous game. Expect them to improve on those stats as they "stop the bleeding" with an important victory. |
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04-03-22 | Wild v. Capitals -120 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Without a doubt, the Wild have been playing well. They beat me last night, at Carolina. That said, this is a difficult spot. While the Wild were fighting hard, the Capitals had last night off. The last few nights, in fact. On the other hand, Minnesota will now be playing its third game in the past four days. In fact, this will mark their seventh game in the past 11 nights. That's a lot of hockey, particularly when considering that four of those previous six games required OT. Expect it to catch up with them this evening. The Caps will look to avenge a January loss, at Minnesota. They're still 9-2 the past 11 meetings. Having lost 6-1 the last time that they were on the ice, they're going to be hungry. Expect them to have the fresher legs and for them to come away with the victory.s |
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04-03-22 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Senators | 2-5 | Loss | -175 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing DETROIT on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) I lost with the Wings when these teams faced each other two days ago, at Detroit. Playing with a chance for some immediate revenge, I expect a big effort from them this afternoon. The Senators rarely win two in a row. When they do, that second win usually comes by a single goal. In fact, they've only won two in a row twice since the beginning of February. In both instances, that second win came by a single goal. Going back further finds the Sens at just 9-30 (-18.2) vs. the moneyline, when off a win of two or more goals. Each of the past four times that the Wings were off a loss of two or more goals, they "bounced back" to either win their next game, or lose their next game by a goal. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" from the revenge-minded visitors. |
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04-02-22 | Kings v. Jets -120 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The home team is 21-10 the past 31 meetings in this series. Home ice figures to again prove significant in this one. Give the Kings credit for battling in Alberta. After losing in a S/O at Edmonton on Wednesday, they came back and won in a S/O at Calgary, on Thursday. The Kings are very banged-up though and they haven't been able to string together victories. They're 0-5 the past five times that they were off a victory, 0-5 the past five times that they allowed two goals or less. On the other hand, the Jets are 5-0 the past five times that they were off a loss of three or more goals. After getting hammered by Toronto on Thursday, expect the angry Jets to bounce back and improve on those stats here. |
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04-02-22 | Wild v. Hurricanes -142 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -142 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Wild eked out a 3-2 victory when these teams faced each other, at Minnesota, back in February. (That game was a make-up for one which was ppd in December.) Note that the Canes had a 39-27 edge in shots. The favorite is 16-5 the last 21 times that these teams faced each other. The Canes are 4-1 the past five meetings, here at Raleigh. The Wild saw their winning streak come to an end last time out; they're 1-5 their last six as underdogs. The Canes are tough to beat at home. They've already got 25 home wins here and they've had 40 or more shots on goal in each of their last four games here. As Carolina's Tony DeAngelo pointed out: "It just starts tiring the other team out. It's a lot of volume. That's our identity." Expect the revenge-minded Canes to wear down the Wild en route to ther 26th home win. |
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04-01-22 | Golden Knights v. Seattle Kraken +1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -165 | 16 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing SEATTLE on the puck-line (+1.5 goals.) These teams just met two days ago. Vegas pulled away for a 3-0 victory. The game was scoreless midway and Seattle had a goal called back. So, it was a little closer than the score indicated. Coach Hakstol commented: "... We had some really good efforts, we gave ourselves a chance to be in the heart of that game ..." While that loss eliminated them from postseason contention, the Kraken already knew they weren't going to the playoffs. That said, I expect this revenge-minded team to bring their "A Game" to this evening's rematch. This will be the second straight time that Seattle has faced a team in b2b games. The first time, they lost the first game 4-2. However, they responded by winning the rematch by a score of 6-1. Even off Wednesday's loss, Seattle has still won four of its past seven games. The Knights are still 2-8 their last 10 on the road, one of the two wins coming by a single goal. They're also just 1-7 after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. Grab the extra +1.5 goals and expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" from the revenge-minded home team. |
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04-01-22 | Senators v. Red Wings -112 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on DETROIT. While neither of these teams will contend for the Stanley Cup, I really like how this one sets up for the Wings. I played Detroit on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) last game. Here's an excerpt of what I said: "On Saturday, in their most recent home game, the Wings gave a good Tampa team all it could handle. The final score was 2-1 for TB. On Sunday, playing the second of b2b games, the Wings went on the road and were embarrassed 11-2 by the Penguins. They've had two days off and they'll be anxious to atone for that debacle ... " Detroit captain Dylan Larkin commented: "It's not acceptable. We just can't show up like that." While they lost 5-4 to the Rangers, in OT, the Wings definitely played better. Coach Blashill noted: "...I thought we were better in a lot of ways defensively. Way better ..." A similar effort against a much weaker Ottawa team should result in victory. While the Sens have had a couple of days off, they're just 1-6 the past seven times that they played with two day's rest in between games. I like the fact that the teams meet again in Ottawa, on Sunday. That'll make the Wings that much more determined to "hold serve" on home ice. Note that the Wings average 3.3 gpg here while the Sens average 2.7 gpg on the road. The Wings have won seven of the last nine meetings, here at Detroit. Expect them to dig deep and earn the victory. |
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03-30-22 | Kings v. Oilers -185 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Kings were blown out by the lowly Kraken last time out. Injuries have caught up to them. While they're off a 6-1 loss, the Oilers are off a 6-1 victory. With that victory, the Oilers are a perfect 6-0 their past six home games. They've outscored those six opponents by a combined score of 38-16, too. The Kings are an ugly 39-59 (-11.4) against divisional opponents the past few years, 8-10 this season. On the other hand, the Oilers are 14-5 (+7.8) against divisional foes. In addition to being in better form, being the stronger team and playing on home ice, the Oilers are much healthier. Expect them to continue their strong place on home ice for at least another night. |
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03-30-22 | Rangers v. Red Wings +1.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing DETROIT on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) With the Rangers favored on the ML, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Wings oni the PL. On Saturday, in their most recent home game, the Wings gave a good Tampa team all it could handle. The final score was 2-1 for TB. On Sunday, playing the second of b2b games, the Wings went on the road and were embarrassed 11-2 by the Penguins. They've had two days off and they'll be anxious to atone for that debacle. Note that the Wings would be 4-1 their last five home games, if getting +1.5 goals in each of those. The Rangers are off a hard fought 1-goal win last night. While they're 7-4 their last 11 overall, they'd be 3-8 in those games, if laying -1.5 goals in each. This season's earlier meeting ended in a 3-2 final. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect AT LEAST another puck-line cover for the Wings in this one. |
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03-29-22 | Senators v. Predators -205 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Senators are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. I like the way the Predators rallied in their last game. They were off b2b bad losses and were on their way to dropping a third straight. However, they didn't blink and came back for a 5-4 win. I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. Having gotten on track, the last thing the Preds need is a loss to a bad road team, like Ottawa. While the Sens are 11-20 on the road, the Preds are 20-11 at home. The Preds allow 2.5 gpg at home; the Sens allow 3.4 gpg on the road. The Preds know that they'll face these same Senators, at Ottawa, in just over a week. That makes "holding serve" on home ice that much more important. Look for them to do exactly that, improving to 20-8 against teams with losing records. |
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03-29-22 | Rangers v. Penguins -155 | 3-2 | Loss | -155 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. The Rangers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, one of them coming against these same Rangers, the Penguins exploded for 11 goals last game. I expect that 11-2 victory to provide them with some positive momentum for this one. The Rangers have been very tough at MSG but relatively mediocre on the road. Note that the home team has won eight of the past nine meetings. The Pens are a perfect 5-0 the past five here at Pittsburgh. Also, note that the Pens have tomorrow off while the Rangers play an "Original Six" matchup against the Wings. It all adds up to a victory for Pittsburgh. |
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03-29-22 | Hurricanes v. Lightning -131 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. The Canes are off an easy win at Washington last night. They're going to find the going far more difficult this evening. This will be the third time, in the past three weeks, that the Canes have played the second of b2b games. In the previous two cases, they lost. A 4-2 loss at Pittsburgh on 3/13 and a 4-3 loss vs Washington on 3/18. This will mark their 8th game in the past 13 days, which is quite a lot of hockey. Don't expect the Lightning to show them any sympathy. Having lost both this season's games against Carolina, including a 3-2 loss at Raleigh a week ago, Tampa is going to be all business in this one. The Lightning are 50-23 (+16.8) in the revenge role, the past few seasons. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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03-28-22 | Canucks v. Blues -124 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. The Canucks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b bad losses in the first two games of this 3-game homestand, the Blues are going to be angry. They also know that they'll face these same Canucks again in a couple of days, at Vancouver. That makes "holding serve" on home ice that much more critical. The Canucks are at the end of a road trip. While they managed a 4-1 win last time out, they're just 7-12, when off a win by two or moe goals. It should be noted that the Canucks are still dealing with a number of injuries. They had last night off but this will still mark their fourth game in the past six days. They're 0-4 the past four times that they played the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Expect the Blues to dig deep and earn the important victory. |
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03-27-22 | Canadiens v. Devils -150 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NJ. The Devils have dominated the Habs in recent years. Including a 7-1 win at Montreal in February, they're 8-1 the past nine meetings. I expect them to continue that series dominance this evening. While the Devils may me only mediocre at home, the Canadiens really struggle on the road. Both teams played yesterday. Off their loss to the Capitals, the Devils will be hungry. On the other hand, off an emotional win over their archrival, the Habs should be ripe for a letdown. Look for an inspired effort from the Devils, the favorite improving to 11-4 the last 15 in the series. |
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03-26-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Kings -198 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA. While the Kings continue to deal with some injuries, they'll have more than enough to take care of the Kraken. Seattle, 0-6 when playing with three or more day's rest in between games, is just 5-13 when off a game where it scored four or more goals. Note that the Kraken traded away a number of players at the deadline. That will help their future but not the rest of this season. Those losses weren't immediately felt but they'll be noticed tonight. While Seattle is 11-26 against winning teams, LA is 17-7 against losing teams. Kings roll. |
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03-26-22 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights -180 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. Off b2b losses, the Knights returned to their winning ways with a convincing 6-1 win over Nashville in their last game. I expect that blowout victory to help provide them with some positive momentum. The Knights have owned the Hawks; they're 12-3 the past 15 meetings, 4-1 the past five here at Vegas. Yet, that one Chicago victory came in the most recent meeting. So, the Knights will have a score to settle. The Hawks are just 8-26 against winning teams. With this being an afternoon game, off a Friday night in Vegas, I say the revenge-minded Knights take this one. |