Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-28-16 | Bengals +1.5 v. Jaguars | 21-26 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
#281 - Cincy +1.5 *8 EST Two things here- short and sweet. Jax hasn't won a game to date and their OL is a mess as they are trying out numerous combinations with tackle and guards. Also past Bortels I am not sold on a productive QB scenario for them in the second half. I really like the depth at QB and at RB for Cincy who destroyed the Lions last week and I expect Dalton and his cast of stars to rack up some first half points and retain a lead. Play 1 Unit on Cincy |
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08-27-16 | Giants v. Jets +2.5 | 21-20 | Win | 105 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
I have 1 Premium Side Play Saturday in NFLX Week 3 action with the Giants / Jets Game and a late steam Bonus Play in the Bronco's / Rams Game. Only 2 losses in the 2016 NFLX Season and I fully expect a 2-0 Sweep on Saturday as I continue to pummel the books in the Preseason off a rare loss on Friday. HAMMER IT! # 272 - Jets +2.5 **7:30 EST Look the Giants have averaged 16 yards of offense so far in the Preseason, the jets over 300. The Giants have scored 10 points total in 2 games and one of the games they didn't score at all. I like the Jets defense here to give Manning and company very little in terms of open looks down the field and the Jets have the better chance here as these 2 meet up on their home field. Play 1 Unit on the NY JETS BONUS PLAY - Play a Half Unit on the LA Rams +5.5 to 6 |
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08-20-16 | Saints v. Texans -2.5 | 9-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
#428 - Texans -2.5 *8 EST I waited for this line to drop under 3, which it is in most places. These two have been practicing together since Thursday and word is out of camp the Saints looked below average, especially on offense. The Saints also has some injury and heat issues during practices, Brese threw 2 picks in a scrimmage. I like O'Brien in the preseason, he goes for wins and is aggressive on defense, and the Texans won last week as a dog on the road and I had them as well. Another factor has been the heat and humidity, which New Orleans had big issues with coming from West Virginia where it was cool and fatigue will be an ordeal for them today and I expect a fresh rotation of roster players lower on the chart for New Orleans versus Houston. Savage for Houston at backup QB has looked good and word is he is going to get some work and has moved up to the #2 spot. A reliable QB who does not take chances. Play 1 Unit on Houston |
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08-19-16 | Dolphins +2 v. Cowboys | 14-41 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
#415 Miami +2 *8 EST Not sold on Dallas here and Adam Gase wants a win again after Miami waxed the Giants, last week, he was still calling plays to score in the 4th. Dallas had a huge lead against LA last week but their defensive depth, or lack there of took over and LA scored at will late, which is the case again tonight as Miami has some experience and depth at QB, and they also have stated their defense will be in attack mode and be more aggressive Game 2 of the NFLX. Enough for me, and bear in mind Jason Garrett hates the preseason, and is 6-15 ATS as a head coach for Dallas in the preseason, that is 29% ATS! Yeah Romo is playing, about 2 series! Play 1 Unit on Miami. |
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08-18-16 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | 18-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
#411 - Minny +3.5 to 3 *10 EST Lets make this real simple, Mike Zimmer likes to win, preseason or not, and he likes his team dialed in and playing hard every single play and series in the preseason. The fact Seattle beat them last year by a single point in mid-January still stings in Zimmer’s mind. I also watched Seattle play last week in person in Kansas City and frankly it was a miracle cover later in the game. Both won and covered last week, and while Pete Carroll also likes to win anytime, I think the Vikes have enough motivation here to put this game in the win column. Although the Vikes beat Cincy last week, they got their ass out stated and did not run the ball well, and I expect them to work on the offensive consistency tonight and Bridgewater will get some work at QB. Play 1 Unit on Minny |
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08-14-16 | Texans +3.5 v. 49ers | 24-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Houston +3.5 Off the fall number of 3 here I will grab the extra half point although I think Houston wins outright. Word is the Niners defense, especially the secondary has been horrible all camp, and have been burnt repeatedly in scrimmages as well. I like the depth of Houston better than San Fran who is just now getting used to Kellys system and on offense it is going to be trial and error for awhile which benefits Houston. O'Brien likes to win any game he is in and I see Houston with the better team and coaching staff in this one with more continuity on both sides of the ball. Play 1 Unit on Houston |
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08-13-16 | Seahawks +3 v. Chiefs | 17-16 | Win | 103 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
#273 - Seattle +3 *4:30 EST
Have no doubts, although KC was stellar in Preseason last year, Andy Reid could care less about a win or loss here. He has backup QB issues, and the health of a thing RB unit and even thinner WR unit in depth will keep the stars for KC out of this one. Reid has stated publically he just wants out of this alive and well with no injuries to any key players. Pete Carrol loves to win any game, anywhere, anytime. I expect a lot of Aaron Murray, Nick Foles who does not know the offense yet, and Tyler Bray and Stanford rookie Kevin Hogan. I do not expect KC to convert this tryout session for these QBs into points in bunches. I also expect a Seattle defense, whose scheme even without all their studs, in attack mode as always. I will be at this game in person and fully expect a Seattle SU win.
Play 1 Unit on Seattle Top 5 NFL Capper last season guys - jump on board with a discounted package, runs about $100 a month for the season!! I will not let you down - INVEST AND WIN |
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08-11-16 | Panthers v. Ravens +1 | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
#257 - Carolina +1 *7:30 EST Reading the papers and websites about tonight’s contest in Baltimore, Harbaugh is sitting anyone of consequence and could care less. Almost the entire defense is out, Flacco will not play, and the stadium has promised to show Michael Phelps Swimming performance on the big screens for the Olympics’ during the game. Baltimore could care less and I like the Panthers chances here and depth much better plus more star power even for the first half is enough. Play 1 Unit on Carolina |
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08-29-15 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Green Bay Packers | Top | 39-26 | Win | 100 | 82 h 30 m | Show |
Philly (PK to -1) The Eagles invade Green Bay with a full head of steam on offense and Chip Kelly NEVER Lets up. The Eagles have plenty of firepower and are 3 deep at QB, and I expect Bradford to see 2 quarters here and he can execute this offense. The Eagles have scored 76 points and allowed 27, and bear in mind they allowed 27 points total to Baltimore and Indy and have put up 141 more offense yards than Green Bay has in the preseason. Green Bay with the loss of Nelson and another key player should play it close to the vest in this one and I doubt we see any trading punches on the scoreboard past the first team and the Green Bay coaching staff knows if they lose another skill position player on offense, their chances of a Super Bowl run will be limited. Philly drops the hammer with play calling all the way through the game, and at a pick em here I like their chances big time for a 7-10 point win, even on the road. The Packers 19 point output last week against Pitt and 22 point game against the Pats is not going to match the points put up by Philly. Play 2 Units on THE EAGLES on SATURDAY |
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08-22-15 | Baltimore Ravens v. Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show | |
BONUS PLAY HALF UNIT |
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08-21-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. Kansas City Chiefs -3 | 13-14 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Kansas City -3 Too much depth on KC, and Chase Daniel is one of the better backup QB’s in the NFL and Kansas City’s emphasis is on offense and stretching the field vertically and their depth at all skill positions including RB and QB as mentioned is a huge plus. Local crowd will be riled up as well. KC had 25 first downs last week against Bruce Arians coached defense. KC capable of scoring more. Play 1 Unit on Kansas City |
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08-20-15 | Detroit Lions +3 v. Washington Redskins | 17-21 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Detroit +2.5 to 3 Washington beat Cleveland in Week 1, who has no offense. Detroit POUNDED the Jets and dominated the game with over 400 yards of offense. Detroit has the better roster, but the KEY in this game is the injury list for Washington which has grown in training camp at an alarming rate and anyone who is good is not going to see much action. RB Abdullah for Detroit is going to be a bonafide star at RB for them and they have the healthier team seeing more action with starters than the Skins. The Skins as of noon today are also sitting 5 starters tonight. Play 1 Unit on Detroit |
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08-15-15 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Minnesota Vikings -3.5 | 16-26 | Win | 100 | 125 h 19 m | Show | |
Minnesota -3.5 Vikings with game under their belt and they looked solid against the Steelers and put up some offense and played great defense. Zimmer now 5-0 SU as a coach in the NFL in preseason. Tampa will be looking at various scenario’s on offense in this game and add in the travel, a rookie QB and a defense that is solid but not deep and Minny at home and you have the makings of a wide margin win by the Vikes here. Play 1 Unit on Minnesota |
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08-23-14 | Minnesota Vikings +3.5 v. Kansas City Chiefs | 30-12 | Win | 100 | 80 h 60 m | Show | |
Minnesota +3.5
Unreal, Kansas City’s starting offense has had a total of 8 series to date and not one point scored and Jamal Charles their main weapon is OUT for this game with a nagging foot injury. The Kansas City defense has not looked good or in sync all season and with the Viking offense putting up 17 to 20 here at least, I see possibly and outright win against KC at Arrowhead, as I am not stepping on Kansas City solely based on last season’s success, they have looked below average at best and I like the HOOK on the line here.
Play 1 Unit on Minnesota
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08-22-14 | NY Giants v. NY Jets | 35-24 | Win | 100 | 56 h 30 m | Show | |
NY Giants (Pickem) If you saw Tom Coughlin’s reaction to the first teams offense performance last week and basically all preseason, the added motivation to score and get the ball rolling is all Giants. Not sure of QB Smiths prowess against this Giant defense in this spot either, and while he and Mike Vick provide a good 1-2 punch at QB for the flyboys, I like the Giants in this one with the vastly better coach as this dress rehearsal for the regular season will focus for a large part on the Giants offense and the new west coast style they look to deploy this season, Giants get more points and Nassib at QB (3rd stringer out of Syracuse) did a hell of a job last week…Giants ripped off 27 fourth quarter points in a win against Indy.
Play 1 Unit on NY Giants
BONUS PLAY – Play a Half unit on the UNDER 43.5 Oakland and Green Bay Game.
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08-21-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Philadelphia Eagles -3 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 32 h 31 m | Show | |
Philly -3 The Pittsburgh offense other than a few big plays to some speedy wide outs, has been average at best. The QB depth is also an issue and Big Ben who is aging will be lucky to see past mid-2nd quarter, and they have no running game. Philly on the other hand is deep at QB, and are an offensive juggernaut and against an aging Dick LaBeau defense, should rack up plenty of points at home to cover this number. The Steelers are everyone’s dark horse this year, I do not see it happening and teams they have to trade punches with on the scoreboard is not their type of opponent they can win against. Philly has lost 2 in a row and this is their first home game of the preseason which is HUGE and they want to win in front of the hometown fans. They scored 35 the last game and lost.
Play 1 Unit on Philly |
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08-16-14 | Atlanta Falcons v. Houston Texans -3 | 7-32 | Win | 100 | 32 h 36 m | Show | |
Texans -3 Like them at home, like their backup QBs a great deal here with Keenum and Savage who is impressing in camp. Atlanta notorious for bad preseasons and this game it has been stated coach Mike Smith is exploring the depth chart. Houston is coming off the worst performance of Week 1 in the preseason in a 32-0 beat down at the hands of the Cards. Zig Zag theory here as Atlanta won and Houston dumped a turd in the desert last week, I like Houston to rebound at home here. Whole world loves to fade them here and oddsmakers making this attractive to take Atlanta who looked far better in week one catching points in this spot, I am not fooled by it.
Play 1 Unit on Houston
Play a Half Unit on the OVER 40 in the Steelers / Bills Game. 2 Team 6 Point Teaser – Tease the NY Giants to +8 and Tease Arizona to +9 for a half unit play. |